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Balance sheet guru

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  • BDCL April Dividend Brings Yield To 18.1% [View article]
    Oil is dropping today and with the news of a lower quarterly payout BDCL may revisit
    prices below $20. If that happens, take advantage.
    Mar 30, 2015. 08:16 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • BDCL April Dividend Brings Yield To 18.1% [View article]
    Why not simply buy directly the best BDC's that have stable or increasing earnings, and eliminate the non payers still having a portfolio of of the let's say the best 20 of the of the 40 you mention and avoid the dogs. Then leverage it at Interactive Brokers for around 1%.?

    You can get the ranking by gong to the Seeking alpha guy: BDCBUZZ
    Mar 30, 2015. 08:13 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A High Yield Portfolio Using UBS 2x ETN's -Introduction Of The YMBC Portfolio [View instapost]
    Agreed, but just using this as an illustration.If you keep compounding, the returns will keep growing dramatically and if you have patience that after 3-4 years you will have the stock for free and at that point it almost does not matter what the stock price is. It is like owning an an apartment building that the rents keep going up. When it comes time to sell you will have collected so much money over let's say a 5-7 year period your original price paid will be secondary. The only thing that matters is "Are you in a good or bad neighborhood?"
    Mar 29, 2015. 09:17 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A High Yield Portfolio Using UBS 2x ETN's -Introduction Of The YMBC Portfolio [View instapost]
    Why would you buy on ex dates? What do you gain" A price drop usually greater than the dividend. Better to buy about 20-25 days BEFORE the dividend where you most likely will get some upside action in anticipation of the dividend.
    Mar 29, 2015. 08:04 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A High Yield Portfolio Using UBS 2x ETN's -Introduction Of The YMBC Portfolio [View instapost]
    Find a way to generate excess tax losses to match against income such as equipment leasing, real estate, tax credits, etc. then move your IRA.
    Mar 29, 2015. 08:01 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A High Yield Portfolio Using UBS 2x ETN's -Introduction Of The YMBC Portfolio [View instapost]
    BDCL all the way!! Margin 50% at Interactive Brokers and pay just a little over 1%.

    Buy $1.0 million and margin $500,000. Work the numbers.
    Earnings of about $170,000 plus year.a year. Margin cost about $5-6,000. Keep reinvesting more.

    My gosh a 30% plus return. Keep reinvesting. It is like a slot machine with thousand of quarters coming out every time I walk by.
    Mar 29, 2015. 02:02 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • REIT ETF/ETN Showdown: REM Vs. MORL [View article]
    Forget these mREITS as they are too risky. BDCL is the best leveraged product. Most loans in the BDC space readjust their spread over Treasuries and thus protect when interest rates rise.

    Leverage this sucker with margin rates around 1% plus at Interactive Brokers.

    Go for broke and you will get a 30% plus annualized return. It does not matter too much what the price of the stock is, you will make so much money that you will pay off the total cost of the stock in 3 years or so. Once you do so, just laugh your way the bank.
    Mar 29, 2015. 01:42 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Johnson & Johnson: Buying More Shares [View article]
    Just sell an out of the money long term put at $70,collect the premium and if it hits $70 you hit the jackpot and better have the cash to buy the stock at that bargain rate.Of course your cost would be less since you collected the premium.
    Mar 29, 2015. 12:52 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Alliance Resource Partners Is The Only Coal Stock I Want To Own [View article]
    Good for you "Quickondraw". Keep grabbing these 8% high yields and keep reinvesting. ARLP has plenty of distribution coverage. The only threats are Obama's assault on coal and low gas prices. In time Obama will be out (I've had enough of his crazy policies and arrogance) and maybe we will have a cold winter at some point that will jack up prices again. Coal is still going to be a staple for producing electricity for years to come.

    ARLP's reserves are good for at least another 20 years. Only question is coal cycle pricing and if any other utilities switch to gas to generate electricity.
    I'm in at a split adjusted price of $14.75 and my distribution has increased at least 50% over the past 5 years. My yield on original cost is now over 16% with even at these lower recent stock prices a 100% plus profit not including all the distributions I've collected.

    The problem with Mr. zgb952, is that he is kicking himself for not getting in on lower stock prices. Instead of getting down on himself he should take advantage of all the scaredy cat sellers and buy more of ARLP. I could have sold for over $50 a share last year, but I did not because I would have a big tax headache with all my distributions. I did however, buy a the RIGHT price and enjoy all my distributions. NOW is the time to buy more. FELP is also worth looking at as a low cost producer.
    Mar 28, 2015. 10:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Johnson & Johnson: Buying More Shares [View article]
    J & J has done a lot of naughty stuff and has had big time mass tort lawsuits in the billions that are still to be paid out.
    Mar 28, 2015. 10:13 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dynagas LNG Partners L.P. - An LNG Transport MLP For The More Risk Tolerant [View article]

    My opionion is that Zacks ratings seem useless.They do very little fundamental research and rely mostly on data algorithms and price movement. They sometimes come up with ridiculous sell signals on perfectly fine growing companies. I do not put much stock in their opinions.
    Mar 25, 2015. 01:51 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alliance Resource Partners Is The Only Coal Stock I Want To Own [View article]
    Hey zgb952,

    Be patient, your day will come. Meanwhile, collect your distributions. The longer you stay in, the more distributions at high levels you will collect while you wait for an energy rebound. At these levels just buy more. Don't forget about the great tax deferral. That counts for something. I got i at a split adjusted price of $14.75 and my dividend has almost doubled. Held for 5 years. Apparently you got in at a higher price.
    Mar 21, 2015. 10:12 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alliance Resource Partners Is The Only Coal Stock I Want To Own [View article]
    Why is this stock down? Idiots are selling. Time to jump in.

    Wednesday January 28, 2015 - 6:00 am
    Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Reports Record Annual Operating and Financial Results; Increases Quarterly Unitholder Distribution 2.0% to $0.65 Per Unit; and Provides Guidance for 2015

    Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) today reported record
    operating and financial results for the fourteenth consecutive year, as
    it set new annual benchmarks for coal sales and production volumes,
    revenues, net income and EBITDA for the year ended December 31, 2014
    (the "2014 Year"). On the strength of record coal sales volumes and
    strong pricing, revenues grew to a record $2.3 billion for the 2014
    Year, an increase of 4.3% compared to the year ended December 31, 2013
    (the "2013 Year"). Higher revenues contributed to record EBITDA of
    $803.7 million for the 2014 Year, an increase of 17.2% compared to the
    2013 Year. ARLP’s net income for the 2014 Year was also higher,
    increasing 26.4% to a record $497.2 million, or $4.77 per basic and
    diluted limited partner unit.
    Mar 11, 2015. 09:55 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alliance Resource Partners Is The Only Coal Stock I Want To Own [View article]
    The drop in ARLP is ridiculous. All the scaredy cats are dumping ARLP and lumping it together with other coal stocks and deciding to directly tie it to oil. True, natural gas may be an option to produce electricity, but there is a large cost to retrofitting and the pric e of nagtural gas can be fickle. I've seen this movie before in 2009-2010 and bought shares at a split equivalent of $14.75 a unit and my dividend has doubled since. I encourage everyone to listen in on the company's earnings conference calls and get the true story how ARLP has positioned itself and have signed long term fixed rate contracts that protect them to at least the end of 2016-2017 and a good percentage of tonnage beyond. If and when coal prices go back up this MLP will produce very good capital gains and will sell for much higher prices. Meanwhile you are paid at this unit price very handsomely to wait at a tax deferred yield to boot.If the dividend distribution only increases by 50% over the next 4-5 years and coal prices go back up we will see a very substantial increase in unit stock price from here at these bargain levels.

    At this low price and dividend it is time to load up the truck. Look at these profit numbers and progression year to year:

    Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) -NasdaqGS  Watchlist
    35.40 Down 0.29(0.81%) 4:00PM EDT

    Income Statement for: ARLP
    View: Annual Data | Quarterly Data All numbers in thousands (000)
    Period Ending Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013 Dec 31, 2012
    Total Revenue 2,300,721 2,205,561 2,034,301
    Cost of Revenue 1,409,395 1,433,435 1,363,932
    Gross Profit 891,326 772,126 670,369
    Operating Expenses
    Research Development - - -
    Selling General and Administrative 72,552 63,697 58,737
    Non Recurring - - 19,031
    Others 274,566 264,911 218,122
    Total Operating Expenses - - -
    Operating Income or Loss 544,208 443,518 374,479
    Income from Continuing Operations
    Total Other Income/Expenses Net 3,237 2,853 3,344
    Earnings Before Interest And Taxes 530,797 421,930 363,173
    Interest Expense 33,584 27,044 28,684
    Income Before Tax 497,213 394,886 334,489
    Income Tax Expense - 1,396 (1,082)
    Minority Interest 16 - -
    Net Income From Continuing Ops 480,581 369,049 320,921
    Non-recurring Events
    Discontinued Operations - - -
    Extraordinary Items - - -
    Effect Of Accounting Changes - - -
    Other Items - - -
    Net Income 497,229 393,490 335,571
    Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments (138,274) (121,349) (106,837)
    Net Income Applicable To Common Shares $358,955 272,141 228,734
    Mar 10, 2015. 07:21 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GURU And ALFA: Are Hedge Fund ETFs Worth Your While? [View article]
    Do your homework. Alphaclone is designed to protect in massive downturns which the Russell is NOT. When the S & P falls below the 200 day moving average. alpha Clone goes 50% short. They are reactive. Russell is 100 % exposed in a downturn with NO protection.

    Also by hand picked 13F filings with hedge fund manager conviction, you would assume that these are very good stocks that will not fall as much as the market.
    For this GURU has merit over the random Index. I own both and have done well.
    Feb 20, 2015. 04:54 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment