NYC Trader currently works in a public policy role as a Financial & Economic Analyst. He has obtained permission from his organization to publish pseudonymously.
NYC Trader started out his career as an underwriter at a commodities brokerage firm. He then joined several large financial institutions in various product areas, which included quantitative roles in the equities & derivatives space. Most recently, prior to joining his current organization, NYC Trader co-founded a boutique asset management firm where he was a portfolio manager responsible for the firm's diversified portfolio of assets.
NYC Trader holds his MBA in Finance and Strategy from a top university.
Additional disclaimer by NYC Trader:
The views in my articles represent my views only and not the views of any company that I am affiliated with. The articles I write are intended for informational and educational purposes only and shall not be construed to constitute investment advice. Nothing contained in my articles shall constitute a solicitation, recommendation, or endorsement to buy or sell any security or private fund.
Market Folly is your go-to source for all the latest activity from prominent hedge funds. We're pleased to announce our brand new quarterly newsletter, Hedge Fund Wisdom. In it, you'll see what the hedge funds have been buying and selling. We track 25 of the most prominent managers in the game as well as provide in-depth equity analysis of the stocks they've been buying. Click the link below to see a free sample issue.
The author of Market Folly has experience at a long/short equity hedge fund, has been investing for a decade, and has degrees in Economics and Communications.
Andy Zaky is a Hedge Fund Manager at Bullish Cross Asset Management, and editor of the Bullish Cross financial newsletter. His main area of knowledge is in global macro economics, fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Andy has about 14 years of investment experience, a strong background in accounting and financial statement analysis, technical analysis, broad market analysis, macro economics and law. Andy both focuses on long term investments and trading short term calls and puts on the major index-pegged ETFs (QQQQ, SPY and DIA). Andy has a J.D. from the UCLA School of Law.
John is a lawyer and accountant with over three decades of corporate finance, due diligence, M&A advisory and related legal services for manufacturers, innovators and investors in the energy storage and renewable energy sectors.
Over the last eight years John has earned a global following for his articles on the energy storage and alternative energy sectors. He has contributed to AltEnergyStocks, Seeking Alpha, The Street, NASDAQ.com and Batteries International Magazine and InvestorIntel.
John is a 1979 graduate of the Notre Dame Law School and a 1976 graduate of the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University. He was admitted to the bar in 1980 and licensed to practice as a CPA in 1981. John’s diverse experience in corporate finance, natural resource development and energy storage give him a unique and sometimes unsettling perspective on the technical, economic and supply chain challenges of the battery industry.
Daryl Montgomery is the organizer of the New York Investing meetup, a 7,000 member educational group that provides the public with unbiased stock, bond, currency and commodity market information. For details, see: http://ow.ly/Y6CNhT (it's free to join). The group is the largest investing meetup in the world. It holds monthly general meetings, offers small classes on investing topics, has webinars and provides individual tutoring.
Montgomery, a former professor and expert witness in court cases on data reliability (up to the Supreme Court), has written a number of books on investing and approximately 700 articles on financial topics. He was formerly the chief blogger for the "Helicopter Economics Investing Guide". He has done extensive research on optimal use of technical indicators. Montgomery has never worked for, nor has any association with any Wall Street company and this allows him to bring an independent perspective to market analysis.
The New York Investing meetup's strength is in calling market turns. It called the top in gold and silver in March 2008 and the exact day of the oil bottom in February 2009 and almost the exact peak price in Silver in 2011. The group went to an all-cash position starting in September 2015. The New York Investing meetup uses its own approach to technical analysis and currently has access to a proprietary model that predicts tops and bottoms in stocks and commodities.
Erick, Co-Editor of TechCrunch (www.techcrunch.com), has been covering startups and technology news for 14 years. At Business 2.0 he wrote feature stories and ran their main blog, Next Net, which has nearly 50,000 RSS subscribers. He also does a lot of video work and hosts regular panels of industry luminaries called Disruptor Round Tables. Prior to Business 2.0, Erick was an editor-at-large for eCompany and a contributing editor for Fortune. In 1999, Schonfeld won the prize for best information technology submission at London’s Business Journalist of the Year Awards, and in 2001 he won the prize for best space submission at the Aerospace Journalist of the Year Awards in Paris. In 1996 and 1997, Schonfeld was recognized in the TJFR Business News Reporter’s list of the “best and brightest financial journalists under the age of 30.” He appears regularly on CNBC, CNN, and NY1, and is a frequent speaker at industry conferences. Schonfeld graduated magna cum laude from Cornell University in 1993.
TechCrunch (http://www.techcrunch.com/), founded on June 11, 2005, is a weblog dedicated to obsessively profiling and reviewing new Internet products and companies. In addition to covering new companies, we profile existing companies that are making an impact (commercial and/or cultural) on the new web space. TechCrunch is co-edited by Michael Arrington and Erick Schonfeld.
Charles Hugh Smith writes the Of Two Minds blog (www.oftwominds.com/blog.html) which covers an eclectic range of timely topics: finance, housing, Asia, energy, longterm trends, social issues, health/diet/fitness and sustainability. From its humble beginnings in May 2005, Of Two Minds now attracts some 200,000 visits a month.
Charles also contributes to AOL's Daily Finance site (www.dailyfinance.com) and has written eight books, most recently "Survival+: Structuring Prosperity for Yourself and the Nation" (2009) which is available in a free version on his blog.
Andy Sutton is the Founder & Chief Strategist for Sutton Associates, a Registered Investment Adviser in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
Andy finished his MBA in 2002 and has been privately assisting individuals in selecting quality financial strategies since 2005. He graduated with Honors in Economics and is a Graduate Member of Omicron Delta Epsilon International Society in Economics. He is one of the few independent advisers to forecast the current inflationary environment as well as the end of the housing bubble and manage money accordingly.
He is the author of the weekly economic commentary My Two Cents and holds a FINRA Series 65 License.
Edward Harrison is the founder of the blog Credit Writedowns (www.creditwritedowns.com) and is a finance specialist at Global Macro Advisors. Previously, Edward was a strategy and finance executive at Deutsche Bank, Bain, and Yahoo. He started his career as a diplomat and speaks German, Dutch, Swedish, Spanish and French. Edward holds an MBA from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College. Follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/edwardnh. Contact him at edh at creditwritedowns dot com as that's the only mailbox he reads regularly.
Bespoke Investment Group provides some of the most original content and intuitive thinking on the Street. Founded by Paul Hickey and Justin Walters, formerly of Birinyi Associates and creators of the acclaimed TickerSense blog, Bespoke offers multiple products that allow anyone, from institutions to the most modest investor, to gain the data and knowledge necessary to make intelligent and profitable investment decisions. Along with running their Think B.I.G. finance blog, Bespoke provides timely investment ideas through its Bespoke Premium (http://bespokepremium.com/) subscription service and also manages money (http://bespokepremium.com/mm) for high net worth individuals.
Visit: Bespoke Investment Group (http://bespokeinvest.com/)
Mr. Hui has been involved in the equity markets since 1980, both on the buy side and the sell side. He is a CFA Charterholder, and has presented numerous papers to quantitative discussion groups (Sample topics include: How Global are Resource Sectors).
Patrick Chovanec is an associate professor at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management in Beijing, China, where he teaches in the school’s International MBA Program.His insights into Chinese business, economics, politics, and culture have been featured on CNN, BBC, NPR, and Bloomberg, as well as in Time, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, New York Times, The Atlantic, Foreign Policy, and numerous other publications. He is a regular expert commentator on Chinese TV and radio.
Professor Chovanec has worked for several private equity funds focused on China, and serves as an advisor to numerous hedge funds, PE funds, corporations, and governments on China. Previously, he served as director of Institutional Investor’s Asia Pacific Institute, based in Hong Kong, and its Global Fixed Income Institute, based in London. Before coming to Asia, Chovanec worked as an aide to political strategist William Kristol and to U.S. House Minority Leader John Boehner.
Professor Chovanec first visited China in 1986, and has traveled to every one of its 31 provinces, as well as Taiwan. His travels have taken him to over 45 countries, including Pakistan, Cuba, Vietnam, and Cambodia. He is one of only a handful of U.S. citizens to have visited North Korea.
He holds an BA in Economics from Princeton University and an MBA in Finance and Accounting from the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, where he graduated as a Palmer Scholar. He is a U.S. Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
You can follow his updates on Twitter @prchovanec
He can be contacted at firstname.lastname@example.org
Oscar has been passionate about investing since he was 9. He loves talking business, stocks and investment ideas with everyone. He sees the investment process as a life-long learning opportunity in a game setting.
Please subscribe to my mailing list to stay up to date and connected: http://eepurl.com/b0VEQ5
With advanced degrees in both economics and finance, I place great deal of importance upon macreconomic developments and fundamental analyses of industries and individual companies
In typical markets, I seek out investment themes which offer compelling reasons to invest in a group of like companies. Within a theme group, I look for earnings consistency, growth, market leadership, competitive advantage and reasonable valuations as measured by PEG ratios and other metrics.
I like companies that dominate their economic space and which enjoy what Buffet refers to as a durable competitive advantage and Morningstar refers to as an economic moat. I try to remained disciplined investor but will frequently yield to the lure of a pure momentum plays.
To assist in identifying current themes, I spend an inordinate amount of time reading and subscribe to IBD and use Zack's and StockCharts.com to filter, screen and rank investment candidates. Four or more technical measures may be used to time entry and exit points by understanding underlying momentum, strength and directionality.
Dr. Paul Kedrosky maintains a widely-read blog on technology finance at Paul.Kedrosky.com (http://paul.kedrosky.com). Earlier in his career, Dr. Kedrosky founded the technology equity research practice at HSBC James Capel. Dr. Kedrosky was one of the first analysts to cover Internet companies, as well as making early and timely calls in networking and communications. He currently sits on various boards, is a strategist for Ten Asset Management in Encinitas, California, and a Senior Fellow with the Kauffman Foundation.
He appears regularly on CNBC, and has also appeared on CNN, PBS Newshour, ABC Nightline, and elsewhere, as well as being quoted in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, etc.
Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst.
He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015.
From his website:
Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors.
Rules of Investment
Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing.
Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off.
Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.)
Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'.
Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions.
More information on CGTS is available at:
His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address:
His writing portfolio can be found at:
Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at:
Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.
Methodology: setups require certain criteria to be met before trades can be executed, which include weighted statistical studies on several indicators of price, breadth, volume, and sentiment . Amount of risk taken is proportional to how many indicators are aligned. I mainly trade market indexes, to a much lesser extent commodities, currencies, very rarely individual stocks, and always with defined risk.
MBA with a concentration in finance, The State University of New York. BS in management, concentrations in accounting, and finance. Chartered Market Technician candidate (all exams passed). +6 years professional trading experience.
Publishing Schedule for 2013: A long term update will be put out on the first of the month discussing the long term trend and long term indicators. Short term updates will be published on Mondays and Wednesday discussing the short term indicators and price action. A short comment will be published on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Friday's will have a short market update, as well as a full sentiment update and review for the week.
Ockham Research is an independent equity research provider based in Atlanta, Georgia. Ockham covers an expansive universe of stocks mostly in the US, but also from a variety of exchanges throughout the world.
Security analysis at Ockham Research is based upon the principle known as Ockham's Razor, named for the 14th-century Franciscan friar, William of Ockham. The principle states that a useful theory should utilize as few elements as possible because efficiency is valuable. In this spirit, our goal is to make the investing environment as simple and understandable as possible, yet no simpler than is necessary. We utilize this straightforward approach to value over 5500 US securities, with key emphasis given to the study of an individual securities' price-to-sales, price-to-cash earnings and other historical valuation ranges. Our long term value investing methodology is powered by the teachings of Ben Graham and it has proven to be very adept at identifying stock prices that are out of line with fundamental factors.
Ockham Research provides its research in a variety of forms and products including our company specific reports, portfolio analytics tools, newsletters, and blog posts. For more information about our range of products and services available please visit Ockham Research (http://www.ockhamresearch.com/) for more information or to sign up for our free weekly Enterprising Investor's Guide Newsletter here (http://www.ockhamresearch.com/Member/Registration/).
Jeffrey Saut is Chief Investment Strategist and Managing Director of Equity Research at Raymond James & Associates.
