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  • 96.4% Of Herbalife Distributors Make Less Than A Bottle And Can Collector  [View article]
    The article I would like to see is, why Ackman can go to such lengths to destroy HLF and not get charged with a felony by the SEC.
    It is one thing to make these charges in court, or privately with the SEC, and a completely different thing to try to make the case with those who buy/sell the stock, while being short. I would really like to know what special case laws there are in place (if any) that allow this.
    Nov 6, 2013. 06:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. Dollar Breakout: Gold To $1,250, Silver To $19 By Year End  [View article]
    Guess I set myself up for that(g).
    May 30, 2013. 02:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. Dollar Breakout: Gold To $1,250, Silver To $19 By Year End  [View article]
    I have software I wrote myself which deduces the probability of information and it broke today as things are suddenly so odd. It has been running fine for years.
    Something is up on a global scale, or I accidentally did something to my software.
    May 30, 2013. 12:57 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. Dollar Breakout: Gold To $1,250, Silver To $19 By Year End  [View article]
    I am seeing evidence in the market that Israel is preparing to go to war in the next few days. Anyone else see this?
    May 30, 2013. 12:09 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Major hedge funds have suddenly turned bullish, reportedly buying massive amounts of OTC call options on the S&P 500 (SPY). The purchases have been large enough to send the VIX (VXX) higher even as stocks continue to gain. An important milestone - the implied volatility of S&P calls is now greater than that of puts, a true rarity since 2007.  [View news story]
    I thought the FED could buy stocks. I could swear I read in an article in 2010 that the FED was reporting 50 billion dollars in dividend income for the quarter. I am pretty sure it was stock dividend. Does anyone know for sure?
    May 21, 2013. 04:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Market Can't Predict The Future  [View article]
    Although the common methods of prediction are no doubt failures, this doesnt mean that stock prices cannot be predicted a few minutes into the future.
    The major stocks in the US Markets (especially in the SP500) are all heavily played by funds holding as much as a trillion dollars or more. And regardless of the methods the huge funds might actually be using, or the secret sauce in their algorithms, the overall results tend to behave as a Swarm.
    The belief in the unpreditable nature of the market coupled with information theory, statistics and natural language processing, and other unknown methods has created something which culminates in the market behaving most of the time in accordance with a set of equations I think of as Swarm Intelligence.
    Knowing those equations is not enough to predict the market, but it certainly makes one feel the possibility is open when you see stocks moving perfectly as they are modeled to. If I had a few thousand computers and a few months off work, I would love to try to find it.
    I would agree with you that what most people mean by predicting the market is not going to work though.
    May 13, 2013. 11:44 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Herbalife: What Have We Learned?  [View article]
    A billionaire hedge fund manager sets up to profit if the price falls ,and then starts making accusations, and the price falls. Go figure. If you or I did that, we would probably already be in prison by now.
    May 9, 2013. 11:07 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Herbalife: What Have We Learned?  [View article]
    MLM companies have been around for about a hundred years and suddenly a rich hedge fund guy declares them dead, "any day now" and so people actually fall for this?
    I think what we have learned is that when your total cap is a few billion dollars for you company, that someone who has billions in funds can completely manipulate your stock price. To me, this is the most interesting thing to learn from HLF and I am watching it very closely, in fascination to see how it is manipulated wiith impunity.
    That is what there is to learn from HLF.
    May 9, 2013. 11:04 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Valuations Support 1% Or Less For U.S. Stocks Over Next 20 Years  [View article]
    It would make intuitive sense that whenever the market was at a new high, that statistical models would show it to be a poor time to buy.
    The comment about "the market" caught my eye. It is my opinion that the SP500 (is that the market?) follows a very traceable cause and effect.
    Too much to say about it, other than I disagree about it not being cause and effect.
    Apr 16, 2013. 09:36 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Herbalife: Legitimacy Determination Using Dr. Vander Nat's Methodology  [View article]
    No doubt the shorts will next go after Insurance Companies for their obvious scam with the hospitals where if they only have to pay a few cents on the dollar of your "bill." That there are two rates for services, one for the insurance companies, and one for those without insurance. Clearly this is immoral and probably illegal. Possibly many of us could afford to take the risk of no insurance if not for this scam.
    After they bust them wide open, they can go after the drug companies for the exact same scam.

    Then they will go after the phone companies and ask the question, how much longer can they keep cities from offering wireless for a few dollars a year to their residents, and thus be able to charge 50 or 100 dollars a month for phone, and 35 to 50 for internet, when if cities did get to offer it at cost, it would be less than a dollar a month.

    Next they will go after the razor blade companies, as I know the razors in 1980 that are no longer covered by patents, should be in the store, and for some reason arent. After they blow that out of the water, that should be the end of the razor blade companies.

    And on and on down the list until we either destroy most companies we have, or face the inevitable fact that our ability as Industrialized nations to produce far outweighs our ability to consume, and without market inefficiencies, we would all need to own ten phones, have a hundred tvs, etc in order to keep our markets at their current levels.
    As for HLF itself,, I have no comment other than to say I believe it to be a better company than most.
    Mar 2, 2013. 04:59 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News  [View article]
    Probably also "must know news" is energy stocks are in favor starting about 1:00pm Eastern yesterday with a couple of companies by close, and now much more so after open today.
    Jan 30, 2013. 10:03 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Microsoft Joins Talks To Buy Out Dell Shareholders  [View article]
    Microsoft buying Dell would be like in that movie Dumb and Dumber when he traded the van for a scooter. "Just when I thought you couldnt do anything dumber, you completely redeem yourself."
    Way to go Microsoft.
    Jan 23, 2013. 12:41 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver: Do You Think It Is Breaking Out?  [View article]
    I have no doubt that 1.6 relationship exists in my market analysis as I have an AI algoriithm which I have to manually divide some of its results by 1.6 for some unknown reason, in order to make everything roughly balance. I just assumed there was some sort of error in my calculations, but since it was always 1.6, and easy enough to divide out, I never found time to go search for it.
    Hmm. I think I will try 1.618.
    Jan 20, 2013. 11:04 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Windows 8 Not Good For Microsoft  [View article]
    I dont think the author used it more than ten minutes.
    Jan 9, 2013. 09:32 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Windows 8 Not Good For Microsoft  [View article]
    Yeah, Hal set some pretty high expectations for computers that have made any advance seem trivial since then. I am still waiting for my computer that can read lips.
    On a serious note though, I think your comment that this was the way that computers were headed before Microsoft clearly demonstrates that you really shouldnt be writing about computers.
    Jan 9, 2013. 09:31 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment