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faramarz

faramarz
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  • Apple: A Look At The Chart, Historical Comparisons, And Academia [View article]
    you cannot compare apples and oranges. Apple has a P/E of 11 others' lowest P/E at their peak was 70
    Dec 17 04:23 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Over 2M iPhone 5 units have been sold thus far in China, Apple (AAPL) boasts. China Unicom's (CHU) healthy pre-order activity probably had a lot to do with this figure. Sparse crowds for the Friday launch stoked fears initial sales were light, but weather and pre-ordering requirements seem to have played a role. For reference, Apple announced in September over 5M iPhone 5 units had been sold 3 days after the device went on sale in the U.S., Japan, and 7 other locales. (PR[View news story]
    pman6, You are right. Up to now, only apple has innovated. Others have followed with some evolutions more or less identical to Apple's. The problem is that, those who have never innovated anything want Apple to innovate faster & faster.
    Even so there weren't revolutionary changes, the IP5 is much better in many ways than the IP4S.
    I've never seen a crowd waiting the launch of a product other than Apple's. Will they be happy if there were riots & peuple injured ?
    Dec 17 03:50 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Over 2M iPhone 5 units have been sold thus far in China, Apple (AAPL) boasts. China Unicom's (CHU) healthy pre-order activity probably had a lot to do with this figure. Sparse crowds for the Friday launch stoked fears initial sales were light, but weather and pre-ordering requirements seem to have played a role. For reference, Apple announced in September over 5M iPhone 5 units had been sold 3 days after the device went on sale in the U.S., Japan, and 7 other locales. (PR[View news story]
    Fully agree with u. have seen article of the same person saying completely opposite things depending on the trend.
    Dec 17 03:14 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Over 2M iPhone 5 units have been sold thus far in China, Apple (AAPL) boasts. China Unicom's (CHU) healthy pre-order activity probably had a lot to do with this figure. Sparse crowds for the Friday launch stoked fears initial sales were light, but weather and pre-ordering requirements seem to have played a role. For reference, Apple announced in September over 5M iPhone 5 units had been sold 3 days after the device went on sale in the U.S., Japan, and 7 other locales. (PR[View news story]
    Correction : between 580-630 fundamentals pointed on "Hold" but now point clearly on "Strong Buy". In 400s they will point on "Dont miss it this time again".
    Dec 17 03:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Over 2M iPhone 5 units have been sold thus far in China, Apple (AAPL) boasts. China Unicom's (CHU) healthy pre-order activity probably had a lot to do with this figure. Sparse crowds for the Friday launch stoked fears initial sales were light, but weather and pre-ordering requirements seem to have played a role. For reference, Apple announced in September over 5M iPhone 5 units had been sold 3 days after the device went on sale in the U.S., Japan, and 7 other locales. (PR[View news story]
    Agree with u on the principle of buying low & selling high. But i dont think that your cristal ball shows more than mine which never shows anything. Unless you come with some logic & fundamental arguments for your trading decisions prior to the downwards or upwards of the stock, you are not serious.
    When Apple reached 700s, the price had gone too & far & to fast manipulated by the same guys that manipulate it today. It was predictable by the fundamentals as it is predictable today by the same fundamentals.
    The price may go down in 400s but since 600s fundamentals dont say anything just the cristal ball is needed. It seems you got it.
    Dec 17 03:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Apple's Current Price Is Justified [View article]
    I dont understand quite well yr numbers after year 6+
    Dec 16 02:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Chart Flashes Bubble Crash Warning [View article]
    You say :
    "Microsoft (MSFT) went through a bubble in a prior time. We extracted the Microsoft chart without scales as we did for Apple and created this chart overlay with the peak price of Microsoft aligned with the peak so far for Apple.
    There is no proof here, but there may be a tell. The rising side of the Apple chart is eerily similar to the rising side of the Microsoft chart. Microsoft entered a parabolic price rise and crashed from there."

    None sense. the price patterns & the so called technical (which have nothing of technicality) refer to past performances which have nothing to do with future behavior of a stock. The so called technical &/or pattern analysis induct actions which in turn influences the pattern.
    The patterns u have chosen are manipulated in 2 ways (the scales) in ordre to fit the Apple pattern. If u use the same scales for all of them then slide them to just fit the peak u will not have the same coverage.
    To complete yr analysis, u should have used the P/E patterns. Then u will see that most of yr other stocks, UNLIKE APPLE, had a P/E parabolic pattern right when their price pattern was also parabolic .
    Dec 16 08:44 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's Achilles' Heel: Samsung Has An Arrow Pointed Straight At It [View article]
    After reading this article we can conclude on 2 facts :
    Either the author is honest, then he doesn't know what he is talking about (i dont beliebe on this assumption) or, he is trying to manipulate readers by false, fractional & one sided statistics & the illusion of a technology in the first stages of laboratory development & far from industrial production.
    As to Ipad statistics, it refers to the global Ipad market which is sure growing much more than the Ipad sales But : a) Only Apple & Samsung (to a lesser extend) are making money with their tablets. Others are losing money & will soon disappear except the Kindle fire.
    Dec 13 04:39 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Look Out Below: Apple's Unit Profits Are Falling [View article]
    Comparing Quarterly "unit profit" is a none sense because of higher fixed cost on lower volume & product launch's higher cost. If one wants to get any information from the "unit profit" values, he must take the yearly averages. Those for the last 4 years were: 2009 : $135.5; 2010: $167,8 (+23,8%); 2011: $206,1 (+22,9%) & 2012: $233,6 (+13,3%).
    Please find me a company selling each year more than the previous one in terms of volume & revenue and, managing his production cost so well that its "unit profit" increases each year. And still trading at a meagre P/E of 11. There is just one : Apple.
    If you had forecasted $480/S somewhere between now & 1st jan. I would have told you that you are pessimistic but this may happen due to short terme factors. But one year price target of $480 is just ridiculous if we dont go through another mega recession period such as 2008-2009.
    Dec 12 10:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Chart Flashes Bubble Crash Warning [View article]
    Fully agree with you. It will be instructive to know the P/E & Gross of those compagnies during the parabolic raise. The overall market is also important. Apple is trading at P/E of 10.5 & at the peak the P/E was only 16.
    Dec 11 12:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is A Chance To Buy Apple At $400 Coming Soon? [View article]
    I'll add : No one else has come yet with a revolutionary product. They all copy Apple. Still the analysts pretend Apple products are evolutionary. Omitting to tell that, those are evolution of a revolutionary products where others, just produce fake evolution of Apple copied products.
    Dec 11 06:25 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Value Play Or Value Trap? [View article]
    I'am sure you buy high & sell low following the noise no matter fundamentals.
    I first bought Apple at $4, then accumulated at each dip: at 9, 55,135, 90, 250, 380, & a few days back at 515. Never sold a single share despite several dips. I don't have a cristal ball to predict those dips neither i can say where are the picks. But fundamentals tell me that picks will erase the dips. It is surely not a never ending story but as long as the company is managed well and they sell every item they produce, i'am fine with the stock.
    You may tell me that i could have gained more by selling at the pick at buying at the dip. I did it twice. Once i got the pick right & the second time i got it wrong & was obliged to pay more for the same number of shares.
    Dips are easier to predict because fundamentals tell you where they are. At &700 (PE=16 & PEG=0,8) Apple was not expensive. But it turned out to be a pick because of many other factors (noise) independent of the fundamentals.
    Dec 8 06:52 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's Valuation Is Very Reasonable [View article]
    Thankx Richard for this specific correction of the cash equivalent in treasury bonds not being accounted in the P/E ex cash given in the article.
    It is amazing to see how one can manipulate accounting numbers & oriente the conclusion to what he is aiming at, even at the cost of being dishonest by forgetting deliberately such a determining numbers In the process.
    Every investor is not familiar with accounting & such a manipulator can, unfortunately, influence his decision despite of the additional disclosure". Here is why your reminder is so valuable.

    Dec 4 06:08 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Bottom Target Hit, And New All-Time Highs Coming [View article]
    You reply only to one part of the post ignoring the rest of it. A post shall be taken & replied to as a whole.
    You shall tell us how your algorithm is constructed so that we can have a constructive mathematical discussion on that.
    The most evident conclusion of your article is that you are +/- reasoning as a trend trader while i'm, like many others, an investor with a 1 to 5 years view but willing to protect my investment by being sure that fundamentals are/continue to be good. My trading porto-folio is 10% of my investing one.
    Your calculating algorithm interests me as i'm looking for a better wat to but i must first understand.
    Dec 2 09:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Bottom Target Hit, And New All-Time Highs Coming [View article]
    I'am curious to know what is the associated formula to Fibonacci & which kind of interaction matrix u use. But again, any projection of the combined formula in the future is not valid. Past performances does not say anything about the future stock value.
    A valid prediction is only based on fundamentals & risk factors. One should try not to buy when the stock is at the top but, who can say with mathematical accuracy when a stock has picked. A successful investor may also be the one who does not miss the up-going trend.
    Dec 1 04:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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