pk de cville's Comments pk de cville's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/45045/comments Apple to Buy Lala? http://seekingalpha.com/article/176655-apple-to-buy-lala?source=feed#comment-791474 791474 Sat, 05 Dec 2009 08:44:39 -0500 The iPhone's Next Carrier Is Likely T-Mobile, Not Verizon http://seekingalpha.com/article/175805-the-iphone-s-next-carrier-is-likely-t-mobile-not-verizon?source=feed#comment-784423 784423
Jul 02, 07 Today %

VZ 41.55 31.82 76.6%
AAPL 132.30 200.97 151.9%

Seems AAPL Doubled VZ in PPS. Interesting.]]>
Tue, 01 Dec 2009 11:01:44 -0500
Jul 02, 07 Today %

VZ 41.55 31.82 76.6%
AAPL 132.30 200.97 151.9%

Seems AAPL Doubled VZ in PPS. Interesting.]]>
Krugman Forgets How Long the Dollar's Been Declining http://seekingalpha.com/article/175858-krugman-forgets-how-long-the-dollar-s-been-declining?source=feed#comment-784265 784265
as reported www.bloomberg.com/apps...

Krugman was referring to the Wall St Journal, not the defunct paper you're citing.]]>
Tue, 01 Dec 2009 09:45:25 -0500
as reported www.bloomberg.com/apps...

Krugman was referring to the Wall St Journal, not the defunct paper you're citing.]]>
Can Apple Stop the Android? http://seekingalpha.com/article/174459-can-apple-stop-the-android?source=feed#comment-769299 769299
Internet Meme - The term Internet meme is a phrase used to describe a catchphrase or concept that spreads quickly from person to person via the Internet, much like an esoteric inside joke.

This meme has legs; seen it at least 20 times in the past year. Interestingly, besides 'legs', it has no relationship to where the iPhone and Android are actually going.

Android will help kill Win Mobile. The Palm WebOS is dead unless deep pockets buy it; RIMM's BB and Nokia's Maemo will weaken.

Android and iPhone will survive the brutal wars, but only iPhone will dominate where it counts most - market share and net earnings.

Apple's dominance will be clearly apparent by Jan 2012.]]>
Fri, 20 Nov 2009 13:19:38 -0500
Internet Meme - The term Internet meme is a phrase used to describe a catchphrase or concept that spreads quickly from person to person via the Internet, much like an esoteric inside joke.

This meme has legs; seen it at least 20 times in the past year. Interestingly, besides 'legs', it has no relationship to where the iPhone and Android are actually going.

Android will help kill Win Mobile. The Palm WebOS is dead unless deep pockets buy it; RIMM's BB and Nokia's Maemo will weaken.

Android and iPhone will survive the brutal wars, but only iPhone will dominate where it counts most - market share and net earnings.

Apple's dominance will be clearly apparent by Jan 2012.]]>
Rapid Transition to Grid Enabled Vehicles Not Possible or Desirable http://seekingalpha.com/article/174456-rapid-transition-to-grid-enabled-vehicles-not-possible-or-desirable?source=feed#comment-768732 768732
Seems like the 'policy paper' is window dressing for a federal handout to a diverse group of pigs at the trough.

There is no word for corrupted, prostituted writing and thinking. I'll go first and give it a (lame) try. Perhaps, someone with a more poetic head than mine will come up with something that makes it into the slang dictionary.

sponsearch = sponsored research

sponlyst = sponsored analyst

sponlaw = sponsored law

sponrev = sponsored revenue

Any takers?]]>
Fri, 20 Nov 2009 09:19:05 -0500
Seems like the 'policy paper' is window dressing for a federal handout to a diverse group of pigs at the trough.

