You can follow my market timing system and track my performance for comparison. I post all of my trades in advance so there is no way for me to fudge the numbers. Here is my last post:
After Two Consecutive Strong Momentum Days, What Next? [View article]
Can you post the history of your timing system? Do you have clear buy and sell dates for timing the market (SPY, QQQQ, Etc?). My timing system generates clear buy and sell dates in advance of each trade.
My bet is the Fed sees the deflation getting ready to spiral and are scared to death... they say the recovery is here and things are better, but until they start raising the Fed funds rate, their actions are stronger than their words.
Is Deflation Winning the Economic War? [View article]
Interesting chart, interesting article. Obviously the fed continues to fear deflation as is evidenced by the federal funds rate of zero.
Deflation favors those with cash. Their cash goes much further as the price of everything drops. Inflation favors those who are in debt. Old debt is paid off with new higher wages.
Deflation is not an option for the U.S. government because the U.S. is a huge debtor. As the dollar continues to rally over the next few months and equities start to plunge again, expect to see stimulus #3 (or is it #4, I have lost count) and the continued devaluing of the dollar.
July Retail Sales: The Economic Storm Is Not Over [View article]
We all know that a correction is coming... the question is when. I have been convinced that September and October could see huge losses but I am beginning to believe that dips in September and October actually may present buying opportunities and that the correction may not materialize for 6 months or more. The worst play is the one where you are sure that you are right and have not considered that your timing may be wrong.
Making the Case for Buy-and-Hold [View article]
You can follow my market timing system and track my performance for comparison. I post all of my trades in advance so there is no way for me to fudge the numbers. Here is my last post:
seekingalpha.com/insta...
After Two Consecutive Strong Momentum Days, What Next? [View article]
seekingalpha.com/insta...
Discretionary Spending as a Market Timing Tool [View article]
seekingalpha.com/insta...
More Thoughts on a Transitional Swing Trading System [View article]
If you want to beat the SP500 check out my timing system.
seekingalpha.com/insta...
Black Monday? Sell Today as August Goes Away [View article]
seekingalpha.com/insta...
Is the Rally Running Out of Steam? [View article]
seekingalpha.com/insta...
S&P 500 Stocks with the Highest Short Interest [View article]
Durable Goods: Tech Turns the Corner [View article]
Inflation: It's a Crowded Trade [View article]
Well said.
An 'X' Shaped Recovery [View article]
Deserves repeating.
Is Deflation Winning the Economic War? [View article]
Deflation favors those with cash. Their cash goes much further as the price of everything drops. Inflation favors those who are in debt. Old debt is paid off with new higher wages.
Deflation is not an option for the U.S. government because the U.S. is a huge debtor. As the dollar continues to rally over the next few months and equities start to plunge again, expect to see stimulus #3 (or is it #4, I have lost count) and the continued devaluing of the dollar.
The Specter of Excess Capacity [View article]
Boom or Bust Cycle: Where Are We Now? [View article]
July Retail Sales: The Economic Storm Is Not Over [View article]
Reading This Market: Patience Is a Virtue [View article]