I'm a tech professional who seeks out stocks with asymmetric risk/reward profiles, primarily in the biotech and tech sectors. I often take medium-term positions in risky contrarian markets with the expectation of large time-averaged gains from these special situations. I'm always looking for an undervalued opportunity, even if it's long term, regardless of market cap. I also follow and comment on commodities and demographics.
If you got burned in the past at junior mining investments by overly positive newsletter writers, sell side analysts or other (paid) sources which more often than not avoid to mention (hidden) risks or critical flaws, The Critical Investor goes a few steps further, and might provide a fresh, more in-depth, unbiased and critical vision on things, hence the name. For examples of those risks or flaws just think of management overpromising and underdelivering, inactivity, shortfalls in cash, windowdressing, bad trackrecords, negative trends on AISC/cash flows/production grades, depleting reserves without renewal, tricky accounting, bad financing terms, permitting issues, commodity issues like possible equilibrium shifts, too much supply coming online, location issues (climate, local opposition, politics), infrastructure, currency effects, influence of investment groups behind the scenes, project economics not up to standards, companies being overvalued based on important but avoided metrics, etcetcetc.
Being an insider of the sector, talking frequently to industry participants (company management, analysts, fund managers, investment bankers, etc), provides for up to standard insights and useful feedback. By analyzing lots of technical reports, analyst reports, economic studies, interviews, articles and other sources, The Critical Investor has developed extensive knowledge about deposits and projects, which often proves to be useful for identifying threats or opportunities.
Avid and critical mining and mining related stock investor from Europe. Number cruncher, looking for high quality companies, mostly growth/turnaround/catalyst-driven to avoid too much dependence/influence of long term commodity pricing/market sentiments, and often additional long term deep value. About the new Subscriber service: I do write freely available analysis on a few portfolio stockpicks, but most of them are only accessible to subscribers.
Open to research assignments, individual portfolio advise, all related to mining.
Disclaimer: I am no certified financial advisor so always do your own due diligence on possible investments.
I have been a successful Private Investor in the market for the last 18 years. My focus was mostly on the Tech/Internet sector when I started, but 13-14 years ago I became extremely interested in the Gold and Silver sector as I anticipated a major bull run. My in-depth research on gold and silver companies began during 2003 or so, and it has been a consistent passion since that time. I'm familiar with their stories, their stock patterns, their highs and lows, their operations/projects, their successes and failures, their management teams and turnover at the top, and all other facets of these precious metal companies. This sector has been my singular focus since I started writing on Seeking Alpha back in 2014, as I anticipated that gold and silver would soon be bottoming out and a massive bull market would unfold. I still follow the tech/internet space and I plan to eventually jump back into that sector (2009 was a very profitable year for me as bought tech at the lows), but it's not where my attention is at the moment as I see much better opportunities in gold and silver. I believe in buying value, and not chasing the next hot stock. I use several basic investing principles, the main one being buying the balance sheet. I wait for opportunities to present themselves and then establish positions. I believe in doing your homework, and I have a very research intensive focus.
I am an active investor in crude, natural gas and gold as well as index ETF's for both commodities and stocks. I have learned a great deal about the markets over the past 38 years of 'training' and it was an expensive education. It takes about 20 years to figure out that there is very little that is rational about the markets because if they were rational, then everyone would be making money. It doesn't work that way. An irrational market that is rising will continue to rise until the majority of traders finally see good reasons for the excessive valuations. That's when a bull market is near it's end. Just when it all finally starts to make some sense and it looks 'safe' to be fully invested, the market will top out and die. Complacency is deadly to one's financial health! What you think you know from reading and listening to the experts is almost always proven to wrong. The only thing that matters to the market is profits,not GDP, not unemployment, and definitely not how many poor people are on food stamps. Options are for suckers. You a have few nice nice winners and a whole lot more losers. You cannot beat the time decay consistently to become an a long term winner at the options game. A traders biggest enemy is the media who engage in brainwashing at a conscience and sub-conscience level. The dissemination of useless information ensures that the majority of traders will always be on the wrong side of a big move. The media is owned the rich and there is nothing they like better than to relieve the retail investor of his money. An analyst or market guru who has enjoyed a good run of calling the markets successfully, will eventually suffer and even longer stretch being dead wrong. It inevitably costs their faithful followers substantial amounts of money to learn that hard lesson.
