I spent many years working in various analytic jobs and trading on Wall Street. For nine of those years, I traded junk bonds for a large bank. I have an MBA from the University of Chicago, with a concentration in accounting and finance. Currently I co-manage a precious metals and mining stock investment fund in Denver. My goal is to help people understand and analyze what is really going on in our financial system and economy.
John M. Mason writes on current monetary and financial events. He is an entrepreneur and a writer. Current projects include a new banking institution, an Internet company, a private equity fund, two depository institutions and a community redevelopment fund. He formerly was on the faculty of the Finance Department, Wharton School, the University of Pennsylvania. Dr. Mason has been President and CEO of two publicly traded financial institutions and the executive vice president and CFO of a third. He has also served as a special assistant to the secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development in Washington, D. C. and as a senior economist within the Federal Reserve System. Dr. Mason has served on the boards of venture capital funds and other private equity funds. He has worked with young entrepreneurs, especially within the urban environment, starting or running companies primarily connected with Information Technology. Some of his new ventures are in the sustainable business and impact business space. .
Marc Chandler has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for 25 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. A prolific writer and speaker he appears regularly on CNBC and has spoken for the Foreign Policy Association. In addition to being quoted in the financial press daily, Chandler has been published in the Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, and the Washington Post. In 2009 Chandler was named a Business Visionary by Forbes.
Marc's commentary can be found at his blog (www.marctomarket.com) and twitter www.twitter.com/marcmakingsense
Charlie Bilello is the Director of Research at Pension Partners, LLC, an investment advisor that manages mutual funds and separate accounts. Mr. Bilello, winner of the 2014 Dow Award, is responsible for strategy development, investment research and communicating the firm's investment themes and portfolio positioning to clients. Prior to joining Pension Partners, he was the Managing Member of Momentum Global Advisors, an institutional investment research firm. Previously, Mr. Bilello held positions as an Equity and Hedge Fund Analyst at billion dollar alternative investment firms. Mr. Bilello holds a J.D. and M.B.A. in Finance and Accounting from Fordham University and a B.A. in Economics from Binghamton University. He is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and hold the Certified Public Accountant (CPA) certificate.
Specialize in the investment in and trading of "deep-value" high-yield securities, including debt, preferred shares, common shares, put/call options, and ETF's, for my own and family accounts only. Have over seventeen years experience personally directing our personal and family accounts on a mostly full-time basis.
Was previously an international-business executive, general manager and entrepreneur in the medical-technology industry. Also provided consulting, related to general management, new-venture formation and acquisition of venture capital.
Education: Brown University, School of Engineering (Sc. B. '71); University of Virginia, Darden School of Business Administration (MBA '73).
Present Home: Sarasota, FL
Previous Homes: New York City, Mountain View, CA
Hometown: Baltimore, MD
The Atlanta Fed's macroblog provides commentary on economic topics including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, financial issues and Southeast regional trends. Authors for macroblog are Dave Altig and other Atlanta Fed economists.
A graduate of both Harvard Law School and Harvard Business School, George Putnam, III first became involved with distressed securities as a lawyer in the late 1970s. Seeing the inefficient niche that bankruptcies and turnarounds were presented and researched, he founded New Generation Research, Inc. and began publishing The Turnaround Letter in 1986.
Since then he has frequently been quoted in Barron's, The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, USA Today and other financial publications. In 1990, he was named investment advisor of the year by USA Today. In addition to his responsibilities at New Generation Research, Inc., Mr. Putnam also serves as a trustee for The Putnam Companies, a mutual fund group with over $100 billion in assets.
Atticvs (a pseudonym), has been an active stock market investor since 1980. For the past 10 years he has been managing portfolios full-time for himself as well as for family and a small group of friends. His investment returns have been substantially higher than the overall market averages. He is a strong advocate of fundamental analysis and discounted valuations allied to a clear understanding of current and future economic/business trends and stock market drivers. During a period of 25 years prior to managing investments full-time, he held senior finance, funding and mergers & acquisitions positions with NYSE, Nasdaq and private companies with operations in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, as well as in the USA and spent extensive time working and/or living in each of these regions.
A former financial advisor. I manage six family portfolios, a family foundation and a dynasty trust with a tilt toward defensive value-oriented NYSE companies. Holding periods depend mainly on valuation, typically multi-year, some multi-decade. As income and value oriented investors, we generally avoid Nasdaq and AMEX listed companies as well as technology names which I feel are near impossible to handicap. Attempting to identify absolute and relative values through stock screens, the neglected, and non-permanent distressed situations- including blue chips sitting at, or near 52 week lows is my focus. I especially like to handicap blue chips in the cross hairs of a media storm, e.g Halliburton, Carnival, BP SeaWorld etc. * I pay little attention to macroeconomic themes unless they are industry specific. * Low EBITDA/Enterprise multiples as it relates to historical CAGR, and conservative debt to EBITDA coverage is very important. * Following both insiders and investment managers building outsized positions within their overall portfolio is important for establishing confirmation bias. * A substantial and growing dividend policy is important, but there are exceptions. * Wide economic moats through strong brands and market leadership. * Honest and competent management. * I tend to like companies based in Minnesota, and dislike companies in the deep south, especially Florida, all things being equal. Ideally, I attempt to average the 30 year treasury yield across all equity holdings including preferreds. My number of holdings is between 30 and 35 names. Some of my best trades were selling Sun Microsystems and Cisco at the market top for a 1000%+ return. Rogers Sugar, where my dividends have lowered my cost basis to zero. Buying Equinox minerals and Lionore mining as penny stocks, both of which were acquired. Recent investment winners have been AAL, originally bought at $17 Campbell Soup purchased at $33. and Davide Campari ADR at $6 Current asset allocation: 40% NYSE common stocks 10% Nasdaq stocks 5% preferred stocks 25% municipal bonds and corporates 5% Canadian equities 10% cash +/- 5% in either direction.
Core holdings include: Bank New York Mellon, Coca Cola, Carnival, Neogen, Applied Materials, Rogers-Lantic Sugar, Liquor Stores, NA, Cabot Chemical, Du Pont, McGraw Hill, H&R Block, Davide Campari BP Plc, Stanley Black & Decker, Patterson , ATT Inc. American Airlines, Grupo Mexico, Patterson Companies, Wolverine Worldwide, Houghton Mifflin, Liberty Braves, GDX etf, West Marine, Luxottica, CNHI, Sanofi, CHS inc.
The reports that I write are my personal research and opinions. They are not associated with any firm or organization, and are not intended to be taken as investment recommendations or advice. They combine my passions of economics, finance, writing and education, and are intended mostly as educational material. I attempt to write the articles in an easy to understand down to earth style in an effort to help others with their research. This is my effort to bring understandable and educational professional quality research to the public at large free of charge.
General Disclaimer for my Articles:
BS Business, Majored in Finance and Economics, Miami University
MA Economics w/ Managerial and International Emphasis, University of Oklahoma
Past: Economics and Finance Instructor at various Universities
Past: Mutual Fund Portfolio Manager of Family of Mutual Funds
Past: CIO of Mid-Sized Investment Management Firm
Professional: CFA Charterholder
Please note that the content of this site should not be construed as investment advice, nor do the opinions expressed necessarily reflect the views of CFA Institute.
