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rkschae

rkschae
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  • S&P Downgrades Molycorp To 'CCC', Notes Unsustainable Capital Structure [View article]
    EVA Dimensions upgraded MCP today to hold.
    Jul 18 03:39 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The CBO Bombshell [View article]
    This was not one of your better articles, and the WSJ editorial was a poor basis on which to begin to write.
    Feb 11 10:43 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • How To Forecast Stock Prices [View article]
    Compliments on a very persuasive argument (and the time frames that go along with it).
    Oct 22 01:48 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Linn Energy: Many Ponzi-Like MLP Blow-Ups To Follow [View article]
    Nice Article
    Sep 5 02:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Short-Term/Long-Term Forecast Of Stocks, Bonds And Gold [View article]
    Very good article.
    I spent a lot of time going over your article and I think your analysis is pretty good. I was not familiar with using Bollinger bands in the way you suggested doing; I tend to use moving averages in different time periods and technical patterns instead .
    So, I tried to back test and correlate my ma's with your 1 std dev BB's.
    The results were interesting: I think the two methods correlate pretty nicely. For example,
    GLD: MA's have me going long (gold miners) now just like your BB's would.
    SPY: MA's have me pretty neutral in the market (some longs, some shorts) pretty much like your BB's suggest.
    TLT: No results on TLT's (I am almost out of them, but re-thinking this as I type).
    Thanks and keep up the good work.
    Kurt Schaefer
    Aug 14 05:08 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Leveraged ETFs For The Long Term: Rockets To The Poorhouse? [View article]
    I can't think of a comment to post that is intelligent enough to go along with the other comments.
    So, I will just say I liked the article, hold some inverses, and may write some calls against them before selling.
    Jul 29 10:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Trend In U.S. Corporate Profits Is What You Think It Is [View article]
    Good article. Thanks.
    Jul 24 01:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Lowdown On Lowly Second-Quarter Earnings Growth Estimates [View article]
    Thanks for the insightful, good article.
    Jul 11 11:06 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Quest For Yield, Part 8: Find What Is Working [View article]
    Yours is one of the best blogs on SA, one that I always try to invest in concert with. And, I think your covered calls advice is good, but difficult to manage on a monthly basis.
    Everyone recommends selling short term calls for the higher returns they offer. My experience has been that being short monthly calls, or bimonthly ones, is difficult because market makers will alternately squeeze your shorts, or your long stocks/options. The result is that market makers are pretty much able to manipulate short term stock and option prices to pick your pocket every month. Monthly options expiration dates are not for the faint of heart, i.e. not dates where you want to be trading!!!
    An alternative strategy I have implemented is selling longer-term OTM options. The returns are lower, but sales can be timed to coincide with upper Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels to basically "sell high".
    Jun 29 12:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • June Update To Bearish Outlook [View article]
    Thanks for the informative pieces (including the earlier one from April). I spent a LONG time going over them. In fact, my brain is almost numb. But, I am currently short the market going into the Fed announcement next week. Not sure if I will stay short because it is not smart to argue with the Fed, ECB and BOJ.
    The question I tend to ask lately is whether the central banks have any intention of letting the world economies go to hell. I don't think they will allow it. But that does not mean traders cannot over-react in the meantime.
    FYI, a blog you may like if you are not aware of it is the "short side of long." It publishes many of the same types of charts, analyses and time frames as you do.
    Thanks again for the articles.
    R. K. Schaefer, St. Louis
    Jun 15 10:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Peter Schiff Has It Totally Backwards - Gold Is Not Going 'To The Moon' [View article]
    Good article.
    GLD and DBC since July 2011 are both down 10% while the SPX is up 27%.
    Over the last year GLD is down 14% while DBC is up about 5% and the SPX is up 22%.
    Based on this it seems the linkage between GLD and commodities is being re-established, and it does look like both will bounce due to increased inflation when that happens.
    Jun 13 03:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency Corp.'s Dividend Range Scenarios For Q2 2013 [View article]
    I recently bought more thinking AGNC was too cheap. Now after reading your article I feel like a genius.
    Seriously, Great article....
    Jun 10 10:16 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • This Market Correction Will Pass [View article]
    Very good article...even the comments were fun to read.
    Jun 9 10:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bears Signal A Coming Correction [View article]
    Good article.
    Jun 9 08:50 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Commodities Poised To Rally? [View article]
    Good article...as usual.
    May 20 01:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
48 Comments
44 Likes