U.S. Debt: An Enormous Problem With Simple Solutions [View article]
If you go to war and cut taxes simultaneously, which is what has been occurring perpetually since ~2003, that is a firm, historically proven recipe for disaster. After WWII this country had a 91% upper income tax bracket, and what did that result in? The Greatest Generation in American history. The US owned 40% of the global GDP and was a THE global manufacturing power house!
If anyone tries to tell you that these wars were or, currently are, motivated by anything other than access to finite resources, walk away. The ONLY way out of the current debt problem is, 1) stop fighting, and 2) reduce the country's demand for imported petroleum. Solyndra and AONE were disasters but their flecks of bread crumbs on a much larger table where we all need to eat, and to that end we need to increases taxes substantially and spend on infrastructure projects (not no-value-add wars) and green technology. Conservatives will hate to hear it but I'm not happy until we've had 100 Solyndra's, because you'll have 5 huge successes that come out of 95 failures. We also need to re-do the interstate system with in-line HSR (high speed rail) which will cost about $1.5T, and we need to start on this yesterday.
Amazon: A Long-Term Loser On Current Business Model [View article]
Amazon's melt-up has cost me at least $5,000. I hope I make it back 10 fold when it crashes, but that can take a frustratingly long time. The HFT's are laughing at me right now.
Plug Power: Driving To Be A Profitable Fuel Cell Company [View article]
I have to disagree and say you would need to get out of the forklift-only business in order to capture the growth necessary to be a dominant cleantech player.
Plug Power: Driving To Be A Profitable Fuel Cell Company [View article]
Good overview. A really long term view of "real value" versus stock value needs to go back to 1999 when PLUG was 140 per share. The markets are so irrational! I'm looking at this now with huge potential and the stock is 1.17 and the company is in a far superior technical position than it was 13 years ago. The fact that it survived at all is critical. A lot of fuel cell outfits came and went so the competition is in scorched-earth territory. The value shareholders can capture now is the 750MM that is found on the balance sheet in negative retained earnings. Every dollar that went into this number was lost by someone else (some of which went into tech/product development -- money paid to G&A and exec salaries is obviously just completely wasted). Granted, for a buck a share you are still taking enormous risk, an I am obviously stipulating that, but look, in 2003, PCLN was 7.80 per share.
Just saying, it happens. There's always a time to buy.
Best And Worst ETFs And Mutual Funds: Financials Sector [View article]
I'm with OrangeMike on this one; I got into HCN recently and wouldn't mind taking the 8% gain off the table .... if selling is really necessary, that is. I was attracted to the healthcare REIT sector after Obamacare was held up, and a 4.8% dividend is good steady income. Wondering about the harsh "Very Dangerous" rating here as well...
American Investors Underestimate How Much Slowing Growth In China Can Hurt [View article]
VXX, TBF and TBT are total disasters. The only hope there is to get in right at the front of a quick run-up and then sell out, which basically means getting lucky (i.e., timing). I agree with short or puts on TLT, that's a little more stable and takes the luck out of timing the former 3, while fully capturing the value of being right ultimately about the prediction.
It was a good article, even for complex-option strategists here it seems a refreshingly simple option analysis somehow rubs them the wrong way (the comments are a little edgy)? Sure this is an extremely high beta strategy, and this article says nothing about money management or position sizing (e.g., out of a $100k portfolio this strategy should represent $5k, maybe-10k max per year and each position should be limited to $500 and have a $250 exit planned that kind of thing). But the bottom line point is a good one: bet when the winds favor you and in the long run you win more than you lose, which is the most basic feature of any successful active trading strategy.
Now somebody please tell CMG they are over-valued so I can get my 500 percenter please. Thank you.
The Fiscal Cliff... Of 1937 [View article]
Despite Possible Earnings Beat, Amazon Shares May Sputter [View article]
U.S. Debt: An Enormous Problem With Simple Solutions [View article]
If anyone tries to tell you that these wars were or, currently are, motivated by anything other than access to finite resources, walk away. The ONLY way out of the current debt problem is, 1) stop fighting, and 2) reduce the country's demand for imported petroleum. Solyndra and AONE were disasters but their flecks of bread crumbs on a much larger table where we all need to eat, and to that end we need to increases taxes substantially and spend on infrastructure projects (not no-value-add wars) and green technology. Conservatives will hate to hear it but I'm not happy until we've had 100 Solyndra's, because you'll have 5 huge successes that come out of 95 failures. We also need to re-do the interstate system with in-line HSR (high speed rail) which will cost about $1.5T, and we need to start on this yesterday.
Amazon: A Long-Term Loser On Current Business Model [View article]
Why Zynga's Real-Money Gaming Opportunity Is Smaller Than The Bulls Believe [View article]
Plug Power: Driving To Be A Profitable Fuel Cell Company [View article]
Plug Power: Driving To Be A Profitable Fuel Cell Company [View article]
Just saying, it happens. There's always a time to buy.
Best And Worst ETFs And Mutual Funds: Financials Sector [View article]
American Investors Underestimate How Much Slowing Growth In China Can Hurt [View article]
Buy A Chipotle Burrito, Not The Stock [View article]
Chipotle: A Solid Pick For Gains Now [View article]
5 Names Primed For A Short Squeeze [View article]
My 3 Rules For Options [View article]
Now somebody please tell CMG they are over-valued so I can get my 500 percenter please. Thank you.
Chipotle Mexican Grill: Why I'm Skeptical, And Short [View article]
Take a deep breath and pretend you aren't committed long or short:
- Certainly, it has been a great stock to own.
- Almost certainly, it will go down eventually, and probably substantially.
Now evaluate your position accordingly.
10 High-Flying Stocks That Could Drop Like Netflix [View article]