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  • The Oil Rally Will Continue, Don't Let ETF Underperformance Limit Your Profits [View article]
    Contango works but will only be visible with a sharp move. A choppy move will cause a g greater volatility decay
    Apr 28, 2015. 08:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Nasdaq Almost At All-Time High: Not A Bubble [View article]
    Also a count of the many predicting a crash right around the corner in the last six years.
    Apr 28, 2015. 08:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Preparing For The Next Market Collapse [View article]
    Wonder how that is possible if he has his assets in hundreds of banks across multiple continents?
    Apr 27, 2015. 11:50 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • VXX Vs. XIV: Enhancing Profitability In The Volatility Sector [View article]
    What kind of technical signals? Stochastics and MA's part of the game?
    Apr 23, 2015. 09:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • An Extended Period Of Contango Has Left Volatility Down In The Dumps [View article]
    How about selling calls on your uvxy and the dollar equivalent on tvix
    Apr 21, 2015. 08:59 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • American Exceptionalism And Minimum Wage [View article]
    "Throughout recorded time, and probably since the end of the Neolithic Age, there have been three kinds of people in the world, the High, the Middle, and the Low. They have been subdivided in many ways, they have borne countless different names, and their relative numbers, as well as their attitude towards one another, have varied from age to age: but the essential structure of society has never altered. Even after enormous upheavals and seemingly irrevocable changes, the same pattern has always reasserted itself, just as a gyroscope will always return to equilibrium, however far it is pushed one way or the other.

    The aims of these three groups are entirely irreconcilable. The aim of the High is to remain where they are. The aim of the Middle is to change places with the High. The aim of the Low, when they have an aim - for it is an abiding characteristic of the Low that they are too much crushed by drudgery to be more than intermittently conscious of anything outside their daily lives - is to abolish all distinctions and create a society in which all men shall be equal"

    Quote from 1984 and very much applicable to modern society and history in general.

    Today's high are executives, politicians, there's a small and constantly shrinking middle class and an overwhelming people who can be considered the 'low' making possibly 50k or less a year.

    No matter the reforms or government or what shape society takes these three classes will always exist and be divided, if we boost minimum wage to 25 then that will be an unlivable wage as everything else will be inflated.
    Apr 17, 2015. 09:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Natural Gas Falls Off The Edge Of The Cliff [View article]
    Do you expect any kind of bounce of these new lows before we keep dropping swiftly to your 2.16 support level?
    Apr 13, 2015. 07:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • There Will Be No Oil Storage Crisis In 2015 [View article]
    Icc, yours sounds like an interesting strategy, is their a way to a proximate your futures spEads with Etfs┬┐ I suppose that it would be a disadvantage implementing with etfs due to the aforementioned decay and contango
    Mar 27, 2015. 01:50 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Daily State Of The Markets: Crosswinds Remain Strong In This Market [View article]
    Or it could be another 'buy the dip' opportunity.....
    Mar 25, 2015. 04:36 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Contrarian Delight: Maybe Last Chance To Invest Or Hedge With UVXY At All Time Lows [View article]
    Nice insights John, what kind of timeframe is this PF target price based on if any?
    Mar 23, 2015. 04:00 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Fracking Backlog And Iran: Why Oil Will Not Break $55 Until 2016-17 [View article]
    yesterday would have been a good day to short it
    Mar 18, 2015. 05:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Natural Gas: A Rebound To 4/MMBtu And Higher Is Not Out Of The Question [View article]
    Actually contango and decay work in your favor, if you figure out a way to short both UGAZ and DGAZ. Add to positions going against you, eventually these drop back down and you end up pocketing a gain.
    Mar 18, 2015. 12:47 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • USO: A "Double Play" On Oil [View instapost]
    Great explanations Ken.

    One question, and i'm an option newbie so it may be obvious but here it goes.

    If USO goes higher than 18, why do you keep selling the 18 calls? Why not adjust to 19 or 20 ect?
    Mar 13, 2015. 02:36 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Natural Gas Poised For Extended Rally As Bears Have Overplayed Their Hand [View article]
    However when you are short these vehicles, you profit from that leverage induced decay.

    Example: Dgaz compare values on 10th feb. to today, still a few % off.

    But UGAZ is pretty much at those levels, so a short UGAZ position would have done better than a long DGAZ during this time period.
    Feb 26, 2015. 12:56 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • THE PLAN [View instapost]
    Rock, Thanks for your continued research and findings.

    One question I have is how does your strategy handle whipsaws? Seems like in a straight up/down environment it does great. But these last couple months have shown us that it's not always straight forward up/down.

    So first draw after 12/29 high, you go long, or do you short the recovery? What if it's a V-shaped recovery you short?

    What happens when your long, lets say you go long after 2nd draw on 1/16, just to see the market turn on 1/23. Do you just hang on at that point? Switch back?
    Feb 24, 2015. 10:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment