I run a model fund at Ken Kam's Marketocracy, where they do capital management using the best member mutual fund track records with extensive tabulations of alpha, beta, R-squared, and many other fund management evaluations. Marketocracy Capital Management offers SMA (Separately Managed Accounts) through FOLIOfn Institutional ($100,000 minimum accounts) set up to track the top 15 or so long-term track records (many 12 years plus) of the 30000 or so active members that run models at their site. My fund is one of those top models available for SMAs. My SMA investment fund now has a first year performance with double digit alpha. You can see the fund's performance chart at marketocracy.com (the Turtle Fund - symbol BPMF) and there is one in my profile over at TalkMarkets.
My fund methodology is high diversification, usually running around 40-60 stocks from many different sectors. I rarely weight any position much over 5%. I began at Marketocracy developing an analysis method I've labeled The Fractal Base Flow Model. I've been experimenting with variations of my basic methodology with 4 other funds and a 5th where I try new things. With my first and main model fund BPMF (Bruce Pile's Mutual Fund) I did my basic method for the first 7 years or so with an alpha over 30, then strayed a little into other analysis methods that did not work as well. For the SMA, I am using the methods proven to work well.
Marketocracy is a new way of investing that solves a lot of the problems in the industry today. When investors nowadays survey their options, they are perplexed by the mish mash of risk and fees. In mutual funds, you have regulated safety where managers must diversify with less than 10% of your money in any one name in the top of your weightings scheme, making for at least around 20 stocks at any one time. The SEC also prohibits the risk of leverage and investing in dangerous derivatives, etc. But this safety is typically viewed as a tradeoff with performance vs hedge funds, where all the dangerous stuff is allowed. But the sad result of all this danger is that most hedge funds fail. The average life of a hedge fund that makes it past the first year is just 5 years. More than two thirds of all hedge funds that ever existed are now dead. There is the fund of funds option, but the high turnover means that even they must select an all new portfolio of funds about every 5 years. This makes selecting proven long-term performers virtually impossible. A fund of hedge funds will typically not only charge the high hedge fund fees of 1%-4% management fee plus 15%-25% of your returns, but will also charge fees for running the fund of funds. They pile complication upon complication and charge you for it. "Oh, and the hedge fund industry as a whole hasn’t produced alpha/added value to simple portfolios for years, since its assets under management ballooned." [FTalphaville] With typical leverage, that has grown over 15 years from around 20% to over 40% now, you get 40%more risk than mutual fund rules with no significant added performance, just more costs. And because that added leverage risk is so often concentrated in the same areas by all the large funds, inducing systemic risk, when those bets go wrong they can go very wrong. With all the above, an investor must live with the risk of having just one fund manager, or picker of rotating funds in a fund of funds. Imagine a place where you could go to sign up for an account where you could review track records and styles and risk levels of not just one guy, but up to 15 or so, and check on your account signup form how you want to spread your money among these guys. And imagine that all these managers have had to compile top ranked hedge fund performance levels for up to 15 years under the safety level of SEC rules for mutual funds. And imagine you could get all this at roughly cost of a mutual fund. It would be like opening an account and checking the names of Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, and all your favorite hedge fund managers to gang tackle your investment objectives. And as in any team sport, if one guy hits a cold streak, the others will carry him. No dependence on one manager. Well there is such a place - Marketocracy Capital Management. Here, thousands of people from all walks of life, from retired and active fund managers to ordinary individual investors, compete online with virtual funds. If your track record qualifies, you can open a GIPS account for real money tracking of your model fund and have client accounts track your model. My fund is one of those, ticker BPMF. FOLIOfn Institutional can open a client SMA where you can pick and choose from the best of the best long-term performers. To look into this: Phone: 1-877-462-4180 email: email@example.com web: marketocracy.com
I have more than 10 years experience investing in commodities and hard assets such as gold and silver miners, exploration companies, oil and gas producers, MLPs, and various other sectors.
Nick Barisheff, author of $10,000 Gold: Why Gold's Inevitable Rise Is the Investors Safe Haven, is the founder, President and CEO of Bullion Management Group Inc. (BMG), a company dedicated to providing investors with a secure, cost-effective, transparent way to purchase and hold physical bullion. BMG is an Associate Member of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and the Responsible Investment Assosciation (RIA). Widely recognized as an international bullion expert, Nick has written numerous articles on bullion and current market trends that are published on various news and business websites. He has appeared on BNN, CBC, CNBC and Sun Media, and has been interviewed for countless articles published in leading business publications across North America, Europe and Asia.
Four female investors and one Dachshund.
We no longer trade equities. Heidi and Desiree's interests are in the fields of global water distribution, agriculture, and timberland. Clarissa and Helga manage strategies of certain hard assets, predominantly the PGM metals group.
While our names (Heidi, Helga, Clarissa and Desiree) may not be our real names, Schnitzel the Dachshund's name really is "Schnitzel the Dachshund."
Avi Gilburt is a lawyer and accountant by training. He formerly was a partner and National Director at a national firm.
Mr. Gilburt is also the Managing Member of Gilburt Financial Services, LLC, which provides:
- Financial market analysis to the public through ElliottWaveTrader.net;
- Elliott Wave market analysis to institutional clients;
- Specific stock analysis to retail clients; and
- Webinars and personal coaching on Elliott Wave analysis.
He is also the Managing Member of the of the consulting firm of Gilburt & Associates, LLC, which specializes in transaction structuring and tax services.
Cited by Barron's as one of the top financial websites to visit on the weekend, Financial Sense (www.financialsense.com) provides educational resources to the broad public audience through a daily podcast, editorials, current news and resource links on salient financial market issues. Begun in 1985 as a local talk radio program, Financial Sense Newshour (www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour) is a weekly webcast with host Jim Puplava and top financial thinkers. Writing staff of Financial Sense includes: Jim Puplava, Chris Puplava, Ryan Puplava, and Cris Sheridan.
The James Fund at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute is a student managed fund established through an independent studies course offered at the Lally Business School in which its students are provided the opportunity to expand knowledge they’ve obtained primarily in the quantitative finance field to gain practical real-world fund management and security analysis experience. The fund invests predominantly in Exchanged Trade Funds (ETFs) and offers some of its analysis on ETF strategies through Seeking Alpha.
RPI's Student Managed Fund does not manage money for outside clients. Alumni and interested parties are encouraged to make donations to the fund capital through http://giving.rpi.edu/. Please specify that your donation is intended for the James Student Managed Fund at the Lally School of Management.
Taylor Dart is a top contributor on Seeking Alpha in both the long ideas and basic materials section of the website. He has over 10 years of experience in active investing and currently holds a top #100 ranking on TipRanks.com for investment performance out of over 5,200 financial bloggers. Taylor has over 10 years of active investing in individual stocks with a compound annual growth rate of 15 percent per year. His main focus is on undervalued growth stocks outperforming the market and their peers. In addition he use extensive technical analysis to capture maximum upside price action, as his belief is that timing is everything. Taylor scans upwards of 1200 stocks nightly on the U.S. and Canadian markets to identify the best fundamental opportunities with the most timely technical setups. He is a huge proponent of trend following and the "Turtles" who enjoyed compound annual growth rates of over 80 percent per year.
"If there is a sudden range expansion in a market that has been trading narrowly, human nature is to try and fade that price move. When you get a range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion.” - Paul Tudor Jones
"While a fundamental analyst may be able to properly evaluate the economics underlying a stock, I do not believe they can predict how the masses will process this same information. Ultimately, it is the dollar-weighted collective opinion of all market participants that determines whether a stock goes up or down. This consensus is revealed by analyzing price."
Mark Abraham , Quantitative Capital Management, L.P.
"Profit targets imply a trader can predict the future. Profit targets are profit-limiting. Trend followers stay in the moment of now, avoid prognostication, and let markets run as far as they go. "
Thomas Vician, Jr.
"We can’t always take advantage of a particular period. But in an uncertain world, perhaps the investment philosophy that makes the most sense, if you study the implications carefully, is trend following. Trend following consists of buying high and selling low. For 19 years we have consistently bought high and sold low. If trends were not the underlying nature of markets, our type of trading would have very quickly put us out of business. It wouldn’t take 19 years or even 19 months of buying high and selling low ALL of the time to bankrupt you. But trends are an integral, underlying reality in life. How can someone buy high and sell low and be successful for two decades unless the underlying nature of markets is to trend? On the other hand, I’ve seen year-after-year, brilliant men buying low and selling high for a while successfully and then going broke because they thought they understood why a certain investment instrument had to perform in accordance with their personal logic. "
John W. Henry
*For Elazar's Research on SA hit "Follow." and click "Real-time alerts on this author" for real time.
*Elazar is run by Chaim Siegel who worked for SAC Capital, JLF Asset and Morgan Stanley Asset Management as an analyst and portfolio manager. Elazar has served clients in the $100mm-$10B asset range.
*Elazar's premium research Your Trading Team:
In Your Trading Team we supplement our fundamental work you see on SA with a unique methodology to let you know when the market is about to agree or disagree; When to be in or out on multiple securities.
We follow SPY, Oil, GLD, SLV, UNG, XIV, XLV, XLF, XLI, EFA, CYB, WEAT, SOXX, IAU, FXY, TLT, BAL and many other securities with strong historical model results.
*Use our method to have a clear simple gameplan that you can stick to and be in when the market agrees and know when to be out when it doesn't.
*Weekly SPY Model Historic Performance 56% in three years through July. All of the securities we closely follow have a strong model track record to support our fundamental work.
*Client requests on many tickers, directions, stops and breakout confirmation prices.
*Nearby and meaningful stop losses that help you get out of your trade at the right time and keep you in a good trade longer.
*Align fundamentals and technicals.
*Click for information about: Your Trading Team on Seeking Alpha.
Past performance can not predict future performance. Capital invested is capital at risk and especially when leverage is used large, some if not all of the principal can be lost. Please consult your financial advisor if such a service is right for you. The performance data shown includes back-tested past performance, which is not a guarantee of future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data cited. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations unlike actual performance record. Real time performance is in the process of being compiled in Your Trading Team on Seeking Alpha.
Invested in R.E.,futures, stks., options, etc. Won some, lost some. Bought LLY&WMT in '85 when they still had stk. splits. Had LLY called away at 65 & WMT at 55, both were over a 20 bagger. Looking for same results on my silver stocks, which I consider the greatest investment opportunity of a lifetime..
I'm a trader who trades both short-term and long-term. I started my career as a day-trader for a trading firm, but then turned to longer time frames and went on my own to manage my portfolio.
I use technical analysis as well as fundamental analysis in my research.
Nothing I write should be considered investment advice. Only you can decide if any specific financial asset, security, allocation, opinion, idea, etc. is best for your financial portfolio.
Author of two books, available here, Options Strategies Every Investor Should Know and The 5 Fundamentals of Building a Retirement Portfolio (both available in paperback and eBook).
Ian Bezek worked for 3 years as an analyst at a New York-based hedge fund. He's currently living in Mexico, pursuing some entrepreneurial opportunities.
Feel free to contact him regarding investments, writing, or speaking opportunities.
Frank Holmes is CEO and chief investment officer of U.S. Global Investors, Inc., a boutique investment advisory firm based in San Antonio that manages domestic and offshore funds specializing in the natural resources and emerging markets sectors. The company’s no-load mutual funds include the Global Resources Fund (PSPFX), the World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) and the Gold and Precious Metals Fund (USERX). For more insight and perspective from Mr. Holmes, please visit his investment blog, “Frank Talk” (http://www.usfunds.com/investor-resources/frank-talk/).
Marc has a quarter of a century's experience in the mining-oriented venture capital marketplace as a former professional trader and as a research analyst and journalist. He continues to work as a business writer covering small cap and emerging growth stocks.
I work within the trading and money management industry. I have been trading and investing for several years. My style is technical execution with a fundamental thesis in place. Education includes a bachelor and master's degree in finance.
Caiman Valores is a Colombian based independent investigations and risk management consultancy. It specializes in South American listed companies and conducting regional economic and risk assessments. The principal of Caiman Valores "Matthew Smith" has over a decade of experience in the investment industry. During that time he worked in investment and risk management, investment advisory and corporate strategy. Over the years, he has spent considerable time analyzing investment solutions as well as designing and implementing risk management frameworks for two global banking institutions. Prior to embarking on a career in financial services he built a career in the field of risk management for government security agencies. He has travelled extensively through South America, speaks Spanish and enjoys learning about new cultures and languages as well as travel and adventure. Matthew has a Master of Business Law from the University of Sydney as well as a Master of Arts in International Relations and a Bachelor Degree in Political Science and Economics from the University of New South Wales. Please feel free to contact him regarding investments, writing, or speaking opportunities via email at firstname.lastname@example.org.
As I'm a long-term investor, I'll highlight some stockpicks which will have a 5-7 year investment horizon. As I strongly believe a portfolio should consist of a mixture of dividend-paying stocks and growth stocks, my articles will reflect my thoughts on this mixture.
"It's not what you know that gets you into trouble, it's what you know for sure, that just ain't so" - Mark Twain
I look for stocks in places:
-Nobody is looking
-Everyone is panicking
-Something structural creates an opportunity.
Follow me if you want original ideas, many of which are not covered by others on SA. I'm more than happy to interact with all my followers, so feel free to reach out.
I'm a senior student majoring in financial markets at HEC Montreal, in september I successfully completed level 1 of the CAIA and CFA programs
Dr. Chris Martenson is an independent economist and author of a popular website, ChrisMartenson.com. His Crash Course video series explores the intertwining significance of the “three E’s”—the economy, energy, and environment and offers articulate, dynamic insight into the workings of our monetary system.
Chris earned a PhD in neurotoxicology from Duke University, and an MBA from Cornell University. His background as an educator helps him animate complex material with wisdom and humor. A fellow of the Post Carbon Institute, Chris’s work has appeared on PBS and been cited by the Washington Post. He is a contributor to the Huffington Post and FinancialSense.com.
Chris is an accomplished presenter who has offered the Crash Course seminar all over the United States. The online course has been translated into several languages, and been viewed nearly a million times. His website offers ongoing commentary and rigorously factual analysis into financial and energy-related issues and events as they unfold.
Jeffrey Nichols, Managing Director of American Precious Metals Advisors, has been a leading gold and precious metals economist for over 25 years. His clients have included central banks, mining companies, national mints, investment funds, trading firms, jewelry manufacturers and others with an interest in precious metals markets.
Avery B. Goodman is a licensed attorney concentrating in securities law related cases. He holds a B.A. from Emory University, where he concentrated on history and economics. He also holds a Juris Doctorate degree from the University of California at Los Angeles Law School and is a member of the Bar, licensed to practice law in several jurisdictions.
Mr. Goodman serves on the roster of neutral arbitrators of the National Futures Association (NFA) and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). His career has consisted not only of prosecuting cases on behalf of clients, but also in sitting in judgment on the cases involving others, and making important decisions on intra-industry and customer disputes.
An independent investor for decades, Mr. Goodman has observed that markets are being subjected to frighteningly high levels of disinformation. Investors desperately need to hear logic, reason and common sense. For that reason, he is now sharing thoughts with the community.
Founder and Lead Analyst at Lone Wolf Publications Ltd (www.lonewolftrader.com).
I also manage a private investment portfolio full time, and also provide mutual fund analysis and buy recommendations to individual investors managing their own investments.
I trade for myself via ETFs and futures markets, with interests in commodities generally and a special interest in precious metals.
Already as a kid, Koos remembers being intrigued by economics, but never thought of studying it at university as he had many other interests. He instead embarked on a career as sound engineer for movies in 2002 recording sound on set for feature films, TV-series and commercials.
Koos became interested in precious metals in 2009, after the global credit crisis erupted. Koos' passion for economics was immediately re-triggered reading books in that period and he shortly thereafter started to write blog articles from a perspective of Austrian economics.
In January 2013, Koos was no longer able to perform his regular job. Being housebound he began researching the Chinese gold market extensively. Koos found that massive amounts of physical gold were being withdrawn from the vaults of the Shanghai Gold Exchange. Koos started a blog covering Chinese gold market developments as no one else in the West covered this area with huge geopolitical implications for the world. Koos discovered how the redistribution of gold, and thus redistribution of economic power, from West to East was thoughtfully designed by the Chinese leadership and the Chinese central bank.
Blogger at www.BullionStar.com
Former CEO of Mining Journal Ltd. and subsequently Editor and General Manager of Mineweb.com - a position relinquished in October 2012 to continue as a freelance writer. Graduate mining engineer from London's Royal School of Mines (part of London University) - has worked on gold, platinum and uranium mines in South Africa, copper in Zambia, uranium in Canada and holds a South African Mine Manager's Certificate. Joined Mining Journal originally as Financial Editor and worked for the company for over 30 years spending 13 years as CEO. Particular follower of the gold and platinum market and has written numerous articles on precious metals for Mining Journal and Mineweb and has also written for London's Financial Times as well as for other media and publications including SeekingAlpha. Has been regular writer for mineweb.com - and now has own blog - www.lawrieongold.com as well as now a correspondent for sharpspixley.com
An independent analyst and private investor. Based in Warsaw, Poland (Europe). Professional experience comprises about 20 years in a number of financial and industrial companies. Fan of the Austrian School of Economics.
Blog: Simple Digressions (daily analysis of the precious metals market; general investment issues; sometimes articles on demand of my readers).