Lejun James Shao is the founder of www.myIRAs.net (http://www.myIRAs.net/), WhitePine Investment Inc of USA, and CEO of WhitePine Software Inc, Beijing, China. He was the top finisher in MSN's 1st US One Million Dollar Investment Contest, "Strategy Open Tournament," with a +45.88% return in 4 months from August 28 - December 2008.
An IT wizard turned professional investor, James Shao graduated from the University of Michigan with a PhD degree in Computer Engineering in 1990 and worked as an assistant professor in Singapore's Nanyang Technology University for 5 years after graduation. He worked as Chief Software Engineer in DSP Technology, Design Engineer in Ford Motor Company, and several other high tech companies after his return. James Shao started his investment profession in 2001.
Taylor Dart is a top contributor on Seeking Alpha in both the Long Ideas and Precious Metals section of the website. He has over 7 years of experience in active investing with a compound annual growth rate the past 4 years of 21 percent. His main focus is on undervalued growth stocks outperforming the market and their peers. In addition he use extensive technical analysis to capture maximum upside price action, as his belief is that timing is everything. Taylor scans upwards of 1200 stocks nightly on the U.S. and Canadian markets to identify the best fundamental opportunities with the most timely technical setups. He is a huge proponent of trend following and the "Turtles" who enjoyed compound annual growth rates of over 80 percent per year.
"If there is a sudden range expansion in a market that has been trading narrowly, human nature is to try and fade that price move. When you get a range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion.” - Paul Tudor Jones
"While a fundamental analyst may be able to properly evaluate the economics underlying a stock, I do not believe they can predict how the masses will process this same information. Ultimately, it is the dollar-weighted collective opinion of all market participants that determines whether a stock goes up or down. This consensus is revealed by analyzing price."
Mark Abraham , Quantitative Capital Management, L.P.
"Profit targets imply a trader can predict the future. Profit targets are profit-limiting. Trend followers stay in the moment of now, avoid prognostication, and let markets run as far as they go. "
Thomas Vician, Jr.
"We can’t always take advantage of a particular period. But in an uncertain world, perhaps the investment philosophy that makes the most sense, if you study the implications carefully, is trend following. Trend following consists of buying high and selling low. For 19 years we have consistently bought high and sold low. If trends were not the underlying nature of markets, our type of trading would have very quickly put us out of business. It wouldn’t take 19 years or even 19 months of buying high and selling low ALL of the time to bankrupt you. But trends are an integral, underlying reality in life. How can someone buy high and sell low and be successful for two decades unless the underlying nature of markets is to trend? On the other hand, I’ve seen year-after-year, brilliant men buying low and selling high for a while successfully and then going broke because they thought they understood why a certain investment instrument had to perform in accordance with their personal logic. "
John W. Henry
My field for 30 years has been consulting to corporations, and government on issues related to strategic planning, work design, change management, leadership development and coaching management teams to improve their decision making on critical issues. One of my strong interests is systems theory which I have studied extensively in terms of cybernetics, biology, anthropology, systems dynamics, socio-technical systems. In trading and investing systems thinking concepts can often be mapped across to this domain. For example one concept is at the extremes things turn into their opposites. Also true in the field of human emotions is that when things are just about to turn into their opposites - switch from a bullish to a bearish technical picture or a bearish to a bullish one people in the aggregate are firmly committed to the wrong point of view (the importance of tracking sentiment). The pull to join them in this perspective can be strong, so tools are required to warn one of when the picture is about to change. What kind of tools? Markets move in cycles - trading cycles - 8 -10 weeks, intermediate cycles 18-22 weeks on average, yearly cycles, and longer term cycles. When a trading/investment vehicle gets a certain percent above a 250 day MA risk increases, RSI's of various durations on 60 minute, daily and weekly charts can show positive or negative divergence near turning points. Elliot Wave and Fib retracements can help determine the significance of these other patterns.
I am an "extreme value" investor, focusing mostly on micro and nanocap companies selling for a steep discount to price/book, price/sales, EV/EBITDA and other traditional measures of value. (Price-to-book is my favorite.) My emphasis is on low priced stocks, since the marketplace is very inefficient in valuing them. I am a dyed-in-the-wool contrarian, and like to invest in the most unloved and out of favor sectors of the market, and numerically screen for the best relative values in those out of favor sectors. I like to buy companies where the insiders are buying in the open market, to "confirm" the underlying value proposition. I like to buy stocks trading near a multiyear low, and average down aggressively if the stock moves against me (assuming the circumstances for my purchase haven't changed.) I also like special situations, including selective leveraged turnaround situations, that I can catch at their "inflection" point. I have achieved outsized annualized returns, over the last 25 years, with these strategies. I also take 5%+ positions in companies, and engage in selective shareholder activism, to hold accountable the insular and/or corrupt boards that are sadly all too common, especially in smaller, "family run" public companies.
The Mises Institute is the world’s largest, oldest, and most influential educational institution devoted to promoting Austrian economics, freedom, and peace in the tradition of classical liberalism.
Since 1982, the Mises Institute has provided both scholars and laymen with resources to broaden their understanding of the economic school of thought known as Austrian economics. This school is most closely associated with our namesake, economist Ludwig von Mises.
We are the worldwide epicenter of the Austrian movement.
Through their research in the fields of economics, history, philosophy, and political theory, Mises’s students F.A. Hayek, Henry Hazlitt, Murray Rothbard, and others carried the Austrian School into the late twentieth century. Today, Mises Institute scholars and researchers continue the important work of the Austrian School.
Austrian economics is a method of economic analysis, and is non-ideological. Nonetheless, the Austrian School has long been associated with libertarian and classical-liberal thought—promoting private property and freedom, while opposing war and aggression of all kinds. The Mises Institute continues to support research and education in this radical pro-freedom tradition of historians, philosophers, economists, and theorists such as Jean-Baptiste Say, Frédéric Bastiat, Richard Cobden, Herbert Spencer, Lysander Spooner, William Graham Sumner, Albert Jay Nock, Mises, Hayek, Hazlitt, Rothbard, and many others.
Lawrence is the Managing Director of Fuller Asset Management. He has 20+ years of experience managing investment portfolios and serving the needs of individual clients. He began his career as a Financial Consultant in 1993 with Merrill Lynch. He worked for First Union Brokerage, Morgan Stanley and ING in the same capacity before realizing his long-term goal of complete independence. He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with a B.A. in Political Science in 1992.
Russ Koesterich, CFA, JD, is a Portfolio Manager for BlackRock’s Global Allocation team. He works with portfolio managers to establish macro-level views and also develops systematic strategies to augment the team’s security-selection process and risk management. He is the author of two books, including “The Ten Trillion Dollar Gamble,” on positioning portfolios for the growing U.S. deficit.
I started investing when I was 18. The first major investments that I made were large cap oil stocks in the year 2000. In 2007 I sold my investments, and than re-entered the market in Feburary of 09. Currently I am investing in precious metals and Energy. I believe were in for a major change in markets, and am positioning myself to make money off it.
I am currently an independent trader and manage a $1 billion hedge fund for my firm's HNW clients. After finishing Wharton summa cum laude, I started on the prop desk at Goldman and then ran the deal books. After spending the past three years working at a well-known quant hedge fund, I opened my own shop, bringing $1 billion of client money. My book earned +46% in 2008, +37% and 2009, and average annual returns have been +22% from 2010-2015.
If you got burned in the past at junior mining investments by overly positive newsletter writers, sell side analysts or other (paid) sources which more often than not avoid to mention (hidden) risks or critical flaws, The Critical Investor goes a few steps further, and might provide a fresh, more in-depth, unbiased and critical vision on things, hence the name.
For examples of those risks or flaws just think of management overpromising and underdelivering, inactivity, shortfalls in cash, windowdressing, bad trackrecords, negative trends on AISC/cash flows/production grades, depleting reserves without renewal, tricky accounting, bad financing terms, permitting issues, commodity issues like possible equilibrium shifts, too much supply coming online, location issues (climate, local opposition, politics), infrastructure, currency effects, influence of investment groups behind the scenes, project economics not up to standards, companies being overvalued based on important but avoided metrics, etcetcetc.
Being an insider of the sector, talking frequently to industry participants (company management, analysts, fund managers, investment bankers, etc), provides for up to standard insights and useful feedback. By analyzing lots of technical reports, analyst reports, economic studies, interviews, articles and other sources, The Critical Investor has developed extensive knowledge about deposits and projects, which often proves to be useful for identifying threats or opportunities.
Avid and critical mining and mining related stock investor from Europe. Number cruncher, looking for high quality companies, mostly growth/turnaround/catalyst-driven to avoid too much dependence/influence of long term commodity pricing/market sentiments, and often additional long term deep value.
About the Mining For Alpha Subscriber service, part of the Marketplace: This service runs since April 2015, and consumes most of my time dedicated to Seekingalpha. Therefore publishing free content is limited for now.
If you want to know more about the junior mining universe, please check out my website: www.criticalinvestor.eu, which contains also my analysis on stocks, lots of hopefully useful rss feeds of blogs and news, and lots of other information. Please consider subscribing on my free newsletter.
Disclaimer: I am no certified financial advisor so always do your own due diligence on possible investments.
I have been a successful Private Investor in the market for the last 18 years. My focus was mostly on the Tech/Internet sector when I started, but 13-14 years ago I became extremely interested in the Gold and Silver sector as I anticipated a major bull run. My in-depth research on gold and silver companies began during 2003 or so, and it has been a consistent passion since that time. I'm familiar with their stories, their stock patterns, their highs and lows, their operations/projects, their successes and failures, their management teams and turnover at the top, and all other facets of these precious metal companies. This sector has been my singular focus since I started writing on Seeking Alpha back in 2014, as I anticipated that gold and silver would soon be bottoming out and a massive bull market would unfold. I still follow the tech/internet space and I plan to eventually jump back into that sector (2009 was a very profitable year for me as bought tech at the lows), but it's not where my attention is at the moment as I see much better opportunities in gold and silver. I believe in buying value, and not chasing the next hot stock. I use several basic investing principles, the main one being buying the balance sheet. I wait for opportunities to present themselves and then establish positions. I believe in doing your homework, and I have a very research intensive focus.
*Disclaimer* I am not a Certified Financial Advisor. My research and articles should not be interpreted as a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any security at any time. The accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information posted in my articles is not guaranteed. Do not rely on any statement that I make in my articles. All readers and subscribers should always conduct their own research and should consult a professional financial advisor when it comes to making investment decisions.
I am an active investor in crude, natural gas and gold as well as index ETF's for both commodities and stocks. I have learned a great deal about the markets over the past 38 years of 'training' and it was an expensive education. It takes about 20 years to figure out that there is very little that is rational about the markets because if they were rational, then everyone would be making money. It just doesn't work that way. An irrational market that is rising will continue to rise confounding the rational investor. When a majority of traders finally see good reasons for the excessive valuations, that is when a bull market is near it's end. Just when it all finally starts to make some sense and it looks 'safe' to be fully invested, the market will top out and die. Complacency is deadly to one's financial health!
The only thing that matters to the market is profits, not GDP, not unemployment, and definitely not how many poor people are on food stamps.
Options are for suckers. You a have few nice nice winners and a whole lot more losers. You cannot beat the time decay consistently to become an a long term winner at the options game.
A traders biggest enemy is a media that brainwashes at a conscious and sub-conscious level. The dissemination of faulty information ensures that the majority of traders will always be on the wrong side of a big move. What you think you know from reading and listening to the experts is almost always proven to wrong. The media will never tell you what you really need to know. Remember that the media is now owned by the filthy rich who are very definitely not interested in seeing you succeed at playing the markets.
An analyst or market guru who has enjoyed a good run of calling the markets successfully, will eventually suffer and even longer stretch being dead wrong. It inevitably costs their faithful followers substantial amounts of money to learn that hard lesson. Going all in based on the opinion of an analyst is a sure fire way to go eventually go broke.
As a contributor to the New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site), we intend to give new insights on a low risk approach to trading in dividend paying stocks for tax deferred accounts. The New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site) is not intended for regular or non-qualifying accounts however, the strategies and stocks mentioned can be used for non-qualifying accounts with the understanding of the consequences of potential short-term capital gains as well as the need for exceptional documentation for IRS purposes.
I have a professional background of working with the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Although I am an economist (and probably because of that fact), I am adept at being resourceful and thinking in a multidisciplinary fashion. For this reason, my professional experience only reflects a wide perspective that I have gained through the years and should not connote an air of authority.
30 years of professional trading experience. My unique top down macro investment skills are based on a thorough understanding of credit cycles influenced by Austrian Economics and observed in the real financial world. Bottoms up stock picking skills include significant experience in value, momentum, balance sheet and short selling research. Trading skills include a lifetime’s experience in short term and position trading. After spending the past 13 years trading my personal commodity account for a living, I am seeking seed capital to start a new macro long-short hedge fund, a senior analyst position with a substantial existing hedge fund or a position in a traditional money management firm which makes discretionary asset allocation decisions.
Former long-time business editor of major US women's magazine and contributing editor at dozens of different "trade" and consumer publications. Author of over 3,000 print magazine articles in past 30 years.
Penn Ph.D., centrist Republican.
Please visit my blogsites:
Baby Boomers-The Angriest Generation http://angriestgeneration.wordpress.com
The Rest of U.S. (for and about political Centrists) http://newcentristera.wordpress.com
and my brand-new blog about Markets:
Capital Punishment-Markets Through the Looking Glass http://marketslookingglass.wordpress.com
Portfolio Manager, attorney, finance author, a regular guest on North American media. Danielle Park is the author of the best selling myth-busting book “Juggling Dynamite: An insider’s wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts,” as well as a popular daily financial blog:www.jugglingdynamite.com
Danielle worked as an attorney until 1997 when she was recruited to work for an international securities firm. Becoming a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), she now helps to manage millions for some of North America’s wealthiest families as a Portfolio Manager and analyst at the independent investment counsel firm she co-founded Venable Park Investment Counsel Inc. www.venablepark.com. In recent years Danielle has been writing, speaking and educating industry professionals and investors on the risks and realities of investment behaviors as well as writing and producing her own health and wealth podcast series: “Not so common sense” and “Life Paths”.
A member of the internationally recognized CFA Institute, Toronto Society of Financial Analysts, and the Law Society of Upper Canada. Danielle is also an avid health and fitness buff.
Work Smart AND Work Hard - No Nonsense - work everyday philosophy.Rest is for people who want 2nd place.
Losing my parents, I learned not to take anything for granted. Life will present you with major opportunities and it up to all of us to take action with those opportunities.
Being driven - has become a way of life. My parents live thru my drive and will. When your faced with challenges, one either quits or looks within and finds that will and drive to win.
Help others along the way doing one's best. I wish all of you success.
Overcoming many obstacles - I have become a better person.
2x Employee of the Year and even more hungry
Good is one thing - Great is another level