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jmcaule

jmcaule
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  • December Rally Update [View article]
    You seem to be using wave counts in your analysis. Is this correct?
    Dec 6, 2010. 07:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Thrill-Ride Thursday: End of the Line? [View article]
    4.bp.blogspot.com/_TwU...

    Highest probability count.

    1.bp.blogspot.com/_TwU...

    Once these suckers pop look out below.

    Sure you can make a bull count off the April highs but given the fundamental backdrop I don't see how you could give it any weighting. Just take a look at the DSI readings on the Euro and USD.
    Sep 30, 2010. 11:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Chop Suey [View instapost]
    4.bp.blogspot.com/_TwU...

    Highest probability count.

    1.bp.blogspot.com/_TwU...

    Once these suckers pop look out below.

    Sure you can make a bull count off the April highs but given the fundamental backdrop I dont see how you could give it any weighting. Just take a look at the DSI readings on the Euro and USD.
    Sep 30, 2010. 09:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Time to Get Out! [View instapost]
    VIX bottomed out April 12th (10 trading days before S&P top)
    XLF topped out April 15th (7 trading days before S&P top)
    S&P topped out April 26th

    VIX bottomed out September 14th (it has been 10 trading days)
    XLF topped out September 21st (it has been 5 trading days)

    S&P top September 30th?
    ^^^^^^^^^^
    After POMO
    Quarter end
    A=C at 1158 S&P
    GDP - Third Estimate

    Dollar should be able to reach 78.23 where C=.618A

    And throw in the ISM on Friday to kick it off
    Sep 28, 2010. 04:34 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Time to Get Out! [View instapost]
    Looking forward to your article. Many EW bloggers I follow are also anticipating a high next week.
    Sep 25, 2010. 06:37 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Wednesday, 15 September, 2010 - "SA Headline: Wednesday Wrap: Sentiment Lifts" [View instapost]
    Thanks for the reply. I am new to EW analysis and am slowing learning on my own but it helps following people such as yourself. I have 'The Elliot Wave Principle' on hand.

    What is your opinion on the EWI and their short term update? I respect their experience but sometime I doubt their counts.
    Sep 16, 2010. 12:20 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Wednesday, 15 September, 2010 - "SA Headline: Wednesday Wrap: Sentiment Lifts" [View instapost]
    Also, what are some EW blogs you follow?

    I have been following a few but have found there are too many out there and am having trouble discerning credibility.

    The ones I follow are:

    Daneric's EWs
    A Part of NY
    The Perfect Setup
    Elliot Wave Trader
    Pug

    Are you familiar with any of these and if so who has the best track record?

    Thanks,

    Appreciate the feedback.
    Sep 15, 2010. 08:42 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Wednesday, 15 September, 2010 - "SA Headline: Wednesday Wrap: Sentiment Lifts" [View instapost]
    Thanks for the frequent updates of late.
    Sep 15, 2010. 08:39 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Mid-day Friday, August 20 2010 - Good possibility today, next week will be VERY bad... [View instapost]
    Ditto that. Keep up the good work Bill. I check for your posts and comments daily.
    Aug 20, 2010. 11:06 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • USD/CAD: Weekly Update [View instapost]
    Deflation, look it up.
    Jul 16, 2010. 03:57 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can We Expect a 30-40% Correction? [View article]
    Maybe. But he nailed the bottom in March 09. And predicted the crash.

    Either way. That's besides the point. I would like to know why aarc's Elliot wave analysis on the super cycle differs from Prechter's.
    May 27, 2010. 10:57 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can We Expect a 30-40% Correction? [View article]
    "The 3-rd and 4-th wavecounts is the conventional "wisdom" among Elliott Waves practitioners. And therefore, Dow Jones may have another 15 years of rally before it completes a Super-Cycle 1-2-3-4-5. Then a prolonged correction should follow that may last a century or more."


    Why do you say this is the "conventional 'wisdom' among Elliot Wave practitioners"?

    Robert Prechter believes the 5th Supercycle wave ended in 2000 and we are going to retrace the rally from 1980.
    May 27, 2010. 03:30 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • To 5th or Not To 5th? [View instapost]
    aarc, why do you believe we are heading into an ABC corrective period based off of the rally starting in March 09 when Prechter believes the rally off of March 09 was an ABC corrective period (bear market rally) and we are headed below the March lows?
    May 16, 2010. 01:11 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • When we were at the spike lows Cramer was on CNBC and said to buy as the 30% down move on stocks like P&G and J&J was ridiculous. And then we recovered seconds later.
    May 6, 2010. 03:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Haha. He might just have.
    May 6, 2010. 03:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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