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  • One Man's Self-Deceit Is Another Man's Rationalization [View article]
    Well, I just feel weird. The economy here in the Twin Cities is close to all time levels and everybody I know is busy. Where these statistics (either ours or everyone else's) are coming from I do not know.

    May 18, 2015. 05:51 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Falling Knives: Do Stocks Really Drop 3 Times Faster Than They Rise? [View article]
    Stocks drop fast when you are not short! When you are short prices drop is very very gradual. It keeps dropping for months to tell you you were right about the company but slowly slowly slowly to screw you out of all of the short profit!

    Sorry, That's flip, but I couldn't resist!
    May 14, 2015. 05:19 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Just Happened In The U.S. Treasury Market? And Does Bill Gross Have A Crystal Ball? [View article]
    I'll give Gross credit for his thoughts on the Bund (short it now!). But predicting the end of bonds? That's the widowmaker trade. Don't even try. It may happen, it may not. There won't be any little fish that profit when it finally topples though. Massive players with high connectivity will hedge appropriately.
    May 8, 2015. 02:57 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Texas Oil Strike [View article]
    Interesting analogy. The real lesson of last year is that when Saudi Arabia says the price of oil will fall then it is going DOWN! Don't fight Saudi Arabia.
    I share your opinion that oil will be replaced long term and I want it to happen as soon as possible. However, that time is not near. It's not even close.
    Demand and use of oil will jump hard every time prices fall like this. I don't pretend to know what industrial users of oil and gas are planning right now. I do know that me and my friends and most everyone else I know is planning to drive more at these prices. I also see last week that sales of Hybrid SUVs jumped right up. Sure they use less gas but they still use more than good old cars and stations wagons.
    This whole episode with Saudi is entirely political and all political episodes are temporary.
    May 2, 2015. 09:22 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • PulteGroup earnings, soft new home sales lead homebuilders lower [View news story]
    I agree that zero rates are making buyers complacent. However in my neighborhood all the new housing developments are are out of mothballs and in progress and new ones are starting up every day. Homebuilders are NOT behaving like they are worried about selling their product. I think they are behaving correctly too.
    Apr 23, 2015. 12:30 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On Negative Interest Rates [View article]
    Excellent article! If I hadn't dropped out of grad school I could have easily been that inflexible absolutist back then.
    Apr 21, 2015. 02:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • At the close [View news story]
    Hockey Stick shaped charts for everyone!
    Mar 18, 2015. 04:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Internet Explorer heads toward retirement [View news story]
    Yep. IE is a poisoned brand. IE 6 should have been the end of the line.
    Mar 18, 2015. 11:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Should You Buy Into Oil's Secular Bear Market? [View article]
    I wasn't sure you were being sarcastic until point number 4 that concludes "as peace in the middle east creates...."

    There will never EVER be peace in the middle east. Not ever as long as there are human beings living in that place, on this planet, that we call the middle east will they ever live peacefully with one another there. That will never ever happen
    Mar 17, 2015. 05:35 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • OPEC Will Cut Production In June [View article]
    I don't think Saudi Arabia is seeing enough pain out there yet. I'll be shocked if they cut production before next winter.

    This is fun to watch
    Mar 17, 2015. 01:39 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Oil Crash Just Getting Started - Levered Under-Hedged Juniors Like Magnum Hunter In Jeopardy [View article]
    Lol, We're swimming in oil! I love it (actually I hate it, I want oil to be replaced)! I think the streets are starting to get bloody though. I don't see middle east players buying North American shale. Big Oil will get a lot of assets for pennies on the dollar though.
    Mar 17, 2015. 01:24 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Oil Crash Just Getting Started - Levered Under-Hedged Juniors Like Magnum Hunter In Jeopardy [View article]
    hehe, that is an appropriate comment regarding the business model being the wrong one for the current time.
    Mar 17, 2015. 01:11 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Steady Oil Prices And Strong Production Spurs Storage Concerns [View article]
    Excellent points as usual!

    I'm still waiting for the satellite pictures showing "hundreds of tankers full of oil parked out in the ocean" that we were all treated to back in 2009. It's all just very entertaining noise until then.
    Mar 9, 2015. 01:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Is Putin's Next Move? [View article]
    Russia will at the very least take Marioupal and land lock Ukraine. I believe all of Ukraine will return to Mother Russia in the next 5 years. There is no territorial integrity and a government with no territorial integrity is not a government. Putin will simply declare that Kiev is not a captial government but a state government of Mother Russia and Petro and they other oligarchs there just mayors.

    There is no reason for Putin and his backers not to do this. No reason at all.
    Mar 4, 2015. 02:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • SandRidge Energy: What Happens Once The Cash Pile Runs Out? [View article]
    Me too except I only bought a hundred shares.....Lol! Live and learn. I like my other oil stocks though.
    Mar 4, 2015. 11:02 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment