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I look for a change in sentiment that precedes the change in trend. Moments of "lag" in sentiment can provide superb entry points into special situations at a discount; and obversely, manic enthusiasm can provide an opportunity to go short.
I research the fundamentals, know what I am getting into, and go long or short accordingly. Technical studies of the market are also an active part of my trading. I have invested for 22 years.
I am the founder of asensio.com a noted short-selling organization recognized as the Pioneer of Activist Short Selling. It has successfully advocated against more than 52 companies that we believed to be misleading investors. Early on the New York Times called asensio.com's work "something radical and remarkable." I am a graduate of the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School and went to work in Venezuela during that nation’s economic boom period, which occurred after the Venezuelan government nationalized its domestic petroleum industry. I left Venezuela as government policy began to shift away from free markets to attend Harvard University’s Graduate School of Business where I obtained a Master’s degree in investment management and finance.
Read more about asensio.com's history here: http://www.asensio.com/?page_id=7 Read more about our work at asensio.com.
In 1996, asensio.com began releasing short-focused research on the internet, becoming the first organization of its kind, the innovator of Strong Sell recommendations, and was the first and remains the only SEC and FINRA registered broker-dealer to have focused on short-selling research and trading. Our status as a unique member of FINRA and a pioneer in activist short selling generated conflicts with other FINRA members and FINRA's staff determined to bar me from membership in their private organization. We are constantly attempting to correct this disagreement. Today the firm and the site are independent of FINRA.
A statement pertaining to the FINRA matter is available here http://www.asensio.com/?page_id=7370 A disclosure statement can be found at http://www.asensio.com/?page_id=7374
I hold a B.S. in Accounting.
"[T]he function of the margin-of-safety is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the future. If the margin is a large one, then it is enough to assume that future earnings will not fall far below those of the past in order for an investor to feel sufficiently protected against the vicissitudes of time."
"Needless to say, the analyst must take possible future changes into account, but his primary aim is not so much to profit from them as to guard against them. Broadly speaking, he views the future as a hazard which his conclusions must encounter rather than as the source of his vindication."
"[F]inding the really outstanding companies and staying with them through all fluctuations of a gyrating market proved far more profitable to far more people than did the more colorful practice of trying to buy them cheap and sell them dear…These opportunities did not require purchasing on a particular day at the bottom of a great panic."
John is a lawyer and accountant with over three decades of corporate finance, due diligence, M&A advisory and related legal services for manufacturers, innovators and investors in the energy storage and renewable energy sectors.
Over the last eight years John has earned a global following for his articles on the energy storage and alternative energy sectors. He has contributed to AltEnergyStocks, Seeking Alpha, The Street, NASDAQ.com and Batteries International Magazine and InvestorIntel.
John is a 1979 graduate of the Notre Dame Law School and a 1976 graduate of the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University. He was admitted to the bar in 1980 and licensed to practice as a CPA in 1981. John’s diverse experience in corporate finance, natural resource development and energy storage give him a unique and sometimes unsettling perspective on the technical, economic and supply chain challenges of the battery industry.
A central focus on quantifying innovation in a micro model, Paul has over a decade of experience in the markets, specializing in identifying value propositions within high growth situations.
David White is a software/firmware/marketing professional and a long time investor. He has worked in the networking field, the semiconductor equipment field, the mainframe computer field, and the pharmaceutical/scientific instrumentation field. He has bachelor's degrees in bioresource sciences and biochemistry from U.C. Berkeley. He is a former Ph.D. student in biochemistry. He has done significant graduate work in EECS and business at Stanford (through SITN) and UC Santa Cruz. He was awarded a Certificate in Advanced Software Systems (about 1/3 of an MS in EECS) by the Stanford Computer Science Department. He also took most of Stanford's undergraduate Computer Science curriculum.
Dr. Moors has appeared over 1,400 times as a featured television and radio commentator in North America, Europe and Russia, including ABC, BBC, Bloomberg TV, CBS, CNN, NBC, Russian RTV and regularly on Fox Business Network.
A professor in the Graduate Center for Social and Public Policy at Duquesne University, where he also directs the Energy Policy Research Group, Moors has developed international educational programs and he runs training sessions for multiple U.S. government agencies. And until recent revisions in U.S. policy, Dr. Moors was slated to be the deputy director of the Iraq Reconstruction Management Office (IRMO) in Baghdad.
Please visit him at OilandEnergyInvestor.com
Disclaimer: Money Morning and Stansberry & Associates Investment Research are separate companies, and entirely distinct. Their only common thread is a shared parent company, Agora Inc. Agora Inc. was named in the suit by the SEC and was exonerated by the court, and thus dropped from the case. Stansberry & Associates was found civilly liable for a matter that dealt with one writer’s report on a company. The action was not a criminal matter. The case is still on appeal, and no final decision has been made.
I have canceled my republication agreement with Seeking Alpha. Look for my future articles at http://altenergystocks.com.
Tom Konrad, PhD., CFA is a financial analyst, freelance writer, and portfolio manager specializing in renewable energy and energy efficiency. He is currently looking for a money management firm to sponsor what he believes would be the first dividend income oriented green mutual fund, based on a strategy he has been managing since December 2013.
He is Editor at AltEnergyStocks.com.
Tom lives in New York's lower Hudson River Valley. He volunteers for the environmental nonprofit community, runs, and is a woodworker. He's currently using those woodworking skills to renovate (and upgrade the energy performance) of the 1930 farmhouse he lives in with his wife.
He can be reached at tom at tom konrad dot com.
Derek Lowe, an Arkansan by birth, got his BA from Hendrix College and his PhD in organic chemistry from Duke before spending time in Germany on a Humboldt Fellowship on his post-doc. He's worked for several major pharmaceutical companies since 1989 on drug discovery projects against schizophrenia, Alzheimer's, diabetes, osteoporosis and other diseases.
To contact Derek, email him directly: firstname.lastname@example.org (mailto:email@example.com)
Steve Zachritz, "Zman", is an investor/trader who specializes in the energy sector. He has managed small cap growth portfolios, been an energy banker, and a sell side exploration and production analyst (Prudential and Jefferies) in his 20 years in the financial markets. His daily writeups address developments in that sector and the potential impact on publicly traded stocks, options, and futures.
Visit his site: Zman's Energy Brain http://www.zmansenergybrain.com
Follow our tweets at ZmansEnrgyBrain
Bespoke Investment Group provides some of the most original content and intuitive thinking on the Street. Founded by Paul Hickey and Justin Walters, formerly of Birinyi Associates and creators of the acclaimed TickerSense blog, Bespoke offers multiple products that allow anyone, from institutions to the most modest investor, to gain the data and knowledge necessary to make intelligent and profitable investment decisions. Along with running their Think B.I.G. finance blog, Bespoke provides timely investment ideas through its Bespoke Premium (http://bespokepremium.com/) subscription service and also manages money (http://bespokepremium.com/mm) for high net worth individuals.
Visit: Bespoke Investment Group (http://bespokeinvest.com/)
Hardassetsinvestor.com (http://hardassetsinvestor.com/) is a Van Eck Associates-sponsored, research oriented Web site devoted to sharing ideas about hard assets investing. The site has been developed as an educational resource for both individual and institutional investors interested in learning more about commodity equities, commodity futures and gold (the three major components of the hard assets marketplace). The site focuses on hard assets investing, without endorsing or recommending any particular investment product or approach.
Visit: Hard Assets Investor (http://hardassetsinvestor.com/)
Shlomi Cohen is a veteran Israeli financial journalist and stock analyst who writes the popular 'Buy, Sell, Hold' column for Israel's leading financial publication, Globes.
Cohen provides in-depth analysis of Israeli and non-Israeli stocks traded on Wall Street, with particular attention to the impact of emerging technologies and executive management strategy. Cohen also manages a virtual portfolio on Globes, which he updates regularly alongside his commentary.
Visit his site: Globes (http://www.globes.co.il/serveen/default.htm)
Sandi Lynne is the publisher of WallStreetInAdvance.com. Sandi earned post graduate degrees at NYU and CWPost. She ran a small chain of high end, imported European sports wear stores in NYC, concentrating on swim, tennis, and ski wear. In May 1987, she sold her leases and began writing a column for Fairchild Publications, featured in SportStyle, and syndicated worldwide. Since 1991, she's consulted to hedge funds and trading desks, specializing in retail and event-driven trading. The Weekly Outlook is core to her process