Seeking Alpha

Mark Seleznov's  Instablog

Mark Seleznov
Send Message
Mark Seleznov is the Chief Investment Officer of Seleznov Capital Advisors (SCA). SCA is a SEC registered investment advisory firm that performs advisory services for Mutual Funds, Trusts, 401K plans and Individuals. Mark supervises the asset allocation programs of SCA in a variety of strategic... More
My company:
Seleznov Capital Advisors
View Mark Seleznov's Instablogs on:
  • System Trading Plan: Current 50 Day Moving Average Signals for January 9, 2012
    We monitor trading signals for 53 Indexes at www.seleznovcapitaladvisors.com  You may also sign up for our Free Weekly Commentary at the top right of our home page at www.seleznovcapitaladvisors.com
    System Trader’s and Market Timing traders may use the 50 day Simple Moving Average as their trading plan. The 50 day moving average is basic technical analysis. It is a good market timing trading plan for active trading in indexes and ETF’s that have trend following characteristics. It can produce disastrous results if used for every stock index, ETF, or stock.
    Other widely followed moving averages are the 100 day moving average and the 200 day moving average. Some money managers will use these moving averages with a shorter moving average and use the cross of the shorter moving average above or below the longer moving average to generate trading signals. The Wall Street Journal displays the 65 day moving average in their charts. The goal of two moving averages and even 3 moving averages is to eliminate whipsaws that often occur with moving averages as a technical analysis indicator.
    Why should you care about the signals produced with the 50 day moving average? There are so many people using the 50 day moving average, that we will often see extreme volatility in indexes when they cross both above and below the 50 day moving average.
    The below table shows the current 50 day simple moving average condition on the 50 most actively traded ETF’s. 
    Security Name50 Day MATicker
    Barclays High Yield BondStay LongJNK
    BRIC ISharesStay ShortBKF
    Coal Power SharesStay ShortPKOL
    DB Commodity IndexStay LongDBC
    Diamond Trust DOWStay LongDIA
    Energy Select SPDRStay LongXLE
    Internet HoldersStay ShortHHH
    IPath India IndexStay ShortINP
    IShare Russell 2000Stay LongIWM
    IShares 25 IndexStay ShortFXI
    IShares AustraliaStay ShortEWA
    IShares Basic MaterialsStay LongIYM
    IShares DJ Real EstateStay LongIYR
    Ishares DJ TransportationStay LongIYT
    Ishares Emerging MarketsStay ShortEEM
    IShares Financial SectorStay LongIYF
    IShares GermanyStay ShortEWG
    IShares Hong KongStay ShortEWH
    IShares Latin AmericaStay ShortILF
    IShares MexicoStay LongEWW
    IShares Mid Cap 400Stay LongIJH
    IShares MSCI EAFEStay ShortEFA
    IShares MSCI JapanStay ShortEWJ
    IShares Pacific ex JapanStay ShortEPP
    IShares S&P 500 GrowthStay LongIVW
    Ishares S&P Small Cap 600Stay LongIJR
    IShares SilverStay ShortSLV
    IShares South AfricaStay ShortEZA
    IShares South KoreaStay ShortEWY
    IShares TaiwanStay ShortEWT
    IShares United KingdomStay LongEWU
    NDX 100Stay LongQQQ.O
    Oil Service HoldersStay ShortOIH
    Pharmaceutical HoldersStay LongPPH
    PowerShares US Dollar IndexStay LongUUP
    RussiaStay ShortRSX
    RYDEX S&P 500 Equal WeightStay LongRSP
    S&P 500Stay LongSPY
    Semiconductor HoldersStay LongSMH
    SPDR Consumer DescretionaryStay LongXLY
    SPDR Consumer StaplesStay LongXLP
    SPDR Gold SharesStay ShortGLD
    SPDR HealthcareStay LongXLV
    SPDR Industrial SectorStay LongXLI
    SPDR International Real EstateStay ShortRWX
    SPDR MaterialsStay LongXLB
    SPDR Metal & MiningStay ShortXME
    SPDR Mid CapStay LongMDY
    SPDR S&P HomebuildersStay LongXHB
    SPDR TechnologyStay LongXLK
    Steel Market VectorNew ShortSLX
    US OilStay LongUSO
    Wisdom Tree Total DividendStay LongDTD
     
    You should not trade any system trading plan without proper back testing and analysis of the trading characteristics of the index, stock or ETF you are trading. 
    These trading signals are provided courtesy of the website you are viewing. This information should not be used without research and advice from a financial professional.
    Be aware that this condition can and will change any day in the future.
    We monitor the 50 day moving average daily along with a number of other system trading plans.
    There is No “Holy Grail” in trading systems. Do not use the 50 day SMA or any other system trading system without proper research on the asset.
    For questions on rule based, system trading, contact
    mark@seleznovcapitaladvisors.com
     
    Jan 06 5:52 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Turtle Trading Market Timing System Signals for December 27, 2011
    Turtle Trading Systems use the highest high and lowest low of a certain number of days to generate signals. One of the most popular parameters is the 20 day high and 20 day low of a stock or Index. We use the 20 day high and low for our daily signals. One advantage is that as prices move lower and the high of the last 20 days drops, the Turtle Trading System locks in profits. You can also clearly see the point that you would close a trade and open a new one in the opposite direction.
    We track this popular trading method and 29 others at Seleznov Capital Advisors.  You may also sign up for our Free Weekly Commentary at the top right of our home page at www.seleznovcapitaladvisors.com
    One of the most popular Market Timing Trading Systems is known as the Turtle Trading System made popular by Richard Dennis and Richard Donchian. It is an effective Breakout method used by many traders. 
    It works best with trending assets and indexes. It is used in futures trading, stock trading and Index trading by many.
    It is a good market timing trading plan for active trading in indexes and ETF’s that have trend following characteristics. It can produce disastrous results if used for every stock index, ETF, or stock.
    There are many versions of the Turtle Trading System. We follow and Track the 20 day high and 20 day low system on the most actively traded ETF’s and Indexes. Daily Signals are available in our nightly Daily Trend Signal Service.
    Some traders will fade, or trade against the Turtle Trading System Signals as many of them are false signals. Why should you care about the signals produced with the Turtle Trading System? There are so many people using Turtle Trading, that we will often see extreme volatility in indexes when they cross both above and below their 20 day highs or lows. Many Hedge Funds us the Turtle Trading methods in their funds.
    This table shows the current Turtle Trading Signals for tomorrow on the 50 most actively traded ETF’s. 
    Security NameTurtleTicker
    Barclays High Yield BondStay LongJNK
    BRIC ISharesStay ShortBKF
    Coal Power SharesStay ShortPKOL
    DB Commodity IndexStay ShortDBC
    Diamond Trust DOWStay LongDIA
    Energy Select SPDRStay ShortXLE
    Internet HoldersStay ShortHHH
    IPath India IndexStay ShortINP
    IShare Russell 2000Stay ShortIWM
    IShares 25 IndexStay ShortFXI
    IShares AustraliaStay ShortEWA
    IShares Basic MaterialsStay ShortIYM
    IShares DJ Real EstateStay LongIYR
    Ishares DJ TransportationStay LongIYT
    Ishares Emerging MarketsStay ShortEEM
    IShares Financial SectorStay ShortIYF
    IShares GermanyStay ShortEWG
    IShares Hong KongStay ShortEWH
    IShares Latin AmericaStay ShortILF
    IShares MexicoStay ShortEWW
    IShares Mid Cap 400Stay ShortIJH
    IShares MSCI EAFEStay ShortEFA
    IShares MSCI JapanStay ShortEWJ
    IShares Pacific ex JapanStay ShortEPP
    IShares S&P 500 GrowthStay ShortIVW
    Ishares S&P Small Cap 600Stay LongIJR
    IShares SilverStay ShortSLV
    IShares South AfricaStay ShortEZA
    IShares South KoreaStay ShortEWY
    IShares TaiwanStay ShortEWT
    IShares United KingdomStay ShortEWU
    NDX 100Stay ShortQQQ.O
    Oil Service HoldersStay ShortOIH
    Pharmaceutical HoldersStay LongPPH
    PowerShares US Dollar IndexStay LongUUP
    RussiaStay ShortRSX
    RYDEX S&P 500 Equal WeightStay ShortRSP
    S&P 500Stay ShortSPY
    Semiconductor HoldersStay ShortSMH
    SPDR Consumer DescretionaryStay LongXLY
    SPDR Consumer StaplesStay LongXLP
    SPDR Gold SharesStay ShortGLD
    SPDR HealthcareStay LongXLV
    SPDR Industrial SectorStay LongXLI
    SPDR International Real EstateStay ShortRWX
    SPDR MaterialsStay ShortXLB
    SPDR Metal & MiningStay ShortXME
    SPDR Mid CapStay ShortMDY
    SPDR S&P HomebuildersStay LongXHB
    SPDR TechnologyStay ShortXLK
    Steel Market VectorStay ShortSLX
    US OilStay ShortUSO
    Wisdom Tree Total DividendStay LongDTD
     
    You should not trade any systematic trading plan without proper back testing and analysis of the trading characteristics of the index, stock or ETF you are trading. 
    These trading signals are provided courtesy of the website you are viewing. This information should not be used without research and advice from a financial professional.
    Be aware that this condition can and will change any day in the future.
    We monitor the Turtle Trading System along with system performance rankings of other systematic trading plans.
    There is No “Holy Grail” in trading systems. Do not use the Turtle Trading System or any other systematic trading system without proper research on the asset.
    For questions on rule based, systematic trading, contact
    mark@seleznovcapitaladvisors.com
     
    Dec 23 6:59 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Systematic Trading Plan: Current 200 Day Moving Average Signals for December 12, 2011
    At Seleznov Capital Advisors we watch these key levels to see the Index breaks down or the trend continues up. You may also sign up for our Free Weekly Commentary at the top right of our home page at www.seleznovcapitaladvisors.com
    System Trader’s and Market Timing traders may use the 200 day Simple Moving Average as their trading plan. The 200 day moving average is basic technical analysis. It is a good market timing trading plan for active trading in indexes and ETF’s that have trend following characteristics. It can produce disastrous results if used for every stock index, ETF, or stock.
    Other widely followed moving averages are the 50 day moving average and the 100 day moving average. Some money managers will use these moving averages with a shorter moving average and use the cross of the shorter moving average above or below the longer moving average to generate trading signals. The Wall Street Journal displays a 65 Day Moving Average in their charts. The goal of two moving averages and even 3 moving averages is to eliminate whipsaws that often occur with moving averages as a technical analysis indicator.
     Why should you care about the signals produced with the 200 day moving average? There are so many people using the 200 day moving average, that we will often see extreme volatility in indexes when they cross both above and below the 200 day moving average. It has been reported that Endowments like Harvard and Yale use the 200 Day Moving Average in modeling their portfolios.
    The below chart shows the current 200 day simple moving average condition on over 50 most actively traded ETF’s. 
    Security Name200 day maTicker
    Barclays High Yield BondStay ShortJNK
    BRIC ISharesStay ShortBKF
    Coal Power SharesStay ShortPKOL
    DB Commodity IndexStay ShortDBC
    Diamond Trust DOWStay LongDIA
    Energy Select SPDRStay ShortXLE
    Internet HoldersStay ShortHHH
    IPath India IndexStay ShortINP
    IShare Russell 2000Stay ShortIWM
    IShares 25 IndexStay ShortFXI
    IShares AustraliaStay ShortEWA
    IShares Basic MaterialsStay ShortIYM
    IShares DJ Real EstateStay ShortIYR
    Ishares DJ TransportationStay ShortIYT
    Ishares Emerging MarketsStay ShortEEM
    IShares Financial SectorStay ShortIYF
    IShares GermanyStay ShortEWG
    IShares Hong KongStay ShortEWH
    IShares Latin AmericaStay ShortILF
    IShares MexicoStay ShortEWW
    IShares Mid Cap 400Stay ShortIJH
    IShares MSCI EAFEStay ShortEFA
    IShares MSCI JapanStay ShortEWJ
    IShares Pacific ex JapanStay ShortEPP
    IShares S&P 500 GrowthNew LongIVW
    Ishares S&P Small Cap 600Stay ShortIJR
    IShares SilverStay ShortSLV
    IShares South AfricaStay ShortEZA
    IShares South KoreaStay ShortEWY
    IShares TaiwanStay ShortEWT
    IShares United KingdomStay ShortEWU
    NDX 100New LongQQQ.O
    Oil Service HoldersStay ShortOIH
    Pharmaceutical HoldersStay LongPPH
    PowerShares US Dollar IndexStay LongUUP
    RussiaStay ShortRSX
    RYDEX S&P 500 Equal WeightStay ShortRSP
    S&P 500Stay ShortSPY
    Semiconductor HoldersStay ShortSMH
    SPDR Consumer DescretionaryStay LongXLY
    SPDR Consumer StaplesStay LongXLP
    SPDR Gold SharesStay LongGLD
    SPDR HealthcareNew LongXLV
    SPDR Industrial SectorStay ShortXLI
    SPDR International Real EstateStay ShortRWX
    SPDR MaterialsStay ShortXLB
    SPDR Metal & MiningStay ShortXME
    SPDR Mid CapStay ShortMDY
    SPDR S&P HomebuildersNew LongXHB
    SPDR TechnologyStay LongXLK
    Steel Market VectorStay ShortSLX
    US OilStay LongUSO
    Wisdom Tree Total DividendNew LongDTD
     
    You should not trade any system trading plan without proper back testing and analysis of the trading characteristics of the index, stock or ETF you are trading. 
    These trading signals are provided courtesy of the website you are viewing. This information should not be used without research and advice from a financial professional.
    Be aware that this condition can and will change any day in the future.
    We monitor the 200 day moving average daily along with a number of other system trading plans.
    There is No “Holy Grail” in trading systems. Do not use the 200 day SMA or any other system trading system without proper research on the asset.
    For questions on rule based, system trading, contact
    mark@seleznovcapitaladvisors.com
     
    Dec 09 5:26 PM | Link | 1 Comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers
Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.