E-Rsch

Commodities Today: A Traders' Market

Would knowing what the 5D, 50D, 100D moving averages will be for front month contracts be useful for trading energy ETF's? Can you trade off of the front month futures for the same commodity? What would knowing how large (or bad) these moves in front month futures contract prices can swing be beneficial to traders? Thank you!

Today in Commodities: Monday, July 6

Thanks, Matt for clarifying. Can you trade off of the front month futures for the same commodity? Is there benefit in knowing what the 5D, 50D moving averages will be? Or, would knowing how large (or bad) these moves in front month futures contract prices can swing beneficial to traders? Change in time to maturity would not be a factor when you are looking at changes in front month contracts...

Today in Commodities: Monday, July 6

Matt:

Are you referring to the spot prices (7Y low, 50D moving ave) or the futures contracts (1M-,2M-,3M-) of these commodities?

Thanks!
On Jul 07 08:22 AM Matthew Bradbard wrote:

> Natural gas is at a 7 year low so it is cheap. Because the down move
> the premium has been sucked out of call options so I feel they are
> a bargain. We are in midst of hurricane season so we may get some
> fundamental help. Traditionally buying natural gas in mid-July and
> holding until mid-October has workded; 17 out of the last 18 years.
> Past performance is not indicative of future results. Historically
> the ratio of crude:natural gas is 8 :1, it is currently at 18:1.
> It is for these reasons I'm advising clients to take a long position
> in natural gas.
>
> On Jul 06 09:57 PM BPYHO wrote:

Renewable Energy Finance Forum: Looking to Washington for Guidance on New Financing

Who does the modeling research in pricing and risk in alternative energies and energy finance for these banks?

The Fall in Natural Gas Is Over

This is more of a question than a comment. Does any of the energy traders out there find usefulness in better knowledge of the change in daily prices of 3-month energy futures front contracts? We see alot of models on energy contract pricing when time to maturity is factored in. But what if we look at only the change in the prices of front contracts?

Are there trading techniques out there that can benefit from knowing how the 3month (or 2 or 1month) energy futures contract prices will change from day to day? In this case, b.c. only the front contract prices are counted day to day, it is at constant maturity... 3month or 2month or 1month.

Continued Bearish News for Natural Gas

This is more of a question than a comment. Does any of the energy traders out there find usefulness in better knowledge of the change in daily prices of 3-month energy futures front contracts? We see alot of models on energy contract pricing when time to maturity is factored in. But what if we look at only the change in the prices of front contracts?

Are there trading techniques out there that can benefit from knowing how the 3month (or 2 or 1month) energy futures contract prices will change from day to day? In this case, b.c. only the front contract prices are counted day to day, it is at constant maturity... 3month or 2month or 1month.

Continued Bearish News for Natural Gas

This is more of a question than a comment. Does any of the energy traders out there find usefulness in better knowledge of the change in daily prices of 3-month energy futures front contracts? We see alot of models on energy contract pricing when time to maturity is factored in. But what if we look at only the change in the prices of front contracts?

Are there trading techniques out there that can benefit from knowing how the 3month (or 2 or 1month) energy futures contract prices will change from day to day? In this case, b.c. only the front contract prices are counted day to day, it is at constant maturity... 3month or 2month or 1month.