Right now I am a full time engineer and a part time investor. I love the investing process and look forward to sharing my ideas and discussing with you in my posts.
My investing philosophy is based on a combination of Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Joel Greenblatt, and Lou Simpson.
“All intelligent investing is value investing – acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock,” Charlie Munger
I tend to focus on value oriented names.Areas of interest include great businesses that have great reinvestment opportunities, special situations such as spin offs, and generally beaten down value names.
Favorite investors include, Buffett, Marks, Lynch, Greenblatt, Klarman, Berkowitz, among others.
BA in Finance. CFA Charterholder.
Jeffrey Dow Jones is the managing editor for Alpine Advisor. He has previously worked for PaineWebber/UBS and Ford Motor Credit Company, and he spent the last decade co-managing a group of hedge funds. He holds a degree in Business Economics with a specialization in Computer Programming from The University of California - Los Angeles.
He publishes a free weekly newsletter at AlpineAdvisor.info.
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QTR's ARTICLES ARE BOUND BY SA'S CONTRIBUTOR POLICY IN ADDITION TO THIS ENTIRE LENGTHY, YET EXTREMELY PERTINENT ADD ON DISCLOSURE, WHICH SERVES AS BOTH A STANDALONE DISCLOSURE AND AN AMENDMENT TO ANY AND ALL DISCLOSURES ALREADY PRESIDING OVER SEEKING ALPHA:
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I am not a stockbroker or financial adviser. I am a casual investor making casual observations for the purpose of discussion and open communication and analysis of companies and stocks. All articles are my opinion only and are not suggestions to buy or sell any equity, bond, option or other financial instrument. QTR may have long or short positions in any tickers mentioned at any time and reserves the right to open, close, or modify positions at all time without notice. My conclusions are the result of my personal due diligence and have been wrong in the past. There are tons of unqualified people out there offering up financial advice and its your responsibility to sort through the BS. You don't hit the button to fill my orders and I don't hit yours, so no whining or praising over stocks covered by me.
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Leigh Drogen is the Founder and CEO of Estimize. Estimize is an open financial estimates platform which facilitates the aggregation of fundamental estimates from independent, buy-side, and sell-side analysts, along with those of industry experts, private investors and students. By sourcing estimates from a diverse community of individuals, Estimize provides both a more accurate and more representative view of expectations compared to sell side only data.
Leigh started his career as a quant trader at Geller Capital, a White Plains, NY based fund where he ran strategies that looked at earnings acceleration and analyst estimate revision models, as well as price momentum and several sentiment indicators.
Leigh later went on to be the founder of Surfview Capital, a New York based asset management firm that used many of the same strategies as Geller Capital, with a focus on higher beta names on an intermediate term time frame.
His educational background includes focus in economics and international relations, specifically war theory. He is a graduate with honors from Hunter College in New York City.
You can contact Leigh by emailing him at Leigh@estimize.com
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Senior Analyst at iREIT Forbes and Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter.
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, and Fox Business. He was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014 (as ranked by TipRanks) and he is currently writing a book on the legendary investor Donald Trump.
Thomas has co-authored a book (The Intelligent REIT Investor) that is available on Amazon.
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College where he played basketball. He resides in South Carolina with his wife and kids.
Doug Short is first-wave boomer with a lifelong interest in markets and the economy. His professional career had been a satisfying split between academia (English Professor at North Carolina State University) and Information technology (IBM and GSK).
Doug retired in 2006 to devote himself full-time to his dshort.com financial website. The domain has now been acquired by Advisor Perspectives, and Doug has been appointed the Vice President of Research.
Doug is especially interested in the economy, long-term market trends and behavioral finance.
The Pendulum blog is an ongoing discussion of portfolio positions, investment ideas and market trends. As an investor I try to use my independence, flexibility and speed to my advantage.
I write three types of articles: (i) stock-specific articles, (ii) analysis of earnings estimates and (iii) overviews of the market that examine different asset classes. I hope you find them interesting and feel free to comment on the articles; I like the feedback. Thanks for reading!
I started thinking about stock prices in terms of a pendulum after reading Howard Marks' investor letters. Marks is the most perceptive investor about the role of investor psychology in the stock market and industry cycles. I always try to incorporate "pendulum thinking" in my analysis, meaning that it is important to think about the intrinsic value of a company as well as how investor psychology is going to drive the stock price to overshoot and undershoot that value.
I am a generalist. I am not an expert in any one sector or asset class. I have found that there is value in listening to generalists as well as experts, but it is important to be able to distinguish between the two. As a generalist, I try to add value by thinking about the relationships between things and comparing various parts of the market. Generalists can be helpful in avoiding tunnel vision and, hopefully, adding some common sense.
I like to establish a long term outlook for a company and then invest using shorter timeframes. I may be bullish on a stock and still sell it if I think it went up too much or if have concerns about the overall market. I don't mind moving to the sidelines and getting back in at a later point and I sometimes prefer to sell before earnings to reduce risk. I may invest in the opposite direction of my long term view if I think the market over-reacted one way or another. I like to hold positions for the long term, but I use stops to cut my losses. There is a difference between a good company and a good stock. Everybody has a different investing style, experience, tax status, risk tolerance, comfort range, etc., so please note that nothing that I write should be used as investment advice.
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed here should not be construed as investment advice. This is not tailored to specific investment objectives. Reliance on this information for the purpose of buying the securities to which this information relates may expose a person to significant risk. The information contained in this article is not intended to make any offer, inducement, invitation or commitment to purchase, subscribe to, provide or sell any securities, service or product or to provide any recommendations on which one should rely for financial, securities, investment or other advice or to take any decision. Readers are encouraged to seek individual advice from their personal, financial, legal and other advisers before making any investment or financial decisions or purchasing any financial, securities or investment related service or product.
Information provided, whether charts or any other statements regarding market, real estate or other financial information, is obtained from sources which we and our suppliers believe reliable, but we do not warrant or guarantee the timeliness or accuracy of this information. Nothing in this article should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future performance.
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED AS TO ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION IN THIS ARTICLE OR ANY LINKED WEBSITE.
Our small-cap hedge fund strategy beat the market by 44 percentage points since its inception 18 months ago. Visit our website to learn how you can do the same. Insider Monkey is a finance website that provides free hedge fund and insider trading data. We believe ordinary investors can beat the market by imitating insiders and best hedge fund managers. They have access to better information and experts than ordinary investors do. Take advantage of the SEC filings where hedge funds and insiders disclose their stock transactions.
Here is our team:
Ms. Krishnamsetty is the Editor of Insider Monkey. Prior to creating Insider Monkey with Dr. Dogan, Ms. Krishnamsetty was Associate Producer at Bloomberg Television. Prior to that, Ms. Krishnamsetty was on the afternoon news team at CNBC. Additionally, Ms. Krishnamsetty reported for NPR and worked as a risk management consultant at Marsh & McLennan. Ms. Krishnamsetty has a M.S. in Journalism from Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism.
Insider Monkey’s hybrid evaluation system ...More was created in 2003 by Dr. Ian Dogan. Dr. Dogan has a Ph.D. in financial economics with a specialization in insider trading. Dr. Dogan has provided consulting services to institutional investors and hedge funds, and managed a $200+ million fund using a strategy he developed utilizing insider transactions. Dr. Dogan recently authored the insider trading chapter of soon to be published “The Handbook of Investment Anomalies” by Zacks Investment Research. Insider Monkey will serve the outcome of the methodologies developed by Dr. Dogan to ordinary investors who don’t have access to academic quality research and tools to shape their investments.
For your inquiries please contact us at email@example.com
As a pioneer in the renewable energy industry, I continue to work in developing the next generation of SPV technology, based on multi-junction thin films. I am also involved in renewable energy storage technologies based on a combination of batteries and hydrogen.
My research and writing examine the difficulties of the present economic system and searches for solutions that can bring about changes without violence in our society. My efforts focus on creating a new paradigm of self-sustaining economic communities (SSECs) in which all members of the community have the opportunity to succeed and to contribute to the common good, and in which renewable energy plays a central role. My theory is based on decades of research in energy, technology, economics, sociology, and business. I hold 25 technology patents, and have published more than 120 articles detailing my work in physics, engineering, and technology. My theories address some of the most profound problems our world faces.
I founded Optel, in 1970, to manufacture liquid crystal displays, and Chronar Corporation, in 1976, to commercialize thin film photovoltaic technology based on amorphous silicon. I headed up technical development of a manufacturing process for amorphous silicon, and, in 1982, oversaw the construction of the world's first amorphous silicon manufacturing facility in Port Jervis, New York. Over 20 such manufacturing facilities built by Chronar are currently in operation throughout the world. Chronar also established the world's first amorphous silicon 100-kilowatt utility interactive photovoltaic power source in Birmingham, Alabama.
Today, my work centers on creating SSECs that harness the power of renewable energy, and help create equality and prosperity for all members of the communities. I am currently writing a book that details how SSECs can help solve energy, economic, and value crises that will, in turn, help humanity achieve more of its potential.
I was an NRC scholar from Canada, and spent two years in Oxford, working on lasers and nuclear polarization. I speak English, Hungarian, German, and French.
Matthew Claassen, CMT is founder and Partner of Claassen Research, LLC, providing exclusive private consulting, market strategy and investment research to institutional investment managers. His work combines proprietary technical indicators with macro-economic and sector analysis to provide unique and actionable market insights. Matthew has actively advised professionals and managed investment portfolios since 1986. His career includes experience as First Vice President and Portfolio Manager at major brokerage firms, publisher and President of The Technical View market newsletter and Senior Vice President of Lowry Research (the oldest technical market advisory in the United States) where he conceived, designed and implemented a sector analysis strategy based on his own success in investment management.
Mr. Claassen has been a popular guest lecturer at several Universities in Virginia and Washington D.C., and a respected public speaker on the subject of technical analysis. In addition, he has published articles in Barron’s Online and in The Technical Analyst, a UK based investment research publication.
Mr. Claassen holds the professional analyst designation of Chartered Market Technician (CMT), is a past Director of the Market Technicians Association (MTA) and a past director of the Market Technicians Association Educational Foundation (MTAEF). He is currently a charter member of the American Association of Professional Technical Analysts (AAPTA).
Onuora Amobi is the CEO of Learn About The Web Inc. Onuora has more than a decade of information security, project management and management consulting experience. He has specialized in the management and deployment of large scale ERP client/server systems.
In addition, he has shown leadership in positions that have ranged from from consultant to Principal/Director. His work history includes postitions at VERITAS Software, Deloitte & Touche (now Deloitte Consulting), EDS Enterprise Solutions, IBM, Kaiser Permanente and Warner Bros Studios among others.
In 2002, he made the switch from Information Technology to Online Marketing and in 2008 started Nnigma, a Pasadena based online marketing company.
In addition to building their own profitable web sites, they specialize in helping corporate clients create and refine their brand, message and web presence.
In addition to being a former MVP and the founder and editor of EyeonWindows.com and the Las Vegas Travel Guide (http://www.las-vegastravelguide.com), he is the CEO of a Pasadena based online marketing education startup - Learn About The Web Inc. (www.learnabouttheweb.com)
A full time investor in stocks, bonds, options, and real estate who previously worked as a financial/investment journalist/analyst. Previous industry stints include privately held SageOnline Inc. - where he held multiple positions - as well as Multex.com, acquired by Reuters, where he was an equity research editor. Aloisi is a cum laude graduate of Penn State University, currently residing in native South Central Pennsylvania with his wife and 2 children.
Income investing has become his focal interest due to the challenges that the ZIRP environment presents. Not an advocate of any single portfolio strategy, he promotes a "go anywhere" philosophy predicated on value, forward thinking, sustainability, and personal objectives. While the past may be instructive, Aloisi cautions on over reliance.
In his free time he likes to talk politics, play the piano, garden, and go antiquing. Mr. Aloisi was recently elected to a 4-year term on his local school board, garnering the most votes out of 6 candidates.
Editor for The Biotech Forum (www.biotechforumsa.com), the #2 subscribed to Marketplace investment service offered through SeekingAlpha. Top 5% ranked analyst (TipRanks) 2013 through first half of 2015. Daily contributor for Real Money Pro. Hedge fund manager from 2008 to 2011. Previously technology executive at Fortune 100 firm for a decade. For Free weekly investment reports on small, attractive biotech stocks just register at www.bretjenseninvests.com
Led by MIT engineers and Wall Street analysts, Trefis.com helps you understand how a company's products, that you touch, read, or hear about everyday, impact its stock price.
Surprisingly, the founders of Trefis discovered that along with most other people they just did not understand even the seemingly familiar companies around them: Apple, Google, Coca Cola, Walmart, GE, Ford, Gap, and others.
This might include you though you may have invested money in these companies, or may have been working with one of them for years as an employee, or have consulted with them as an expert for a long time.
Consider these questions:
•What % of Apple's stock price is iPhones? (Q: Is it 5%, 25%, or 50%?)
•What % of Dell's stock price is Dell Notebooks?
•If Bing took half the market share from Google Search, what % upside could there be for Microsoft’s stock?
On Trefis you will get answers to questions like above.
You can play with assumptions, or try scenarios, as-well-as ask questions to other users and experts. The platform uses extensive data to show in a single snapshot what drives the value of a company's business.
Trefis makes the same content, data, and tools that are currently available only to professional investors today, accessible to everyone. Importantly, it makes the extensive data/tools easy to use and understand, allowing investors to leverage the platform in their decision making much more efficiently than anything else available.
Trefis is currently used by hundreds of thousands of investors, company employees, and business professionals.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.
Mr. Barac is the founder and Managing Member of the General Partner, Barac Capital Management, LLC. Prior to founding the General Partner, Mr. Barac held a variety of roles in institutional securities research and trading.
Mr. Barac graduated from Trinity University (San Antonio, Texas) in 1989 and received a Master’s in Business Administration degree from Southern Methodist University (Dallas, Texas) in 1998. During his graduate studies, Mr. Barac’s broad-based business studies included a focus on international business which included an internship with Bank Boston’s media and telecommunications lending group in Buenos Aires, Argentina and an international exchange semester at the E.S.A.D.E. Business School in Barcelona, Spain.
Following his graduate studies, Mr. Barac went to work for Moody’s Investors Services in New York, New York in 1998 and transferred to their London, England offices in 1999. At Moody’s, Mr. Barac became a Senior Credit Officer/Vice-President and lead analyst with responsibility for the credit ratings of a multi-billion dollar portfolio of high-profile European leveraged finance companies. As an expert in leveraged finance and corporate credit risk analysis, Mr. Barac was a regular speaker for Moody’s and was regularly quoted by major financial publications (e.g. the Wall Street Journal Europe, Financial Times, New York Times, Bloomberg News, and The Times of London).
From 2005 to 2007, Mr. Barac worked at Schroders Investment Management, an investment management firm with assets under management in excess of $200 billion, headquartered in London, England. At Schroder’s, Mr. Barac was responsible for identifying profitable fixed-income trade ideas from within a portfolio of European high-yield and investment grade corporate bond issuers. Mr. Barac’s work at Schroder’s earned him selection for the company’s elite merit-based Business Leadership Program.
Mr. Barac continued his work in corporate securities analysis with Barclay’s Capital (also in London, England) where he worked as a Director in their Principal Strategies Group from 2007 to 2008. At Barclays, Mr. Barac was a proprietary analyst and trader responsible for investing a portion of Barclay’s capital through a combination of bonds, stocks, and fixed-income derivatives (credit default swaps).
Following his return from London to Austin, Texas in 2008, Mr. Barac founded, established, and now actively manages the Barac Value Fund, L.P.
I am the Portfolio Manager for the RETIREE INCOME PORTFOLIO, DIVIDEND OVERDRIVE PORTFOLIO, and the OIL & GAS INCOME PORTFOLIO at PortfolioChannel.com. I am also the creator of the Cash Flow Retirement Replacement Ratio© used in retirement and investment planning. A Chartered Financial Analyst and Certified Financial Planner, I have spent over two decades managing high-net worth individual and institutional accounts, working as a portfolio manager and analyst. I have also had several stints working for a pair of Private Banks managing balanced, fixed income, and equity accounts.
I hold a B.S. in Accounting.
"[T]he function of the margin-of-safety is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the future. If the margin is a large one, then it is enough to assume that future earnings will not fall far below those of the past in order for an investor to feel sufficiently protected against the vicissitudes of time."
"Needless to say, the analyst must take possible future changes into account, but his primary aim is not so much to profit from them as to guard against them. Broadly speaking, he views the future as a hazard which his conclusions must encounter rather than as the source of his vindication."
"[F]inding the really outstanding companies and staying with them through all fluctuations of a gyrating market proved far more profitable to far more people than did the more colorful practice of trying to buy them cheap and sell them dear…These opportunities did not require purchasing on a particular day at the bottom of a great panic."
Over 15 years as an IT Consultant for a wide range of clients including Dell, Ingram Micro, BankAm South and FedEx Data Center. Specializes in technology, contrarian plays and global macro. My articles have appeared on Morningstar.com, IHIQS, Seeking Alpha, Yahoo! Finance, MarketWatch, EIN Newsdesk, Google Finance, Motley Fool, MSN Money, and AOL Daily Finance.
At Bio Vantage, our mission is to provide high-quality equity reports focused primarily on biotech and pharmaceutical companies worldwide. In our view, fundamental analysis of biopharmaceutical companies requires expertise in evaluating clinical trial data and drug pipelines, as these events often drive the underlying equity value of such companies going forward. Equally important is the ability to forecast future revenues, earnings growth, and cash flows using financial modeling tools in order to derive an intrinsic value for the company being analyzed. Once a fundamental value is derived, investors can make profits from a variety of trading instruments.
While our expertise largely concerns biotech and pharmaceutical companies, our investment principles are centered on diversification, asset allocation, risk management, and portfolio strategies. Thus, our investments and analyses also cover other sectors, including technology, financials, consumer products, energy, and commodities.
Bio Vantage's analysts have extensive experience in the biomedical field and in drug discovery research. We are lifelong investors. One of the analysts holds the CFA charter designation.
Have spent over 40 years in the O&G industry with special interest in technology application for improved business performance. Academic background: geology & geophysics. Professional background: seismic technology application, operations & management. Currently: external director on the board of a leading seismic acquisition company.
Please note that I do not read comments posted here, nor respond to messages here. I don't have the time. If you want my attention, you must seek it directly at my blog.
David J. Merkel, CFA — From 2003-2007, I was a leading commentator at the excellent investment website RealMoney.com (http://www.RealMoney.com). Back in 2003, after several years of correspondence, James Cramer invited me to write for the site, and now I write for RealMoney on equity and bond portfolio management, macroeconomics, derivatives, quantitative strategies, insurance issues, corporate governance, etc. My specialty is looking at the interlinkages in the markets in order to understand individual markets better.
I no longer contribute to RealMoney because my work duties have gotten larger, and I began this blog to develop a distinct voice with a wider distribution.
In 2008, I became the Chief Economist and Director of Research of Finacorp Securities (http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&STORY=/www/story/02-08-2008/0004752449&EDATE=). Finacorp went into liquidation in June 2010, after which I decided to open my own asset management shop, Aleph Investments, LLC. I manage stock and bond portfolios for clients.
Until 2007, I was a senior investment analyst at Hovde Capital, responsible for analysis and valuation of investment opportunities for the FIP funds, particularly of companies in the insurance industry. I also managed the internal profit sharing and charitable endowment monies of the firm.
Prior to joining Hovde in 2003, I managed corporate bonds for Dwight Asset Management. In 1998, I joined the Mount Washington Investment Group as the Mortgage Bond and Asset Liability manager after working with Provident Mutual, AIG and Pacific Standard Life.
My background as a life actuary has given me a different perspective on investing. How do you earn money without taking undue risk? How do you convey ideas about investing while showing a proper level of uncertainty on the likelihood of success? How do the various markets fit together, telling us us a broader story than any single piece? These are the themes that I will deal with in this blog. I hold bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Johns Hopkins University.
In my spare time, I take care of our eight children with my wonderful wife Ruth. Visit this site: The Aleph Blog (http://alephblog.com/)
Richard Zeits is an Oil & Gas industry analyst and consultant. His background includes fourteen years as Energy industry-focused investment banker, portfolio manager and senior investment analyst with bulge bracket firms in New York. Zeits Energy Analytics use elaborate proprietary analytics and data bases to provide in-depth industry research, market intelligence, and forecasting.
I'm an Engineer from New Zealand, recently moved back to the homeland after 4 years of living in Switzerland. I've a little under a decade of experience in product development in the energy industry; most of it relating to grid interactive power electronics applied to a range of applications including electric vehicle fast charging and grid battery energy storage; both with engineering multinational ABB. More recently I led the engineering activities through to V1.0 product launch at Ampard, an energy storage startup. Now I split my time between consulting work and my own projects, the foremost of which is www.tradifex.com, a trade optimization framework (currently under development).
I've been dabbling in stocks from time to time for the last ten years - early efforts led to burnt fingers, leading to a more cautious approach and positive results in recent years. I greatly admire and respect Warren Buffet and agree with his philosophy that you should buy companies you understand and believe in... but at the same time I'm not blind to the impact of sentiment. Between doing my homework and applying a few analytical tools I've been coding in my spare time I try to make out ok.