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  • Who Is Lewis And What Does His Turning Point Have To Do With China?  [View article]
    But they steal very well. Maybe China is like the US in the 20th century. Even so, we had the 1930-40's and 65 to 82. The extremes to which they have gone indicates a depression by next year, unless they have somehow repealed economic cause and effect. I have read several articles that indicate they have a real demographic problem.
    May 11, 2015. 12:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Deflation Works  [View article]
    Man, take a look at commodities. Grains, metal, energy, softs, all down. Why are restaurant prices up, good question. How about interest rates! How about standard of living?
    May 11, 2015. 10:02 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Is JPMorgan Accumulating The Biggest Stockpile Of Physical Silver In History?  [View article]
    Don't clutter precious metal bugs opinions with facts.
    Apr 28, 2015. 10:20 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Is JPMorgan Accumulating The Biggest Stockpile Of Physical Silver In History?  [View article]
    Silver has been in a bear market during Morgan's buying spree. So does that mean we should continue shorting?
    Apr 28, 2015. 10:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • All-Out Bubble Mania - With Zero Cushion!  [View article]
    Excellent comment on the article. I laughed out loud. It is a nice hat.
    Apr 28, 2015. 10:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Is JPMorgan Accumulating The Biggest Stockpile Of Physical Silver In History?  [View article]
    I read that the swap banks like Morgan are securitizing commodities like they did mortgages in 2000-2007. They sell them to pension funds, insurance companies etc that want non-correlated investment. There biggest move was in oil, and we see how that worked out for their investors.
    Apr 27, 2015. 10:56 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors exit bullish oil trade  [View news story]
    The commercials (producers) had a sharp drop off in buying last week. They had record breaking short selling for a year prior to the big drop. They have been buying heavily for the past few months - covering their shorts? They had a very sharp curtailing of buying last week. That frequently marks the end of a counter trend rally. Since everybody seems bullish, that could be correct.
    Apr 27, 2015. 10:48 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • IS THE DOLLAR TOAST? DON'T BET ON IT.  [View instapost]
    There was some astrological deal whereby every president elected in every or every other year ending in zero, died in office. So all the esoteric people said Reagan was in trouble. Well, he survived. I read that is because the configuration moved from a fire sign into a air sign. But anyhow, the pattern changed. Although we may be in a similar situation to WW I and II, it will not happen. This happening in the middle east is really significant. It has the potential to finally lance the boil there, which will enable healing. By historical standards we are relatively at peace now.
    Mar 27, 2015. 09:44 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Economic data shows Japan nearing deflation  [View news story]
    But it has worked so well so far. US real estate topped out mid 2006. The ramifications of that was not seen by the markets until Dec 2007. Chinese real estate topped out in Aug of 2014. Will it take that long for the markets to see the Chinese crash has been happening. Probably, because the way the news is always presented. Soft landing, converting to a consumer driven economy, the slow down is healthy, etc. As Bernanke would say subprime contained and real estate prices will not fall, even though they had already started.
    Mar 27, 2015. 09:29 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Commodities Today: Oil, Precious Metals Rally On Saudi Arabia's Intervention  [View article]
    Could it be another chance to short oil and gold?
    Mar 26, 2015. 12:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gold And Silver Surging In Euro And Yen  [View article]
    This is getting to be a very old story (excuse) by the wrong goldbugs. Did you check and see that these foreigners would have been better off in dollars than gold. Ain't that a kick in the head.
    Mar 26, 2015. 12:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's Time To Start Shorting The U.S. Dollar  [View article]
    So you are going to make back all the dollars you have lost being negative on the dollar. I would have to conclude you are a contrarian indicator. The nine month rally in the $ looks like a massive momentum break out. The last two such moves lasted over 3 years - this is only 9 months.
    Mar 25, 2015. 11:58 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • King Dollar And The Deflationary Growth Steamroller  [View article]
    Good article. The delay between the topping out of US real estate (spring 2006) and the collapse of the US economy was over a year and a half. The drop in oil prices in the early 80's took its toll on Texas for years and it was a major cause of the S&L crisis years later. The new bull mkt in the $ and drop in oil prices has hardly begun to show its ramifications. By the time they do show, it will be attributed to who knows what.
    Mar 20, 2015. 12:29 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Black Swan In Plain Sight: King Dollar  [View article]
    Great article. However, the Mercenary Trader, a frequent contributor to SA predicted it. It is also a perfect bottom chart and Elliott Wave 1-2 1-2 that predicts a very strong move up which is happening.
    Another interesting parallel I have noted is the relationship with the economy and real estate. According to Fred Foldvary in The Depression of 2008 (which he wrote in 1997) says an economic depression occurs two years after the peak in real estate prices. US real estate peaked in the spring of 2006 and the Depression was finally seen in 2008. The stock market topped in mid 2007. Chinese real estate peaked in Aug 2014. So the US stk mkt topped 15 months later and the economic collapse really got going about 20 months later. The equivalent lags would be the Chinese mkt topping around the end of this year and the long awaited Chinese economic collapse to begin by summer 2016. By that time no one will remember this.
    US real estate fell for 6 years. The US stk mkt fell dramatically for about a year and a half. Should be interesting.
    Mar 20, 2015. 10:31 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Should You Buy Into Oil's Secular Bear Market?  [View article]
    Great article. So many of the comments, corroborate its thesis, unfortunately.
    Mar 18, 2015. 11:52 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment