Speculating on Oil Regulation - Not the Most Effective Tool [View article]
The US government can only regulate US trading, US traders, or US products (eg, WTI contracts) traded. It cannot, for example regulate trading abroad by non-US traders in Brent contracts. I suspect that the new UAE commodities market will benefit mightily from any US regulation on oil contracts traded here, without any material reduction in the price of oil. Remember a few weeks ago, when the government suspended contributions to the SPR? That was going to lower the price of crude too. And as to speculators, unless a pension or endowment fund wants to take physical delivery of a lot of barrels of oil, if they are long crude they will have to sell their position before the contract expiration. This should be a self-regulating mechanism.
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The US government can only regulate US trading, US traders, or US products (eg, WTI contracts) traded. It cannot, for example regulate trading abroad by non-US traders in Brent contracts. I suspect that the new UAE commodities market will benefit mightily from any US regulation on oil contracts traded here, without any material reduction in the price of oil. Remember a few weeks ago, when the government suspended contributions to the SPR? That was going to lower the price of crude too.
Jun 24 10:26 am
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All Comments by elliot_mllr »Speculating on Oil Regulation - Not the Most Effective Tool [View article]
And as to speculators, unless a pension or endowment fund wants to take physical delivery of a lot of barrels of oil, if they are long crude they will have to sell their position before the contract expiration. This should be a self-regulating mechanism.