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  • The U.S. Stock Market Will Charge Higher [View article]
    Crash of 1987?
    Jun 21, 2015. 09:44 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Bears Have It Both Ways! [View article]
    In 1974 my father was 67 years old. Shortly after his birthday the stock market declined 40%. May this bull market continue forever!
    May 10, 2015. 11:22 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Pent-Up Housing Demand Meets Reticent Supply: A Focus On Oakland, CA [View article]
    Housing is still overpriced. By this, I don't mean it is in one of those trite bubbles: rather, few people can afford the homes for sale.
    Apr 19, 2015. 10:44 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Truth About Falling Oil: Demand Destruction [View article]
    Apr 14, 2015. 05:58 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Exxon Mobil - The Company That Buys High And Sells Low [View article]
    If I could bequeath 100 shares of a dow 30 company to my grandchildren, but had to choose a single company.........
    Apr 4, 2015. 05:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Pull Out Because Of A Pullback: A Look At The S&P 500 Index [View article]
    The final surge is coming. Good luck to all.
    Mar 14, 2015. 11:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Comeback Quarter [View article]
    Absolutely. As long as we have central bankers pushing interest rates below zero, this market could go on forever. I doubt anyone invested will ever have to work for a living. Hail to the Fed!
    Feb 21, 2015. 08:32 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Time To Cheer Or A Time To Cry [View article]
    Buying the dip will fail eventually with unexpected and catastrophic consequences. Invest with confidence.
    Feb 1, 2015. 04:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Time To Cheer Or A Time To Cry [View article]
    Jan 31, 2015. 04:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Exxon Mobil Is Positioning Itself To Become A Shale Giant [View article]
    The thesis that Exxon Mobil would acquire shale oil assets is a very attractive one. Questions about the price of oil are irrelevant to this thesis. Rather, the acquisition cost is all that matters. Why?
    In my opinion, a large integrated oil company maintains its leverage on the market by owning huge reservoirs of oil that can be brought to market at reasonably low cost. Then, the refinery business and oil products can be sold at a competitive and profitable price. The kicker here is that if other oil producers keep the spigots flowing, a company like Exxon would just buy the crude on the open market, e at a lower price and profit from selling you and me cheaper gas while sparing their own reserves. And, should a producer restrict output, the large integrated company could then buffer any oil shock by tapping into their reserves.
    The Standard Oil Trust drove down the cost of Kerosine from 1.50 a gallon to 15 cents a gallon over a couple of decades. Don't think Exxon Mobil needs a higher cost of oil to make its profit. Rather, given enough reserves, the opposite could prove true.
    Jan 29, 2015. 11:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Time To Sell The S&P 500 [View article]
    As long as the world is awash in debt, the risk of calamitous downturn magnifies disproportionately to the already advancing odds of a market correction: the longer we go without a good 10 to 20 % sell off, the greater the chance of a 40 to 60 % disaster. Debt will evaporate via forced liquidation.
    Jan 24, 2015. 01:16 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Deflationary Side Effect Of Central Bank Policy May Threaten U.S. Equities [View article]
    Too many houses? When those houses are relatively expensive to build, who will buy them during a downturn? If they are already built, they will just stay unoccupied. Just because people need shelter is not a justification. When money is too cheap, financing put people in houses they could not afford. It is a little like making too many Mercedes and Cadillacs and wondering why people can't afford to drive.
    Jan 18, 2015. 11:09 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Many Rigs Have To Be Removed From The US Shale Oil Fields To Balance Supply And Demand In The Oil Market? [View article]
    User, I agree many people are just throwing their money at these over sized SUVs again. But, unlike previous oil price declines, we now have some serious choices to reduce the amount of money we spend for all petroleum based products. For me, my money did not come easily; I do not want to waste it. Others may feel differently, but as our society develops some empowerment over the issue, it will become as natural to buy the most fuel efficient car/truck for your transportation needs as to turn out the lights when heading to bed.
    Jan 3, 2015. 11:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed Abandons Stock Markets In 2015, Watch Out [View article]
    If the economy is doing so well, how can interest rates be so low? In other words, if the economy is growing at an expanding rate, the demand for capital should increase and with it the cost to borrow and the profits from lending, rather than "parking" it in passive instruments such as the stock and bond markets. Something is wrong out there, very wrong indeed. Good luck to all in 2015. May all your predictions come true.
    Jan 3, 2015. 11:19 AM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Many Rigs Have To Be Removed From The US Shale Oil Fields To Balance Supply And Demand In The Oil Market? [View article]
    And, demand will continue to fall with each price spike. Soon, we shall all drive hybrids or electrics.
    Jan 3, 2015. 01:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment