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Samuel H

Samuel H
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  • Tesla: The Model X Is Made For Rare Women [View article]
    Those with the money to buy a Tesla Model X undoubtedly have large garages to put them in and charge them. It takes 5 sec. to plug in and 10 sec. to uplug in the safety and comfort of your own home. That's very convenient. One NEVER has to stand in the cold, wind, rain, and/or snow for five minutes just to fill up on expensive gas because it's always full in the morning.

    If you do park your very expensive vehicle outside in the elements, you can preheat while it's still charging before you go like Norwegian Model S owners do. It melts the snow and ice off the car.

    I am disappointed though that the second row does not fold flat. The seven adult sized seats though are definitely a plus. I do like that the Model X's frunk is larger than the Model S's.
    Oct 5, 2015. 10:26 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: A Realistic Look At The Model 3 [View article]
    Your idea that long range is not a selling point for EVs is absurd. Those who buy EVs right now are content with 70-100 mile range EVs; not so with the car market in general. Tesla is not targeting people who simply want a gas-free relatively inexpensively citycar. That market is tiny which is why the Nissan Leaf and other EVs on the market aren't selling very well.

    People want more range and faster charging times. That's why the Nissan Leaf sells in similar numbers to the far more expensive Model S. Solely based on price, Nissan should be selling >9X more Leafs than Tesla sells Model S's, but they're not. Teslas appeal to a much, MUCH larger spread of people, even some die hard ICE fans.

    Nobody in their right mind compares a Honda Fit to a Cadillac ATS even though both of them have an ICE under the hood. Why do they insist on comparing the Nissan Leaf and Chevy Bolt with the Tesla Model ≡ just because they're electric? The Nissan Leaf and Chevy Bolt are in town runabouts. The Model ≡ will be a sports sedan that will compete head-to-head with the BMW 3-series, Audi A4, Lexus IS, etc. NOT the Honda Civic or Toyota Camry, although I'm sure some potential Camry buyers will be swayed by the Model ≡. The Supercharger Network enables long distance travel that is a MUST for most people who buy cars.

    Most EVs aren't selling in big numbers right now because they aren't cost competitive in their class, their range is too short to be considered practical, and there's inadequate charging infrastructure to allow for longer trips.
    Tesla's vehicles are all cost competitive in their class, the range is long enough to be practical, and they are simply phenomenal vehicles packed with technology, cool features, and epic performance potential. I am looking forward to the Model ≡ because I know that it will be awesome.

    If the Model S and X are any indications, Tesla Motors does not and never will make lame, boring vehicles.
    Oct 1, 2015. 01:09 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's Game Over, Tesla Wins [View article]
    The 2017 or 2018 Tesla Model ≡ will be both a sedan and crossover. The new Supercar will have "Maximum Plaid Mode" enabling a 0-60 mph time of less than 2.8 sec., and Tesla said to expect it in 2019.
    Sep 28, 2015. 08:32 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's Game Over, Tesla Wins [View article]
    You do realize that the VW e-Golf costs a whole lot less than the Tesla Model S. The e-Golf is a spectacular sales flop since it doesn't sell anywhere close to the same quantities as the gas-powered Golf. The Model S on the other hand outsells most of the vehicles in its price range and class in most of its markets.
    Sep 28, 2015. 08:13 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla 2015 Delivery Prediction, And The Chevrolet Bolt Monkey Wrench [View article]
    Not fake, just very low demand for it, like the $49,900 (after tax credit) 40kWh Model S.
    Sep 23, 2015. 06:28 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: Misleading Delivery Dates And Model X Range [View article]
    Your argument makes absolutely no sense. The possible blackouts occur at peak load which is NOT at night when most EVs will be charging. Powerplants are barely above idle at night, basically wasting energy. Using that extra power in EVs would make the grid more efficient.
    Your premise is also entirely wrong as it assumes that half of the population will suddenly double their electricity consumption with all other factors remaining the same. It takes times, and over time the grid will be upgraded to meet incremental load increases.
    Sep 23, 2015. 06:26 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Audi Vs. Tesla's Supercharging Network: The $1 Billion Investment - Or $18 Billion? [View article]
    You really did do a good job on this article, and I enjoyed it apart from your customary swipes at EVs (Tesla). I applaud your Audi (and click) funded efforts.

    "Yes, you would have to retrofit all Tesla superchargers to be compatible with the standard for DC fast-charging..." OR Audi could start using the modified Mennekes standard that Tesla has utilized, dragging other automakers with them. It's just a better plug design than the awkward CHAdeMO or CCS plugs. Maybe Audi could start building Superchargers that look different and have Audi's name on it, and Teslas could charge there at a price and vice versa.

    "If you want to go someplace, you just stop after 300-800 miles at almost any street corner in America..."
    Who drives that much without stopping periodically to take breaks, stretch their legs, use the bathroom, let the kids burn off some energy and use the bathroom, walk the dog and let it use the bathroom, see the sights and roadside attractions, take pictures of random stuff, make memories, gas up (or charge up) buy food, drinks, snacks, souvenirs, etc.?

    I would argue that most people when on a long road trip stop every couple of hours or so to do one or more of the above activities (~150-225 miles; 2-3 hrs at 75 mph). Adapating to a long range EV like the Tesla would not be difficult for most people unless they are used to only stopping when the tank gets close to empty (300-400 miles for most vehicles; admittedly, a lot of people do do this).

    Of course more range is always a plus, and when this Audi SUV hits the roads with its 95kWh battery circa 2018, Tesla should have a 105kWh battery pack (5% increase/yr per Elon Musk) enabling a >290 mile EPA range using the Model X P90D's 250 mile EPA range as a comparison point. The non-performance AWD versions would be more efficient, less expensive, and have an even higher range.

    Tesla's R&D also includes its Supercharger Network. With the liquid-cooled charging cables, they could potentially charge at 150kW. Most of the US's network is 120kW, and Germany's Superchargers are already at 135kW. Getting charge times down to 15-20 min. for an 80% charge is not far from reality.

    The affordable Tesla Model III sports sedan and crossover will have access to this network which will have to be greatly increased in density to deal with the greatly increased number of vehicles. I think that this is the vehicle that the Audi e-Tron will have to contend with: the fully optioned, highest range 2018 or 2019 Tesla Model III 5-seat crossover, not the Model X.

    One thing that seems to be overlooked is the fact that Tesla Motors can easily make adaptors for whatever L3 DC fast charging standard is built out, but the competition can't use the Superchargers unless Tesla allows it (tied to vehicle VIN). That means that Tesla's vehicles will be able to utilize all other chargers in addition to the free and widespread Supercharger Network. Audi's or whoever's efforts will also help Tesla. It's a win-win (unless of course they block Teslas from charging at their stations).

    Last thing: Who on earth regularly drives from L.A. to N.Y. in anything other than a semi truck?
    Sep 21, 2015. 11:14 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Tesla Model 3 A Threat To Oil Prices? [View article]
    It's quite irrelevant what stars are made of. We live on earth. Hydrogen is extremely rare in its gaseous form on earth; so rare in fact, that none of it exists naturally. Sunlight can be utilized to charge an EV with approximately 400% more efficiency than the equivalent HFCV (hydrogen fuel cell vehicle). You can't even plug in an H2 vehicle. It consumes hydrogen just like an ICE-age car burns fuel. Also, HFCVs are slow, impractical due to the massive H2 tanks, and potentially dangerous in a crash. If a large truck hit an HFCV, there would be a very large explosion destroying everything nearby and making a crater.
    Sep 19, 2015. 06:45 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Porsche, Mercedes issue challenges to Tesla with planned electric cars [View news story]
    The 2015 Tesla Model S's current EPA range already eclipses this 2019 Porsche's planned 310-mile NEDC range (as well as Audi's "SUV" concept and Mercedes' idea).

    There problem with the media is that they're easily duped by vague numbers. The European NEDC cycle usually gives ranges that are a full third (33%) higher than the EPA range which means that the Porsche's 310-mile range is really ~230 miles EPA range and the P90D current 268-mile EPA range (253 + 6%) is already at 356 miles NEDC. Tesla's Model S 90D has an NEDC rating of 381 miles, and their existing Roadster 3.0 with 330-mile EPA range would have a 439-mile NEDC range.

    Tesla is already superior to Porsche's impractical but gorgeous 4-seat supersaloon concept in acceleration and range right now. Tesla will improve much more between now and 2019.

    I really hope that Porsche builds it because the more EVs there are, the better. I know that it will have much better handling and trackability than the Model S because it's a Porsche. It will probably win many comparisons (with Tesla's 2015 Model S) because of things like interior quality and handling prowess. But that doesn't really matter.

    Tesla is not a standing target. With every Tesla comes free Supercharging at Tesla's widespread Supercharging network, something Porsche can only hope and dream about. Tesla is constantly improving the Superchargers as well with the latest update being liquid cooling which should enable much higher charge rates.

    The Model S was never designed for the track but for public roads and day-to-day life (aka 99-100% of the time). It makes a fantastic daily driver and a great family car with it's epic safety and lots of passenger and cargo space.

    Tesla's performance potential will be put on display in 2019 when their Next-gen supercar will debut with so called "Maximum Plaid Mode" which will enable a 0-60 mph time of <2.8 sec.
    Sep 15, 2015. 07:52 PM | 36 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla's Model 3 Vulnerable To Low Oil Prices [View article]
    I should have just written my own article, but oh well. Here goes.

    So you think that people who are currently considering buying an electric car will suddenly turn around a buy a truck or SUV because gas is fairly inexpensive? That's absurd. EV owners are typically for efficiency and anti-waste which is diametrically opposed to the whole "truck culture"that's all about big, powerful, thirsty engines, lift kits, big wheels and rims, and large, spacious, luxurious interiors. Those people still scoff at hybrids, much more so EVs!

    From what I've read and the many people that I've spoken to on this issue, generally those who buy trucks and SUVs aren't interested in EVs. Let me repeat that: Truck and SUV buyers for the most part don't buy EVs. Why? Because typically they do a lot of activities that EVs are currently unsuitable for. They buy a lot of gas on a weekly basis and giving up the "freedom" that a large gas-powered vehicle affords is not even on their radar. Some of them don't even track gas cost.

    The difference between Tesla Motors and say BMW and Nissan is that Tesla's EVs cost about the same as competing vehicles vs costing far more than the competition which means cost saving simply isn't the biggest factor in the purchase decision. Case and point:

    The Nissan Leaf starts at $29,010 which is almost $15,000 more than the $14,180 Nissan Versa Note on which it is based (albeit there are few similarities), or $10,350 more than the options-comparable $18,660 Note SL. Before anyone says, "They don't compete. The Leaf is a much nicer car!" It may be nicer to drive because it's an EV, but it's not really a nicer car (same small basic interior), and many in this segment coudn't care less. Cheap cars are bought for point A to B transportation.

    Saving money is a major selling point for the Leaf and other "cheap EVs." Therefore it is lumped in with ecocars that also seat 5 in discomfort and cost thousands less. Lower gas prices obviously affect them because it directly affects the gas savings and the net cost of the vehicle essentially making them more expensive in comparison and harder to justify the initial cost premium. People wonder, "If you're not saving any money and it has a vastly reduced range and thus practicality (even if this isn't true), why would I buy it?!" More would buy them if they actually cost less. But they don't.

    The $42,400-$58,870 BMW i3 is one of those strange cases that was designed to really not fit in any existing category so as not to canibalize BMW's existing lineup. It's a small, expensive, very UGLY (some would say futuristic) 4-seat car with impractial suicide pocket doors, carbon fiber construction, a fantastic interior, great efficiency, and good all-around performance except when operating on the optional REx unit to limp to the next charger. I guess the much cheaper $22,395 Fiat 500 Abarth and $24,100 Mini Cooper S are paper competitors, but not really since they are so different.

    In comparison, the $35K+ Tesla Model III will be a midsize, luxury/sports car like the BMW 3-series (more performance), Mercedes C-class (less plush), Jaguar XE (far better technology), Cadillac ATS (more refinement) Audi A4 (also AWD), Lexus IS (handle amazingly), Infiniti Q50 (better automony), Volvo S60 (better safety), Acura TLX (nice-looking exterior), and whatever else I didn't mention. The Model III will cost about the same as other vehicles in this segment which range from $31K to over $90,000 for the fully loaded performance versions.

    There will also be a $40K? crossover version of the Model III to compete with the likes of the BMW X3, Audi Q5, upcoming Jaguar F-Pace, etc.

    Because it's electric, it will have similar interior and cargo space to the chunky, Honda Crosstour-like BMW 3-series GT while being sleeker and nicer-looking than a 335i that's about the same size (80% Model S scale). With the electric powertrain, we know that it will be more responsive and have amazing efficiency with the ability to operate for free on sunlight.

    Frankly, people don't cross-shop a Cadillac ATS-V and a Chevy Suburban. Neither do people looking at the BMW 335i settle for an Audi Q7. They may own both, but to call them competitors is completely absurd.
    Anyway, my point is that the cost savings of a Model III over the competition due to far lower operating costs is just not a big factor in the purchasing decision of most looking to buy the car. It is a factor that becomes more significant as gas prices go up (greater savings), but factors such as performance, available features, exterior looks, cool-factor, and brand status, are much more important to this consumer.

