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    <title>Dan McMullin's Comments</title>
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      <title>Handicapping The Icahn Position In Herbalife</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1217201/comments?source=feed#comment-15479421</link>
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        <![CDATA[Scott, thank you for digging into and sharing these details of Icahn's accumulations of HLF - fascinating and informative stuff.  A few observations:<br/><br/>1) To exercise the 11.5mm calls (1/28 &amp; then 5/10) wd cost *add'l* investment of about $292mm, b/c the ITM portion has already been paid in the premium.<br/><br/>2) Options market makers don't speculatively assume the other side of such huge new positions - they &quot;get the edge, then hedge.&quot;  Meaning, as soon as Icahn bought his millions of ITM calls the effect was *immediately* laid off in the market by the call sellers buying the underlying HLF stock.  When Icahn exercises the calls, the counterparties will then transfer to him their long HLF - those shares which have already been purchased in the marketplace.  For this reason, I'm not convinced that exercising his millions of ITM calls will create a sudden price spike or subsequent short squeeze.  <br/><br/>3) In  your article, you posed the three questions about the role of the OTM puts done at $.01.  It was likely a device necessary to get the call-side of the deals done.  Adding the put-side turns Icahn's ITM calls into true synthetic longs, which gives the options market makers a way to sell him the calls in such large quantities (i.e. they buy the underlying HLF, as described above).  You asked why wd a counterpary do this transaction.  The answer is that the call-side contained the slippage in price - the edge needed by the market makers.]]>
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      <pubDate>Mon, 25 Feb 2013 12:08:12 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Scott, thank you for digging into and sharing these details of Icahn's accumulations of HLF - fascinating and informative stuff.  A few observations:<br/><br/>1) To exercise the 11.5mm calls (1/28 &amp; then 5/10) wd cost *add'l* investment of about $292mm, b/c the ITM portion has already been paid in the premium.<br/><br/>2) Options market makers don't speculatively assume the other side of such huge new positions - they &quot;get the edge, then hedge.&quot;  Meaning, as soon as Icahn bought his millions of ITM calls the effect was *immediately* laid off in the market by the call sellers buying the underlying HLF stock.  When Icahn exercises the calls, the counterparties will then transfer to him their long HLF - those shares which have already been purchased in the marketplace.  For this reason, I'm not convinced that exercising his millions of ITM calls will create a sudden price spike or subsequent short squeeze.  <br/><br/>3) In  your article, you posed the three questions about the role of the OTM puts done at $.01.  It was likely a device necessary to get the call-side of the deals done.  Adding the put-side turns Icahn's ITM calls into true synthetic longs, which gives the options market makers a way to sell him the calls in such large quantities (i.e. they buy the underlying HLF, as described above).  You asked why wd a counterpary do this transaction.  The answer is that the call-side contained the slippage in price - the edge needed by the market makers.]]>
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    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The CFTC Is Needlessly Breaking Good Products</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/157484/comments?source=feed#comment-645885</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">645885</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Market manipulation can still occur, even though fund buyers don't take delivery.  These funds buy the underlying futures contracts, and will continue to hold long via rolling the position.  A speculator with a position-limit long can add even more buying pressure via funds.  <br/><br/>Having said that, I agree w/ iknow1, who pointed out that transaction costs and re-balancing issues are a structural flaw of these funds. <br/><br/>On  Aug 23 11:11 AM David Fry wrote:<br/><br/>&gt; Great point on &quot;delivery&quot; issue.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 25 Aug 2009 15:27:17 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Market manipulation can still occur, even though fund buyers don't take delivery.  These funds buy the underlying futures contracts, and will continue to hold long via rolling the position.  A speculator with a position-limit long can add even more buying pressure via funds.  <br/><br/>Having said that, I agree w/ iknow1, who pointed out that transaction costs and re-balancing issues are a structural flaw of these funds. <br/><br/>On  Aug 23 11:11 AM David Fry wrote:<br/><br/>&gt; Great point on &quot;delivery&quot; issue.]]>
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