Donald R. van Deventer founded the Kamakura Corporation in April, 1990 and is currently Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Dr. van Deventer's emphasis at Kamakura Corporation is enterprise wide risk management and modern credit risk technology. The second edition of his newest book, Advanced Financial Risk Management (with Kenji Imai and Mark Mesler) was published in 2013 by John Wiley & Sons. In 2003 Dr. van Deventer co-authored Credit Risk Models and the Basel Accords with Kenji Imai. His second book, also with Kenji Imai, is Financial Risk Analytics: A Term Structure Model Approach for Banking, Insurance, and Investment Management published by Irwin in 1996. Dr. van Deventer's first book Financial Risk Management in Banking (with Dr. Dennis Uyemura, Probus Publishing, 1993) is one of the best known books in its field. He has served on the editorial board of the Journal of Credit Risk since 2005. Dr. van Deventer's primary financial consulting and research interests involve the practical application of leading edge financial theory to solve critical financial risk management problems. Dr. van Deventer has been involved in financial advisory assignments including both risk management and mergers and acquisitions. He has worked on assignments for the municipalities affected in the Orange County bankruptcy, in a major derivatives dispute between JPMorgan and a Korean securities firm, for Bank Negara Malaysia, the Department of the Treasury of the United States, governments of three of the OECD countries and many of the world’s largest financial institutions. Prior to founding Kamakura Corporation, Dr. van Deventer was senior vice president in the investment banking department of Lehman Brothers (then Shearson Lehman Hutton) from 1987 to 1990. During that time, he was responsible for 27 major client relationships including Sony, Canon, Fujitsu, NTT, Tokyo Electric Power Co., and most of Japan's leading banks. Dr. van Deventer completed three of the first four mergers and acquisitions assignments for a Japanese client by Lehman Brothers and the first domestic Japanese corporate straight bond underwriting by the firm. From 1982 to 1987, Dr. van Deventer was the treasurer for First Interstate Bancorp in Los Angeles. In this capacity he was responsible for all bond financing requirements, the company’s commercial paper program, and a multi-billion dollar derivatives hedging program for the company. During this time, First Interstate became the first issuer of medium term notes in the Euro market and first issuer of bank medium term notes. Dr. van Deventer also served as senior planning officer for acquisitions, new ventures and corporate strategy, participating in the 1986 attempted take-over of BankAmerica Corporation. Dr. van Deventer was a Vice President in the risk management department of Security Pacific National Bank from 1977 to 1982, where he initiated the duration-based futures hedging program for the bank. Dr. van Deventer holds a Ph.D. in Business Economics, a joint degree of the Harvard University Department of Economics and the Harvard Graduate School of Business Administration. He was appointed to the Harvard University Graduate School Alumni Association Council in 1999 and has now completed more than a decade of service on the Council. Dr. van Deventer served as Chairman of the Council for four years from 2012 to 2016. From 2005 through 2009, he served as one of two appointed directors of the Harvard Alumni Association representing the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences. Dr. van Deventer was named to the CFA Hawaii Advisory Board in 2010. Dr. van Deventer was also named to the Advisory Board of the Pacific Asian Center for Entrepreneurship and E-Business at the University of Hawaii Shidler College of Business in 2012. He served as a director of the Hawaii Bicycling League from 2005 to 2014. Dr. van Deventer also holds a degree in mathematics and economics from Occidental College, where he graduated second in his class, summa cum laude, and Phi Beta Kappa. Dr. van Deventer speaks Japanese and English.
Jonathan Moreland is the founder and Director of Research at InsiderInsights.com, which produces the weekly InsiderInsights Newsletter, and offers institutional strength, real-time insider data and analytics via a subscription Data Module and APIs. He is also principal of Insider Asset Management llc, a registered investment advisor in New York State, and a past contributor to TheStreet.com, Minyanville, and other financial outlets.
A fundamental analyst with an MBA in finance, Mr. Moreland identified insider data over 25 years ago as an excellent first screen to determine where to focus his research efforts. He is quoted frequently in the media for his insider analysis, and stock recommendations stemming from it. He is also author of Profit From Legal Insider Trading (Dearborn 2001), and has a new book due out with Wiley.
Mr. Moreland is currently on a mission to get investors to expect more from insider data than the commodity feeds they rely on from their Bloomberg terminals, Yahoo!Finance, and other financial websites.
Odin is a Norse god and he is solvent. He is old and cranky. He believes that he has seen the highs and lows of a few cycles from the front-lines of a storied trading desk, giving him some insight into the future (though mead often makes it all very hazy).
