*** These days I post my charts/thoughts on http://www.stocktwits.com under the same user name BreakoutTrader *** "Charts are worth a million words." - Ralph Acampora "Having learned what folly I was capable of, I closed that particular incident." - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” - John Maynard Keynes "For those properly prepared in advance, a bear market in stocks is not a calamity but an opportunity." John Templeton I bought my first stock in the late 1980's and have been in and out of the markets since then ... Over these years, I have traded in equity, options and futures markets and have used trading and technical analysis software such as TradeStation, Wealth Lab Developer, Amibroker, StrataSearch, VectorVest, TC2000, etc. Being a software engineer with professional certification and advanced degrees in Computer Science and Physics, I have been using my technical and science skills to develop my own trading strategies, technical indicators, and screeners. My primary trading style is looking for stocks in consolidation using technical analysis with indicators and screeners I have developed. I am in particular interested in using relative strength to identify trading opportunities. I believe options strategies, when used properly, not only can achieve better returns, but also can do so with less risk than pure equity trades. However, analysis must be performed independent of options strategies before choosing the right options strategies. I have therefore been mainly trading with options after I have done my technical analysis on equities and the markets.
Jeffrey Saut is Chief Investment Strategist and Managing Director of Equity Research at Raymond James & Associates.
Mr. Saut began his career on a trading desk in New York City. In 1973, he joined E.F . Hutton, where he began following equities and writing research. He subsequently worked as a securities analyst for Wheat First Securities, and then Branch Cabell, where he ran the equity research group as director of research and acted as portfolio manager for the firm's affiliate, Exeter Capital Management. As director of research, he built the research and institutional sales departments for the regional brokerage firm Ferris, Baker and Watts, Inc. and subsequently Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.
Mr. Saut is well known for his insightful and colorful commentary regarding the stock market, and he makes regular media appearances.
Note: Mr. Saut is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Mr. Saut's public commentary.
Our mission is to help individual investors earn profits by providing a source of independent, unbiased and profitable investing ideas. StreetAuthority provides in-depth research, plus specific investment ideas and immediate action to take based on the latest market events. We accomplish this via one of the most popular financial web sites in the nation, StreetAuthority.com, and by publishing over a dozen widely-followed financial newsletters with a total of more than a million subscribers.
Follow us on Twitter: @StreetAuthority
Efsinvestment.com website offers simple do-it-yourself type of investment ideas. You can download excel files that can easily calculate the Fair Value of a stock, along with O-Metrix score and Margin of Safety.
Investment philosophy is to first determine the maximum loss, and invest accordingly. Like many value investors, we prefer to invest in stocks with the highest dividend yields, and highest EPS growth potentials. Telecommunication and energy stocks in emerging markets are among the favorites.
Seeking Alpha offers a great opportunity to become a part of a strong finance network. Based on extensive quantitative analysis, in any market, going short is risky. Statistical analysis shows that technical indicators work only if they are strong enough to convince the majority of the investors. Do not buy a stock at the top, do not sell a stock at the dip.
Paul Allen is editor of WallStreetCourier.com
WallStreetCourier.com is an independent research- and investment advisor for selected stock market information. The main vision of WSC is to provide high quality market research for individuals, hedge funds, and institutional investors with different trading horizons.
Matthew Buckley is the founder and CEO of Top Gun Options LLC and a Managing Partner at Wealth Creation Investing LLC. Matt was formerly the Managing Director of Strategy for PEAK6 Investments, L.P., one of the largest volatility arbitrage options trading firms in the country. He was the founder and CEO of PEAK6 Media LLC, the parent company of ONN.TV (The Options News Network) and is also a nationally recognized speaker on business leadership, execution, and risk management.
Matthew Buckley is a veteran C level executive with extensive leadership experience from the front lines to the front office. A former decorated Navy fighter pilot, he graduated from the Navy Fighter Weapons School (TOP GUN) and flew 44 combat missions over Iraq. While on active duty he taught himself how to trade options and has been successfully trading for over 15 years.