There is no word for corrupted, prostituted writing and thinking. I'll go first and give it a (lame) try. Perhaps, someone with a more poetic head than mine will come up with something that makes it into the slang dictionary.

sponsearch = sponsored research

sponlyst = sponsored analyst

sponlaw = sponsored law

sponrev = sponsored revenue

Any takers?]]>
Apple to Open 50 More Stores - Let's Be Careful, Steve http://seekingalpha.com/article/173492-apple-to-open-50-more-stores-let-s-be-careful-steve?source=feed#comment-761650 761650
$35,000 per sq ft = 5th Ave sells $350mm in 10,000 sq ft.

It has a long way to drop in Manhattan.

www.businessinsider.co...]]>
Mon, 16 Nov 2009 07:15:05 -0500
$35,000 per sq ft = 5th Ave sells $350mm in 10,000 sq ft.

It has a long way to drop in Manhattan.

www.businessinsider.co...]]>
While Rivals Jockey for Market Share, Apple Bathes in Profits http://seekingalpha.com/article/172765-while-rivals-jockey-for-market-share-apple-bathes-in-profits?source=feed#comment-757142 757142
This is what "JUST" ignores:

brilliant world leading:

- sw and hw engineering
- bricks and mortar retail experience
- iTunes and Apps Store content delivery
- multitouch
- genius bar and telephone support
- Operating System
- mobile and Mac design
- leading edge tech intros
- malware security
- OS SDK

- and the upcoming iTablet will extend the advantage Apple has.]]>
Thu, 12 Nov 2009 11:06:43 -0500
This is what "JUST" ignores:

brilliant world leading:

- sw and hw engineering
- bricks and mortar retail experience
- iTunes and Apps Store content delivery
- multitouch
- genius bar and telephone support
- Operating System
- mobile and Mac design
- leading edge tech intros
- malware security
- OS SDK

- and the upcoming iTablet will extend the advantage Apple has.]]>
Research In Motion: Still the Best Positioned Smartphones Play http://seekingalpha.com/article/171761-research-in-motion-still-the-best-positioned-smartphones-play?source=feed#comment-747792 747792
Highly competitive creative businesses are using it in very innovative ways. How long will it take for testimonials like these to open the doors to large enterprise environments?

www.apple.com/iphone/b...

And also, "iPhone has raised expectation levels for all smartphones..."

One thing I've noticed about friends who are skeptical about the iPhone's reputation: They assume that new competing smartphones are better than the REAL thing and buy something else because it's not an iPhone!

Some of these friends are now regretfully waiting their contracts out to get an iPhone.

Sorry, seems to me the iPhone and Android will be competing with each other while taking major market share from Windows Mobile and Symbian, and, to a lesser extent, from RIMM. ]]>
Fri, 06 Nov 2009 09:09:21 -0500
Highly competitive creative businesses are using it in very innovative ways. How long will it take for testimonials like these to open the doors to large enterprise environments?

www.apple.com/iphone/b...

And also, "iPhone has raised expectation levels for all smartphones..."

One thing I've noticed about friends who are skeptical about the iPhone's reputation: They assume that new competing smartphones are better than the REAL thing and buy something else because it's not an iPhone!

Some of these friends are now regretfully waiting their contracts out to get an iPhone.

Sorry, seems to me the iPhone and Android will be competing with each other while taking major market share from Windows Mobile and Symbian, and, to a lesser extent, from RIMM. ]]>
Apples to Apples: Will History Repeat Itself as Android Gains on the iPhone? http://seekingalpha.com/article/170801-apples-to-apples-will-history-repeat-itself-as-android-gains-on-the-iphone?source=feed#comment-743913 743913
How long will it take the 'rest of us (them!)' to match half the performance (power and battery life) in that monster?

2011 headline:

Apple Dominates and Introduces Massively Impactful Mobile Computing to the World]]>
Wed, 04 Nov 2009 07:05:58 -0500
How long will it take the 'rest of us (them!)' to match half the performance (power and battery life) in that monster?

2011 headline:

Apple Dominates and Introduces Massively Impactful Mobile Computing to the World]]>
Apple vs. Microsoft: Who Will Bring the Ideal Mobile Productivity Device? http://seekingalpha.com/article/166974-apple-vs-microsoft-who-will-bring-the-ideal-mobile-productivity-device?source=feed#comment-718459 718459
Aw, come on.

It will have an optional Blue Tooth keyboard, the only question being, "Will it be from Apple or 3rd parties?"

(Yes, it will cost $50 and you will buy it.)]]>
Sat, 17 Oct 2009 09:49:25 -0400
Aw, come on.

It will have an optional Blue Tooth keyboard, the only question being, "Will it be from Apple or 3rd parties?"

(Yes, it will cost $50 and you will buy it.)]]>
The App Store Changes Apple's Mission http://seekingalpha.com/article/166917-the-app-store-changes-apple-s-mission?source=feed#comment-717621 717621
Packaged as a large iMac (30"+ w/ front facing video) becomes a video cam for families, friends, and business. People will connect with each other in chairs, couches, desks, and tables through bandwidth sparing iFrame, the new little brother std to HD Video just shipped by Apple.

iFrame uses 1/4 the bandwidth of 1080 HD video.

Bring on the globally transformative expansion of video communications across TVs, iPhones, Macs, PCs AND, of course, Apple's new expression dominantly creative innovation.]]>
Fri, 16 Oct 2009 11:31:24 -0400
Packaged as a large iMac (30"+ w/ front facing video) becomes a video cam for families, friends, and business. People will connect with each other in chairs, couches, desks, and tables through bandwidth sparing iFrame, the new little brother std to HD Video just shipped by Apple.

iFrame uses 1/4 the bandwidth of 1080 HD video.

Bring on the globally transformative expansion of video communications across TVs, iPhones, Macs, PCs AND, of course, Apple's new expression dominantly creative innovation.]]>
With Vonage App, Apple Isn't Even Bothering to Lie Anymore http://seekingalpha.com/article/164983-with-vonage-app-apple-isn-t-even-bothering-to-lie-anymore?source=feed#comment-706022 706022
So much bad blood. If you're right, Apple might be lying!

Why can't Apple be totally truthful like MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, PALM, NOKIA, and IBM?]]>
Tue, 06 Oct 2009 19:21:43 -0400
So much bad blood. If you're right, Apple might be lying!

Why can't Apple be totally truthful like MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, PALM, NOKIA, and IBM?]]>
Krugman's Keynesian View of Budget Deficits and Why I Disagree http://seekingalpha.com/article/164105-krugman-s-keynesian-view-of-budget-deficits-and-why-i-disagree?source=feed#comment-696847 696847
To a great extent Krugman's view is congruent with yours. I think you're misrepresenting him as optimistic about recovery. He has his very real concerns, some of which, mirror yours quite closely.

Although these concerns might not have been highlighted in his latest opinion piece, you'll find them in the body of his work over the last 10 or so years.]]>
Wed, 30 Sep 2009 11:08:49 -0400
To a great extent Krugman's view is congruent with yours. I think you're misrepresenting him as optimistic about recovery. He has his very real concerns, some of which, mirror yours quite closely.

Although these concerns might not have been highlighted in his latest opinion piece, you'll find them in the body of his work over the last 10 or so years.]]>
Krugman's Keynesian View of Budget Deficits and Why I Disagree http://seekingalpha.com/article/164105-krugman-s-keynesian-view-of-budget-deficits-and-why-i-disagree?source=feed#comment-696830 696830 Wed, 30 Sep 2009 10:57:19 -0400 Sorry Zune, Apple's Won MP3 Market http://seekingalpha.com/article/162224-sorry-zune-apple-s-won-mp3-market?source=feed#comment-682341 682341
In terms of making $$$$, the picture is very different:

- XBox - not profitable - Current Annual Profit is in, but they still have billions to pay back in R&D costs.

- Zune and ZuneHD - money loser, still

- Plays for Sure - no comment

- MSFT Retail - I wonder how this will turn out. (NOT)

- Msft support of HD Video - huh?

- Msft's Zune branded cell phone - coming in 2011! (Wait for it.)

Msft owns the enterprise (Heard of Stockholm Syndrome?). They have millions of micro surfs in IT and media doing their bidding because these guys earn their living by sucking at the msft cash machine teet.

Disclosure: Not long msft]]>
Fri, 18 Sep 2009 09:35:49 -0400
In terms of making $$$$, the picture is very different:

- XBox - not profitable - Current Annual Profit is in, but they still have billions to pay back in R&D costs.

- Zune and ZuneHD - money loser, still

- Plays for Sure - no comment

- MSFT Retail - I wonder how this will turn out. (NOT)

- Msft support of HD Video - huh?

- Msft's Zune branded cell phone - coming in 2011! (Wait for it.)

Msft owns the enterprise (Heard of Stockholm Syndrome?). They have millions of micro surfs in IT and media doing their bidding because these guys earn their living by sucking at the msft cash machine teet.

Disclosure: Not long msft]]>
Apple: Exploding iPhone Profits http://seekingalpha.com/article/160005-apple-exploding-iphone-profits?source=feed#comment-682267 682267
Aren't the values for GAAP and non-GAAP Target Stock Price reversed? (The GAAP values are actually the non-GAAP values and visa versa.)

Great article. Thanks.]]>
Fri, 18 Sep 2009 08:44:22 -0400
Aren't the values for GAAP and non-GAAP Target Stock Price reversed? (The GAAP values are actually the non-GAAP values and visa versa.)

Great article. Thanks.]]>
Apple Is Still a Great Investment, Right? Not for Value Investors http://seekingalpha.com/article/156150-apple-is-still-a-great-investment-right-not-for-value-investors?source=feed#comment-630714 630714
I beg to differ and I'd trust this analysis over yours:

financial-alchemist.bl...

Alos, you seem to be trading in some alternative Wall St. Can you name the stuff you made 500% and 100% on? Just curious.]]>
Sat, 15 Aug 2009 00:14:05 -0400
I beg to differ and I'd trust this analysis over yours:

financial-alchemist.bl...

Alos, you seem to be trading in some alternative Wall St. Can you name the stuff you made 500% and 100% on? Just curious.]]>
Apple Is Still a Great Investment, Right? Not for Value Investors http://seekingalpha.com/article/156150-apple-is-still-a-great-investment-right-not-for-value-investors?source=feed#comment-629591 629591
If you switch to non-GAAP FCF and recalculate w/ 15, you'll get a valuation of over $240 using your method.

Response?]]>
Fri, 14 Aug 2009 08:59:52 -0400
If you switch to non-GAAP FCF and recalculate w/ 15, you'll get a valuation of over $240 using your method.

Response?]]>
Back to School on the Cheap: Another Round of Mac vs. PC http://seekingalpha.com/article/155511-back-to-school-on-the-cheap-another-round-of-mac-vs-pc?source=feed#comment-626453 626453
Sell your brain. You're not using it.]]>
Wed, 12 Aug 2009 09:46:14 -0400
Sell your brain. You're not using it.]]>
Blackberry’s 26 Advantages over iPhone http://seekingalpha.com/article/155015-blackberrys-26-advantages-over-iphone?source=feed#comment-623020 623020
Published in May 09, it has no info on the current iPhone OS 3.0.

I'd be interested in a fresh release of this document.]]>
Mon, 10 Aug 2009 08:53:04 -0400
Published in May 09, it has no info on the current iPhone OS 3.0.

I'd be interested in a fresh release of this document.]]>
Krugman on Unemployment and GDP: Huh? http://seekingalpha.com/article/153045-krugman-on-unemployment-and-gdp-huh?source=feed#comment-611665 611665
"What you see is that unemployment tends to fall when growth is high, fall rise when it’s low or negative." is actually

"What you see is that unemployment tends to fall when growth is high, rise when it’s low or negative." (dropping the 2nd 'fall')]]>
Sun, 02 Aug 2009 13:15:04 -0400
"What you see is that unemployment tends to fall when growth is high, fall rise when it’s low or negative." is actually

"What you see is that unemployment tends to fall when growth is high, rise when it’s low or negative." (dropping the 2nd 'fall')]]>
An iTunes Subscription Could Subsidize the Apple Tablet http://seekingalpha.com/article/152858-an-itunes-subscription-could-subsidize-the-apple-tablet?source=feed#comment-609763 609763
Might Jobs be replacing the WHOLE cable industry with iTunes downloads to the whole iTunes (including PCs and the new iTablet) universe?

I think the Apple meta-strategy is: Let's replace dumb (cable) pipes with smart adaptable very cool systems and actually transform our customers' lives.]]>
Fri, 31 Jul 2009 11:36:00 -0400
Might Jobs be replacing the WHOLE cable industry with iTunes downloads to the whole iTunes (including PCs and the new iTablet) universe?

I think the Apple meta-strategy is: Let's replace dumb (cable) pipes with smart adaptable very cool systems and actually transform our customers' lives.]]>
An iTunes Subscription Could Subsidize the Apple Tablet http://seekingalpha.com/article/152858-an-itunes-subscription-could-subsidize-the-apple-tablet?source=feed#comment-609762 609762
Might Jobs be replacing the WHOLE cable industry with iTunes downloads to the whole iTunes (including PCs and the new iTablet) universe?

I think the Apple meta-strategy is: Let's replace dumb (cable) pipes with smart adaptable very cool systems and actually transform our customers' lives.]]>
Fri, 31 Jul 2009 11:35:45 -0400
Might Jobs be replacing the WHOLE cable industry with iTunes downloads to the whole iTunes (including PCs and the new iTablet) universe?

I think the Apple meta-strategy is: Let's replace dumb (cable) pipes with smart adaptable very cool systems and actually transform our customers' lives.]]>
Apple's History Puts Its Present into Question http://seekingalpha.com/article/150716-apple-s-history-puts-its-present-into-question?source=feed#comment-599323 599323 Thu, 23 Jul 2009 10:04:56 -0400 Google Drops a Nuclear Bomb on Microsoft. And It's Made of Chrome. http://seekingalpha.com/article/147494-google-drops-a-nuclear-bomb-on-microsoft-and-it-s-made-of-chrome?source=feed#comment-578422 578422
Result: MS loses billions in netbook and related licensing finally moving towards the oblivion of the dodo.

Don't get too excited. It will take a decade and MS might come up with a clever back to the wall response.

I wonder if MS has a black flag secret project to develop a brand new Unix based variant and introduce it as a Chrome/Mac/iPhone OS competitor. (That would make computer OS's interesting!)]]>
Wed, 08 Jul 2009 05:47:00 -0400
Result: MS loses billions in netbook and related licensing finally moving towards the oblivion of the dodo.

Don't get too excited. It will take a decade and MS might come up with a clever back to the wall response.

I wonder if MS has a black flag secret project to develop a brand new Unix based variant and introduce it as a Chrome/Mac/iPhone OS competitor. (That would make computer OS's interesting!)]]>
10 Reasons Not to Buy Apple http://seekingalpha.com/article/147462-10-reasons-not-to-buy-apple?source=feed#comment-577629 577629
You've a huge misunderstanding of iPhone profits. Reread the WSJ article you cite. Apple's gross profits per iPhone (telecom subsidy included)are estimated to be $400+ (not your $27).

"On a per phone basis, Wu estimated that Apple gets about $600 a phone..." from your WSJ source.

PS - You also messed, up big, time in points 1, 4, 6, 7, 9, and 10, but I won't get into those.

PPS - Turning lemons to lemonade, consider going long aapl (as I am).]]>
Tue, 07 Jul 2009 16:08:20 -0400
You've a huge misunderstanding of iPhone profits. Reread the WSJ article you cite. Apple's gross profits per iPhone (telecom subsidy included)are estimated to be $400+ (not your $27).

"On a per phone basis, Wu estimated that Apple gets about $600 a phone..." from your WSJ source.

PS - You also messed, up big, time in points 1, 4, 6, 7, 9, and 10, but I won't get into those.

PPS - Turning lemons to lemonade, consider going long aapl (as I am).]]>
Steve Jobs: Workaholic, Innovative Entrepreneur and Inspiration http://seekingalpha.com/article/144460-steve-jobs-workaholic-innovative-entrepreneur-and-inspiration?source=feed#comment-556496 556496
Unfortunately, he had no choice. ATT was the only telcom willing to give Apple the freedom it needed to invent the future of smartphones.

At this point Apple and ATT extend their exclusive relationship annually. It must still make sense to Jobs and I trust his judgment.]]>
Sun, 21 Jun 2009 17:51:04 -0400
Unfortunately, he had no choice. ATT was the only telcom willing to give Apple the freedom it needed to invent the future of smartphones.

At this point Apple and ATT extend their exclusive relationship annually. It must still make sense to Jobs and I trust his judgment.]]>
Steve Jobs: Workaholic, Innovative Entrepreneur and Inspiration http://seekingalpha.com/article/144460-steve-jobs-workaholic-innovative-entrepreneur-and-inspiration?source=feed#comment-556495 556495
Unfortunately, he had no choice. ATT was the only telcom willing to give Apple the freedom it needed to invent the future of smartphones.

At this point Apple and ATT extend their exclusive relationship annually. It must still make sense to Jobs and I trust his judgment.]]>
Sun, 21 Jun 2009 17:50:58 -0400
Unfortunately, he had no choice. ATT was the only telcom willing to give Apple the freedom it needed to invent the future of smartphones.

At this point Apple and ATT extend their exclusive relationship annually. It must still make sense to Jobs and I trust his judgment.]]>
Is Rambus the Next 27 Bagger? http://seekingalpha.com/article/143048-is-rambus-the-next-27-bagger?source=feed#comment-547057 547057
You won't be able to see this, but I'm speaking to thinking readers here.

This comment of yours is insane on its face: "The first is that RMBS is a patent troll who doesn't deserve to be making a cent..."

The EU/Rambus settlement proposes Rambus get paid by all DRAM manufacturers for its patented intellectual property underlying the various JEDEC standards: DDR, DDR1, DDR2, DDR3...


Rambus invented the foundational elements of modern memory and it continues to invent and patent the future of memory technology to this day with over 500 scientist/engineers.

(Patent trolls invent nothing and employ only lawyers.)]]>
Mon, 15 Jun 2009 10:18:02 -0400
You won't be able to see this, but I'm speaking to thinking readers here.

This comment of yours is insane on its face: "The first is that RMBS is a patent troll who doesn't deserve to be making a cent..."

The EU/Rambus settlement proposes Rambus get paid by all DRAM manufacturers for its patented intellectual property underlying the various JEDEC standards: DDR, DDR1, DDR2, DDR3...


Rambus invented the foundational elements of modern memory and it continues to invent and patent the future of memory technology to this day with over 500 scientist/engineers.

(Patent trolls invent nothing and employ only lawyers.)]]>
Is Rambus the Next 27 Bagger? http://seekingalpha.com/article/143048-is-rambus-the-next-27-bagger?source=feed#comment-546294 546294
I've been reading NukeJohn for 4 years on the investorvillage.com rmbs board. He's one of the top posters there.

Although he can't do prophecy (Due diligence still required.), he's got a knack for clear, deep, and broad analysis, strong common sense, and integrity.

One of the best you can read and I believe Rambus is about to make me a fortune.

(I'm very long due, in part, to his views.)]]>
Sun, 14 Jun 2009 16:32:44 -0400
I've been reading NukeJohn for 4 years on the investorvillage.com rmbs board. He's one of the top posters there.

Although he can't do prophecy (Due diligence still required.), he's got a knack for clear, deep, and broad analysis, strong common sense, and integrity.

One of the best you can read and I believe Rambus is about to make me a fortune.

(I'm very long due, in part, to his views.)]]>