Mr. Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC, a low fee financial services firm based in San Diego, CA as well as the founder of the popular financial website Pragmatic Capitalism (some articles from Pragmatic Capitalism get syndicated on Seeking Alpha so please see the full site if you don't want to miss articles by Mr. Roche).
Orcam Financial Group, LLC (www.orcamgroup.com) is a low fee financial services firm offering asset management, personal advisory, consulting and educational services. Pragmatic Capitalism (http://pragcap.com) was founded by Cullen Roche in the midst of the financial crisis of 2008. Mr. Roche foresaw many of the events that led up to the crisis and felt that the government was slow to react and when it did finally react, responded with the wrong medicine.
Mr. Roche's primary areas of expertise include global macro portfolio construction, quantitative risk management, monetary economics and behavioral finance. Prior to establishing his own business, Mr. Roche worked at Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management where he worked on a team overseeing $500MM+ in assets under management. Upon leaving Merrill Lynch, Mr. Roche managed a private investment partnership for 7 years generating substantial positive alpha (high risk adjusted returns) without a single negative year of returns. He has since transitioned back to retail asset management to better serve the much needed low fee retail space with sophisticated but simple asset management and financial planning services.
Mr. Roche is also a prolific writer. In addition to the daily musings on his website, he is the author of the popular book “Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance” as well as “Understanding the Modern Monetary System”, one of the top 10 all-time most downloaded research papers on the SSRN academic research network. He was named one of the “Top Wall Street Economists, Experts and Opinion Leaders” of 2011 by Wall Street Economists and was named one of the “101 Best Finance People” by Business Insider where he was described as “one of the most influential economic thinkers today.” In 2015 Mr. Roche was named one of the “40 Under 40” most influential people in finance by InvestmentNews. He is regularly cited in the Wall Street Journal, on CNBC and in the Financial Times.
Mr. Roche is a Georgetown University alumnus, growing up in the DC area and now living in Southern California with his wife Erica, troublesome collie Cal and 4 irritable laying hens. In addition to being a financial dork Cullen is an avid outdoorsman, mediocre gardener, proficient complex carbohydrate consumer (i.e., loves brownies and cake) and finisher of one of the most difficult IRONMAN races at Cabo in 2015.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.
I'm now retired, formerly a security guard in Boston, and a self-taught, self-directed investor. My other interests include history, philosophy and music. I have a high school education (grad. 1967 Division Ave. H. S., Levittown, N.Y.).
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I was trained in finance, but work in strategy. I invest very infrequently, and balance my portfolio once a year. I buy and hold hold indices and volatility ETFs. I trade a little bit on the side, but that's pure gambling, for fun.
Specialize in the investment in and trading of "deep-value" high-yield securities, including debt, preferred shares, common shares, put/call options, and ETF's, for my own and family accounts only. Have over seventeen years experience personally directing our personal and family accounts on a mostly full-time basis.
Was previously an international-business executive, general manager and entrepreneur in the medical-technology industry. Also provided consulting, related to general management, new-venture formation and acquisition of venture capital.
Education: Brown University, School of Engineering (Sc. B. '71); University of Virginia, Darden School of Business Administration (MBA '73).
Present Home: Sarasota, FL
Previous Homes: New York City, Mountain View, CA
Hometown: Baltimore, MD
Evaluation of the dominant assumptions and an understanding of the dynamics of the economic engine is the basis of an approach to asset allocation that provides for both a rational determination of value and an understanding of sentiment in the form of price as a measure of the irrational nature of the operational environment, an approach that is intended at once to avoid unnecessary risk while at the same time enable gradual rebalance of assets as a means to increase net worth via optimization of appreciation and long term yields. Let's call that buy low and fly high just for fun.
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
The Fraud Research Institute ("FRI") specializing in the research and discovery of financial scandals and corporate malpractice in the United States with an emphasis on the small cap markets.
Our business model is to publish the highest quality and most compelling professional research reports that highlight all material information necessary for short-biased traders to identify superior risk-to-reward trade ideas that are primarily a result of market inefficiencies created by the artificial demand from stock promotion (pump & dump) campaigns.
We identify Wall Street's biggest frauds and profit from them.
I like exposing Penny Stock Pump and Dumps. Most of my research is done to help good hard working people avoid being scammed into investing in a pump and dump. Share the reports to show Seeking Alpha they are worth publishing this kind of information to help people avoid losing money in pump and dumps.
One of the first stocks Michael Goode looked to invest in when he first started investing in 2005 was a small company traded on the Pinksheets called US WindFarming. During his research, Michael found out that the CEO had previously been convicted of criminal stock fraud and had served time in jail for a scheme that purported to turn base metals into gold. Michael decided not to invest and six months later the SEC sued the company, alleging that all the press releases were fake and the company was a sham that existed for the sole purpose of selling shares to gullible investors in order to enrich the insiders.
Following that experience, Michael Goode became a bit of a cynic. While he called himself a value investor and even briefly ran a value investing newsletter, his true love was exposing fraud and failed businesses. At his blog GoodeValue.com, sometimes syndicated on SeekingAlpha.com, he blasted companies such as H2Diesel (later renamed New Generation Biofuels), Cytocore (later sued by the SEC), Remote MDX (later panned by Andrew Left of Citron Research and Carol Remond of Dow Jones Newswires), and Noble Roman’s Pizza (on which he was quoted in multiple articles in the Indianapolis Business Journal).
Michael Goode has continued to shine a light on stock promotions and the people behind them on his trading blog, GoodeTrades.com. He has blogged about lawsuits involving stock promoters (a couple more) and he has exposed the multiple websites used by certain stock promoters. He remains a full-time stock trader; you can see most of his trades on Profit.ly.
Michael Goode graduated from Earlham College in 2004 and obtained a Masters Degree in Cognitive Psychology in 2007, from Washington University in St. Louis. He is the managing member of MorningLightMountain LLC, the owner of GoodeTrades.com, OTCMicroCapResearch.com, and all other content he writes online. Michael Goode has never been charged with or convicted of any crime whatsoever.
John Hempton is a (semi) retired fund manager based in Sydney Australia. His key expertise is in banks and insurance companies though his investing interests extend widely.
He maintains a blog at brontecapital.blogspot.com (http://www.brontecapital.blogspot.com/).
Sharesleuth.com is an investigative business reporting site backed by entrepreneur Mark Cuban. Sharesleuth seeks to expose companies and individuals engaged in securities fraud and other activities that tend to deceive investors. Chris Carey, editor of Sharesleuth, previously was an award-winning business reporter at the St. Louis Post-Disptach, the Indianapolis Star, and the Orlando Sentinel. He began his career at the Messenger-Inquirer in Owensboro, Ky. He graduated from Indiana University with a double major in journalism and economics.
According to Greek mythology, Glaucus, a god of the sea blessed with the power of prophecy, frequently came to the rescue of distressed sailors and fisherman. We founded Glaucus Research Group California LLC (a California Limited Liability Company) to help capital markets investors navigate treacherous financial waters in search of great investment opportunities.
TheStreetSweeper recently named Sonya Colberg as Senior Editor. About three years ago, she became senior investigative reporter of TheStreetSweeper, a website devoted to exposing fraud, shenanigans and lousy business practices of public companies. Sonya had worked more than two decades as an editor and reporter for two major newspapers, including the recent Warren Buffett acquisition, Tulsa World. Among others, the Associated Press, Great Plains Journalism Awards, The Gerald Loeb Awards and the Society of Professional Journalists have recognized Sonya’s investigative, feature, health, news and business stories. A fearless investigative reporter, Sonya loves nothing better than calling out the shysters and bumblers who quietly work to separate investors from their hard-earned money.
Kerrisdale Capital is a private investment manager that focuses on value and special situations investments. We manage investment partnerships and separately managed accounts.
I am a former analyst, now full-time investor. I may take long or short positions in companies that I write about, although my focus is on uncovering what I believe to be questionable companies and transactions. I will always provide disclosure whenever I publish a blog post.
I will never attempt to provide false or misleading information. All facts that I present on this site are true to the best of my knowledge. All opinions presented are my own and accurately reflect my actual opinion on the issues that I write about.
Sam Antar is a convicted felon and a former CPA. As the CFO of Crazy Eddie, Mr. Antar helped mastermind one of the largest securities frauds uncovered during the 1980s.
Today, Sam Antar is a forensic accountant. His primary work focuses on identifying and investigating public companies engaged in securities fraud by performing an in-depth (deep-dive) forensic analysis. His clients include law firms, research firms, hedge funds, and certain other entities. He advises law enforcement agencies and professionals about white-collar crime and trains them to catch the crooks.
His views on white-collar crime are frequently quoted in the print news media, online news media, TV media, professional journals, books, and blogs. He has appeared on Fox News, Fox Business Channel, WSJ Live, CNBC, Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, Canadian Business News Network, National Public Radio’s Planet Money, Progressive Radio Network, Reuters TV, RT News, and other media outlets to give insights on white-collar crime. His articles have been published by Business Insider, CNBC, Newsweek, Seeking Alpha, TalkMarkets, and other publications.
I hold a B.S. in Accounting.
"[T]he function of the margin-of-safety is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the future. If the margin is a large one, then it is enough to assume that future earnings will not fall far below those of the past in order for an investor to feel sufficiently protected against the vicissitudes of time."
"Needless to say, the analyst must take possible future changes into account, but his primary aim is not so much to profit from them as to guard against them. Broadly speaking, he views the future as a hazard which his conclusions must encounter rather than as the source of his vindication."
"[F]inding the really outstanding companies and staying with them through all fluctuations of a gyrating market proved far more profitable to far more people than did the more colorful practice of trying to buy them cheap and sell them dear…These opportunities did not require purchasing on a particular day at the bottom of a great panic."
I am a research analyst for a long/short value-oriented hedge fund. Most of my attention is focused on the tech, telecom and media sectors although I occasionally look for value (or its opposite) in other areas.
Note that I take long and short positions in the stocks I discuss on Seeking Alpha. Although I disclose my positions at the time of publication, these may change at any time without notice. Nothing I write should be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell specific securities. Please do your own research and/or consult with a financial adviser. While everything I write is factually correct to the best of my knowledge, I encourage you to notify me in the comments section when you think I may be in error.
Andrew Left's Citron Research (http://www.citronresearch.com/) (formally known as Stocklemon.com) seeks to expose companies whose management is in some way misleading investors. Left digs into SEC filings, financials, management histories and other data to uncover such situations, and he is usually short the stocks he writes about. Mr. Left has been publishing for 7 years and has created a track record that is unrivaled in short selling. Mr. Left has been cited in Barron's, Wall St Journal, CNBC and other major publications repeatedly for his work. Mr. Left was also an invited speaker at the reknown Master Investor Conference.
Visit: Citron Research (http://www.citronresearch.com/)
Whether you are a large or small firm, GeoInvesting will cater to your needs and create a sound process for corporate diligence. Our specialty is Portfolio Protection – in fact, every aspect of what we do boils down to various ways that your M&A process or investment portfolio can be safeguarded against red flags.
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We have a retail solution for everyone – the long investor, the short investor, the pump and dump investor and the every day trader that is interested in the micro cap arena. We’ve shown that we can overcome the challenges posed by any market environment, quickly seizing investment and trading opportunities as they arise. Because of this, our Premium members have been able to enjoy above-average returns on our ideas. Our solutions enable us to cater to what matters to you the most.
Do you want access to reports that can convey the proper valuation of equities, reports that can immediately convince the market that these valuations are warranted? Do you want information arbitrage that allows you to be among the first to take action based on the intel? Do you need daily ideas, some of which have proven to be some of the most rewarding calls to action that the GeoTeam has offered? Would you like to follow our GeoBargains and select trades? Or do you just need to be part of an exclusive twitter following that receives alerts before the rest of the market?
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I look for opportunities to invest where the expected value is sufficiently greater than the cost to invest and look to invest the appropriate portion of the total funds available. To make a gambling analogy, a highly favorable investment would be one where you could invest $1 on a flip of a coin and receive $10 if it flipped heads and lose only $1 if it came up tails. However, you would not want to invest all of your funds because you would be broke if the coin turned up tails. Thus, the goal is to find investments where the edge is sufficiently large and then invest the appropriate portion of the funds. The Kelly formula provides a theoretical basis for the appropriate percentage of total funds to invest in a single opportunity.
However, in the real world, the precise odds are rarely known. Thus, I seek to develop the ability and obtain the knowledge to calculate the odds with a degree of accuracy, and conservatively enough, to be able to make intelligent invesments.
With regards to equities, which I have primarily invested in, I seek to understand the economics of the business so as to evaluate its potential for long term success or failure. I seek to use this understanding, along with an examination of its financial statements, to determine if the company is undervalued or overvalued. I may then decide to go long undervalued companies and I may decide to short overvalued companies. My preference is to find companies to purchase, rather than to short.