Matthew’s unique background makes him a highly successful options trader. He applies many fighter pilot methodologies and techniques to his trading such as developing a well defined strategy, supported by specific tactics and predetermined exit points. He always has a contingency plan and debriefs each trade to get lessons learned that he can apply to improve portfolio performance. He teaches traders of all experience levels how to sort through information overload (trading task saturation) to ensure that they have the highest probability of success before squeezing the trigger.
Follow Whiz on Twitter: @WhizCheck6
Editor for The Biotech Forum (www.biotechforumsa.com), the #2 subscribed to Marketplace investment service offered through SeekingAlpha. Top 5% ranked analyst (TipRanks) 2013 through first half of 2015. Daily contributor for Real Money Pro. Hedge fund manager from 2008 to 2011. Previously technology executive at Fortune 100 firm for a decade. For Free weekly investment reports on small, attractive biotech stocks just register at www.bretjenseninvests.com
Daniel Morillo, PhD, Managing Director, is the Global Head of Investment Research for iShares. Dr. Morillo's service with the firm dates back to 2003, including his years with Barclays Global Investors (BGI), which merged with BlackRock in 2009. At BGI, he served in a variety of senior research and portfolio management roles including, Head of Global Equities within the Scientific Active Equity group.
Prior to joining BGI, Dr. Morillo served as a Senior Research Manager at PanAgora Asset Management for three years, where he developed US Equity risk and alpha models. Dr. Morillo earned a BS degree in economics from Universidad San Fran de Quito in 1995, a MS degree in statistics from the University of Illinois in 1998, and a PhD in econometrics from the University of Illinois in 2000.
I write about dividend growth stocks on my website www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com.
I am mostly a buyer of high quality dividend stocks, with solid competitive advantages. My holding period is forever, as long as the dividend is at least maintained. I tend to concentrate my efforts on stocks which grow earnings and dividends, which provides outstanding total returns over time. I only focus my attention to stocks with sustainable dividend payments. I am also a firm believer in diversification accross sectors and geographic locations.
I have been focusing my attention particularly to companies that regularly increase dividends to their shareholders on my website. On my blog I share my thoughts on investing in dividend paying stocks that have consistently increased their payments over time and tips on growing my dividend income. I hope that my blog will serve as an inspiration for my readers and that it would change their financial lives for the better.
Visit my website, Dividend Growth Investor (http://www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com/)
OptionPundit specializes in consistent income producing option trading strategies on underlyings ranging from stocks, indices, commodity, currency to niche products.
OptionPundit authors a premier option trading blog @OptionPundit (http://www.OptionPundit.com/). OP's research and trading interests focus on stocks, ETFs, Indices, options, volatility, market sentiment, technical analysis, and various hedging solutions.
Visit OP's blog (http://www.OptionPundit.com/)
optionMONSTER® provides stock market insight, advanced options education, and actionable trade ideas to meet the needs of do-it-yourself investors. Our content is published daily at our website www.optionmonster.com in the form of free stories, webcasts, webinars, educational offerings and subscription services.
I have been in the securities business for 20 years. Previously I was a branch manager for a major Wall St. firm, I held series 3,6,7,9,10,56 and 63 NASD registrations. Currently I am a portfolio manager for an advisory firm.. I manage a covered call portfolio and implement option strategies for high net worth investors with concentrated equity positions. I also own Fat Tail Trading & Research, LLC and publish a newsletter with ideas for investors who use options. I enjoy following the markets and analyzing market data. I write a weekly column on finance and investing in the Sierra Sun Newspaper which serves the Truckee- Lake Tahoe area and am the host of a radio show, Ken's Bulls and Bears report, heard on 99.1 FM in the Northern Nevada area.
Rocco Pendola is an associate editor at Seeking Alpha focusing on technology and the sectors it overlaps with.
In addition to technology, I am interested in dividend growth and income investing.
I make references to music I'm obsessed with (e.g., Old 97s, Elliott Smith, Bruce Springsteen) in my writing. If you notice any of these references, it makes me happy.
