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  • U.S. Stocks: Timber! [View article]
    Is the FED or any other central bank buying lumber? Didn't think so. The mystery of non correlation is solved.
    Apr 23, 2015. 04:17 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Naked Truth [View article]
    Eric, this article was an excellent piece of work. Thank you for your effort.

    The traditional methods of evaluating equity value, just don't work anymore. Consider MacDonald's that announced the bad news of declining sales and the stock immediately jumped 3%. That is just nuts! However, it makes sense when one considers that MacDonald's allocated 20 billion to buy back their shares and what better time to support the share price than after the release of bad news?

    Then we have the Central banks whose stated goals has been to raise stock prices via QE type programs. Guess what. It works! True price discovery based on fundamentals is a thing of the past. The state of the economy has become irrelevant.

    Technical studies don't work anymore either. They are based on the concept that human emotions affect how stock prices evolve and that identifiable patterns emerge over time. Not any more. Central banks and Corporate entities are both unemotional 'investors' who produce only one pattern with their buying activities. (UP)

    Yeah, I know, it will all end badly one day. I confess that I have know idea when that day will be upon us.
    Apr 23, 2015. 12:30 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Naked Truth [View article]
    TF17: Good plan. Please assume the role of being "in charge", effective immediately.
    Apr 22, 2015. 10:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Naked Truth [View article]
    Fish: Well put. There are some who are in positions of power, who embrace all your listed 'solutions' with the exception of : "Plow huge money into research to make our factories more competitive and take manufacturing back from China?" Not going to happen. That would make too much sense.

    The real "PLAN" seems to revolve around America's favorite reality show: WAR.
    Apr 22, 2015. 10:54 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Coal Market Will Rebound In The Long Term [View article]
    Coal stocks are a great buy if the republicans take the white house in 2016. I agree that Walter Energy is next in line for bankruptcy.
    Apr 15, 2015. 10:30 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Risk Reward Remains Firmly Skewed To The Downside In The S&P 500 [View article]
    In my opinion, we may be in the consolidation phase now.
    Apr 14, 2015. 02:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Risk Reward Remains Firmly Skewed To The Downside In The S&P 500 [View article]
    I like your work and agree that a sharp pullback before the final push up is a possibility. However, there have been few high profile exceptions to that scenario, notably, the crashes of 1929 and 1987, when the markets experienced a consolidation phase during the spring with final peaks occurring in the late summer.
    Apr 14, 2015. 02:51 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I'm Bullish On Silver [View article]
    One very big problem when discussing ratios is that it is impossible to know how a ratio will revert to it's mean. For example, because the current sliver gold ratio is very high, does that mean that silver is undervalued and will go up or is that gold is too expensive and will come down? Just knowing what a ratio is and where it's at provides an investor with a non trade-able dilemma. Accordingly, ratios are not terribly useful.
    Apr 10, 2015. 03:39 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The Long Awaited Correction At Hand? [View article]
    My crystal ball is telling me that we are going to see a significant correction of close to 20% before interest rates start to rise. That will be followed by a prolonged rally back up to new highs even while the FED is actively raising rates. New highs will be short lived and then be followed by a market crash that wipes out 80% of stock valuations.
    My opinion, of course, is worthless. Thank goodness we can rely on the crystal ball.
    Apr 6, 2015. 09:49 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The Long Awaited Correction At Hand? [View article]
    s_belton12 : From the September 19th S&P intraday high at 2019.26 to the low on October 15th of 1820.66, my calculator tells me that it was a 9.83% correction. Technically, the author is correct. We have not had a correction of 10%, or greater, for almost four years.
    Apr 6, 2015. 09:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 Forecast [View article]
    Who is doing the forecasting?
    Apr 4, 2015. 10:11 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Warning: The Greatest Market Crash Of Your Lifetime Is Coming [View article]
    Of course there will be a crash following a bull market. There always is. I think a crash is coming too. So what? The trick is to figure out when!

    Guys like DENT need to proclaim, on a regular basis, that a crash is coming so that when it finally happens, they can sell more books and get on to talk shows for having 'nailed it'. His predictions are worthless as he misses out on the gains to be made while the market is an uptrend.
    Apr 1, 2015. 12:03 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Never Invest In Gold [View article]
    This article would have been much more insightful if it had been written in the spring of 2009, at the market' bottom and even more so at gold's top in September of 2011. Articles written in hindsight are rarely useful going forward.
    Apr 1, 2015. 10:24 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The VIX In 1 Month? [View article]
    How can the author talk about a "return" on the VIX when the index cannot be played directly? The VIX derivatives are a whole different ball game are the worst performing class of all ETFS.

    Sorry, but this article is complete rubbish and should not have gotten past the SA editors.
    Mar 31, 2015. 01:09 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • King Dollar Is Here To Stay [View article]
    Stephen: A superbly written article. Well done!
    Mar 30, 2015. 11:24 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment