Aquater

ETF Market Trends: GDP Upside Surprise Ironically Gives Worry to Sustainable Recovery

Excellent analysis and a wealth of data to digest for investment purposes. Data is systematically organized and presented in comparable way. Synoptic coverage is highly remarkable, to say the least. Nary an aspect of investment world is left untreated.
The next question: Can this data be available on historical basis so one can see how an investment instrument has moved, and from which position, to where it is currently?
Any way, the author needs to be commended and congratulated on achieving a thorough, comprehensive and highly useful analytical presentation of current investment data.

Sentiment Overview: How Are Investors Responding to the Correction?

Excellent analysis as usual from this author. However, I kept looking for the charts of the last few sentiment indicators mentioned.
Indeed, the market is finally seeing reality and has come down from the clouds. I'm afraid the "correction" won't be over until the market is back on the earth, of course with the usual zigzags. We'll see.

Five Reasons to Be Bullish

Reasons supporting bear markets are usually more intelligent than those supporting bull markets. Bullish reasons are more based on emotions than reason. Bears point out reality while bulls revel in hope. These five best reasons to be bullish indeed show that this is the case; they were easily torn down by bears. Let's see how the bearish reasons fare. They could be expected to be tougher to pull down.

Where the Market Goes from Here

Good analysis with many sharp overvations. But trying to figure out long-term prospects does not seem viable in these markets. We are better off with intermediate term opportunities rather than risking short term or speculating on long term outcomes.

Market Outlook: Trendless Consolidation Will Give Way to Major Move

Good analysis that, however, depends a great deal just on the play between 50dEma and 200dEMA. The magic of this interplay was asserted frequently but not explained in any detail. It was assumed and applied indiscriminately across the board in all kinds of markets without a serious look at alternative indicators like slow stochastics, RSI, MACD and so on. The fundamental analysis was restricted to UK debt downgrade and no serious examination of the green shoots was presented. Analysis of the long position on gold was, however, more convincing but did not make a long-term case for GLD or GDX. The bullish bias on equities along with a neutral short-term stance is indeed an interesting position to argue and for that the article merits serious consideration and a challenging perspective to the bearish scenario.

If You Have Short-Term Gains, Take Your Profits

The author is right. Commentator saying 2003 rally never looked back did not care to look at the base that was built from October 2002. It is silly of him to just look at what happened after March, 2003. The author's point is that a true bull starts after a good base is built. That we have no such base built since March of this year is as clear a fact as there can be.

Martin Weiss: A Depression Is Unavoidable

I have read Martin Weiss and been a subscriber to his newsletters. No more. He has a way with words and is of course learned unlike many opinionated commentators above.

But Weiss is fixated on his approach, never changes or learns and never admits any mistakes that easily confront a near perma-bear. Perma-bulls are no better.

The more prudent way is to take opportunities in the intermediate term and be long as well as short as time dictates, anticipating upcoming trends and getting out in time with nimbleness. Buy-and-hold fools as well as perma-bears are a recipe for underperformance.

Be a prudent opportunist and don't let your politics taint you market posture and performance. Errors in judgment always happen. Market humiliates the majority consistently.

There are more than one ways to make money in market. Find yours but for your own sake, get out of the so-called "disciplined" way to lock yourself into an erroneous strategy. Change strategies as necessary. The goal is not to prove yourself but to win financial freedom, whatever strategies it takes over time.

Good luck, in any case.

Where Are Markets Now? Technical, Fundamental and Valuation Reference Points

A great article, with a wide coverage and in-depth analysis. I am adding you to my watch list. It seems the rally is getting exhausted and may turn albeit slowly.

Treasury Yields: A Real-Time Market Sentiment Gauge

A very useful article. The rationale for rise or fall in interest rate may not just be anticipation of Fed action. Basically it may just show market forces at work, including market's estimate of what Fed might do. I have a hard time finding historical data about 2 Year Treasuries. What is the symbol? Thank you.

Dogs of the Dow - 2008 Projection

This was like a non-thinking tease. No point in raising the topic and then leaving it without a modicum of handling it to a reasoned conclusion. If you can't think, why start the process?

Indicators: Market Is Weak, But Not Necessarily Weakening

Very sensible main point as well as the lineup of indicators. Can the number of indicators reduced a bit, to avoid problems of comparing them? How would you compare them when some conflict with others? Most importantly, since these indicators are not among the popular ones, there is the question of finding them. Where can one find them?

Don't Get Hung Up On Beating The Market

Good advice and insightful observations. Are you suggesting a balanced fund or asset allocation in talking about achiving 80% of market with low risk?

Don't Fear an October Calamity

Sounds prescient, especially in light of today's big rally. I am reading this author's market commentary for the first time. So far what he says seems quite on the mark. Under what conditions would he be cautious or bearish, though? I do not want to be stuck with a perma-bull.

Charting the Market's Response To Yesterday's Rate Cut

The narrative was interesting but inconclusive. Just where does the writer think we are going from here, based on the narrative?