Long positions in metals in weak currencies (i.e. U.S. Dollars) has been a nice trade over the previous months, but justifying macroeconomic trends seems a bit foolish. Copper's ability to forecast future economic activity may be evident historically but we are currently undergoing a shift in economic trends and relationships. Don't forget about all the Quant Ph.D's that got smoked in the last few years.... I bet they are reevaluating there "forecasting" abilities.
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Latest | Highest ratedWhat Copper's Breakout Means [View article]
Your point is correct.
Long positions in metals in weak currencies (i.e. U.S. Dollars) has been a nice trade over the previous months, but justifying macroeconomic trends seems a bit foolish. Copper's ability to forecast future economic activity may be evident historically but we are currently undergoing a shift in economic trends and relationships. Don't forget about all the Quant Ph.D's that got smoked in the last few years.... I bet they are reevaluating there "forecasting" abilities.
Visa: Bullish Bets Leading into Earnings [View article]