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  <channel>
    <title>Constellation 1976's Instablog</title>
    <description>Discretionary Trader Speculating in FX and Commodity Futures.</description>
    <author>
      <name>Constellation 1976</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com</link>
    <item>
      <title>FX Majors ( &#8364; ~ &#163; ~ &#165; ) ::: Trading the RANGE</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/431162-constellation-1976/226542-fx-majors-trading-the-range?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">226542</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<br><span> <div>&nbsp;</div><div>&nbsp;</div> <div><span><a href="http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/2011/10/fx-majors-trading-range.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/2011/10/fx-majors-trading-range.html</a><br><br><br> <br></span></div> </span><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-131854179861329-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-131854168329587-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /><br> <br> <span> <div><span>EUR/USD</span></div> <div><span>Daily chart show 1.3850 as a major Resistance level (50% of 1.4555 - 1.3147).<br> <br> <br> </span></div> <font size="1"><span><br> </span></font></span><span> <div><span><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-131854179861329-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /><br> </span></div> </span></a><span> <div><span>GBP/USD&nbsp;</span></div> <div><span>Daily chart show 1.5789 as a major Resistance level (38.2% of 1.6627 - 1.5272).</span></div> <div><span><br> <br> <br> <br> <a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-1318541894484-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-1318541894484-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><br> <br> </span></div> </span><span> <div>&nbsp;</div> </span><span> <div><span>USD/JPY</span></div> <div><span>Yen finally started moving after the extremely tight range congestion in the last 2 weeks.</span></div> <div><span><br> </span></div> <div><span>Yen has appreciated to multi-year highs and MOF/BOJ wouldn't be feeling comfortable with these levels, hence the fear in the market with an FX market intervention. Given that premise the LONG side is favored.</span></div> <div><span><br> </span></div> <div><span><span>One can use both the 76.30 and 76.78 as SL levels - or one could average till 75 if the price goes that way on the assumption the BOJ will defend those multi year lows in USD/JPY.</span></span></div> </span><span> <div><br> <br> <br> <br> <br> &nbsp;</div> </span>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 13 Oct 2011 17:39:19 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<br><span> <div>&nbsp;</div><div>&nbsp;</div> <div><span><a href="http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/2011/10/fx-majors-trading-range.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/2011/10/fx-majors-trading-range.html</a><br><br><br> <br></span></div> </span><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-131854179861329-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-131854168329587-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /><br> <br> <span> <div><span>EUR/USD</span></div> <div><span>Daily chart show 1.3850 as a major Resistance level (50% of 1.4555 - 1.3147).<br> <br> <br> </span></div> <font size="1"><span><br> </span></font></span><span> <div><span><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-131854179861329-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /><br> </span></div> </span></a><span> <div><span>GBP/USD&nbsp;</span></div> <div><span>Daily chart show 1.5789 as a major Resistance level (38.2% of 1.6627 - 1.5272).</span></div> <div><span><br> <br> <br> <br> <a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-1318541894484-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/13/431162-1318541894484-Constellation-1976_origin.jpg" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><br> <br> </span></div> </span><span> <div>&nbsp;</div> </span><span> <div><span>USD/JPY</span></div> <div><span>Yen finally started moving after the extremely tight range congestion in the last 2 weeks.</span></div> <div><span><br> </span></div> <div><span>Yen has appreciated to multi-year highs and MOF/BOJ wouldn't be feeling comfortable with these levels, hence the fear in the market with an FX market intervention. Given that premise the LONG side is favored.</span></div> <div><span><br> </span></div> <div><span><span>One can use both the 76.30 and 76.78 as SL levels - or one could average till 75 if the price goes that way on the assumption the BOJ will defend those multi year lows in USD/JPY.</span></span></div> </span><span> <div><br> <br> <br> <br> <br> &nbsp;</div> </span>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ero/instablogs">ero</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gbb/instablogs">gbb</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn/instablogs">jyn</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Markets falling towards Complacency?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/431162-constellation-1976/57656-markets-falling-towards-complacency?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">57656</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/3/7/431162-126799480184786-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><br><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/3/7/431162-126799480184786-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /><br><span><div>VIX falls near its recent low and is nearing the 15 level which marks the Complacency entry mark..</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Given the lows around 9 - 10 in 2007 where market was roaring in the 'Good times' it turns that market has remained most of the last 8 months in a state of relative balance and is going into an even more relaxed state.<br><br>---------------------------------------------------------------------</div></span><br><br><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/3/7/431162-126799478665559-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /><br><br><span><div>S&amp;P 500 is holding nice gains after it corrected 9% in January.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>The major index is trading in an Rising Wedge pattern and current target is around the key 1200 level which is in confluence with the 200-Week MA at 1227.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Both RSI and MACD are turning up supporting the move and the 50-Week MA is tracking nicely the Uptrend. This a great educational experience to have 1 straight year of roaring trend while we incessantly hear of a new crash, crisis, depression... Trade the trend!<br>&nbsp;</div></span>-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br><br><br><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/3/7/431162-126799476462637-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a>&nbsp;<br><br><span><div>USD index is playing the indecision game for 4-th week right on the 200-Week MA at 80.39.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>The technical picture shows that DX is trading inside a clear Uptrend Channel. However in the present moment it is a range play capped by the long term important 81.40/50 level and downside is holding around the 79.50 (Trendline Support) and 79.17 (50-Week MA).</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Since the last Weekly settlement was at 80.46 I'd suppose a test of the Support layers in the 79-80 region (which might translate into EUR/USD test of 1.3750-1.38 levels) before DX tests the upside.</div><div>&nbsp;</div></span><br>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 07 Mar 2010 16:05:09 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/3/7/431162-126799480184786-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><br><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/3/7/431162-126799480184786-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /><br><span><div>VIX falls near its recent low and is nearing the 15 level which marks the Complacency entry mark..</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Given the lows around 9 - 10 in 2007 where market was roaring in the 'Good times' it turns that market has remained most of the last 8 months in a state of relative balance and is going into an even more relaxed state.<br><br>---------------------------------------------------------------------</div></span><br><br><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/3/7/431162-126799478665559-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /><br><br><span><div>S&amp;P 500 is holding nice gains after it corrected 9% in January.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>The major index is trading in an Rising Wedge pattern and current target is around the key 1200 level which is in confluence with the 200-Week MA at 1227.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Both RSI and MACD are turning up supporting the move and the 50-Week MA is tracking nicely the Uptrend. This a great educational experience to have 1 straight year of roaring trend while we incessantly hear of a new crash, crisis, depression... Trade the trend!<br>&nbsp;</div></span>-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br><br><br><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/3/7/431162-126799476462637-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a>&nbsp;<br><br><span><div>USD index is playing the indecision game for 4-th week right on the 200-Week MA at 80.39.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>The technical picture shows that DX is trading inside a clear Uptrend Channel. However in the present moment it is a range play capped by the long term important 81.40/50 level and downside is holding around the 79.50 (Trendline Support) and 79.17 (50-Week MA).</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Since the last Weekly settlement was at 80.46 I'd suppose a test of the Support layers in the 79-80 region (which might translate into EUR/USD test of 1.3750-1.38 levels) before DX tests the upside.</div><div>&nbsp;</div></span><br>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxx/instablogs">vxx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxz/instablogs">vxz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ero/instablogs">ero</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Buying value: Long USD/YEN 89.25 - 88.76 stop.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/431162-constellation-1976/56230-buying-value-long-usd-yen-89-25-88-76-stop?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">56230</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126714350059989-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126714350059989-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><div><span><div><span>USD/YEN is range trade with balance point at 90.66 with 88.54 - 92 range ends..<br><br>Long 89.20 with 88.76 stop.</span></div><div><span><br></span></div><div><span>Deflation persists in Japan... seems the YEN mountains of debt didn't work in he last 20 years. Now we are about to see how the mountains of USD, EUR, GBP and CNY debt will mange to get the global economy back on track if it will in he present decade.</span></div></span>&nbsp;</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 25 Feb 2010 19:19:18 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126714350059989-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126714350059989-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><div><span><div><span>USD/YEN is range trade with balance point at 90.66 with 88.54 - 92 range ends..<br><br>Long 89.20 with 88.76 stop.</span></div><div><span><br></span></div><div><span>Deflation persists in Japan... seems the YEN mountains of debt didn't work in he last 20 years. Now we are about to see how the mountains of USD, EUR, GBP and CNY debt will mange to get the global economy back on track if it will in he present decade.</span></div></span>&nbsp;</div>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy/instablogs">fxy</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Buying a break in USD/CAD  - target 1.0788 (200-DMA)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/431162-constellation-1976/56105-buying-a-break-in-usd-cad-target-1-0788-200-dma?