Bert Hochfeld is a convicted felon and former hedge fund manager. He was convicted of mis-appropriating funds from his hedge fund in 2012. .Bert started his business career at IBM working in the areas of product planning and pricing after completing military service Bert worked for IBM in the late 1960's and early 1970's before he took as a post as head of sales and marketing for Memorex Telex and worked there for most of the 1970's until he joined Raytheon Data Systems in a similar capacity in the 1980's. Bert briefly became a real estate developer in the Boston area before joining BMC Software as a product planning director in the late 1980's and early 1990's. Subsequent to that he entered the brokerage business where he became an enterprise software analyst, first at Louis Nicoud and then at Josephthal.&; Co. After Josephthal closed Bert started his own independent research consultancy specializing in enterprise software, storage and IT outsourcing. Bert also ran a small hedge fund. After his arrest and conviction, Bert closed both of those ventures and have been on a sabbatical the past few years. Bert currently manage his own money and those of a few close friends. All of these investments are in tech and we also take positions in small start-up ventures. ..
Roger Conrad needs no introduction to individual and professional investors, many of whom have profited from his decades of experience uncovering the best dividend-paying stocks for accumulating sustainable wealth.
Roger Conrad founded and ran the Utility Forecaster and Canadian Edge newsletters before leaving to form his own publishing company, Capitalist Times (www.CapitalistTimes.com). During his almost 30-year tenure at Utility Forecaster, Hulbert Financial Digest routinely ranked the publication as one of the best investment newsletters.
His new publication, Conrad’s Utility Investor (www.ConradsUtilityInvestor.com), continues his in-depth coverage and analysis of more than 200 essential-services stocks, primarily utilities and telecoms. Roger Conrad is also an expert on master limited partnerships (MLP) and the Canadian energy sector, which he covers for Energy & Income Advisor (www.EnergyAndIncomeAdvisor.com).
He’s also an independent trustee of Miller/Howard High Income Equity Fund and the author of Power Hungry: Strategic Investing in Telecommunications, Utilities and Other Essential Services. Although he spends a good deal of time in front of a Bloomberg terminal or reading 10-K and 10-Q reports, he’s also an avid outdoorsman and baseball fan.
The masthead may have changed, but readers can count on Roger to deliver the same high-quality analysis and rational assessment of the best dividend-paying utilities, MLPs and dividend-paying Canadian energy names.
I'm a self-directed investor who shares my experience in investing. I read, learn, and apply every day.
I write about value & dividend investing from the perspective of a Canadian. I invest in individual stocks on the US stock exchanges and the Toronto Stock Exchange.
As I write, I reflect on my own actions and results, which is an amazing exercise. I encourage individual investors who enjoy writing to try it.
I appreciate the work done by SA staff & authors and love the community that engages in meaningful discussions.
Dirk Cotton is a retired executive of America Online (AOL) who loves to spend time with his family, fly fish, shoot sporting clays, attend college baseball games, sail, follow the Wildcats, and write. He currently runs a personal financial planning service, JDC Planning, LLC, in Chapel Hill, NC and blogs about retirement finances at TheRetirementCafe.blogspot.com. Recognizing that the median savings for a family approaching retirement age is less than $100,000 and that half of those households have no retirement savings at all, his writing and practice focus on retirement finances for the “unwealthy,” which is the vast majority of the middle class. Dirk is the author of two books, Retiring When Your 401(k) Fails and Locally Groan, a book about growing up in the South. He holds a bachelors degree from the University of Kentucky in with a topical major in computer science, an MBA from Marymount University and a Certificate in Financial Planning from Boston University.
I am a 29 year old father of three, active duty US Marine. I began investing with my retirement in mind and mostly focus on reliable dividend paying companies. I enjoy writing for Seeking Alpha to share my ideas and create discussions with fellow investors. I firmly believe that investing should be made more approachable to the masses and strive to keep my articles simple yet informative. Being on a "fixed" but stable income and lone "breadwinner" in the house creates interesting dynamics and greatly impacts my investing approach. I currently hold in no particular order:
PFE, CMI, AAPL, RTN, OA, BAESY, NKE, UA, DIS, CSX, EMR, F, O, MO, UL, SBUX, EML, CGNX, HRC, DOW, XOM, T, VOD, CSCO, SYF, ORI, GLW, TATT, KTOS, JOUT, GLBL.
I like writing about all sorts of companies in all sorts of sectors. Recently I've been focusing my writing and even investing dollars on micro/small cap defense facing companies. I will always try to keep it simple and understandable, please hit "Follow" if you would like to read my articles in the future.
DISCLAIMER: I am not an investing professional. As a result anything that I write should not be taken as investment advice as it is my personal opinion at the time. In addition, I am not your fiduciary nor do I understand your personal financial situation. Please perform your own due diligence on any potential investment decisions.
I am a young investor who is doing more with my money in investments than those of my generation.
Education and Investment Background
I have a Bachelors of Science in Computer & Electrical Engineering. I follow technology related companies as well as blue chip industrials and consumer products. I enjoy writing about technology companies, especially ones that I use and consume. Knowing the technical side of the products helps in my analysis of what the product impact is to consumers and the markets they reach. I'm interested in growth stocks but still have a portfolio of dividend growth companies to balance out risk.
I work for a technology contracting company doing configuration management. This entails automating workflows and delivery of developed code using change control and version control software. The sector of my work is governmental and deals with the department of health.
I previously worked in the IT field of the healthcare industry for a major teaching hospital and practice group. I worked mostly with integration engines for use with hundreds of systems as well as end user application access and security including single sign-on.
A Little About Me...
I enjoy a variety of hobbies including playing drums and building race cars made for the ice and asphalt. I raced nationally in college for Baja SAE and continue to build cars and race on a regional level both on road courses and frozen lakes.
IT Professional with additional interest in growing assets and preparing for the future. Invest in longs only and rarely trade, as I am building a portfolio of high-quality stocks and other assets that will provide income separate from work.
Dhierin is the developer of the AeroFuel and Cost Model, which is used in some articles as well and is freely available to premium members on AeroAnalysis. With his Aerospace Engineering background he has a more indepth knowledge about Aerospace products, so most of his articles will be about companies in the aerospace industry or airline industry, comparing products and looking at market outlooks.
Dhierin has accumulated over 750,000 views never failing to spark healthy and thoughtful discussions for investors and aerospace professionals.
AeroAnalysis offers wide variety of services, ranging from providing data and cost models to consultancy possibilities. Check out our website for more information.
I graduated from NYU (NYC) and then went to work on Wall Street and started investing in "blue chip" stocks and accumulating them and letting them appreciate and multiply. I never tried to "get rich overnight" (i.e. gamble in the stock market). The result is that my net worth and my income are such that I was able to easily put my children through professional degrees and am doing same for my grandchildren and living very comfortable with a great dividend income (and with the security of a great amount of accumulated net worth). The long term, conservative strategy is simple and self-fulfilling. My best investment ever, and still today, is in Proctor & Gamble, a true Dividend Aristocrat that never stops giving!
Ian Bezek worked for 3 years as an analyst at a New York-based hedge fund. He's currently living in Mexico, pursuing some entrepreneurial opportunities.
Feel free to contact him regarding investments, writing, or speaking opportunities.
Shudeep Chandrasekhar is a business consultant by profession and a musician by passion. With extensive experience in senior management, he has a thorough understanding of the internal workings of various types of businesses and what makes them tick. A keen student of the human mind and its potential, Shudeep constantly strives to understand the decision-making processes that underline every major business move. An enthusiastic traveller, Shudeep has lived and worked in more than a dozen countries including the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Japan, Oman and many more. He is a truly global personality and currently lives in the bustling coastal city of Chennai, India - his birthplace.
Transcend Event Driven Research provides exclusive analysis and insight into corporate events such as mergers, acquisitions, spin-offs, IPOs and restructurings. Our high quality research aims to provide readers with timely and actionable event driven opportunities that will outperform in all market conditions.
By uncovering securities that are trading at a considerable discount to fair market value and by identifying the catalysts that will unlock this value, our unique insights will provide an advantage to investors. Our analysis includes an assessment of investment risk as well as an evaluation of potential outcomes across the capital structure.
Private investor who started at the age of 16 years old with a joint account with my dad. I'm now more than 50-years old. I came up through the finance ranks starting my career at Arthur Andersen & Co. I became a CFO of a private company in my early 30s and was lucky enough to be able to retire many years ago after being in the right place at the right time. I retired as the President of a $400 million partnership marketing company. My investment philosophy is to focus on companies that have the following characteristics:
- Rock solid balance sheets
- Outstanding FCFs
- Growing revenues
- Expanding margins
- Strong management team focused on driving LONG-TERM STAKEHOLDER VALUE!
I perform all my own due diligence and build all my own models. My motto is SLOW AND STEADY!!!
My hobby is investing in stocks and options. I read several investment newsletters and manage a few personal portfolios using different strategies. I blog about my dividend growth portfolio, DivGro, which I started in January 2013.
Christopher G.DeMaria is a member of the Global Community. Having lived abroad for more than 18 years, he studied in South America, Europe, Southeast Asia and the United States. Chris is the owner of DeMaria Financial Services and an Investment Advisor Representative with Kovack Investment Advisors, Inc. He began his career in financial planning and portfolio management in March of 1998 after earning a degree from Ohio University where he majored in Economics and minored in Business Administration.
Chris focuses on achieving "positive" results regardless of how the market indices perform. Unlike some managers, Chris manages the risk of each individual portfolio rather than remaining invested at all times. Chris strives to identify low risk entry points and conversely, uses a calculated exit strategy when market risk is high or positions are lagging or down. Chris does not try to beat an index every quarter. Instead, he is focused on the potential for low risk profits. If you manage risk well and avoid large corrections, you will naturally create much better results.
There is no new thing under the sun Ecc 1:9
The headlines in the news change daily and market leaders change regularly but, the one thing that remains consistent over time is how humans react to stock market volatility (aka fear and greed). During highly volatile markets and market inflection points, human emotion is a consistent and measurable phenomenon that generally isn’t accounted for in any research report or stock analysis. This observation precipitated the creation of the proprietary market risk meter for quantifying said human emotion and consequent reactions to short term market activity. Regardless of education, wealth, knowledge, or any other factor that may make a person seem wise, people react the same way when fear or greed sets in. No matter how many times a fire drill is rehearsed, when an emergency presents itself, the exit is often not pleasant.
This methodology is by no means perfect however, it is a best effort attempt to quantify the belief that many things will return to some sort of mean over time and that people consistently exhibit the same undulating responses to fear and greed. Consequently, it is possible to view the ebbs and flows of the markets as ocean tides. When the tide comes in, risk is higher and conversely, when the tide flows out, risk is lower. Although it is not possible to consistently predict exactly when a correction or bounce will occur, it is possible to determine when a change in trend is occurring. Furthermore, a sophisticated investor can often determine when there is more or less inherent risk in the market. It is also possible to examine whether the tide has come in further than normal, presenting greater risk or gone out further than normal, providing a rare lower-risk entry point.
When risk is elevated, active investors should begin trimming losers, laggards, and potentially take partial gains from winners in portfolios. Investors may also consider reviewing the types of positions worth holding when things get ugly. Long-term asset allocation investors can look at re-balancing portfolios by shifting equity gains to other less market correlated asset classes like bonds or cash alternatives. Some investors may also consider hedging strategies like selling calls, purchasing puts, or stop limit orders to try to mitigate risk.
Conversely, when risk is lower, a plan of action should already be in place with a buy list of favored mutual funds, equities, and ETF's having been identified. Secondly, it is essential to identify a high volume, high volatility, downside trading day that is coupled with a strong reversal and 1-2 days' follow through. When all of these conditions are met, this methodology recommends purchasing equities.
Methodology for determining favored sectors
Christopher G. DeMaria has over 18 years of experience managing money for individuals, corporations, and foundations. While adapting from successes and failures throughout some of the most challenging markets since the Great Depression (1998 to 2016), his methodology has been continuously tested over that time in order to improve its reliability and effectiveness.
Part of his investment methodology includes a quantitative approach to identifying changes in trends at early stages and continually monitoring their relative performance against one-another. This process uses simple mathematical ratios (IE: SPY /EFA or SPY/XLB) to determine when one asset class is performing better than another. When properly calibrated, these ratios provide a precise moment when the trend in one asset changes compared to another.
This process is most effective when portfolio holdings are methodically adjusted based on different levels of market risk and relative asset class performance. As stated above, when risk is higher, portfolio holdings should be reallocated out of lagging or losing asset classes and moved into leading, lower risk, or non-market correlated assets. This process inherently frees up cash for future “lower risk entry points” when assets can be allocated
back into equities and other favored assets. Essentially this is a systematic approach designed to attempt to purchase leading asset classes when market risk is lower and sell lagging and losing positions when market risk is higher. In the end, the goal is to buy low and sell high.
There are three key factors to successfully implementing this portfolio management process. The first is having sufficient knowledge and understanding of the financial markets which takes time to acquire. The second is having adequate time and dedication to develop skill. The third is having the proper discipline to continually monitor the process. Many individuals have some or even all of these characteristics but, simply lack the time, interest, or expertise to dedicate themselves to managing their own portfolios properly. With the exception of those whom are confident in their knowledge, skill, and discipline to manage this process, it is strongly advised to seek professional assistance.
This Risk Managed Global Sector Rotation strategy has been well documented on Seeking Alpha during the most recent correction. Furthermore, a full cycle from high risk to low risk and subsequent recovery was well documented on Seeking Alpha in 2014.
The Lows Still Appear To Be In...What's Next?
Wed, Feb. 24th, 2016 (confirming successful retest of lows and providing actionable ideas)
Weekly Leading Sectors Report
Wed, Feb. 10th, 2016 (confirminglows and providing actionable ideas)
In Hoc Signo Vinces... What Market Signs Are You Watching?
Fri, Feb. 5th, 2016 (confirming lows and providing a macroeconomic overview)
The Lows Appear To Be In... What's Next?
Tue, Jan. 26 (confirming lows and providing actionable ideas)
How Can You Identify Market Turning Points?... Reloaded
Thu, Jan. 21 (identifying lows, Dow Theory discussion and providing actionable ideas)
2014 Full Cycle
This Looks Like The Lower-Risk Buying Opportunity We've Been Waiting For
Oct. 24th, 2014 (identifying lows and providing actionable ideas)
Preparing For A Lower-Risk Entry Point In A Secular Bull Market
Oct. 13th, 2014(preparing for the lows and providing actionable ideas)
The Quiet Before The Little Storm
Jul. 8th, 2014 (warning about higher risk and preparing for volatility and short term correction)
How Can You Adjust Your Investment Strategy To Enhance Returns?
May 28th, 2014 (explanation of a possible long term secular bull market and actionable ideas)
Value Digger holds MSc. in Electrical Engineering, speaks four languages (English, French, Greek, German) and has lived in the U.S. for many years. Also, he is a full-time investor and a freelance writer with one of the highest Followers per Article (F/A) rates in Seeking Alpha. His F/A rate in Seeking Alpha is above 30.
After creating "Nathan's Bulletin" (a subscription-based investment guide for investors who can't afford a financial advisor), Value Digger launched a subscription-based Premium Service in Seeking Alpha entitled "A Fundamental Investor's Stock Club" which includes an unparalleled, actively-managed and high-return Portfolio of unknown and/or underfollowed stocks. Regularly updated and detailed lists in his Premium Posts PROVE these high returns. For reference, when Value Digger was managing money in the early 2000s, his Portfolio's annual ROI consistently exceeded 50%. His Premium Research is based on a comprehensive review of company-specific factors, macro conditions, competitors and the industry trends.
When it comes to his publicly-available picks and his free Seeking Alpha articles, Value Digger is ranked in the TOP-50 with a success rate of over 80%, an average return per recommendation of over 30% and a 5-star rating according to TipRanks.com, which is the highest category quality ranking used to evaluate financial experts. TipRanks.com is a comprehensive investing tool that allows private investors and day traders to see the measured performance of anyone who publicly provides financial advice. TipRanks.com collects data, evaluates and ranks 9,000 financial experts worldwide.
After almost 30 years of investing experience in the international markets (U.S., Canada, Australia, Europe), Value Digger has formulated a deep understanding of valuation analysis and his investment philosophy is firmly grounded in Ben Graham-style value-oriented opportunities that often have an assymetric risk/reward profile. On that front, he has created a unique proprietary database with thousands of publicly-traded companies per sector, which helps him spot the bargains and the bubbles before many investors find them.
I am formally a data analyst for a non-financial services organization. I have an undergraduate degree in business and a masters degree in predictive analytics. My background as an investor has been in setting and forgetting my 401k. In my recent job change I was enlightened to not having a plan for retirement. In my waking up, I have decided to start posting on Seeking Alpha to help encourage others to have a similar awakening as well as receive feedback from all the great contributors to the site.
Also, Doctor Dividend and I have started a podcast. You can check out our episodes here:ITunes: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/dividend-health-checkup/id1086182519?mt=2Sound Cloud: https://soundcloud.com/dividend-health-check-up
First, the good stuff. Here's my portfolio ...
Consumer Discretionary: MCD, NKE, SBUX, TGT
Consumer Staples: COST, GIS, KHC, KO, MO, PEP, PG, PM, RAI, WBA
Energy: CVX, KMI, XOM
Health: ABBV, AMGN, GILD, JNJ, MCK
Industrial: BA, DE, EMR, LMT, MMM
REITs: HCN, NNN, O, OHI, VTR
Technology: AAPL, MSFT, QCOM
Telecom: BCE, T, TU, VZ
Utilities: AVA, D, SCG, SO, WEC
ALSO: small stakes in 23 additional companies held in the Dividend Growth 50 portfolio (http://seekingalpha.com/article/2764265-its-new-its-nifty-its-the-dividend-growth-50): ADP, AFL, BAX, BDX, CAT, CL, CLX, COP, GE, GPC, HCP, HSY, IBM, KMB, MKC, NEE, SHPG, SJM, UTX, V, WFC, WMT.
Now, a little about me:
I am a 50-something former sportswriter who was sent on a permanent vacation during the Great Recession. That sucked, but my story is not a sad one. Unlike many folks who lost their jobs, I am not in financial distress, I am not depressed and I am not bored.
My wife is a pediatric nurse with a bullet-proof job and decent benefits. So after supporting her and our two kids (now grown) for most of three decades, the least she can do is support my semi-retired keister!
Because of Roberta's job situation, because we have zero debt (not even mortgage debt), because we no longer have any dependents and because we have been pretty diligent savers over the years, we are comfortable (though nowhere near rich).
Although we hold some funds, bonds and cash, my investing philosophy leans heavily toward Dividend Growth Investing. By early next decade, we want to live entirely off of our income stream, Social Security and pension payments - and therefore will not have to spend down the principal one iota. To accomplish this, we invest mostly in blue-chip companies with long track records of growing dividends. As of mid-2016, we are well ahead of pace to reach our goal.
When not researching investments and writing for Seeking Alpha and other Web sites, I coach middle-school girls basketball at Metrolina Regional Scholars Academy, the top charter school in the Charlotte metro area; in March 2016, we won the first conference championship in school history! I also umpire youth baseball and referee youth basketball.
My wife and I dote on our 5-year-old pup, Simmie, and keep up on the doings of our now-grown kids, Katie and Ben. And we love to cheer on the basketball team of our alma mater, Marquette University, where we both majored in Journalism. Go Warriors! Also big fans of the Carolina Panthers.
I still occasionally post to the blog I initiated in 2007 -- lots of sports stuff, some politics, some personal junk -- at www.TheBaldestTruth.com.
Hi everyone, my name is Khen Elazar and I am a 25 years old student for political science. I currently work in an insurance agency in Israel, and studying to become a financial adviser. Hopefully, I will find the time to study for a master's degree in the near future. I am investing in the stock market since I was 17 years old. I did it with the help and guidance of my father who is an investment adviser. I used to invest in value and growth stocks, and in Israeli junk bonds. Over the past two years, I have been investing mainly in dividend growth stocks. I also enjoy reading and study new things. I am a political junkie and sport enthusiast, mainly soccer and NBA.
