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haschultz

haschultz
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  • CLSA's GTAT downgrade focuses on yields/margins; GLW higher [View news story]
    First, I did not know that there was a timeline with GTAT stock and price (except for option players that is).

    What happens when GTAT and Apple solve these issues..........perhaps with the use of GTAT's coming Hyperion. Then what happens to cost and margins???

    Second, why only talk of sapphire? What about Merlin and PV and SiC and graphene?

    If your time horizon is 2+ years, this stock has growth engineS (yes capital S plural) and will be just fine. Until then, the 40 million shares shorted need some FUD (Fear, Uncertainty & Doubt) so they can cover their asses (shorts and ass pun intended).
    Aug 21 08:56 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • GT Advanced Technologies: Ignore The Short-Term Fluctuations - Focus On The Long-Term [View article]
    Selling Puts also has great value with Jan 2015 $17's allowing an entry point well below the current share price.............or a very nice premium for nothing as you will probably not get the shares Put to you at $17 in Jan 2015.

    Selling Jan 2016 Puts are also great value...........and seemingly even less risk as the various initiatives have time to play out.
    Aug 10 06:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GT Advanced Technologies Reports Soon, But Holiday Numbers May Mean More [View article]
    Most of the shorts have been short since below $5/share. There was a drop in short interest in June and then most shorting was done in early July........but most of the shorts were there at $5/share.

    In my book, that does not make the shorts smart.

    Note that there are warrants and convertibles out there so the shorts could also be associated with hedging those.

    Most of my GTAT was sold recently as it declined to trigger my mental sell stop. But, I am now selling Jan 2015 and especially Jan 2016 Puts where there is really good value (and net price well below the current stock price). Of course, you might miss some explosive upside but the Jan 2016 $20's are bidding ~$8/share and that is good value in my book (with net price if put to you at under $12/share and thus less risk than buying the shares at the market today).
    Aug 1 06:30 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Amazon: Fire Phone Is A Flop [View article]
    Hey Steve,

    For my money, Cricket is the way to go. $45/month for unlimited talk, text and data (first 2 GB is at 4G and then you go to 3G when the network is busy). They key feature is that they allow tethering for free (use phone for cell modem for laptop or iPad). Additional phones are $40/month.

    The tethering feature is great for me as I travel a lot and this gets me 'free' internet when I need/want it.

    Even better is they have a great ZTE Android phone which sells for one time fee of $50 total and it works great!!!!
    Jun 24 08:16 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Fresh 52-week highs for Micron on Baird upgrade [View news story]
    Hey docs trading,

    MU up big on bigger volume today...........most likely a carryover from the Intel revenue update and all associated with that.

    Interesting that your timing correlated with Intel's revenue upgrade. Why did you not wait for that impact to take affect and peter out rather than short in the face of it?

    I do get nervous with lots of upgrades and price targets being raised only a week from earnings and the conference call. One wonders why the analysts don't wait for actual data, which is a week away, before updating???????

    A conspiracy theorist might think either they want to sell into what they think might be an earnings miss.............or they have their full position and want to see the price rise (which it would do with a beat so why upgrade now?).

    Others might say they want to get on record before the earnings.

    But, it seems that MU is climbing a wall or worry with you and others taking the bearish view while the upgrades feed the bullish view...............so at least the sides are not overly dominant.

    You just seem to be the extreme............as some say to sell and lock in profits before earnings but you go further and say short.

    I am mostly hedged and have some long in the money options (mostly sold Puts) so I am well protected. And, as my money is mostly made ($30 is the highest priced sold Put), I can cash out before earnings as there is little time value left and MU is currently up $0.59 at $31.77.
    Jun 16 02:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Microsoft's Xbox One: Good Strategy, Poor Execution [View article]
    I would not declare a winner until I see both Sony and Microsoft come out with Gaming Goggles as they will turn gaming into a true 3D experience with scenery changes by turning your head (using surround sound also). Now, when you turn your head, you turn away from your display.

    Gaming without motion detection is also a step backward. Game developers need to make better use of this feature!!!!!!!!
    Jun 14 02:08 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Micron Technology: DRAM Dashing Along, NAND More Nuanced [View article]
    Hey Phred,

    Really well thought out article. Does today's news of Intel raising revenue and margin guidance change anything?
    Jun 12 07:51 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Micron: Jim Cramer And Sell-Side Analysts Are Tap Dancing Around Micron, Should You Run For The Hills? [View article]
    Intel raising revenue guidance and margins today should continue to support Micron for a while. I think it is too early to sell. I would use options if you want to hedge as that will bring more cash than just selling into the market.
    Jun 12 07:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GT Advanced Technologies Update: Latest Supply Chain Check [View article]
    For those feeling they may have missed a buying opportunity, price the Jan 2015 and Jan 2016 Puts. Selling Puts is a bullish move although you are not always assured to get shares................... you just money for selling the Put Options but never get the shares.

    Jan 2015 17's are bidding/asking $3.10/$3.30 and Jan 2016 $17's are bidding/asking $5.10/$5.50.

    If the shares get put to you, you net price would be $14.31 in Jan 2015 and $12.31 in Jan 2016................a great deal compared to today's close at $17.41.
    Jun 11 07:28 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • With Sapphire In The iPhone Almost Confirmed, GT Advanced Technologies Looks Like A Buy [View article]
    GTAT is also very much more than just sapphire and with Apple so any investment in GTAT needs to consider these other 'legs of the stool'.

    GTAT also has a very large number of shorts (43 million now) so that bearish reasoning and then the bullish short squeeze potential both need to be considered.
    May 30 06:44 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • You Should Be Investing In The Rise Of The Middle Eastern Capital Markets [View article]
    Really well researched article........and on markets most people do not know very well. Thanks for the article and ideas. I will be researching more indepth for possible investment.
    May 30 06:41 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Memory OPEC 4 - Micron And SanDisk Learn To Stop Worrying And Love The Bomb [View article]
    Hey rg,

    As for Samsung, my only real worry is that they will want to supply their own needs and then Samsung continues to develop great products and thus expands their memory manufacturing business to meet their product successes.

    I don't fear Samsung expanding to sell into the market nearly as much as expanding to meet their own needs and those needs grow due to Samsung product successes and grows their market share this way.
    May 22 10:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lexicon - Introducing A New Element In Diabetes Treatment, But A Difficult Road Ahead [View article]
    Hasn't LXRX been looking for a big pharma partner for several years now?

    As such, I don't think this will be easy or quick.........and big pharma will have the upper hand in negotiating.
    May 13 06:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Micron Technology: It's The DRAM Stupid [View article]
    I've been selling Puts which is bullish although the upside can be capped depending upon which strike price you sell. In most cases, if the shares are Put to you, your cost basis will be slightly less than if you bought MU shares at the current market price.

    I sold some $25's, $27's and then $30's with the hope that the $25's and $27's expire with the share price higher than the strike price and the $30's hoping that I do get those shares Put to me.
    May 12 03:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Himax tumbles as Street digests Q1 report [View news story]
    I sold some Jan 2016 $12 Puts today for $5.60 which means I get to buy HIMX for $6.40 if the shares are put to me or get $5.60/share for doing nothing.

    What a great way to play this gift opportunity!!!!!!!
    May 9 04:38 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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608 Comments
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