Robin Murray MD FAAFP www.linkedin.com
100% Private confidential portfolio designer analyst/investor/trader
1M+ folios($ 500Kmargin) @ 2.5%/yr
Long $AAPL $GLD $TNH for decades revenue generating trades #100/yr
"Be the Market Maker Not the Mark"
Marwaan Karame assists clients with value based strategies to drive long-term shareholder value. Working closely with CEOs and CFOs from a variety of industries, he helps large and mid-sized organizations facilitate major transformations in all facets of the business cycle including significant restructuring and turnarounds.
His areas of expertise are in Corporate Finance, Strategy, Managerial and Behavioral Economics. Mr. Karame helps companies adopt and apply the concepts of Economic Profit (also know as Economic Value Added) to various industries including Automotive, Food & Beverage, Healthcare, Industrial Manufacturing, Technology, and Oil Exploration and Production.
Mr. Karame has been a keynote speaker for several Wall Street Research Analyst seminars and has conducted workshops for 1,000+ Fortune 500 executives, lecturing and publishing on the topics of Corporate Finance and Risk Management. Mr. Karame holds an MBA in finance from Richard Ivey School of Business and a B.Sc. in Mathematics and Economics with a minor in Psychology from St. Lawrence University.
Writer and investor with an interest in most everything -- stocks, ETFs, commodities, and currencies. My background is in both economics and journalism so I try to present complex ideas clearly and concisely, but with a dash of creativity.
DISCLAIMER: Each article or comment written by this author is intended as general information only, and is not intended to provide specific advice, or due diligence to be relied on. As such, the information presented in any article or comment does not consider any reader’s personal investment objectives or financial situation; therefore, no articles or comments make investment recommendations. The opinions expressed in any articles or comments on this website are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any third party. I am not responsible for actions taken, or not taken based the content of this site.
Investment strategies or securities mentioned in any article may not be suitable for all investors. The risk of loss in trading securities, including options, and futures can be substantial. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Please understand all risks associated with investing before investing. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person should read a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options (http://www.optionsclearing.com/about/publications/character-risks.jsp). Options or other transactions could involve complex tax considerations that should be carefully reviewed and considered along with each reader’s personal financial situation and all other relevant risk factors prior to entering into any transaction. Probability analysis results are theoretical and in nature, and do not reflect any degree of certainty of an event occurring or not occurring.
While I believe the information provided in any article or comment is reliable; however, I do not guarantee its accuracy, timelines, or completeness. Financial information changes daily and articles and comments are not updated for subsequent changes in financial position or share prices. Transaction costs (commissions and fees) should be considered before entering trades and not accounted for in analyses presented.
Past performance referenced in any article or comment is not a guarantee of future performance. You should always consider the risks of investing in the light of your personal circumstances and your due diligence should include consulting with your professional advisor.
Links to and from websites do not imply any content endorsements. I am not responsible for, nor do I control the content of linked websites which are subject to change without my knowledge or consent.
I graudated summa cum laude with a M.S (Accounting & Information Analysis) and a B.S. (Finance & Accounting). I have over four years of financial markets experience. I actively follow equities with a focus on technology, high yield, and value stocks. In addition, I focus on conservative option strategies such as covered calls and cash secured puts to generate additional income in an effort to outperform the market.
The stock market is an incredibly interesting and dynamic puzzle that continues to draw me in like a game of chess where every few moves your opponent changes and parts of the board are obscured.
The investment models I design are typically used by family offices, hedge funds, brokerages and single investors. If you are interested in developing a certain model and want to throw a few ideas around, you are most welcome to contact me without feeling pressure or obligation.
My other passion is volunteering with the deaf. My wife and I moved to Malawi Africa from 2014 to 2016 where we learned Malawi Sign Language.