As a contributor to the New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site), we intend to give new insights on a low risk approach to trading in dividend paying stocks for tax deferred accounts. The New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site) is not intended for regular or non-qualifying accounts however, the strategies and stocks mentioned can be used for non-qualifying accounts with the understanding of the consequences of potential short-term capital gains as well as the need for exceptional documentation for IRS purposes.
I have a professional background of working with the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Although I am an economist (and probably because of that fact), I am adept at being resourceful and thinking in a multidisciplinary fashion. For this reason, my professional experience only reflects a wide perspective that I have gained through the years and should not connote an air of authority.
Steven Jon Kaplan began TrueContrarian.com in August 1996 as a weekly blog and later expanded this to a daily newsletter with intraday updates in February 2006. Steve provides financial consulting which emphasizes long-term tax and investment planning. He has been trading his own account, and those of family and close friends, since 1981, and handles separately managed accounts for qualified clients. As a registered investment advisor, Steve charges a 20% performance fee on net profits and zero management fees. He has been quoted in Barron's, Market Watch, Dow Jones Newswires, Seeking Alpha, and Kitco. Steve has appeared on Market Watch cable TV with Stacey Delo and was interviewed by Alisa Parenti on Bloomberg. Since 2010, Danielle Kerani Oberdier has served as Steve's business associate.
Steve enjoys running with the New York Road Runners, composing and performing on piano and voice, writing stories, and traveling to unique places. He enjoys hearing from anyone about a wide range of topics, so please let him know what you think about the web site or whatever is on your mind. You can find his music at http://www.reverbnation.com/stevenjonkaplan .
Lejun James Shao is the founder of www.myIRAs.net (http://www.myIRAs.net/), WhitePine Investment Inc of USA, and CEO of WhitePine Software Inc, Beijing, China. He was the top finisher in MSN's 1st US One Million Dollar Investment Contest, "Strategy Open Tournament," with a +45.88% return in 4 months from August 28 - December 2008.
An IT wizard turned professional investor, James Shao graduated from the University of Michigan with a PhD degree in Computer Engineering in 1990 and worked as an assistant professor in Singapore's Nanyang Technology University for 5 years after graduation. He worked as Chief Software Engineer in DSP Technology, Design Engineer in Ford Motor Company, and several other high tech companies after his return. James Shao started his investment profession in 2001.
30 years of professional trading experience. My unique top down macro investment skills are based on a thorough understanding of credit cycles influenced by Austrian Economics and observed in the real financial world. Bottoms up stock picking skills include significant experience in value, momentum, balance sheet and short selling research. Trading skills include a lifetime’s experience in short term and position trading. After spending the past 13 years trading my personal commodity account for a living, I am seeking seed capital to start a new macro long-short hedge fund, a senior analyst position with a substantial existing hedge fund or a position in a traditional money management firm which makes discretionary asset allocation decisions.
Former long-time business editor of major US women's magazine and contributing editor at dozens of different "trade" and consumer publications. Author of over 3,000 print magazine articles in past 30 years.
Penn Ph.D., centrist Republican.
Please visit my blogsites:
Baby Boomers-The Angriest Generation http://angriestgeneration.wordpress.com
The Rest of U.S. (for and about political Centrists) http://newcentristera.wordpress.com
and my brand-new blog about Markets:
Capital Punishment-Markets Through the Looking Glass http://marketslookingglass.wordpress.com
Portfolio Manager, attorney, finance author, a regular guest on North American media. Danielle Park is the author of the best selling myth-busting book “Juggling Dynamite: An insider’s wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts,” as well as a popular daily financial blog:www.jugglingdynamite.com
Danielle worked as an attorney until 1997 when she was recruited to work for an international securities firm. Becoming a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), she now helps to manage millions for some of North America’s wealthiest families as a Portfolio Manager and analyst at the independent investment counsel firm she co-founded Venable Park Investment Counsel Inc. www.venablepark.com. In recent years Danielle has been writing, speaking and educating industry professionals and investors on the risks and realities of investment behaviors as well as writing and producing her own health and wealth podcast series: “Not so common sense” and “Life Paths”.
A member of the internationally recognized CFA Institute, Toronto Society of Financial Analysts, and the Law Society of Upper Canada. Danielle is also an avid health and fitness buff.
An investor with circa 30 years of professional, managerial and financial experience, gathered through both private-individual activities as well as asset management type of roles.
I'm involved in running a leveraged fixed-income, absolute return, hedge fund that aims at providing its investors with double-digit returns, per annum. The fund runs a fast, frequent and furious trading strategy and it focuses on the very short term. Definitely not a Buy & Hold!
I'm also advising and consulting to private individuals, mostly HNWI that I had been serving through many years of working within the private banking, wealth management and asset management arenas. This activity focuses on the long run and it's mostly based on a Buy & Hold strategy.
Risk management is at the very core of our essence and while we normally take LONG-naked positions, we constantly hedge our positions, in order to protect the downside, that usually occurs at times when you least expect that to take place...
I cover all asset-classes though mostly focusing on cash cows and high dividend paying "machines" that may generate high (total) returns: Interest-sensitive, income-generating, instruments, e.g. Bonds, REITs, BDCs, Preferred Shares, MLPs, etc. combined with a variety of high-risk, growth and value stocks.
I believe and invest for the long run but I'm very minded of the short run too. While it's possible to make a massive-quick "kill", here and there, good things usually come in small packages; so do returns. Therefore, I (hope but) don't expect my investments to double in value over a short period of time. I do, however, aim at an annual double-digit returns on average, preferably on an absolute basis, i.e. regardless of markets' returns and directions.
Timing is Everything! While investors can't time the market, I believe that this applies only to the long term. In the short-term (a couple of months) one can and should pick the right moment and the right entry point, based on his subjective-personal preferences, risk aversion and goals. Long-term, strategy/macro, investment decisions can't be timed while short-term, implementation/micro, investment decision, can!
When it comes to investments and trading I believe that the most important virtues are healthy common sense, general wisdom, sufficient research, vast experience, strive for excellence, ongoing willingness to learn, minimum ego, maximum patience, ability to withstand (enormous) pressure/s, strict discipline and a lot of luck!...
Work Smart AND Work Hard - No Nonsense - work everyday philosophy.Rest is for people who want 2nd place.
Losing my parents, I learned not to take anything for granted. Life will present you with major opportunities and it up to all of us to take action with those opportunities.
Being driven - has become a way of life. My parents live thru my drive and will. When your faced with challenges, one either quits or looks within and finds that will and drive to win.
Help others along the way doing one's best. I wish all of you success.
Overcoming many obstacles - I have become a better person.
2x Employee of the Year and even more hungry
Good is one thing - Great is another level
I am a 43 year veteran of Wall Street. My first 26 years were spent on the buy-side as an institutional money manager. I have spent the last 13 years as a sell-side strategist. I am a life long contrarian who finds it easy to take positions quite apart from the crowd. I am most comfortable with my forecasts when my macro and technical analysis are in sync and when my views are at odds with the consensus. I've always been fascinated by the behavioral aspects of investing. Years of observing investor behavior has led me to the conclusion that investor psychology may be the most powerful emotional force in the universe, more powerful than love or hate. It causes otherwise rational beings to make some very irrational decisions. I think every investor should read Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles MacKay.
I am an "extreme value" investor, focusing mostly on micro and nanocap companies selling for a steep discount to price/book, price/sales, EV/EBITDA and other traditional measures of value. (Price-to-book is my favorite.) My emphasis is on low priced stocks, since the marketplace is very inefficient in valuing them. I am a dyed-in-the-wool contrarian, and like to invest in the most unloved and out of favor sectors of the market, and numerically screen for the best relative values in those out of favor sectors. I like to buy companies where the insiders are buying in the open market, to "confirm" the underlying value proposition. I like to buy stocks trading near a multiyear low, and average down aggressively if the stock moves against me (assuming the circumstances for my purchase haven't changed.) I also like special situations, including selective leveraged turnaround situations, that I can catch at their "inflection" point. I have achieved outsized annualized returns, over the last 25 years, with these strategies. I also take 5%+ positions in companies, and engage in selective shareholder activism, to hold accountable the insular and/or corrupt boards that are sadly all too common, especially in smaller, "family run" public companies.
Founder and Lead Analyst at Lone Wolf Publications Ltd (www.lonewolftrader.com).
I also manage a private investment portfolio full time, and also provide mutual fund analysis and buy recommendations to individual investors managing their own investments.
I trade for myself via ETFs and futures markets, with interests in commodities generally and a special interest in precious metals.
Scott Wright is a long-time speculator with a lifelong passion for the financial markets. Mr. Wright performs research and analysis for Zeal's acclaimed newsletters (http://www.zealllc.com/intelligence.htm) and reports (http://www.zealllc.com/reports.htm). In these newsletters subscribers enjoy cutting-edge market analysis and high-potential trade recommendations.
Over past 40 years: College and University courses. Also studied Meditation, yoga, studied health and self-improvement and seeking enlightenment and business and life success and wealth through thousands of books and dozens of gurus.
I was licensed in Mutual funds and Life Insurance in 1985 and have 20 years work experience in accounting and 10 years experience in auto and vehicle insurance and 10 years of telephone sales and service.
I started intensive trading back around 2,000 for a few years than switched to Mutual Funds until February 2013 then sold all my funds and for three years have been doing intensive analysis of what moves Gold and Silver and generate profits for me, which involved 1,000+ hours studying over 1,000+ articles about the market and precious metals and became aware of what really moves precious metals and what doesn't.. The bottom line is there is way too much false analysis and articles and so called Gurus claiming to know what will happen to the price of precious metals and what moves them. Beware of almost all analysts and articles about precious metals are they selling something or are a perma bear or bull. I'm here to profit in precious metals. Most news, manipulations or conspiracy theories don't move Gold consistently in the same direction, so best to minimize focus on them. Elliott Wave I have found it to be the only trustable and profitable method to trade precious metals. There are also a hand full of the best Technical Indicators that are beneficial to use along with Elliott Wave including Ichimoku Cloud, TOS TTM Indicators, MACD, Parabolic SAR, Momentum, SMI ... Summary: I wouldn't trade Gold of Silver without Elliott Wave. -----------------------------
Why Quantum Profit? In physics, a quantum (plural: quanta) is the minimum amount of any physical entity involved in an interaction. "Quantum leap" - noun - : a sudden large change, development, or improvement. Quantum Profit, means mega profits in less time with less effort, while following Elliott Wave advanced analysis, the Law of Attraction, being in the Flow, receiving and giving Divine Guidance and Blessings, and the Law of Allowing, along with Receiving and Appreciation.
Also because I am deeply involved in several QUANTUM activities. Quantum Entrainment (QE) - Where you makes an intention and with a simple and fast triangulation process one can be in a deep state of 'pure awareness', theta brainwaves, where you are in contact with the Zero Point Field of infinite potential. The source of all that is. Miracles often do happen often with that process. It was developed by Dr. Frank Kinslow I have been utilizing this process for 5 years. Dr. Kinslow's book are bestsellers in multiple languages and sold out seminars in US and Europe. I completed his Florida seminar and read and practiced all of his books.
Do You QuantumThink By Dianne Collins is an amazing book that empowers one to "Live in the Zone" I have studied the program many times. The book gently releases resistance and evolves your thinking and awareness from the industrial age 300 years ago into the 21st Century Quantum Age of Divine Awareness and Connection.
I have also practiced and taught another leading edge process for 7 years. Sahaja Yoga - It is the most advanced and beneficial meditation and enlightenment process in history. Every class is free and includes a Kundalini Awakening 30 minute process given for free to all students. You discover your imbalances and learn how to balance and heal all aspects of your life as you practice 'Thoughtless Awareness' meditation, which easily stops all thoughts and drops your brainwaves from regular beta waves to the 'whole brain' deep awareness of Theta brainwaves where you connect with and fill your self with: Divine energy, Kundalini, Energy, Chi, Prana, Life Force, Cool Breeze of the Holy Spirit, and receive balancing and healing in all aspects of your life, including health, inner peace and happiness and resolve financial difficulties. Here is a Sahaja Yoga website that offers free Kundalini Awakening (Enlightenment), Sahaja Yoga is always free in over 100 countries in many languages. See the web site at freemeditation.com It balances all areas of your life including finances.
Elliott Wave Analysis is considered a leading edge financial analysis for investment forecasting. It is more accurate, with greater profits being made in a shorter period of time.
Many Prosperous returns to all. Live long and Prosper in Peace, Joy, Love and Prosperity$