    I see your point though that wider market acceptance beyond the luxury/sports car market would be influenced by lower gas prices although in its segment, it doesn't really matter. The worldwide small to midsize luxury sport car market is large enough for Tesla to sell hundreds of thousands of Model III sedans and crossovers while stealing some sales from non-premium brands like Honda, Chevy, Toyota, Ford, Nissan, or Subaru. But to argue that trucks and SUVs steal sales from EVs is laughable.
    Sep 11, 2015. 12:37 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Honey, I Shrunk The Gigafactory (And More) [View article]
    The Rimac Concept One is a two-seat million dollar all-carbon fiber hypercar, and they only built 88 of them.

    Paulo's article (in fact all of them) is simply conjecture based on numbers and isolated comments. Do I believe it? Not at all. He's been low balling Tesla's numbers for the past three years and is always predicting their demise. Tesla is here to stay. The Model X improvements will trickle back down to the Tesla Model S, namely ventilated heated/cooled seats, cupholders, center console, and a more attractive interior with more extensive piano black, wood, or carbon fiber trim.
    Sep 5, 2015. 04:14 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Model X May Cause More Problems Than It Solves [View article]
    It has solved some of the complaints that the Model S had. It has even more space for passengers and cargo, actually seats seven adults (instead of 4+3 like many other three row SUVs), has more cupholders, an actual center console instead of a catch-all tray (that some liked), really nice heated/cooled seats, and a nicer interior with more wood trims to choose from.

    The $80-$145,000 Model X is already wildly successful. They have over 30,000 preorders, people with money down waiting to pay off the rest of it when their car is built. That's a lot of people and money esp. for such a premium product!

    "Cool" is worth a whole lot of money. The Model X will become the ultimate status symbol (besides a Bentley, Lamborghini, or Rolls Royce) in many wealthy areas. Easy access to the third row is a plus. They also make putting children into child seats easier. These are all worth a lot to the swanky soccer mom in the upscale area. There are also three actual seats in the second row, not two seats and a padded bump.

    The BMW X5 M next to her won't look nearly as hot when she pulls up in a Tesla Model X P90D. Even the Porsche Cayenne Turbo will look old-fashioned when those falcon-wing doors, the rear hatch, and the frunk all open with the touch of a button. Move over Range Rover, Tesla is coming through!

    As far as the stock is concerned, I see it hitting $300 before the year's end once the Model X reviews start rolling in and the 5-star crash safety rating is announced. TSLA has not been based on the fundamentals for some time now as much as people cry about cash burn. It's based largely on sheer awesomeness. THAT is why people are willing to pay over $200/share on TSLA, and I think the Model X will be awesome enough to drive the stock to $300.
    Sep 3, 2015. 07:46 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Model X May Cause More Problems Than It Solves [View article]
    "Cool" is worth a whole lot of money. The Model X will become the ultimate status symbol (besides a Bentley, Lamborghini, or Rolls Royce) in many wealthy areas. Easy access to even the third row is a plus. They also make putting children into child seats easier. These are all worth a lot to the swanky soccer mom in the upscale area. There are also three actual seats in the second row, not two seats and a padded bump.

    The BMW X5 M next to her won't look nearly as hot when she pulls up in a Tesla Model X P90D. Even the Porsche Cayenne Turbo will look old-fashioned when those falcon-wing doors, the rear hatch, and the frunk all open with the touch of a button. Move over Range Rover, Tesla is coming through!
    Sep 3, 2015. 07:39 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Automakers plot strategy around mass-market EV concept [View news story]
    I do not consider HFCVs to be EVs anymore than I would consider a series hybrid to be electric. For one, you can't plug it in. For two, you can't run it on just electricity. For three, it "burns" hydrogen fuel just like a hybrid burns gas or diesel. HFCVs are not electric cars anymore than a VW Bug that can motor itself down the road with the starter and 12V battery is.

    The title of this article is misleading as it makes it seem as if automakers are working together on a common mass market EV concept which of course they are not.
    Sep 3, 2015. 06:23 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Model S P85D impresses in testing while falling short of 'Ludicrous' [View news story]
    Another flop? You really don't know what you're talking about. In its class and price bracket, the Tesla Model S has outsold every other vehicle. They are taking away market share from the most profitable models from BMW, Mercedes, and others. That is why they are taking notice and talking about building "Tesla competitors."

    The Model X already has over 30,000 reservations with $5K+ down for each. Early indications of demand show that it will be a smashing success.
    People have been begging for the Model III since the Roadster came out back in 2008. An affordable Tesla (beauty, long range, fast charging, high performance, safe, lots of cargo room, etc.) will sell like hotcakes!
    Aug 21, 2015. 12:40 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment