bob will

A Thoroughly Exhausted Bull Market

I eagerly read Tyler; however, I rarely know the meanings of his numerous abbreviations. We are amateur speculators; probably 98% of Tyler's readers do not understand his abbreviations. Please eliminate your "a"s, Tyler.

Religious Muslims Now Have an ETF to Call Their Own

I think it's great that the Moslems have ETFs. I will be delighted to have the Moslem ETFs buy all my stocks at a nice profit to me at the end of each bear market rally. ETFs are long term investors; we traders need ETFs to sell to. Hopefully, I can sell all my stocks to the Moslems in four or five bear rallies, until the DJIA crashes down to ONLY ONE THOUSAND. The Moslems won't care--they think long term--25 to 50 years. And in 50 years, the DJIA will be at all-time new highs of 20,000+. So everybody wins: us traders in the short run: the Moslems in the long run.

Seven Car Companies Hurt Most by Recession

Chinese cars and light trucks will flood America hidden under "American" brand names. Even though China has record automotive sales, China's factories are operating at only half capacity. Yet, China is building even more automotive factories! Cadillacs are being built in China right now; how soon will they be imported to America? Even the cheapest Koreans cannot compete with Chinese slave labor. Most of America's remaining factories will be driven out of business.

Seven Car Companies Hurt Most by Recession

Chinese cars and light trucks will flood America hidden under "American" brand names. Even though China has record automotive sales, China's factories are operating at only half capacity. Yet, China is building even more automotive factories! Cadillacs are being built in China right now; how soon will they be imported to America? Even the cheapest Koreans cannot compete with Chinese slave labor. Most of America's remaining factories will be driven out of business.

Commodities, Global Markets

Momentum is key. The March 6th bear rally rage died by May l5th. We took profits--expecting a sharp drop until Labor Day--when we will get back in for another bear rally to 10,000 DJIA by Christmas 2009. After Christmas, we will again take profits--expecting a crash down to 5,000 DJIA. Then jump back in for another bear rally surge to 7,000 DJIA--take profits, expecting a plunge to 4,000 DJIA---down, down, down eventually to only ONE THOUSAND DJIA.

CONCLUSION: A nightmare for investors--but paradise for traders.

Are Clouds Over the Solar Industry Dissipating?

Cheap Chinese-made bare bones electric commuter automobiles will be the world's largest solar market--but using LOW efficiency spray-on-like-paint solar "panels". True functionality only requires slow solar recharging while the car is parked at work for eight hours. For longer trips, a tiny gasoline engine could contiuously charge the batteries. China can easily produce several hundred million basic electric cars. Chinese slave labor at 25 cents per hour (USA dollars) will bankrupt USA and European companies in all types of solar.

Just When Will the Semiconductor Equipment Market Turn Around?

Perhaps even more ominous than the glut of manufacturing machines, is the type of end product chips being sold. Intel announced a 15% INCREASE in chip sales; however, they are low power and low profit chips for cell phones and small "el cheapo" netbook computers--essentially adult consumer toys. High powered and high profit computers are sitting on retail shelves unsold--even with sizable price reductions. This means Silicon Valley depression. In hard times, adult consumers can live without toys. We should expect more bankruptcies in Silicon Valley.

Working Geriatrics: We Could Grow Out of a Social Security Problem

About 15 years ago, the Supreme Court of the United States declared that Social Security is a WELFARE CHECK, AND THAT YOU DO NOT HAVE ANY LEGAL RIGHT TO SOCIAL SECURITY--that the Congress can abolish Social Security any time they wish, because since 1965, Social Security is merely a general revenue expenditure. America is bankrupt. (But remember--the politicians and government bureaucrats have a lucrative pension program completely separate from Social Security--they will luxuriate while you starve.) You will be Social Security roadkill.

Working Geriatrics: We Could Grow Out of a Social Security Problem

Mr. Nusbaum is correct. Most Americans are only semi-literate--semi-sk... workers, laborers, truck drivers, store and office clerks, hamburger flippers, etc. And their school age children are FUNCTIONAL ILLITERATES! Meanwhile, the factory jobs have disappeared to slave labor Communist China, the office jobs have gone to English-speaking slave labor India, and 37 million starving Mexican and other illegals have crashed into the USA EAGER TO WORK FOR SLAVE WAGES. In 20 years, there will a HUNDRED million illegals in the USA, driving wages down, down, down. (Just two miles from my home, Mexicans who cannot speak a word of English are driving heavy trucks, bulldozers and backhoes--digging trenches, laying water and sewer pipes, pouring asphalt and erecting a small commercial building--at the minimum wage--or less. Within 10 years, most happy-go-lucky Baby Boomers will be economic roadkill--as will their dufus-brained children and grandchildren. Social Security was kaput way back in 1965--when Congress quietly passed the law that transferred all Social Security monies from separate safekeeping into the general federal revenue account--allowing the Congressional gangsters to instantly steal it all--and every year thereafter--replacing Social Security money with worthless IOUs. And the brain-dead voters have joyfully re-elected those political thieves every time! Those Brainless Baby Boomers deserve to be destroyed.

What You and I Can Learn from the Endowment Blowups

Not only university endowments, but most pension funds will be destroyed in the coming crash. Most of the people I know have received official notices from their fund administrators, that their pension funds are technically bankrupt--and that the funds may have to be turned over to the federal government pension fund--which is also bankrupt--unless the stock market skyrockets back up to a new nominal high of DJIA 15,000--which is about 98% UN-likely. Hello, Mexican style poverty for Baby Boomers--because Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid are also bankrupt. (But,of course, politicians have a separate retirement plan--so, they will retire in luxury.)

Stock Market: Buy, Hold or Sell? Poll Results

How about optimistically pessimistic? I am a long term bear--below ONE thousand on the DJIA by January 2013; but a short term bull--TEN thousand DJIA by Christmas 2009. However, a quick plunge to 7500 DJIA before Labor Day 2009--for a good buying point--and take profits from the "Merry Christmas!" rally on January 15th, 2010. Then a crash down to FIVE thousand by "Blue, Blue Christmas" 2010. I grabbed some very nice trading profits from the March 6th bottom up to June 1st.

Positioning for When Water Runs Out: Part II

1Water purification stocks may be a good brief trade on "happy talk". But long term, I wonder. Most of the world is so poor that they cannot buy Wall Street's purification products. 2) In hard times--like now--pricing is cutthroat--leaving little or no profit for you the stockholder. 3)Most water purification products are sold to local governments; most politicians demand bribes to buy your products. 4) Honest politicians strangled by plunging tax revenues are going mail-order generic to China and India for screaming low prices. 5) Every day companies with superior products go bankrupt.

What Lies Ahead for Hybrid Car Investors?

We are plunging into a depression. America will be gutted. For the next twenty years, dirt cheap transportation--which Americans hate--junky cars, motorscooters, carpooling, buses and bare bones Chinese cars--will be reality. Hybrids, diesels and American cars will be shunned by the impoverished workingclass and middleclass Americans. Detroit's rebirth is a joke; Flint, Michigan must be bulldozed to 1/4th it's size. Thirty years from now a group of Chinese auto companies will be #1 in the USA--followed by Toyota and Honda. Most Americans will be living in Mexican style poverty.
Detroit will be a ghost town--or Chinese.

Positioning for When Water Runs Out: Part II

WATER FOR STARVING POOR PEOPLE: I know a Jesuit priest--electrical engineer, who teaches starving Africans how to build small earthen dams "for free" with only picks and shovels. Most of Africa gets all of it's scarce rain in brief hurricane torrents which quickly dissapear, leaving killer-drought. These little dams hold the water for an entire year--creating a bonanza of farming, fishing and cattle ranching. Each time a dam is built, volunteers from all the neighboring villages come to help, so that they can then go back and build little dams in their own villages. This priest hopes to have millions of tiny dams all over Africa. He also teaches people how to build inexpensive passive-solar water purifiers and small solar powered deep-well electric motor pumps.