Mr. Saut began his career on a trading desk in New York City. In 1973, he joined E.F . Hutton, where he began following equities and writing research. He subsequently worked as a securities analyst for Wheat First Securities, and then Branch Cabell, where he ran the equity research group as director of research and acted as portfolio manager for the firm's affiliate, Exeter Capital Management. As director of research, he built the research and institutional sales departments for the regional brokerage firm Ferris, Baker and Watts, Inc. and subsequently Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.
Mr. Saut is well known for his insightful and colorful commentary regarding the stock market, and he makes regular media appearances.
Note: Mr. Saut is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Mr. Saut's public commentary.
Erwan Mahe is an asset allocation and options strategies adviser for the largest European Asset Management firms.
Publishing macro-economic research, he has been managing leading European financial brokers since 1987, and sold his company, Paresco Futures, to the OTCexgroup in 2005.
He is now there in charge of large institutional investors.
Retired CEO and CFO of several public companies in the fields of energy, telecom and dot.com start-up and entrepreneur creating several small private companies. A serious student of the markets and avid reader looking for trends, the stories behind the headlines and most of all the truth about economic activity not reported by the main stream media and gov't.
MagicDiligence provides useful, simple, and effective stock screening tools inspired by Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula® Investing methodology. Our Spells give value and growth investors a list of great stock candidates every day, and our advanced Spell Caster lets you create the Magic-style stock screen you've always wanted! Learn more about our exclusive set of investing tools today!
Tim Iacono is the founder of the investment website 'Iacono Research', a subscription service providing market commentary and investment advisory services specializing in natural resources.
He also writes a financial blog known as 'The Mess That Greenspan Made', a sometimes irreverent look at the many and varied after-effects of the Greenspan term at the Federal Reserve.
Use the links below to visit Tim's website/blog.
Formerly: John Galt.
The majority of my capital is invested in Dividend Growth stocks. I also enjoy searching for the next big thing.
To grade my investment decisions: I've usually been able to "buy low", but I've often sold out too early. I'm firmly against losing money. I have no problem with building up my portfolio slow and steady. After the 2008 Financial crisis I've been much more macro focused instead of being more of a stock picker.
I love a good stock debate, looking at the best bull case, best bear case and picking my side. I believe in doing your own due diligence! I enjoy reading finance/stock market books among other things.
Love traveling, and always have my eye out for the next investment idea when at home or abroad.
The Mole (pseudonym) is a man in the know. I don't trade for a living, but instead work for a well-known Irish institution, heading a desk that regularly trades over €100 million a day. I aim to provide top quality, up-to-date and relevant market news and data, so that traders can make more informed decisions.
Visit The Mole's blog (http://www.paddypowertrader.com/blog/index.php/category/market-watch/).
“Sold At TheTop” is the snarky pseudonym for the organic blogger that maintains the reasonably popular and, dare I say, possibly even slightly influential web log PaperEconomy (www.papereconomy.com).
“Sold”, as he prefers to be called (especially by his wife under certain saucy circumstances… mmmm…) is not a professional economist, analyst or stock trader and has neither been trained in finance nor statistics.
What Sold offers is a dedicated and serious passion for macroeconomic analysis and further, for the creation of striking, some say even artistic, visualizations of macroeconomic data. Though not a “perma-bear” Sold is very bearish about the current state and future of the American economy subscribing whole heartedly to notion that the recent financial crisis is but the second act of an immense systemic unwind that commenced, more or less, in the year 2000.
Sold is NOT A PESSIMIST by nature but a true skeptic and a realist that prefers solid and sustained evidence of fundamental economic recovery to “Goldilocks”, “Green Shoots”, “Mustard Seeds” and wholesale speculation. Further, Sold believes that the evidence for rational and efficient markets as well as collective wisdom is scant.
In his spare time Sold works as an independent software consultant spewing out cutting edge code like he’s spraying silly string.
Vitaliy N. Katsenelson, CFA, is Chief Investment Officer at Investment Management Associates in Denver, Colo. He is the author of Active Value Investing (Wiley) and The Little Book of Sideways Markets (Wiley).
His books were translated into eight languages. Forbes Magazine called him "The new Benjamin Graham". To receive Vitaliy’s future articles by email or read his articles click here.