Dr. Chris Kacher & Gil Morales run www.VirtueOfSelfishInvesting.com
Our VIX Volatility Model was up as much as +177.03% in 2016. After further debugging and improvements to the algo, it is up almost +15% in 2017 as of 1-13-17
Go here for results: https://www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com/market-timing-results/dr-k-vix-volatility-model/0
In 1995, Dr. Kacher operated one of the first Internet-based stock advisory services. He then went on to generate triple digit percentage returns for six years in a row during the 1995-2000 period before moving to cash for most of the 2000-2002 bear market, one of the worst in history. From 1996-2001, Dr. Kacher served as chief research analyst for William O'Neil + Company, the New York Stock Exchange member firm, institutional research provider, and publisher of Investor's Business Daily newspaper. During this period, William O'Neil hand-picked Dr. Kacher to manage a portion of the firm's proprietary capital, whereupon Dr. Kacher became a top internal portfolio manager at the company. Dr. Kacher received his B.S. in Chemistry and Ph.D. in Nuclear Physics from University of California at Berkeley, where he co-discovered Element 110 on the Periodic Table of Elements and confirmed the existence of Element 106 for which his team named Seaborgium after Dr. Glenn Seaborg, the inventor of plutonium, who supervised Dr. Kacher's work as a doctoral student at UC Berkeley. Musically gifted, Dr. Kacher was classically trained on the piano beginning at age 3, composing his first song at age 5 which he called "Night Fog," and performing as a concert pianist from ages 5 to 12 in high-profile cities in the US and Japan. He released his debut CD comprised of 21 original piano compositions in 2009. He, together with Gil Morales, recently co-authored a number of books including the bestseller "Trade Like An O'Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market", published by John Wiley & Sons.
In the 1996 to 2002 period, Dr. Kacher achieved in his personal account a total return in excess of 18,000%, as verified by KPMG, the Big Four auditor here: http://www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com/pdf/Chris-Kacher-KPMG-verification-letter.pdf
Dr. Kacher is also currently a principal and Managing Director of MoKa Investors, LLC and Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC, www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com. He has been a frequent guest and commentator on MarketWatch.com, TownHall.com, CBS host Andy Giersher's Portfolio Doctor, and CNN News Radio's Wall Street Shuffle, among other venues.
Mr. Morales began his investment career in 1991 as a stockbroker in the Beverly Hills branch of Merrill Lynch. In 1994 he joined PaineWebber, Inc. where he quickly achieved Chairman's Club status as a top producer. In 1997, William O'Neil personally recruited Mr. Morales to join William O'Neil + Company, Inc. where he spent the next eight years as a Vice-President, internal Portfolio Manager responsible for managing a portion of the firm's proprietary assets, and Manager of the O'Neil Institutional Services group responsible for advising over 500 of the largest and most successful institutional investors in the world, including mutual fund, pension fund, and hedge fund clients. Mr. Morales also co-authored with William J. O'Neil a book on short-selling, "How to Make Money Selling Stocks Short," published by John Wiley & Sons in 2004. In 2004, Mr. Morales was appointed Chief Market Strategist for William O'Neil + Company, Inc. He, together with Chris Kacher, recently co-authored the book, "Trade Like An O'Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market", published by John Wiley & Sons in 2010. He also contributed to the book, "Wiley Trading Guide, Volume II", published in 2011. In the period from January 1, 1998 to December 31, 2005, Mr. Morales achieved in his personal account a total return of 10,904.25% as audited by Rothstein Kass & Company, a hedge fund auditing firm . Applying a standard hedge fund 2%/20% fee structure to this return would yield a pro forma return of 5,572.04%, net of fees. Mr. Morales received his B.A. in economics from Stanford University. Mr. Morales is also currently a principal and Managing Director of MoKa Investors, LLC and Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC, www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com. He has been a frequent guest and commentator on Fox Business News, MarketWatch.com, and CNN News Radio's Wall Street Shuffle and Opening Bell shows, among other venues. In 2010, Mr. Morales published "Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple - How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market" (John Wiley & Sons) with his colleague and former O'Neil internal portfolio manager Dr. Chris Kacher.
PortfoliV.com is an investment portal project based on running a set of virtual hedge funds. The aim is to build an investment portal based on actual trades made rather than textual commentaries.14 virtual funds based on a variety of themes are managed by the site owner on strict real-life conditions including real-time bid and ask prices, commissions and margin calls.
