I am a dynamic figure, often seen scaling glacier walls and hang gliding off tall buildings to survey the best urban party spots. I can ride my bicycle up almost any incline without slowing down—the laws of physics do not apply to me. I am a talented academic, but absent-minded: I once figured out the meaning of life, but forgot to write it down. Although not a commercial success, my book “What Your Orchestra Teacher Never Told You About Double Reed Technique: The Oboe and Bassoon Player’s Guide to Dating Beautiful Women” drew enthusiastic praise from both sexes.
Danielle DiMartino Booth makes bold forecasts based on meticulous research and her years of experience in central banking and on Wall Street. Known for sounding an early warning about the housing bubble in the 2000s, Danielle offers a unique perspective to audiences seeking expertise in the financial markets, the economy, and the intersection of central banking and politics.
“When you are inspired by some great purpose, some extraordinary project, all your thoughts break their bonds: Your mind transcends limitations, your consciousness expands in every direction, and you find yourself in a new, great and wonderful world. Dormant forces, faculties and talents become alive, and you discover yourself to be a greater person by far than you ever dreamed yourself to be.” (Author - Patanjali)
“Tentative efforts lead to tentative outcomes. Therefore, give yourself fully to your endeavors. Decide to construct your character through excellent actions and determine to pay the price of a worthy goal. The trials you encounter will introduce you to your strengths. Remain steadfast...and one day you will build something that endures: something worthy of your potential.” (Author - Epictetus)
"Hope sees the invisible, feels the intangible, and achieves the impossible." (Author - Unknown)
"When I stand before God at the end of my life, I would hope that I would not have a single bit of talent left, and could say, 'I used everything you gave me." (Author - Erma Bombeck)
I run two services, Free CoT Data and Simple Stock Model. Free CoT Data reveals how different types of traders are positioned in the futures markets. Simple Stock Model aggregates financial and economic data so that investors can easily form a comprehensive data-based outlook on the S&P.
East Daley is an energy assets research firm bringing greater transparency to the energy financial market. In addition to using top-level financial data to predict a company’s performance, East Daley is first-to-market with an asset-driven information service that provides comprehensive, bottoms-up, asset-level intelligence fueled by commodity fundamentals. Clients are supported by a team of unbiased, highly experienced research analysts. The combination of proprietary research and dynamic client support delivers a unique competitive advantage that enables North American energy capital markets to make more informed and accurate projections and investments.
If you are interested in any of my digital utility solutions to add to your investing tool box to improve your investment outcomes, please visit my site
You'll find elegant applications that make it simple for you to track your portfolio in real time, make a watch list to follow in real time, track your dividend income and growth, and other applications. These applications will allow you to set alerts at prices you choose in order to obtain the yield and income that you want. They function as real time trade assistants and will improve your investment performance. You can even mirror the successful FTG Portfolio with "My FTG Mirror Calculator", and subscribers can mirror the premium subscriber portfolio with "MY RODAT Mirror Calculator" if they wish to emulate the out performance we've achieved in capital and income growth.
I am a retired clinical psychologist, and administrator and owner of a rehabilitation clinic we founded 40 years ago. For over 55 years I have managed several portfolios composed of investments accumulated over our professional careers. Since the financial crisis of 2008, I have employed specialized, customized dividend growth strategies aimed at enhancing and growing a dividend income stream.
Since December 24, 2014, I have demonstrated on Seeking Alpha the ongoing construction and portfolio management of the Fill-The-Gap Portfolio aimed at highlighting strategies investors may utilize to close the gap between an average Social Security benefit and the much greater costs faced in retirement.
This portfolio has outperformed all of the broad market indexes by a very wide margin, growing dividend income and total portfolio value consistently while the broader indexes struggle in negative territory all year.
Aside from free articles available to the general public, additional early-access, value-added ideas and deep-dive articles are offered to paid subscribers on my premium SA platform, "Retirement: One Dividend At A Time"
Let me show you how to build and grow your portfolio and dividend income, step by step, towards a comfortable and secure retirement.
Over 30 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur, however focus now is global and involves almost all economic categories.