I'm an individual investor looking to grow my wealth over the long term. I've tried many different styles of investing over the last 25 years and have found that buying dividend growth stocks and reinvesting the dividends is one of the easiest ways to grow wealth over the long term. Over the years, I've owned stocks, options, ETFs, treasury notes, and mutual funds. I operate a blog, HarvestingDividends.com, that provides information on the S&P Dividend Aristocrats and other dividend growth stocks.
W. Joseph Block is the President and CIO of W.G. Investment Research LLC (@WG_investments). Mr. Block is a CPA with 5 years of experience in public accounting, and 2+ years of experience in the financial services industry. Mr. Block earned his Master of Accountancy degree in 2008 and his B.S. in Business Management in 2007.
Mr. Block has 10+ years of investing experience, and has been intrigued by the market from the start. Over the years, Mr. Block has learned that long-term investing is a discipline that, if followed, will help contribute to building lasting wealth. As such, most of Mr. Block's articles will be about the investments that he plans to hold for at least 3 to 5 years as long as the company's 'story' does not change. As a Seeking Alpha contributor, Mr. Block's main goal is to write about the companies that are key to his portfolio with the hope of promoting discussion (for or against the investment) from others within the SA community.
Please visit my website for more information about W.G. Investment Research LLC.
I'm a retired electrical engineer and adjunct professor of math and engineering. I am also working on an engineering book.
I have been investing for over 30 years, starting off with stock index funds, bond funds, and stable value funds and later migrating in part to dividend paying stalwarts as retirement approached. I typically use a "buy and hold" strategy with an eye on the long-term.
I am a member of the "Apple cult" so until it is proven otherwise that Apple is not a great company that develops and sells great products that people love I will continue to buy their products and own their stock.
Ale is the founder of UK-based, SEO firm Hedging Beta Ltd (London). Based in London, he previously worked for almost five years at Dow Jones/The Wall Street Journal (Feb. 2009 - Sept. 2013), producing M&A research, commentary and analysis for the IB community. Prior to that, he contributed to the launch of Loan Radar (Dec. 2005 - Jan. 2009), where he worked for three years in London. He had stints in equity research at Bear Stearns in London (Jan. - Apr. 2005) and HVB in Munich (May - July 2005). He did its intermarket analysis research thesis with Unicredit Bank in Milan (Dec. 2003 - Sept. 2004). Ale got married on 19 September 2014, and has a child, Matteo, who was born on 10 August 2011.
I am not a felon. I have not violated any SEC laws or regulations. I am not a professional investor. I am committed to accuracy but since I am not a numbers guy, my investing Ideas are likely to be very speculative in nature.
Time management is essential to monitoring a 47 position portfolio. My 1st comment concludes with "Rich-unck:xx hrs"; I uncheck from the article to avoid repetitive comments, nonsense, and (most) arguments. I extend another XX hrs when I respond to a question or comment...I also respond to all PMs.
BACKGROUND My journey as a self-directed investor (SDI) began in 1973, and resulted in financial independence at age 52, which also allowed me to retire from corporate life the following year (Feb 1995).
I have no special knowledge not attainable by others who also dedicate themselves to the study of the economy, market, and stocks...I could cease all portfolio management today, and place it with a professional manager; however, I enjoy the psychic and financial rewards. Alternatively, I could become a passive investor via mutual funds and/or index ETFs (those works too! ). With few exceptions, As a rule, Rich only discusses his IRA here--it is only a portion of his and Joyce’s investment assets.
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY If you ‘lived for today’ over the past 5 or 6 decades, you better invest in lottery tickets. The most probable path to a financially secure retirement is the product of an investment program (either active or passive) started when relatively young; living on less than all your after-tax income (saving means delayed gratification); and either self-directed or via professional management, adopting a sensible strategy suitable to age and comfort zone. There is wisdom in flexibility, diversification, and not being life-long wed to any strategy. It is appropriate to take greater risk for greater rewards (sensible growth stocks) when younger, as those are our lowest earnings years combined with our highest expense years--in the years between early investment and retirement, investments in solid growth companies can double 8 times or more.
There is time to adjust allocations to a more conservative strategy when closer to retirement. Never assume you have an information edge over the professionals. Time-in-the-market is your principle advantage. When/if you become interested in dividend stocks, never forget both price return and dividends compound, and price more so.
Financial independence is achieved when one has sufficient confidence his/her lifestyle will not change significantly, regardless of the potential depth or breadth of decline suffered by their portfolio--including a prolonged series of bear markets such as 1929-37. True, the recent 18-month bear market ending mid-2009, was deep--but also too brief to consider its lack of widespread dividend cuts to be as proof a portfolio of dividend-payers won't suffer income losses in a more prolonged decline (i.e., no portfolio is "dividend bulletproof").
The balance of this profile is lengthy, and likely not helpful to passive investors who simply go along for the ride, their portfolios bobbing up and down like flotsam in the ocean; their course always subject to the whims of winds, waves, and trends...THIS IS YOUR ONLY WARNING!
PORTFOLIO GOALS Now in my 70s, it’s no longer appropriate to engage in the growth strategies applied in wealth accumulation. As a more conservative investor, 100% of his portfolio consists of dividend-payers. 95% of positions have investment grade credit ratings (the lone exception is a REIT).This combination, along with having companies in 10 of the 11 S&P GICS sectors (none in Materials at this time) provide a measure of diversification. This IRA portfolio holds no bonds, though bonds and other investments are held elsewhere.
Maximizing total return and wealth preservation are mutually exclusive. A key observation: Having the capacity for risk is not the same as having the tolerance for it!
Rich’s objective is now a ‘smoother-ride’ that levels out the market’s peaks and valleys (limit losses, trim notable excess valuation). That smoother ride in an all-equity portfolio cannot be achieved without active management and continuous monitoring of positions--therefore TIME is an essential input to his portfolio management. Active management does not’ means frequent changes, as it is not unusual for a quarter or more to pass between a trimming or sale (nonetheless, when a company fundamentals change, or a mistake is made, corrective action is taken.)
STRATEGY SINCE 2008 Rich targets both legs of TOTAL RETURN (distributions + price change). His Growth & Income strategy often focuses on VALUE investing tactics applied to dividend-payers. Value investors seek out unpopular, companies most investors are avoiding (i.e., fundamentals have declined but credit rating is strong, BoD has implemented a rational recovery plan, and the dividend not in danger). Value investors seek to be paid to wait for other investors to recognize the stock’s value and assign it a greater share price. In any event, value stock or growth stock, Rich always seeks a ‘margin of safety’--no shares are bought at prices >FV, and his margin of safety is derived from dividends paid, price appreciation, and rising FV over time.
In all cases, value or growth, Rich selects well-established dividend-paying companies having a high-probability of growing earnings (growth of earnings is ESSENTIAL to growth of price and dividends). He tends to be flexible, forward looking, reactive to changing fundamentals, and willing to admit a mistake so action follows.
SDI is not easy, success is not assured, and in recent decades, advice from academics, and investment coaches, almost universally recommend index funds. Those NOT having the prerequisite time and interest are unlikely to develop the requisite skills for stock investing--thus the probability strongly suggests most newbies would be better served by indexing (Ben Graham wrote favorably of indexing). However, when done successfully, self-directed stock investing can offer rich psychic and financial rewards.
CORE PORTFOLIO Presently, +/-30 equities. Core holdings dominate at about 65% of total portfolio positions. Favored are traditional, large- and mid-cap, low-beta, best/near-best in class, institutional-owned, moaty, dividend-paying, value and growth stocks, having investment-grade debt ratings, and representing the consumer staples, healthcare, utilities, and telecom sectors.
OPPORTUNISTIC PORTFOLIO The remaining 15+ positions consist of equally well-known dividend-payers found among widely-owned cyclicals, such as financial, industrials, consumer discretionary, technology, real estate, and energy sectors are sensitive to the economy. In an expanding economy, cyclicals typically grow their earnings (and dividends) faster than do the typically slower-growing core companies. But because the reverse is also true, in a contracting economy, these positions are intended to be heavily trimmed to preserve gains as the economy peaks and shows evidence of decline. Some are susceptible to quite significant price declines when Mr. Market assumes their will suffer reduced earnings, and sometimes dividend-freezes/cuts, in anticipation of those events.
