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Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at:... More
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Buy ABX, American Barricks Gold. http://seekingalpha.com/p/vqiDec 26, 2009
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At tops forming in Global ETFs: EWQ, France EWG, Germany EWC, Canada. ETF charts say maybe; indexes say no. http://seekingalpha.com/p/vqiDec 26, 2009
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Dec 26, 2009
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Niner on NDX FOLLOW-UP FOLLOW-UP CHART: Looking a lot like the Dow Jones Industrial Average Chart from 1929 Just a quick blurb. In regards to buy and hold ...
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Michael Clark on NDX FOLLOW-UP FOLLOW-UP CHART: Looking a lot like the Dow Jones Industrial Average Chart from 1929 Sorry for replying to my own post. IF Japan def...
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Michael Clark on NDX FOLLOW-UP FOLLOW-UP CHART: Looking a lot like the Dow Jones Industrial Average Chart from 1929 I think the KEY for the NDX is that it needs to...
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Michael Clark on NDX FOLLOW-UP FOLLOW-UP CHART: Looking a lot like the Dow Jones Industrial Average Chart from 1929 Northern: I did read that KDenninger article. I...
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Michael Clark on NDX FOLLOW-UP FOLLOW-UP CHART: Looking a lot like the Dow Jones Industrial Average Chart from 1929 However you define Bear Market, it's hard to ar...
Most Commented
- THE DEFLATION FEAR: WHAT IS IT REALLY? (23 Comments)
- NDX FOLLOW-UP FOLLOW-UP CHART: Looking a lot like the Dow Jones Industrial Average Chart from 1929 (13 Comments)
- THE MAGIC OF 3: WHERE DO NUMBERS COME FROM? (10 Comments)
- Why We Need Deflation (8 Comments)
- JAPANESE DEFLATION: WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR AMERICA AND THE WORLD TODAY? (8 Comments)
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UK GUARDIAN: WHO SAYS INFLATION MAKES PEOPLE RICHER
Interesting article on England's continuing housing crisis.
www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/ja...
An Englishman's home is his castle, if he can get one
Our housing situation, both private and public, is a shambles. Homes must be built, and prices slashed
Rafael Behr
The Observer, Sunday 3 January 2010
As is typical of a boom, much of the decade just passed will be remembered for fashionable delusions: the artistic credibility of Damien Hirst; the idea that Land Rovers are suitable for cities; skinny jeans; the assumption that rising house prices indicate rising prosperity. That last belief was exceptionally silly. Since when did inflation make people richer? But soaring house prices didn't count as inflation. Literally. They were excluded from the measure that the newly independent Bank of England was supposed to watch when setting interest rates after 1997.
Over the next 10 years, the average cost of a house for a first-time buyer rose by 200 per cent.
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Of course we KNOW that average income in England DID NOT rise 200% over the ten years, 1997-2007.
ECONOMIST: AMERICA, ENGLAND MOVING DOWN THE SAME DEFLATION ROAD AS JAPAN DID
www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story...
Same chords, different tune
Nov 26th 2009 | WASHINGTON, DC
From The Economist print edition
There are enough similarities to worry
FOR policymakers in the rich world, Japan’s plight is the stuff of nightmares. The damage from the early 1990s property and banking bust lingered for years, devastating the government’s finances and, eventually, enveloping the economy in deflation. The effects are still visible.
Small wonder, then, that a desire to avoid Japan’s experience has shaped other governments’ responses to the financial crash. Their reactions, from the speed and scale with which central banks reached for unconventional monetary tools to the focus (at least rhetorically) on fixing the banking mess, all contrast with the tentative initial response to Japan’s bust. But will that be enough? Close inspection suggests that, from America to Britain, worrying similarities with Japan remain. And on some counts today’s post-bubble policy challenges are more complex than anything Japanese policymakers ever faced.
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Lest we forget: Japan's decline (beginning in 1989) came when the West and Western appetitie for exports was expanding. American and British decline comes when economies all over the world are contracting, and demand for American and British exports...well, with defaltion now global, demand for exports is turning down historically speaking. Japan was buoyed by a strong global economy during its decline; now, no nation in a ddeflationary decline will be buoyed by a strong global economy.
CGTS YEAR-END REVIEW
Monday 4 January 2010
This is the time of year we get to look back on what we've done. I've noticed a lot of Financial Consultants (I love that word 'consultant' -- it means everything and nothing at the same time. I'm reminded of the Seinfeld episode in which the pretty girlfriend of Jerry says "Jerry, I need a MENTOR' -- and Jerry responds: 'I can tell you what to do.' That sort of sums it up for a financial consultant I guess) bragging about their correct calls for the year.
Ok. I can do that.
We pride ourselves in being short-term traders. But we also have portfolio trading systems that are long-term systems (not buy and hold for ever, but trade only at major market turning points). These two systems -- M4 Sum Plus LT and MA5/MA40 LT -- are up 51.17% since 2/20/09, and 47.24% since 3/20/09. These systems are not as accurate (in terms of closed trades) as some of our other systems since they tend to wash out losing trades quickly and hold on to winners longer. For instance, our M5 (7) has closed 183 trades with 147 winning trades, a winning % of 80.33%. (See all closed trade percentages in the table below.) Our weekly portfolio winning % of closed trades is 73.42%. Our daily portfolio, which has no real long-term systems, has a winning percentage on closed trades of 83.41% (1320 closed trades, 1101 winning trades).
We are including our two long-term weekly portfolios as a way of bragging a bit as the Year of the Lion readies to succeed the Year of the Buffalo.
THIS WEEK'S SIGNALS
Gold issues are showing up on the buy signals list again. Just as interesting, our M5 (7) and our M5 (10) trading systems are telling us not to trust the US Dollar rally.
We took a profit in a long trade in ENMD of 70.21% this week.
More information on this system can be found at
home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS09.htm
A draft of the book Turn Out the Lights can be found at the website below. This book is a description of the metaphysical causes of the economic cycles of expansion (Day) and contraction (Night).
www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm
Michael J. Clark's Gate Timing System
Hanoi, Vietnam
84 4 221 92210
Disclosure: The author does not own issues mentioned in this article.