Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015. From his website: INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors. Rules of Investment Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing. Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off. Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.) Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'. Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions. More information on CGTS is available at: http://home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS142.htm His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJCwriting.htm Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.
Macro Investor | Mid/Long Term Horizon | US Equities, Commodities and Fixed Income | English, Dutch & German | Main Goal: Deliver the 1% of Global Data Needed To Make Money | Education | Ask Me Anything: firstname.lastname@example.org | Tweet me @LeoNelissen
What to expect from my articles: I write mainly about my basic set of economic indicators that give a solid outlook about the economy. I then discuss trades that fit to the mid/long term outlook.
An experienced research and advisory team of Traders and Forecasters have combined to offer free services and alerts at StockReversals.com, A free growth stock profile, research and alert service with benefits. Go to the website to subscribe for free. We also offer StockReversalsPremium.com which offers a combination of long term growth stock profiles with massive upside potential, plus swing position trading (days to 8 weeks holding).
Seeking Alpha Certified and Frequent Contributor to numerous financial websites. We specialize in behavioral analysis as it applies to market patterns and reversal trends. These trends happen over short term, intermediate, and long term time frames. We help our free subscribers with Business Disruptor growth stocks that crush the market. Sample picks include FB, YY, DATA, INVN, SPCB, MOBI, CUR and many more. In 6 months we had 6 doubles, 1 triple, and 16 of 19 companies up 30-50% or more.
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Harry is an experienced economist, author and entrepreneur. He has been employed in the finance sector for more than 15 years as a financial analyst, asset manager, and economic commentator. He is the author of two bestselling finance books, “Corporate & Government Bonds: Profitable Investment Tactics.” and “Technical Analysis for the Financial Markets: Theory and Practice”. In 2013 he transitioned into the marketing sector heading the finance department for mCubed, and developing the company's consulting services to businesses of all size.
Four private female investors and one Dachshund.
We've consigned our careers as fund managers to the shredder, as we no longer have confidence that we can grow our clients' money anywhere near approaching the sparkling results that we achieved for them in the past.
Now Heidi and Desiree's investing interests involve global water distribution, agriculture, and timberland, while Clarissa and Helga manage strategies of certain commodities and hard assets.
We're also self-styled asset-manager vigilantes, who will bitch-slap those who take advantage of innocent retirees and other retail investors who have been ground into muesli by the Wall Street machine.
Sleazy RIA's, CFA's and 99% of the rest of financial "helpers" service their clients like Bonny and Clyde serviced banks.
As you can see, we're touchy, emotional, irascible, opinionated, and sometimes inebriated. But we admit that we do love the attention here on SA, so don't stop sending us those bawdy comments, angry criticisms, steamy love letters, veiled death threats, and tempting marriage proposals. Hey, you never know...
Oh, we almost forgot... While our names (Heidi, Helga, Clarissa and Desiree) may or may not be our real names, Schnitzel the Dachshund's name really is "Schnitzel the Dachshund."
Elazar Advisors captures critical data sets to identify important moves in the most traded market securities (SPY, USO, GLD, TLT, among others).
We are excited about the recent launch of our new "daily" in Pro Trader.
The "daily" since launched Jan 17th, 2017: + 1.24% through Feb 16th, '17
The "daily" is suitable for shorter term multi-day traders or portfolio manager hedging.
The "multi-week" since launched July 2016 to Feb 10, 2017: Bonds +13.5%, Gold + 15.8%, Oil -2%, S&P 500 -2.3%
$129/mo going up to $150 March 1st, 2017.
All performance metrics are unaudited and exclude relevant transaction costs. Past performance is not a predictor of future performance.
All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. This service is for information purposes only. By using this service you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. Model portfolio trades and positions are hypothetical to be used for directional analysis and ratings purposes. In cases where Elazar Advisors, LLC or for its clients directly hold those positions an extra disclosure will be given in the Seeking Alpha disclosure section at the bottom of the report.
Caiman Valores is a Colombian investment consultancy operated by Matt Smith who has over a decade of experience in investment management. He speaks Spanish, has travelled extensively through South America and lives in Colombia.
His approach to investment analysis relies on gaining a fundamental understanding of the company and then applying a macro-economic overlay. Matt has over two decades of experience in investing and working within investment management and high net worth banking.
He earned a Master of Business Law from the University of Sydney, a Master of Arts in International Relations and a Bachelor Degree in Political Science and Economics from the University of New South Wales.
Please feel free to contact him if you have questions regarding investments, writing, or speaking opportunities via email at email@example.com.
Avi Gilburt is a lawyer and accountant by training. He formerly was a partner and National Director at a national firm.
Mr. Gilburt is also the Managing Member of Gilburt Financial Services, LLC, which provides:
- Financial market analysis to the public through ElliottWaveTrader.net;
- Elliott Wave market analysis to institutional clients;
- Specific stock analysis to retail clients; and
- Webinars and personal coaching on Elliott Wave analysis.
He is also the Managing Member of the of the consulting firm of Gilburt & Associates, LLC, which specializes in transaction structuring and tax services.
Market Anthropology is an independent journal of financial market research, produced and edited by Erik Swarts. The work provides a unique and novel perspective on global capital markets -- including equities, commodities, currencies, and yields. A wide ranging composite read of both quantitative insights, the journal offers intuitive market research and timely commentary.
Author of Quantitative Investing, the Quantitative Risk & Value letter and the free Market Timing Signals. Often in the SeekingAlpha top 5 on Portfolio Strategy. Available model portfolios: market neutral, growth, closed-end funds, Vix trading. For more information, click "send message".
PhD, Software Engineer, Civil Engineer, 20+ years working in various sectors and countries. Also a lifelong rock climber and ex ski-mountaineering racer.
BA in economics from UConn. MBA in finance from Wharton. Worked as securities analyst and portfolio manager for an insurance company and a bank from 1960 through 1983. Retired at age of 53. Private investor from then until now. I am 86 years young. I like to write poetry and short stories. And, I am the Chief Inspector of Sunrises and Sunsets on Earth (self appointed).
Ever feel like trading is like rolling dice? In a way, it is, because every mathematical model of the market includes a stochastic aspect. But I believe we can load the dice in our favor through the use of statistics. Understanding both the stock market and each individual stock as a sort of random process with its own characteristics allows us to more accurately predict what it will do in the future. Coupling statistics with fundamental analysis, I have the goal of revealing to you the hidden patterns within stocks so that you may do what you wish with that information.
Valens Securities is a boutique research firm with 90+ professionals, housing truly unique, disciplined, and unbiased research systems for equity analysis, corporate credit, and macroeconomic strategy.
Valens provides institutional investor clients with various tools designed for each level of the investment process:
- Valens assists in screening and idea generation using a broad set of unique signals and Quantamental screening criteria
- Our Market Phase Cycle™ macroeconomic strategy helps CIOs, DORs, and PMs to better understand directional trends in credit and equities markets and sectors
- We provide monthly and alert-based portfolio monitoring and review, helping our clients to confirm risk-reward opportunities and avoid torpedoes
- Upon request, Valens provides an unparalleled level of forensic depth for due diligence on concentrated positions on a client by client basis
Performance and Valuation Prime™: Valens insights in financial statement analysis have been featured in presentations and publications in the top finance and accounting forums in the world. Existing credit and equity formulae are simply not geared for the complexity and distortions in financial statements. The Statement of Cash Flows, often heralded as the solution to distorted financial statements, is possibly the most flawed. Valens Securities systematically reclassifies the severe accounting distortions, providing a base for far more accurate business analytics.
Our Earnings Call Forensics™ have been featured on CNBC and in Institutional Investor Magazine. This "ECF™" is a powerful, proprietary process for studying and evaluating management's physiology and other behavioral characteristics of management during quarterly earnings calls and other public presentations. We use tools and systems that other sell-side firms and credit agencies have been either unwilling or unable to use. Their reluctance to use these technologies often stems from their fear of endangering their relationships with management teams.
Valens Credit Ratings and CDS research and pricing have made Valens Credit one of the most read authors on Seeking Alpha. The application of "Fundamental Forensics" to credit default assessments and recovery rates has contributed to the body of knowledge of corporate credit analysis that has been presented to over 30 CFA Society city and country events.