Site visitors are able to comment on the trades and follow Fund performances. As the site builds a certain amount of feedback the aim is to aggregate these responses and integrate them into the Fund trading decisions. This way the site aims to transform itself onto what can be called an "OpenSource Virtual HedgeFund" that is transparent, but utilizes all sorts of trading techniques used in common Hedge Funds.
The site owner, and the main trader so far, is an independent trader with 10 years of trading experience. He splits the year evenly between living in the US, Europe and Middle East and therefore can make informed trading decisions on a variety of developments in the world especially forex issues. He has a Bachelor's degree in Economics from the University of Virginia and has passed all three levels of the CFA examinations, with his CFA certification pending approval.
Residing in Colorado Springs, Colorado.
Has been trading and coaching using a self-developed option trading system for 10 years. Philosophically conservative, accurately trades weekly options with a strong risk management approach.
Well sought after by investors around the world, he teaches a minimum and hand-selected number of students each quarter how to trade his system.
Besides investing his interests are: Acoustic Guitar, Kayaking, Mountain Biking
Ernie Zerenner, co-founder of PowerOptions, has been an active stock trader for over 40 years and an avid options trader for more than 20 years. Each Saturday he would look in the newspaper to find options with the best return Covered Calls. This process would literally take hours. First he had to find the stocks that looked promising. Second, he had to find the best options. Finally, he had to do calculations to determine the best returns. Ernie thought, "There has to be a better way." In 1997, a colleague and Ernie had an idea - Why not use the power of the Internet to gather the data and use computers to do the calculations. We built a web site to do just that. Ernie used the site to find the best options instead of using the newspaper. Ernie was so excited that he showed it to fellow traders and let them use it also. It was so successful that he decided to open the web site up to the public...and PowerOptions was born. Since 1997, PowerOptions has built a winning team to support and continue development of the tools and strategies offered. PowerOptions now includes over 150 pages in its award winning web site and cover 23 of the most popular option strategies. PowerOptions has been reviewed and acclaimed by many in the industry: Forbes, AAII, Active Trader Magazine, New York Post, and Nightly Business Report to name a few. PowerOptions is so innovative, the US Patent and Trade Office issued us patents in 1997 and 2007. By 2000, we took over operation of OptionFind.com, a site that has similar options search engine capabilities. Many of our subscribers told us that they loved the system, but had trouble finding the time to do their own options research. They suggested that we offer an advisory newsletter service. We released such a service under the name PowerOptionsApplied.com in 2005. This service uses our expertise and patented tools to search out, publish, and manage what we feel are great option trades. We offer Covered Calls, Diagonal Spreads and Iron Condors so far, more of your favorite strategies to come. Also in 2005, we released our first publication in the options education arena. Covered Calls: Aggressive Strategy for the Conservative Investor is a self-study course. It includes a DVD, 130 page book, and a workbook to help beginning option traders learn the basics of the most popular option trading strategy: Covered Calls. The course also includes 2 free months of the PowerOptions online subscription service. In 2008, we released our second and third publications to compliment our self-study covered calls kit... Naked Puts: Power Strategies for Consistent Profits is a beginner level text that illustrates the details of using cash secured puts to acquire stock at a discount and generate income. It covers the basics of the strategy from understanding the theory, entering a new trade and covers all the way through trade management. Protective Option Strategies: Married Puts and Collars covers reliable strategies to generate consistent income and provide insurance, especially during times of financial crisis and uncertainty. Topics of discussion include tips on entering protective strategies and the theories behind them, as well as selecting the right stocks and proper protective combinations for investing in today's volatile market. Also in 2008, we purchased the rights to the RadioActive Trading methodology. This investing methodology is just one strategy that options investors can use, but trading "RadioActively" gives investors a great chance of making money and keeping their capital while they do it. The RadioActiveTrading.com site offers plenty of educational materials to get any investor with any experience level into options trading with the ammunition he needs to be successful. After learning the methodology, investors can implement the trading style themselves with the help of the PowerOptions tools, or look over the shoulder of the RadioActive trading staff as they pick and publish trades to the FISSION advisory newsletter subscribers. Most recently, in 2010, we published our fourth educational text. Iron Condor: Neutral Strategy for Uncommon Profit. The concepts, ideas, rules-of-thumb and real-world examples presented in the text have been gleaned from the PowerOptionsApplied newsletter's successful trading of the strategy. Readers can take the lessons learned by the PowerOptionsApplied newsletter and repeat the good and forgo the bad in order to profitably invest using the Iron Condor strategy. This text presents real-world examples, real-world profits and real-world mistakes, the concept of optimally trading Iron Condors by balancing risk, reward, volatility, stop-losses and other parameters to achieve the best results from trading the strategy. Ernie and his staff are active investors; they use the PowerOptions tools and research every day. The company's staff is personally committed to providing you with quality service and an exceptional value. Please feel free to contact us with any suggestions or problems that you may have. If you are inside the continental US, our toll-free phone number is: (877) 992-7971, for users outside the country, 302-992-7971. If it is easier for you, you can also send us an email message by clicking any of the email links at the bottom of every page in our site.