Rich is sometimes fully-invested, but unlike some, observes no such rule. Building a large cash cushion at the front-end of a correction/bear market (-20%) provides the dry powder required to both cushion the market's decline, and also creates the cash required to purchase excellent companies at below FV prices (without having to sell a position he wants to keep!).
TRIMMING POSITIONS When positions in either portfolio become significantly overvalued, they are trimmed by 5-10%, and the proceeds applied to fairly valued companies before the (almost always) temporary gift of over-valuation reverts to the price mean. If the position continues to advance, and absent other information, the position will be trimmed again. Added benefits to selective trimming include (1) serves as a more sensible method of rebalancing (as opposed to automatic--professionals do not use such a meat cleaver); (2) reduces the position's remaining Capital at Risk (which may suggest room for additional shares within an otherwise full position), and (3) provides the necessary dry powder to buy other shares at FV or below.
OTHER INTERESTS As we age, the importance of family grows. Rich has long volunteered in his community; over the years has served with distinction as member/chair of a number of advisory committees. Assisting others on SA is also a source of satisfaction and fulfillment.
Finally, having been blessed by years of excellent investment performance, Joyce and Rich have long been avid world travelers, and have visited over 60 countries over a span of 30 years (his SA avatar reflects the Taj Mahal in his sun glasses). They reside in Michigan--for 9 months of beauty, bliss, and family, and thoroughly enjoy wintering in equally beautiful Naples FL--for 3 months of sunny warmth and relaxation.
Life is good--it's been an unbelievably awesome ride!
I joined Seeking Alpha as a Senior Editor in June 2012. Currently, I manage the Dividends, Income & Retirement and Expert Insight platforms. D&I focuses on income investment strategies and dividend investment-focused content for investors from the accumulation stage to retirement. The purpose of Expert Insight is to expand and elevate the quality of Seeking Alpha's content by including articles from an industry insider's point of view, designed to help investors make more informed decisions as they consider specific sectors and trends within those sectors for their investing strategies, e.g., utilities or technology. Expert Insight articles offer more of a macro, 30,000-foot-view that goes beyond investment analysis or stock recommendations.
I also curate the Dividends & Income Digest, a bi-weekly publication that takes a look at a question that is compelling and relevant to the community, showcases the responses of DI thought leaders, and serves as a round-up of top DI articles.
I hope to continue to discover new voices and thought leaders through insightful articles and conversations in the comments threads. My goal is to draw a large, diverse audience to Seeking Alpha, and make our community THE go-to place to participate in investing research and exchange lucrative, unique, exciting investing knowledge and ideas. I'm always looking for new ideas and contributors, so please feel free to reach out to me. I'm eager to hear your thoughts and discover how we can work together to make Seeking Alpha the best site for investors on the web.
Joe Kinahan (JJ), Chief Strategist for TD Ameritrade, began his career as a Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) market maker in 1985, trading primarily in the S&P 100 (OEX) and S&P 500 (SPX) pits. While spending his time there primarily as an independent market maker, he also worked for ING Bank, Blue Capital and was Managing Director of Option Trading for Van Der Moolen, USA.
In 2006, Kinahan joined the thinkorswim Group, which was eventually acquired by TD Ameritrade. After leading the Educational Events Team, serving to implement the instructional path for thousands of investors throughout the United States, in 2009 he became the Managing Director of Active Trader Services.
Kinahan, a 26-year trading veteran, is a frequent CNBC guest, Forbes contributor and is often quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and Reuters News, along with many other respected media outlets. He is also a member of the CBOE Arbitration Committee, OIC Roundtable and Board of Directors member at NYSE ARCA Equities and Options. His licenses include the 3, 4, 7, 24 and 66.
For the latest market observations and information follow JJ on Facebook or on Twitter, @TDAJJKinahan.
I am an individual investor with 30 years of experience. Along with my trading experience I have a BS Bus, BS CMIS, MBA, passed CPA exam and leadership experience at 3 different Fortune 500 companies. I have also purchased, financed, built up and sold a small business.
I tend to follow about 50 companies across all industries and consider "Risk Management" to be my greatest strength. Through a combination of risk management and trading I was able to avoid and prosper from the recession.
My expectation is to beat the S&P 500 return and take less risk. I have accomplished that for several years in a row.