The Superinvestor Bulletin is a Seeking Alpha Marketplace newsletter offering. The Superinvestor Bulletin builds a portfolio exclusively from the highest conviction investments made by the world’s greatest investors. Since the world’s greatest investors tend to return 15 to 20 percent per year on average, replicating their best ideas should provide superior returns (without their egregious performance fees).
Over 4.5 years' experience on the buyside. Spent nearly 3 years of my professional career as a Research Analyst investing in public markets (stocks) and the other 2 in the private arena (VC/growth equity and distressed/restructurings). I am a highly passionate investor and always consider both the macroeconomic backdrop coupled with in-depth fundamental research to identify the best investment ideas, which are generally value-oriented or opportunistic.
I specialize in understanding the dynamics that underlie and drive investment performance in today's global financial markets, despite a muddling of views among regulators and investors alike in the new, free money era. Following the global financial crisis, expansionary monetary policies of unprecedented magnitude implemented by major central banks across the globe (primarily those of the so called "core economies") have completely redefined the ways in which the global markets operate. I am not your typical hedge fund or money manager who stamps a disclaimer on investment performance with the assertion that "we are bottom-up, fundamental equity investors" who "do not attempt to forecast the markets." I go far beyond this basic, fundamental analysis and offer unique foresight into major anticipated (equity and credit) market movements BEFORE they materialize.
I have a with a knack for identifying under- and over-valued positions and a strong understanding of macroeconomics. I constantly analyze and evaluate central bank policies globally as well as global trade conditions. I have unique experience particular to sectors such as energy (both conventional and non-conventional), agriculture, infrastructure and real assets (industrials, real estate, water infrastructure, roads/railways, etc.), in addition to chemicals and consumer products; however, I've been a generalist research analyst for the majority of my career to date. Options are a trading mechanism of choice, particularly when I have visible catalysts for near-term price appreciation (or deprecation in the case of puts). I also utilize options strategies to turn a profit with near-zero risk.
One of the many things that makes human beings so interesting is the variety of hobbies we engage in, from Pooktre art to taphophilia, to carving eggshells. One of the potentially more profitable hobbies -- if done the right way -- is stock market investing, which is my primary hobby. Investing in stocks can be highly rewarding -- or excruciatingly costly and painful. As Warren Buffett, the world’s most successful value investor, once said, “Investing is simple, but not easy.”
It is not easy because we humans seem to have an innate desire to complicate it. Being capable of opening a discount brokerage account and executing our own trades is not the same as being able to effectively manage an investment portfolio. But it’s not that difficult. I manage my family’s investment portfolio. To help me do so, I spend a lot of time researching a plethora of investment topics, from behavioral finance to the MD&A's of potential investment candidates. I decided to record some of this research by writing articles for Seeking Alpha. I have been a daily reader of Seeking Alpha for as long as I can remember. The breadth and depth of authors represents an effective way to benefit from the “wisdom of the crowd.”
I also find that the comments from experienced, savvy readers can be as enlightening as the articles themselves. I have bachelor and master of engineering degrees and an MBA degree. I worked for more than 25 years in daily contact with global equities analysts as Vice President Investor Relations for five different leading companies. If interested, further information can be found on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/johnrlawlor?trk=nav_responsive_tab_profile
Singapore-based polytechnic student looking to break into the buy-side.
Disclaimer: The author's reports contain factual statements and opinions. He derives factual statements from sources which he believes are accurate, but neither they nor the author represent that the facts presented are accurate or complete. Opinions are those of the the author and are subject to change without notice. His reports are for informational purposes only and do not offer securities or solicit the offer of securities of any company. Mr. Goh ("Lester") accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss or damage arising from any use of his reports or their content. Lester advises readers to conduct their own due diligence before investing in any companies covered by him. He does not know of each individual's investment objectives, risk appetite, and time horizon. His reports do not constitute as investment advice and are meant for general public consumption. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
I manage a $1B+ portfolio for a family office. Our investments include bonds, equities, hedge funds, and private investments with a wide geographical and asset class dispersion. I have a J.D. degree from Yale Law School and practiced for 30 years as a trial lawyer in commercial cases.
That fellow in my icon is, of course, Galileo Galilei. Eppur si muove.
(And about even that one should be skeptical.)
I participated in the creation of financial derivatives, beginning with the introduction of Eurodollar and Standard and Poors futures at the CME, and including the secondary market trading of OTC swaps. I have established and managed trading desks in these instruments and managed MHT Futures, Inc., one of the first bank subsidiaries to clear futures. Today I teach and write about the need for market-based innovation in these seriously flawed markets.
Daniel is currently the manager of Avaring Capital Advisors, LLC, a registered investment advisor that oversees one hedge fund. His primary focus is on finding businesses that are trading at a significant discount to their intrinsic value by employing a combination of Benjamin Graham's investment philosophy and a contrarian approach to the market and the securities therein.
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. At the time, I was in the midst of a difficult two-year plus divorce (my ex-wife left for another relationship) and custody battle, which occupied a lot of my time. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
Mr. Leach spent his early years on a subsistence farm in western Michigan. He graduated at the top of his high school class which helped him land a scholarship to the University Michigan. Graduating magna cum laude with a bachelor’s degree in Nuclear Engineering and a minor in mathematics in 1981, Mr. Leach took his first professional job with Westinghouse Electric in Monroeville, PA.
Mr. Leach held several positions of increasing responsibility at Westinghouse, and Fluor Federal Services in Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Washington State. While in Washington State, Mr. Leach completed his master’s of science degree in Environmental Engineering graduating summa cum laude in 1997 from Washington State University.
In 2003 and 2004 with Fluor Federal Services, Mr. Leach worked as a civilian contractor for the US Department of Defense in various middle east locations and the Philippines. In 2005, Mr. Leach joined the AREVA Group and spent two years in France. After returning stateside in 2006, Mr. Leach held various positions of increasing responsibility with AREVA Federal Services in South Carolina and North Carolina. Mr. Leach left the AREVA group in 2014 at the age of 56 and is now quasi-retired and focuses on his wife, his 15 year old son, and his investment portfolio.
Mr. Leach has been a consistent, avid, and successful investor for more than 30 years. His investment style is conservative and he primarily invests in income oriented equities, bonds, preferred stocks and mutual funds. Mr. Leach has written more than 50 articles on Seeking Alpha and other websites.
It's been quite a journey the past four years as I've learned about stocks, technical analysis, swing trading, dividend growth investing, and now options.
For 17 years, I home educated our children and tutored, while my husband supported the family. Once I worked myself out of that job, I had to decide what I should be when I grow up. Without a useful degree, my income is minimal, but I really enjoy my part-time jobs. I have used my jobs as a learning tool more than an income tool and they have been very profitable. I focus the rest of my time making my husband's income the most useful it can be, and managing our home. I enjoy playing with bookkeeping, finance, investments, taxes, and strive to be the best steward of all the resources (time, energy, health, family, money, stuff) we have.
The only purpose of my investing was to be able to afford to retire at a normal, reasonable age and hopefully to live off the dividends from those investments without needing to spend down the principal. As health concerns are forcing us to consider earlier retirement, the portfolio income may be needed at anytime. This does not worry me, it just changes the trajectory of the portfolio. I am very thankful for the gentle start into investing and am excited by what might happen in the future.
I’m so glad this website was recommended to me and I genuinely appreciate the contributors and their comments here and the growth that has happened through participation on the forum.
In case you're wondering about 'inzkeeper', I formerly managed an inn and the email moniker has stuck with me over the years.
Loic LeMener is President of Opus Wealth Management. He specializes in providing his clients with holistic wealth management and investment solutions. Loic has access to a team of both local and national professionals to help preserve and grow the wealth of his clients. This team-based approach along with proprietary financial modeling software allows Loic to implement highly sophisticated design strategies.
Loic received a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from the University of Colorado after which he spent the better part of a decade in post-graduate education. Loic has earned an MBA from Southern Methodist University, holds the CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® certification, the Chartered Life Underwriter and Chartered Financial Analyst® designations.
Loic is a member of both the Chartered Financial Analyst Institute and the Chartered Financial Analyst Society of Dallas-Fort Worth. He is also an active member of the Southern Methodist University Alumni Association and has been quoted in national publications including Barron’s.
When not in the office, Loic enjoys reading, tennis, running, and golf.
Loic LeMener, CFA®, MBA, CFP® is a registered representative of Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp.
Securities and investment advisory services offered through Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp., a broker/dealer (member SIPC) and registered investment advisor. Insurance offered through Lincoln affiliates and other fine companies. CRN201211-2074227
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The subscription portfolio uses several diversification strategies and delivers returns with low correlation to the markets.
Martin Vlcek is a full-time investor and analyst who has been actively investing and managing money for more than 15 years. Martin has an Economics degree. Martin’s investment philosophy is to hold a truly diversified portfolio of investments across asset classes with low or negative correlation and a positive carry if possible. His primary stock investment focus is on undervalued small-cap stocks with favorable risk-to-reward ratio and upcoming catalysts.
Martin became a full-time investor and money manager after a 15-year career in online marketing where he was one of the pioneers of the pay-per-click search. Martin later held managerial positions at several Fortune 500 companies and also managed his own startup company.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Martin is not a Registered Investment Advisor, Broker/Dealer, Securities Broker or Financial Planner. The Information in his articles, his comment and his premium subscription service on SeekingAlpha.com or elsewhere is provided for information purposes only. The Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice, is general in nature and not specific to any individual. Before using Martin's information to make an investment decision, you should seek the advice of a qualified and registered securities professional and undertake your own due diligence. None of the information provided by Martin is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation, endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. Martin is not responsible for any investment decision made by you. You are responsible for your own investment research and investment decisions.
Michael Boyd spent considerable time working for an RIA, structuring client accounts, researching stocks/bonds, and performing due diligence on separately managed accounts. His career changed gears when he shifted roles into a major investment bank, at various times supporting the mortgage-backed securities, derivatives, and ADR trade desks. He now works in entity oversight and control, identifying areas of weakness, resolving risk, and maintaining regulatory compliance across Settlements, Asset Servicing, and FX operations.
As for trading style, Michael leans towards small/mid-cap companies, as he believes better risk-adjusted returns are available for astute stock-pickers there. Firmly contrarian, he looks to buy out-of-favor securities that have an opportunity to revalue in the medium-term (one year to five year timeframe).
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, he established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
INDEPENDENT Financial Advisor / Professional Investor- with over 30 years of navigating the Stock market's "fear and greed" cycles that challenge the average investor. Investment strategies that combine Theory, Practice and Experience to produce Portfolios focused on achieving positive returns over a period of time. Providing advice in helping to avoid the pitfalls and traps that wreak havoc on your portfolio with a focus on Income and Capital Preservation.
I manage the capital of only a handful of families and I see it as my number one job to protect their financial security. They don’t pay me to sell them investment products, beat an index, abandon true investing for mindless diversification or follow the Wall Street lemmings down the primrose path. I manage their money exactly as I manage my own so I don’t take any risk at all unless I strongly believe it is worth taking.
Blogging here on SA is part of my research. I write to find out what I think.
I invite you to join the family of satisfied clients send an e-mail :firstname.lastname@example.org
Andrew Walker, CFA, is a portfolio manager at Rangeley Capital LLC with a focus on small cap special situations investments. Mr. Walker also contributes to Sifting the World, a value investing forum.
Portfolio Manager, attorney, finance author, a regular guest on North American media. Danielle Park is the author of the best selling myth-busting book “Juggling Dynamite: An insider’s wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts,” as well as a popular daily financial blog:www.jugglingdynamite.com
Danielle worked as an attorney until 1997 when she was recruited to work for an international securities firm. Becoming a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), she now helps to manage millions for some of North America’s wealthiest families as a Portfolio Manager and analyst at the independent investment counsel firm she co-founded Venable Park Investment Counsel Inc. www.venablepark.com. In recent years Danielle has been writing, speaking and educating industry professionals and investors on the risks and realities of investment behaviors as well as writing and producing her own health and wealth podcast series: “Not so common sense” and “Life Paths”.
A member of the internationally recognized CFA Institute, Toronto Society of Financial Analysts, and the Law Society of Upper Canada. Danielle is also an avid health and fitness buff.
Equanimity is one of the most powerful attributes to possess in investment management. Opportunities are always available in the market but it is a job that requires extensive research, analysis, objectiveness, and sometimes secondary opinion.
Disclaimer: All articles provided are for entertainment purposes only. Interpret everything as opinion rather than fact and do your own due diligence. These statements are not an offer to buy or sell any security.
Andy Hecht is the chief market strategist for Carden Capital and Carden Futures. Andy is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving huge quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars and trains to transport and store a wide range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis can be found on a number of market based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. He is currently working on his second book, Luster. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and is associated as a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity-expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
Brandon is a junior in the Gabelli School of Business at Fordham University. He is striving to obtain a career in investment banking. He actively invests on his own personal time, utilizing contrarian strategies.
Brandon is originally from Los Angeles, California where he studied at Loyola High School.
If you need to get in contact with him, feel free to e-mail him at email@example.com - Thank you for your time.
Arie Goren has been, for many years, a global analyst for “Clal Finance Ltd.”, one of the biggest Israeli investment companies. He has many years of experience in the American Equity Market and in the Global Commodity Market.
Goren has conducted much research on investment in equities and commodities, and many of his studies were published in “TheMarker” and “Calcalist”, the leading Israeli economic newspapers. He also, works as a lecturer in MIBI – The First Israeli Online College, and finds the time to write a weekly column about commodity in Bizportal, an Israeli investment web site.
Full-time investor. Formerly buy-side credit analyst (2yrs) covering Japanese + Asian companies. Before that, I was a cross asset derivatives salesperson at a large bulge-bracket firm, based in Tokyo (4yrs). I use Seeking Alpha to clarify and synthesize my investment thought process and to elicit feedback on my theses; additionally I like to connect with other investors and swap ideas.
You can read my finance-related blog at rapercapital.com (less organized than Seeking Alpha writeups, more my random musings on various finance-related topics).
Going forward I will try to tweet my investment-related thoughts/updates to articles/etc. You can follow me on Twitter, my handle is @puppyeh1
Always looking for new ideas across the board. Happy to exchange ideas/share thoughts/swap notes, feel free to private message me. I currently live in Singapore.
Heath Winter is the Managing Partner of ArbitrOption Capital Management, LLC and is responsible for research, trading, and portfolio management. Prior to forming ArbitrOption, Mr. Winter was Director of Research for the event-driven and special situations strategy of Silverado Capital Management from 2005 until 2009. Mr. Winter’s responsibilities at Silverado included generating investment ideas as well as researching positions and managing the portfolio. In addition, Mr. Winter was employed as an Analyst at M.H. Davidson, LLC in 2003 and as a Merger Arbitrage Analyst at Swidler Berlin Shereff Friedman, LLP from 2000 to 2002. He graduated with an MBA in Finance and Economics from Columbia Business School in 2004 and a BA in International Affairs from The George Washington University in 1997.
I am an individual investor with a specialization in the small cap markets. I am always willing to answer questions and/or just chat with other investors.
I am also young and am currently seeking a job in investing, and would be willing to work unpaid. Please contact if interested.
Whitney Tilson is the founder and Managing Partner of Kase Capital Management, which manages three value-oriented hedge funds. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter.
Mr. Tilson has co-authored two books, The Art of Value Investing: How the World's Best Investors Beat the Market (2013) and More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times (2009), was one of the authors of Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the definitive book on Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, and has written for Forbes, the Financial Times, Kiplinger’s, the Motley Fool and TheStreet.com. He was featured in two 60 Minutes segments in December 2008 about the housing crisis (which won an Emmy) and in March 2015 about Lumber Liquidators. He served for two years on the Board of Directors of Cutter & Buck, which designs and markets upscale sportswear, until the company was sold in early 2007.
Mr. Tilson received an MBA with High Distinction from the Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar (top 5% of class), and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, with a bachelor’s degree in Government.
Mr. Tilson spent much of his childhood in Tanzania and Nicaragua (his parents are both educators, were among the first couples to meet and marry in the Peace Corps, and have retired in Kenya). Consequently, Mr. Tilson is involved with a number of charities focused on education reform and Africa. For his philanthropic work, he received the 2008 John C. Whitehead Social Enterprise Award from the Harvard Business School Club of Greater New York. He is a member and past Chairman of the Manhattan chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. Mr. Tilson lives in Manhattan with his wife and three teenage daughters.
Andrew Left's Citron Research (http://www.citronresearch.com/) (formally known as Stocklemon.com) seeks to expose companies whose management is in some way misleading investors. Left digs into SEC filings, financials, management histories and other data to uncover such situations, and he is usually short the stocks he writes about. Mr. Left has been publishing for 7 years and has created a track record that is unrivaled in short selling. Mr. Left has been cited in Barron's, Wall St Journal, CNBC and other major publications repeatedly for his work. Mr. Left was also an invited speaker at the reknown Master Investor Conference.
Visit: Citron Research (http://www.citronresearch.com/)