Interactive Brokers' Traders Insight is a free online blog drawing together financial market commentary from an array of industry contributors. Exchanges, mutual funds, investment companies and IB analysts provide coverage across stocks, options, futures, forex and fixed income. Visit: Interactive Brokers Group (https://www.interactivebrokers.com) Contact: firstname.lastname@example.org
I'm an experienced options/futures trader and freelance writer. I've covered the options market for various companies for the past 12 years. Prior to that, I worked as an institutional sales trader for a New York-based institutional brokerage firm. I'm now in Chicago and you can catch my Friday mornings on CBOE TV. Please visit the Options Idea Central blog for recent commentary and options trading ideas.
Ananthan Thangavel is the Managing Director of Lakshmi Capital and Lead Writer for the RealFinance Commodity Analyst Newsletter. He is particularly proud of producing a return 35.01% annualized since inception (through 12/31/11) for his Lakshmi Capital Global Macro ARS clients (www.lakshmi-capital.com/performance).
Mr. Thangavel is frequently interviewed by major media outlets including Forbes and Fox Business. He called the exact top of the silver market in an interview with Bob Lenzner of Forbes (http://www.forbes.com/sites/robertlenzner/2011/04/25/gold-and-silver-due-for-a-10-correction/) and also called gold's collapse in September 2011 (http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/1156274321001/bearish-outlook-for-gold-prices).
Mr. Thangavel authors The Commodity Analyst, a newsletter service that provides weekly in-depth commodity and currency research and trading recommendations as well as daily blog updates to remind investors what to keep any eye out for (www.realfinancenewsletter.com). Ananthan welcomes collaboration and interaction in his Members Forum, a discussion board that allows for direct interaction with Ananthan.
Ananthan Thangavel holds a B.S. in Economics from Northwestern University, and a J.D. from UCLA School of Law.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
SogoTrade.com, a division of Wang Investments is the premier online option and stock trading platform in all of investing. Low cost stock and options trades, powerful tools and great customer service.
Unleash the power of SogoTrade’s customizable, easy-to-use online equity & option trading platforms.
You have the ability to trade stocks, options, and ETFs all in ONE trading platform. Utilize all Sogotrade’s robust trading tools and resources to help you take better control of your portfolio.
No matter what your trading level, beginner to advanced, we here at SogoTrade are confident that you will appreciate the flexibility, speed and customization of our trading platforms. The fully customizable platforms provide all the tools, controls and technology you need to get that extra edge in the markets.
Ticker Sense is managed by Kevin Pleines, an equity market analyst at Birinyi Associates. Posts and articles are added by Kevin and the other analysts and traders at Birinyi Associates.
Birinyi research and commentary is regularly featured by the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Barron's, Bloomberg, Forbes, Fortune, Reuters, and CNBC.