Even though he is a curmudgeon and dismisses younger and lesser gods, he is by no means jaded. However, his cynicism curve is currently inverted: he believes there is a great deal of pain in the short term, yet the future is bright. He believes in the resiliency of the human spirit and the futility of daily P&L. However, he endures his daily P&L bravely.
He reads voraciously. He comments occasionally. He provides solutions on rare occasions.
His primary reason for reading, commenting, writing analysis on SA is to hone his views and win bets.
I am a 43 year veteran of Wall Street. My first 26 years were spent on the buy-side as an institutional money manager. I have spent the last 13 years as a sell-side strategist. I am a life long contrarian who finds it easy to take positions quite apart from the crowd. I am most comfortable with my forecasts when my macro and technical analysis are in sync and when my views are at odds with the consensus. I've always been fascinated by the behavioral aspects of investing. Years of observing investor behavior has led me to the conclusion that investor psychology may be the most powerful emotional force in the universe, more powerful than love or hate. It causes otherwise rational beings to make some very irrational decisions. I think every investor should read Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles MacKay.
Joseph has been an analyst, investor, and student of economic theory; money and banking; and statistical methods for evaluating and implementing risk/reward trading algorithms since 1972. Joseph is also an occasional contributor to financial publications and his essays are frequently cited by other financial websites and publications.
Since the end of the Great Recession, Joseph came to recognize that traditional methodologies for forecasting economic growth and investment asset pricing are no longer of value, and a broader understanding of the post Glass Steagall, financially engineered world that has driven markets and economies since the turn of the century is required today.
He has a good grasp of Shadow Banking, High Frequency Trading, and Dark Pools, and their impact on today’s markets. He has also spent considerable time understanding the new global paradigm of central bank involvement in experimental policy designed to better control economies.
Joseph doesn’t subscribe to a specific school of theory on economics. Rather, his thinking is based on a combination of the Classical School, the Austrian School, and the Keynesian School. He even sees the writings of Karl Marx as particularly instructive.
Joseph is particularly fond of the following quote from Albert Einstein and sees his own work as driven by that same passionate curiosity that Einstein refers to:
“I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.”
Coming in a close second in terms of favorite quotes that express his views, Joseph embraces Lord Acton’s views expressed here:
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern.
Every class is unfit to govern."
Stanley J G Crouch is CIO and Senior Managing Director at Aegis Capital Corp in NYC. He also is CEO of EXP Wealth Enhancement, LLC, an affiliate of Aegis. He began his career in 1983 and has served in a number of senior positions in the financial services industry. He has been responsible for over $5 billion of debt, mezzanine and preferred equity transactions as both public offerings and private placements. A nationally recognized speaker, he regularly appears in media such as, CNBC, FOX BN, CBS, Bloomberg News and has been interviewed an quoted in numerous publications like Reuters, Bloomberg, Dow Jones, Institutional Investor among others.
He has co-created a proprietary income-centric investment platform encompassing all facets of income investing and centered on "off-the-run" client solutions. Serving HNW, UHNW, Endowments, Organizations and Family Offices, he helps steward client assets in custody in Aegis accounts.
***The opinions expressed by Mr Crouch are strictly his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Aegis Capital Corp, EXP Wealth Enhancement, LLC, or their affiliates. Nothing expressed constitutes an solicitation to buy or an offer to sell any particular investment or investment program. Any investment involves risk and may result in a loss of principal. Investors should carefully consider their own circumstances before making any investment or embarking on any investment program.***
After 8/28/16, I will be writing no more than 4 substantive Instablogs per year. Those blogs will be published in March, June, September and December.
Those blogs will concentrate on matters relating to portfolio positioning.
I will be posting substantive comments to my last published Instablog.
I have not used, nor will I even contemplate using SA's Instablog service as free advertising to sell a subscription service.
I have never received any compensation for the posts published at my blog website or here at SeekingAlpha. I am simply passing on what I have learned as an investor over 4+ decades free of charge. In all of my 2000+ posts since early October 2008, the primary purpose was to provide a framework for rational and fact based investment decision making that will hopefully reduce the number of errors made. That goal has been accomplished for the very few investors who have some interest in receiving it.
My most basic investment strategy is to focus on income generating securities and then to invest the cash flow into more of the same, creating a compounding impact over a long period of time. I will invest in securities throughout the capital structure on a worldwide basis. I am now and have always been a cautious total return investor (income + capital appreciation). A focus on income generation simply means that income generation through interest or dividend payments is an important part of my total return objective. I am no longer in an asset accumulation mode. Capital preservation is more important than capital appreciation. Income generation is only one aspect of an objective evaluation of potential rewards balanced against potential risks. After several decades of "turtle" investing, which sometimes requires me to pull my head back into the shell and to cease foraging in stock land (e.g. 1999), I am now admittedly absurdly diversified due largely to one of my risk management techniques that limits my monetary exposure to the securities of a single company. My monetary exposure is largely dictated by a balancing of potential risks and rewards taking into consideration income generation and potential for capital appreciation. As a risk control trading technique and in furtherance of my capital preservation emphasis, I will frequently use the natural volatility of a security to gradually build up a position, selling the highest cost shares on price spikes and buying back those shares when the purchase is lower than my average cost per share usually by more than 5%. The general idea is to lower my average cost per share over time with tax efficient share dispositions, thereby increasing my dividend yield for the remaining shares. I have also been a practitioner of dynamic or tactical asset allocation that will be driven by my big picture views, including my Vix Asset Allocation Model, as well as my opinions about the relative risks and opportunities of various asset classes. I was born in 1951, and started to invest in stocks when I was 16. I am not a financial advisor, but simply an individual investor who has been managing my own money for my adult life starting when I was a teenager. All of my brokerage accounts are cash accounts. I have never bought stock on margin. I have not added money to any of these accounts since 1984 and have used those accounts to fund my annual IRA contributions. I started my web site, Stocks & Politics, in October 2008 to do whatever I can to help individuals become better investors, which requires a lot of hard work and effort. After over 2000+ blogs, mostly long ones, I came to a realization that my time consuming and laborious efforts have been mostly futile and have been rewarded at best with faint praise. I will no longer be posting there. I would still emphasize that it is important for individuals to become as knowledgeable as possible before making any decision, with every individual taking full responsibility for their investment decisions and to prepare accordingly, which is what I try to do. The Twitter Generation will need IMO far greater investment skills than previous generations given what I now perceived about future U.S. economic conditions.
We strive to build highly disciplined, sensible client portfolios. Portfolios that are focused on investing in businesses with solid free cash flows and solid dividend payouts. We buy businesses, not stocks.
Tim is a Registered Investment Advisor.
I am the Chief of Operations at Wolfram Solutions, the consulting arm of the large privately held software company, Wolfram Research. I manage teams of programmers developing custom applications for business and, government, applying advanced analytic methods to practical challenges. I played a major role in the development of many of the financial features of Mathematica and Wolfram|Alpha. I have been at Wolfram for over 15 years. My academic background is in the social sciences and analytic methods in the social sciences, including finance, economics, statistics, modeling, simulation, and operations research. I studied at the University of Chicago, both undergrad and grad. I am also an individual investor with 30 years experience, mostly using mutual funds and fundamental analysis, plus specific investments in the financial sector. My contributions on Seeking Alpha focus on the financial sector and monetary economics, and what analysis of those areas can tell us about other macro trends. I also discuss portfolio theory, formal methods in finance, modeling and simulation of financial prices and economic time series, government statistical releases, financial regulation, and monetary policy.
I am an entrepreneur and a polymath with a deep interest in how science creates wealth. I invented the computer based cash register and a golf ball that changes color. I started companies around these, matured them and sold them. I am now engaged in energy development.
My life was defined by space travel
My energy innovation
Executive Office of the President - Office of Science and Technology Policy White Paper
Research & Development