Being an early pensioner at 46 and travelling in developing countries for possibly the rest of my life I'm looking for a source of income that keeps me going for as long as I favour. Since my starting capital is healthy but not enormous I can only keep doing so if my annual income is big enough right from the start, remains healthy and predictable for the unforeseen future through all kinds of economic climates, and beats the average inflation rate in developing countries; the biggest countries where I'm likely to spend most of my time being the most influential in my calculations. In my previous life I've been quite successful with options trading but surprisingly much less so with stock picking or even ETF picking. But since market timing and trading are not the kind of thing I want to do for the rest of my life (if possible at all when travelling) I had to look for an alternative. After 2 years of possibly reading thousands of articles about asset allocation and portfolio building I fell in love with the utter simplicity, diversity and results of Harry Browne's 1989 version of the Permanent Portfolio (not the mutual fund, ETF or Craig Rowland versions though) and I learned a lot about bonds, commodities, rebalancing, the power of doing nothing and most important of all: the fact that we absolutely have no clue what will happen and make or break markets in the remote or even near future. However, I had to come to the conclusion that the impressive results (9% per year over a 43 year time span with only 4 down years, a maximum draw of an incredible 4% in 1981 and extremely low volatility) probably wouldn't beat developing world inflation rates in the long run, meaning that I would have to touch principle. Since I have no idea whether I will die tomorrow, at 50, 75 or 100 that doesn't seem to be a clever plan as I would very likely run out of money before I run out of vital breath. I tried modifying the Permanent Portfolio in various ways to spice up results, the most interesting being changing allocation shares, no rebalancing, replacing a US market fund by individual dividend growth stocks so adding dividends to capital appreciation, replacing individual US long term treasury bonds by individual long term investment grade sovereign emerging market bonds denominated in local currencies, adding other commodities to gold for seasonal trading, and replacing cash by emerging market CDs, again denominated in local currencies to make use of changing exchange rates. But then after some unexpected moves on more than one of these fronts I started thinking how predictable this all would become in the future and whether I really needed these risks. The answer was a firm No. But the exercise had been great. Then what? After discovering SeekingAlpha and getting more and more interested in dividend growth stocks and hedging risks I started thinking about the best way to increase income through dividends for an unusual big part of my portfolio and hedge the income risks very aggressively with just a tiny part of the portfolio. Right now I'm in the phase of identifying the best dividend growth stocks for a kind of Buy & Die portfolio (buying stocks without any intention to sell unless there's an extreme situation, and just harvesting dividends to support my life style). And besides that I'm trying to learn as much as possible about hedging risks, costs and rewards while rethinking the value of the Permanent Portfolio on my life style as buying only once, an annual rebalance action lasting less than an hour and never ever reading about individual companies, ETFs, sectors, markets or even the whole economy for the rest of my life is extremely enticing as well. The second path I'm following is extremely different although again inspired by the Permanent Portfolio but also by momentum strategies, leverage, asset allocation and hedging outside the momentum portfolio. I want my momentum portfolio ideally to be ever lasting as not to end up rethinking my strategy after every single market dip. Now that I've designed such a portfolio including hedges, et cetera, I invest every month in the 3 best ETFs over a 3 month period that are on my list. So far, so good and if I ever find the time to write and share about the selection process of building a multi asset momentum portfolio layer by layer I would love to do so. And with that I'm at the biggest mistake I made since deciding to start travelling: I thought time was all I had. Well, that may be true but somehow it's incredibly hard to find! drftr
I am a 40 something who has always been interested in investing. I am hoping to retire someday with enough passive income to enjoy the golden years.
I am primarily a value investor, believe beating the market is difficult at best.
I hold a CPA license, and have an MBA degree- but that really doesn't matter.
I enjoy Seeking Alpha for the learning environment, and developing a better understanding of both sides of the coin.
just an average joe investor . Change from aggressive growth to growth income so I could pay the bills.
But had to still keep one hand towards capital gains . Enjoying reading the posts and comments.
Been with SA almost from their start . I have a beer can for a brain so I thank everyone for filling it up with investment ideas and knowledge .
Close to retirement age but plan to keep working for some time to come. Have invested in stock market sporadically, mostly confused and scared. It hasn't worked very well. Have a lot to learn, learn a lot from many SA folks and enjoy the sharing here.
Historically about 60% invested (minority is stocks along with a lot of "other") with 40% cash. Aiming at this stage to put more of the cash to work, and since I'm underweight in stocks/bonds, am focused there, especially but not only DGI.
Expect that I can avoid taking much if any income out for 15-20 years (except tax and the RMD), unless something unexpected happens--not a long compounding period but better than not at all.
Shy guy with an aversion to risk, seeking financial security as retirement nears. Been a long and bumpy drive since forking over $350 for my first car. Here's to making smart choices, achieving more return, and enjoying life's good fortune.
I am Seeking Alpha's CEO and Editor-in-Chief. My love for the stock markets goes back to when I was a kid. Who else remembers combing through the stock quotes at the back of the business section of your local paper?
I joined Seeking Alpha in 2006 and launched Wall Street Breakfast and Market Currents, our top-of-class short-form breaking news for investors. In 2010 I became editor-in-chief and in 2015 I became CEO.
I live in Jerusalem with my wife and a bunch of exceptional kids. Most days, you'll find me making the commute from Jerusalem to Raanana. Occasionally I get to work from my home-office, from where I keep an eye on the beautiful Judean Hills.
To contact me, send me a direct message, or email me at firstname.lastname@example.org.
I'm a managing director of a Russian VC company and also I'm interesting in algorithmic trading as I have a bachelor degree in computer sciences and was dreaming to be an 'hardcore' programmer back to faraway 90s.
Individual investor. I have been trying to create wealth for me and my family for over 30 years. The market correction since the early 80's have paired gains, plus some bad choices.
Still looking for something that works.