Our focus on "Incentives Dictate Behavior™" has uncovered management incentives and drivers of corporate actions that have been prescient in securities analysis. Our team focuses on the incentives and structures that highlight management’s collective and personal risk tolerance for the company, capital structure inclinations, and propensity for certain corporate actions. This uncovers hidden payout incentives that drive the value and risk of a company’s obligations and ultimate equity value. IDB™ has also been featured in the highly-acclaimed book, DRIVEN: Business Strategy, Human Actions, and the Creation of Wealth.
Valens Securities analysis teams are actually team-based with no “star analysts”. Our Chief Investment Strategist, Joel Litman, serves as committee chair for final edit of our publications. Our conflict avoidance procedures exceed that of any major agency, reducing analyst biases as we accept no issuer consulting fees and we report full disclosures of any related interests.
We disclose any holdings of any of our personnel or affiliates in any securities of the firm being rated, and not simply the credit. For holdings of any of our committee members, or any individual employee who provided analysis contributing to a particular rating, we disclose equity, credit, or options of that particular company being rated.
Martin Vlcek is a full-time investor and analyst who has been actively investing and managing money for more than 15 years. Martin has an Economics degree. He currently works for an asset management company BH Securities, www.bhs.cz. Ideas and information expressed in his articles on SeekingAlpha are his own and don't represent an official BH Securities opinion. Martin is not an investment advisor. Information published in his articles and comments should not be viewed as investment advice or endorsement to invest in the financial instruments mentioned. Martin’s investment philosophy is to hold a truly diversified portfolio of investments across asset classes with low or negative correlation and a positive carry if possible. His primary stock investment focus is on undervalued stocks with upcoming catalysts and a favorable reward-to-risk ratio.
Martin became a full-time investor and money manager after a 15-year career in online marketing where he was one of the pioneers of the pay-per-click search. Martin later held managerial positions at several Fortune 500 companies and also managed his own startup company.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Martin is not a Registered Investment Advisor, Broker/Dealer, Securities Broker or Financial Planner. The Information in his articles, his comment and his premium subscription service on SeekingAlpha.com or elsewhere is provided for information purposes only. The Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice, is general in nature and not specific to any individual. Before using Martin's information to make an investment decision, you should seek the advice of a qualified and registered securities professional and undertake your own due diligence. None of the information provided by Martin is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation, endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. Martin is not responsible for any investment decision made by you. You are responsible for your own investment research and investment decisions.
Full Time Trader. Long / Short Equity Options.
I am a technical trader that tries to find the sweet spot between technical set up, institutional option order flow, and fundamentals.
I am especially interested in market / trading psychology and its impact on our performance.
To receive my free daily market message that highlights the biggest and most notable trades in the option market, email me at : firstname.lastname@example.org
I will be glad to include you!
I run a model fund at Ken Kam's Marketocracy, where they do capital management using the best member mutual fund track records with extensive tabulations of alpha, beta, R-squared, and many other fund management evaluations. Marketocracy Capital Management offers SMA (Separately Managed Accounts) through FOLIOfn Institutional ($100,000 minimum accounts) set up to track the top 15 or so long-term track records (many 12 years plus) of the 30000 or so active members that run models at their site. My fund is one of those top models available for SMAs. My SMA investment fund now has a first year performance with double digit alpha. You can see the fund's performance chart at marketocracy.com (the Turtle Fund - symbol BPMF) and there is one in my profile over at TalkMarkets.
My fund methodology is high diversification, usually running around 40-60 stocks from many different sectors. I rarely weight any position much over 5%. I began at Marketocracy developing an analysis method I've labeled The Fractal Base Flow Model. I've been experimenting with variations of my basic methodology with 4 other funds and a 5th where I try new things. With my first and main model fund BPMF (Bruce Pile's Mutual Fund) I did my basic method for the first 7 years or so with an alpha over 30, then strayed a little into other analysis methods that did not work as well. For the SMA, I am using the methods proven to work well.