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">56105</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126710326268181-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126710326268181-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><div><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126710326268181-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><br><span><div>Buying USD/CAD at 1.0569 with a 1.0513 Stop (55-DMA).</div><div>Target is the 200-DMA at 1.0788.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>We saw a Key Reversal on Feb 23 and today we are breaking through the 21-DA at 1.0571 with a 2-nd high high that favors holding a long position.<br><br>for more ideas:<br><a href="http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/</a></div></span></a>&nbsp;</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 25 Feb 2010 08:09:22 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126710326268181-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126710326268181-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><div><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/25/431162-126710326268181-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><br><span><div>Buying USD/CAD at 1.0569 with a 1.0513 Stop (55-DMA).</div><div>Target is the 200-DMA at 1.0788.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>We saw a Key Reversal on Feb 23 and today we are breaking through the 21-DA at 1.0571 with a 2-nd high high that favors holding a long position.<br><br>for more ideas:<br><a href="http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/</a></div></span></a>&nbsp;</div>]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Possible Bullish Wedge forming in the GBP/USD</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/431162-constellation-1976/56062-possible-bullish-wedge-forming-in-the-gbp-usd?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">56062</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705249419744-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705249419744-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><div><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705249419744-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><br><div>Here are a few variations of graphical representation of trend and range on the Daily timeframe.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>It is interesting if we are not trading into a Wedge formation which would actually Bullish implication.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Given the larger Range (marked by the White trend lines) we are trading below the previous Support not turned Resistance around 1.55 level.<br><br>here for more info and charts:<br><br><br><a href="http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/</a></div></a>&nbsp;</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Feb 2010 18:02:26 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705249419744-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705249419744-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><div><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705249419744-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><br><div>Here are a few variations of graphical representation of trend and range on the Daily timeframe.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>It is interesting if we are not trading into a Wedge formation which would actually Bullish implication.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Given the larger Range (marked by the White trend lines) we are trading below the previous Support not turned Resistance around 1.55 level.<br><br>here for more info and charts:<br><br><br><a href="http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://constellation1976.blogspot.com/</a></div></a>&nbsp;</div>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gbb/instablogs">gbb</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>short now the Pound at 1.5409</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/431162-constellation-1976/56058-short-now-the-pound-at-1-5409?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">56058</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705067699382-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705067699382-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><div>Sold the GBP/USD at 1.5409 with at 1.5466 stop with target below 1.52..<br><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705067699382-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><br><span>Once in position one should be checking if he's not right.<br>Weekly GBP charts and wonder what is keeping it from falling in the abyss..<br><br>previous week's low a 1.5345 is a magnet and all techs point lower - Bollinger Bands are starting to expand and that signals acceleration..<br><br>my first target is 1.52, however given previous week's range it is possible if we see acceleration to hit 1.51 - 1.5050 lows..<br><br>today we made 2-nd lower low and it logically the 1.5345 low comes in focus.</span><br></a>&nbsp;</div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Feb 2010 17:32:16 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705067699382-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705067699382-Constellation-1976.JPG" hspace="6" vspace="6"  /></a><div>Sold the GBP/USD at 1.5409 with at 1.5466 stop with target below 1.52..<br><a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2010/2/24/431162-126705067699382-Constellation-1976_origin.JPG" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><br><span>Once in position one should be checking if he's not right.<br>Weekly GBP charts and wonder what is keeping it from falling in the abyss..<br><br>previous week's low a 1.5345 is a magnet and all techs point lower - Bollinger Bands are starting to expand and that signals acceleration..<br><br>my first target is 1.52, however given previous week's range it is possible if we see acceleration to hit 1.51 - 1.5050 lows..<br><br>today we made 2-nd lower low and it logically the 1.5345 low comes in focus.</span><br></a>&nbsp;</div>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gbb/instablogs">gbb</category>
    </item>
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