EXP is a graduate from The University of Wall Street and serves with the goal to assist the small to mid-level investor maneuver through the treacherous waters controlled by Hedge Funds and Market Makers. SA followers only see a very small part of EXP's published research. This is not an easy business. Wall Street trickery is at an "All Time High" these days; brutally fierce and rampant against small retail investors. Trading is psychological in nature, meaning that the market's psychological warfare can be extremely debilitating. EXP works hard to identify and write about current stock opportunities in the market that can produce some huge gains from disconnects in stock prices. These inefficiencies can be taken advantage of if you can properly identify opportunities and then manage to act on them. EXP resides in the USA, and is thankful to followers worldwide. You can also follow EXPstocktrader on: Twitter --- @EXPstocktrader Email --- email@example.com Disclosure: The administrator(s) of the services mentioned here may be long, short, or flat in any position mentioned. All statements are made without any representation to its complete accuracy and administrator(s) are not compensated for posting notes by listed companies. Some compensation is paid by SA if the article gets picked for circulation, that's it. Prices shown are approximate. Ratings may change at any time. All posts are for simulation purposes only. All stock trades transacted by you are at your own risk. We trade stocks and do not usually buy and hold indefinitely. Please take any information that you see here and consult your own investment advisor before making any real trades. EXP, EXPstocktrader and Seeking Alpha are Not licensed to give you investment advice based on your own personal suitability and risk tolerances. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trades that you read about here or anywhere EXPstocktrader publishes information for that matter. Thank you.
Interests: Investing and trading in bonds, options, and stocks.
Overview: As my user phrase implies, 'The Long Tail of Finance' can cover pretty much any topic within finance. That is: corporate finance, quantitative finance, and personal finance. However, in order to cater to Seeking Alpha's audience I will mainly focus on personal finance topics (i.e. investing & trading), and post original research supported by numerical analysis in hopes of presenting something both interesting and useful to the reader.
My instablog postings will primarily consist of what are called "working papers". I therefore welcome your feedback/comments since I don't as yet have a writing partner or someone who can act as a literary referee. By posting my work online it's my hope that you, the reader, can provide constructive feedback on my current posts as well as make suggestions for future research topics.
I have been trading max pain type data since 2007 after noting odd trading patterns centered around options expiry. I am a more conservative trader/investor and only take high probability trades. I prefer to know where stocks won’t be rather than guess where they will be. Trading with this mind set gives you 80% plus probability of being correct.
I have always been a stock market enthusiast. My formal training is that of informal. I am self taught, soaking up as much knowledge as can be absorbed. I love the financial industry and would work for free. I am a fundamental investor at heart and like crunching the numbers. I picked up on Max Pain theory and use option data as a main thesis in taking my positions.
In the beginning; when studying Max Pain I was truly amazed at the power it had in pulling or pushing AAPL around. I have seen the stock drop 5% out of nowhere with no news. The only news would be it was the 3rd Friday of the month. I then picked up on hitting the Max Pain strike was about 50/50 odds. Max Pain would give you a tell on what direction AAPL would start heading for expiry. I started to build a strategy from my studies. Using the Max Pain strike is not really tradable, good to know, but not tradable. So I started to study open interest (OI) and its affect on AAPL. Long story short, I have altered the original Max Pain theory and morphed it into what my own studies have concluded. I call this OI/Max Pain, it uses open interest and a range. This way it is tradable as I now have a high probability range. It doesn’t stop there, using OI will tell you so much more. How a stock reacts at each strike depending on the amount of OI is a major tell.
Conclusion: When using open interest you can accomplish multiple things. We can use it for OI/Max Pain when AAPL is stuck in a range and we can use it for catching breakouts, breakdowns, buy and sell points. Enjoy.
I want to give a special thanks to some of my early influences: Turley Muller, Andy Zaky and Jason Schwarz. I thank Philip Elmer-Dewitt for his coverage on AAPL and letting us have a voice, Horace Dediu for his tireless studies and anyone attached to the AAPL community.
Institutional investment manager authoring on a variety of topics that pique my interest, and could further discourse in this online community. I hold an MBA from the University of Chicago, and have earned the CFA designation.
My articles may contain statements and projections that are forward-looking in nature, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and assumptions. While my articles focus on generating long-term risk-adjusted returns, investment decisions necessarily involve the risk of loss of principal. Individual investor circumstances vary significantly, and information gleaned from my articles should be applied to your own unique investment situation, objectives, risk tolerance, and investment horizon.