Marketocracy is a new way of investing that solves a lot of the problems in the industry today. When investors nowadays survey their options, they are perplexed by the mish mash of risk and fees. In mutual funds, you have regulated safety where managers must diversify with less than 10% of your money in any one name in the top of your weightings scheme, making for at least around 20 stocks at any one time. The SEC also prohibits the risk of leverage and investing in dangerous derivatives, etc. But this safety is typically viewed as a tradeoff with performance vs hedge funds, where all the dangerous stuff is allowed. But the sad result of all this danger is that most hedge funds fail. The average life of a hedge fund that makes it past the first year is just 5 years. More than two thirds of all hedge funds that ever existed are now dead. There is the fund of funds option, but the high turnover means that even they must select an all new portfolio of funds about every 5 years. This makes selecting proven long-term performers virtually impossible. A fund of hedge funds will typically not only charge the high hedge fund fees of 1%-4% management fee plus 15%-25% of your returns, but will also charge fees for running the fund of funds. They pile complication upon complication and charge you for it. "Oh, and the hedge fund industry as a whole hasn’t produced alpha/added value to simple portfolios for years, since its assets under management ballooned." [FTalphaville] With typical leverage, that has grown over 15 years from around 20% to over 40% now, you get 40%more risk than mutual fund rules with no significant added performance, just more costs. And because that added leverage risk is so often concentrated in the same areas by all the large funds, inducing systemic risk, when those bets go wrong they can go very wrong. With all the above, an investor must live with the risk of having just one fund manager, or picker of rotating funds in a fund of funds. Imagine a place where you could go to sign up for an account where you could review track records and styles and risk levels of not just one guy, but up to 15 or so, and check on your account signup form how you want to spread your money among these guys. And imagine that all these managers have had to compile top ranked hedge fund performance levels for up to 15 years under the safety level of SEC rules for mutual funds. And imagine you could get all this at roughly cost of a mutual fund. It would be like opening an account and checking the names of Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, and all your favorite hedge fund managers to gang tackle your investment objectives. And as in any team sport, if one guy hits a cold streak, the others will carry him. No dependence on one manager. Well there is such a place - Marketocracy Capital Management. Here, thousands of people from all walks of life, from retired and active fund managers to ordinary individual investors, compete online with virtual funds. If your track record qualifies, you can open a GIPS account for real money tracking of your model fund and have client accounts track your model. My fund is one of those, ticker BPMF. FOLIOfn Institutional can open a client SMA where you can pick and choose from the best of the best long-term performers. To look into this: Phone: 1-877-462-4180 email: email@example.com web: marketocracy.com
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Senior Analyst at iREIT Forbes and Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter.
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, and Fox Business. He was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014 (as ranked by TipRanks) and he is currently writing a book on the legendary investor Donald Trump.
Thomas has co-authored a book (The Intelligent REIT Investor) that is available on Amazon.
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College where he played basketball. He resides in South Carolina with his wife and kids.
John Rubino manages the financial website DollarCollapse.com. He is the co-author, with GoldMoney’s James Turk, of The Money Bubble (DollarCollapse Press, 2014) and The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit From It (Doubleday, 2007), and author of Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green-Tech Boom (Wiley, 2008), How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust (Rodale, 2003) and Main Street, Not Wall Street (Morrow, 1998). After earning a Finance MBA from New York University, he spent the 1980s on Wall Street, as a money market trader, equity analyst and junk bond analyst. During the 1990s he was a featured columnist with TheStreet.com and a frequent contributor to Individual Investor, Online Investor, and Consumers Digest, among many other publications. He currently writes for CFA Magazine.
Mercenary Trader (www.mercenarytrader.com) was created by traders, for traders. We are aggressive swing traders who routinely combine fundamentals, technicals and sentiment with deep awareness of global macro and rigorous analysis of individual equities.
See all of our content, including free educational materials on the theory and practice of trading, at www.mercenarytrader.com
I am an activist investor in US and Chinese stocks. I was previously an investment banker in New York Hong Kong and London for 9 years, focused on Equity Capital Markets. I look at both long ideas and short ideas and typically focus on a small number on names where I can spend the time to conduct very deep research. I spend my time living between Los Angeles and Beijing, China.
Jake V. is a hedge fund manager in Georgia. He attended Princeton University during undergrad, and now works for a $4B AUM long/short global equity fund. His expertise include understanding the global economic environment, and positioning a portfolio to withstand the various cycles.