After more than 4 decades in the financial markets, Robert P. Balan has retired. Education in mining engineering, computer science, finance, and training in economics led to a commodity analysis career during the commodity boom of the early 1970s. Robert made a switch to global macro focus in the early 1980 when the commodity bull market waned, with specialization in foreign exchange. Robert wrote a very high profile daily FX analysis while Geneva-based in the mid-1980s (the first FX commentary with a real global readership, "most accessed" in the Reuters and Telerate networks from 1988 to 1994). He worked for Swiss Bank Corp and Union Bank of Switzerland (precursors of today’s new UBS) as head of technical research and as proprietary trader in various major finance centers (London, New York, and subsequently head of proprietary trading in Toronto, respectively) from late 1980s to mid-1990s. A stint at Bank of America as head of global technical research (in London and New York) followed in late 1990s to early 2000s. Robert did technical analysis for Saxo Bank (Denmark) in the mid-200s based in New York. He returned to Switzerland in 2004 as head of technical research and strategy, and FX and commodity market analyst for Swiss Life Asset Management in Zurich. He joined Diapason Commodities Management in 2008 as senior market strategist, and subsequently as Chief Market Strategist, utilizing fundamental macroeconomic drivers, and structural/technical data in modeling asset price and sector movements. Robert wrote a book on the Elliott Wave Principle in 1988, which was hailed by the London Society of Technical Analysts as “the best book ever written on the subject”. Robert is a member of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), USA.
Many people like to pick stocks, but how many add value doing so? Plenty of research suggests that the number is very low for pros and even lower for amateurs. This implies that the most common mistake of investors is to assume they're smarter than the market. Not that this will be recognized by many people. Professionals are highly paid to believe that they're skilled, even when untrue. Amateurs are usually blissfully unaware of their lack of skill because few individuals measure performance. The few who do measure performance usually do so incorrectly or use an inappropriate benchmark.
With the above observations in mind, I've posted my stock portfolio performance compared to various benchmarks on the following website: http://imgur.com/V3jjfFY
The data is a snapshot from my brokerage firm's automated performance tracking software. The brokerage firm does not guarantee the accuracy of their tracking software, but their tracking has been very close to my own estimates.
Rather than bore you with biographical details that might be meaningless or misremembered, I'll offer a true personal experience that captures my view on stock investing: At the completion of my first year as a starting pitcher in Little League, I had an undefeated pitching record and top strikeout tally. Nobody could hit my curve ball. I was admired by the league's coaches and my peers alike. The next year, hubris caused me to ruin my arm throwing far too many curve balls, thus ending my baseball dreams. Meanwhile, my best friend in Little League diminished his early success because he never threw curve balls. His parents wouldn't allow it. In spite of his early disadvantage, he ended up an MLB All Star and World Series winning pitcher.
What does this have to do with investing? Most kids have big, improbable dreams. Yet only one of the hundreds of my friends and acquaintances achieved his big childhood dreams. I've been exposed to thousands of individuals who exude confidence and make bold claims of superior investment performance and methodologies. Yet I haven't found one nonprofessional investor who could prove that he had beaten a benchmark index for a 10-year period. Although there are a number of living professional investors who've beaten an appropriate benchmark for a 25-year period, the number is small enough to fit on a school bus.
Like my Little League success, nearly all investment outperformance reverses course. The odds an investor will beat a benchmark for an entire lifetime are lower than a Little Leaguer becoming an All-Star with a World Series ring.
The Market News tracker is my favorite part of this website. Otherwise, I see the website mainly as a social media venue for aspirational stock hobbyists & advisors who are 110% certain that they're endowed with special investing skill. Never mind that almost none can provide a meaningful, long-term record of outperformance. Fortunately for the authors, the website is very supportive. Comments critical of articles are often removed, and bloggers can trumpet good luck and misremember blunders without troublesome fact checking. The unconditional love enables bloggers to achieve popularity with skillful self-promotion, confidence, and a likable persona. An ambitious subscription stock-tip blogger would be well advised to study the techniques of Tony Robbins and Deepak Chopra rather than Warren Buffett and Ben Graham.
"You make more money selling the advice than following it."
Currently based in Shanghai as CFO for a Pharmaceutical company. International exposure to Europe, Asia and Africa. Keen interest in the energy sector, natural resources, luxury brands, REIT's and emerging markets.
BTU Analytics provides independent fundamentals-based consulting and analytical reports to the North American oil, NGL, and natural gas markets. We utilize our in-depth understanding of North American energy data to help clients better navigate the market and determine opportunities and risks in the upstream, midstream, and downstream sectors in the face of ever-evolving market conditions.
I have written 2 dutch books on value investing: "Aandelen selecteren als waardebelegger" and "Beleggen in bull- en bearmarkten". See bol.com (search for the titles). As a mathematician (Ph.D.) I am most interested in investment strategies with statistically favorable returns. In particular I invest in net-nets (20-30% average annual returns). I find companies with low Enterprise Value/Earnings before Tax and Interest (EV/EBIT) and strong balance sheets (20% average annual returns) also very interesting. Since such stocks are rare I invest globally. Send me a message with your email address to get example articles of my premium research on Seeking Alpha.
Ian’s Insider Corner research focuses primarily on long-term dividend-paying companies with stable and reliable growth, stocks suitable for individual retirement accounts. Ian also looks for “niche” shorter-term trading opportunities, and coverage. During the 3-years Ian worked at Kerrisdale Capital, the New York-based activist hedge fund had great success exposing fraudulent companies. Kerrisdale Capital returned almost 200% in 2011, and more than 300% in total. Ian Bezek offers in-depth coverage of all the stocks in his “IMF” portfolio.
I use value investing methods of analysis to search out undervalued companies using a combination of financial analysis and a qualitative assessment of management, industry & company fundamentals and circumstances to evaluate the odds of a successful investment. Emphasis is currently on consumer non-durables with strong brands and market shares, but there is no limit to such investments only. Past investments have included oil companies, consumer retail and consumer durables.
----->Top Idea #1: Zooplus, publ. Oct. 24th 2014, return since: +116.3%
----->Top Idea #2: Coca-Cola Bottling Co., publ. May 20th 2015, return: +72%
(calculated as of Sept 30th 2015)
I try to generate a couple of high probability ideas (2-3) every year and take very concentrated positions based on those ideas. Over the past 8 years this strategy has generated a 22,87% compounded average return net of all costs and taxes on my investment portfolio, with the strongest returns mostly during the past five years.
Current sectors under coverage by me at Seeking Alpha:
-personal & household goods
Disclaimer: all investment analyses and information written and published by me, as well as all comments, should not be considered as investment advice or used as such. All readers are strongly urged to perform their own research and due diligence on the equity shares and other investment products I have written about. I have no business or any other forms of relationship with the companies featured in my analyses, unless explicitly stated so in the article disclaimer.
Andy Hecht is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving massive quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars, and trains to transport and store a broad range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis are on many market-based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw-Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
My background includes education in petroleum engineering and business and 15 years working with producers, midstream operators and utilities to bring oil and gas from the reservoir to the consumer. I understand in detail the full life cycle and value chain of oil, gas, and NGLs, from the physics of permeability and extraction to the economics of refinery turnarounds and utility load profiles. I am interested in bringing focused, in-depth understanding to issues related to oil and gas investing. Industry expertise and a true understanding of how oil and gas is discovered, produced, processed, transported, marketed and consumed are vital to valuing investment opportunities in the fossil energy space.
I'm a finance student with an passion for financial markets. I first learned about Seeking Alpha when they hosted a stock pick challenge on campus. After learning about the "wisdom of crowds" I decided to research what Seeking Alpha truly was to get a better picture. After lurking on Seeking Alpha for some time, I decided to write my own articles. Now I'm completely hooked to its culture.
Thirty five year veteran of the engineering world, with design experience primarily in hard infrastructure such as buildings, roadways, airports, water and sewer, power, and foundations. Currently employed as a project control engineer in the nuclear field, with primary emphasis on cost estimating. Whitewater kayaker and canoer, so risk management is nothing new.
I have a background in oil & gas accounting and finance and invest in a variety of industries to serve my needs. My primary purpose is to help investors develop an understanding of certain accounting and finance disclosures made by public companies to provide the tools neccesary for pre-investing due dillegence and ultimately make better informed investment decisions.
I have been an active investor/trader since 1994, with quite good results.
I have done both academic and practical research on computer-based (fully automated or semi-automated) short-term stock market prediction and negotiation, but for consistent returns, I still believe it is hard to beat long-term investing based on fundamentals.
At present, the basis of my personal investment portfolio mainly combines energy-related commodities and stocks.
I recognize that the risk/reward tends to be heavily skewed against the short side and as such I believe short positions should be kept small, when not part of a well thought out long/short strategy.
Besides being an investor I'm a professor at a Portuguese university.
25 years in energy M&A/Corporate Finance business career. Senior officer for public E&P companies, including MLP, charged with overseeing (at different times) accounting, tax, legal, investment banking/analyst relations, investor relations, as well as business unit with land, engineering, geological and support functions. Used legal background to interface with and direct outside investment bankers, law firms and accounting firms in M&A transactions and offerings. Personal investments and trading 15 years.