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  • Not Only Did I Sell Everything In My Roth IRA, But I Also Went Semi-Short [View article]
    That is not the point. How many traders do you know who lost their shirts short-term,and more importantly, actually admit it? The world is filled with genius hedge fund traders with quant computers who still can't beat the S&P 500.
    Sep 15 02:38 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Not Only Did I Sell Everything In My Roth IRA, But I Also Went Semi-Short [View article]
    So, the author is fresh out of college (I assume), has minor gains over the past four years despite this being one of the biggest bull markets in history, and admits that his tactics have been reckless. Yet, he concludes that he still knows how to time the market -- and is going to use one of the riskiest vehicles to do so. In his IRA, no less.

    If I were 21 years old, I'd be plowing as much money as I could, every month, into a mix of broad-based stock and bond index funds, and I wouldn't worry about the balance for 30 or so years. And I'd sleep very well at night.
    Sep 15 09:31 AM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Scottish Referendum May Already Be A Black Swan [View article]
    The fact that the author is speculating on a Scottish "black swan" means that it's not a black swan. It's unfortunate that so few writers seem to know the definition.
    Sep 10 01:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Thanks Burger King For The Whopping Profits: Here's Where The Money Went [View article]
    I doubt it. Tim Horton's expansion into the U.S. has not been successful. U.S. market share is 2.7%. Too much competition. Few people are going to pass up Starbucks or Dunkin' Donuts to go into TH. I've been to TH in New York City, and I can't think of any reason why I'd go back.
    Sep 9 01:58 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Demise Of Active Management Is Greatly Exaggerated [View article]
    Except that the number of active managers who can consistently generate above-average returns over the long term is very small, as has been proven over and over again.
    Aug 27 09:27 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why "S&P 2000″ Is A Fed Manufactured Mirage: The "Buy The Dips" Chart That Says It All [View article]
    Parabolic stage? The S&P 500 is up eight percent for the year. 2000 is just a tick on a chart.
    Aug 25 01:59 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can Snapchat Wipe Out Facebook In The Future? [View article]
    Apples and oranges. All the "soccer moms" love Facebook for sharing travel photos, family events, school doings, the latest inspirational sayings, etc. I personally don't think that Facebook is ever going to go away. It's becoming part of the landscape.

    As for Snapchat, two words: "adult entertainment".
    Aug 25 12:37 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Can Snapchat Wipe Out Facebook In The Future? [View article]
    Snapchat is already old news for teenagers. It has limited usefulness for them. Many of them are now turning to GroupMe for group chats. As for Facebook, teens abandoned that a long time ago. It's really the 40+ crowd that uses it.
    Aug 25 11:24 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bond Forecasts - Have Bond Bulls Had Their Day In The Sun? [View article]
    All together now: "It is impossible to reliably predict the direction of interest rates." But there are too many highly-paid big egos who will never admit it no matter how many times they are wrong.
    Aug 21 11:38 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Trouble Looming In The Market... [View article]
    I guess the people who invested in the Tudor Tensor Fund, which closed this year after losing 20% over the past three years, might differ with the description of Paul Tudor Jones as "brilliant." Brilliant does not equal profits. You would have made a lot more money in an S&P 500 fund than giving your money to him.
    Jul 22 11:59 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Warning! The Fed Could Kill Stocks This Week [View article]
    Who is blindsided? Everyone assumes that rates will most likely go up next year. The market has already priced much of that in already.
    Jul 8 10:04 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bullard speaks. Are markets listening? [View news story]
    Time to take him to the woodshed. Tomorrow, another Fed chief will make some soothing comments, and we'll go get another drink of Kool-Aid.
    Jun 26 03:58 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2014 Market Correction Survival Guide: Prepare For The Worst [View article]
    The great thing about predicting corrections is that it is impossible to be wrong. Eventually, one will occur. I am waiting for someone to say "there will be a 10% correction in the next three months", and then if it doesn't happen, come back and say "I was wrong." Not gonna happen around here, that's for sure. "I was right, but wrong about the timing"... well, the dart-throwing monkey can do just as well.
    Jun 18 12:28 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • May CPI at +0.4%, exceeds consensus [View news story]
    You mean you actually believe the number that the government puts out?
    Jun 17 10:54 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Great Correction Of 2014? Don't Drink The Kool-Aid [View article]
    Bob, good post. I don't think I'd want my equities to be 100% S&P 500, but using a *mix* of index funds (large cap, small cap, international, maybe REIT, plus various flavors of bonds and even CDs) provides as much diversification as I need.
    Jun 11 09:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment