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evan37

evan37
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  • Bitcoin Is The Ultimate Fiat Currency [View article]
    What we are seeing with bitcoin is price discovery, it will take a while for virtual currencies to become trusted and widely used. It will be a bumpy ride until then. If central banks keep printing and regulating, we can count on seeing the rise of more and more crypto currencies; I am excited to see which one may become established for general use. Perhaps it will be bitcoin, perhaps something else.

    Central banks, want their cake and to eat it too. They print print print, and when some other better, more efficient method of exchange comes along they try to squash it. But the market will find a way around their shenanigans; it always has, usually by going back to precious metals...at least for the past 6000 years anyway.
    Dec 10 05:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Now Is The Time To Be Fearful [View article]
    subsidizing an industry causes costs to go up not down
    Sep 19 02:20 PM | 59 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Abenomics Over? I Don't Think So. [View article]
    If Japan were a company, and I saw a balance sheet like this, and demographics like this, and now a trade deficit and declining demographics... I'd sell!
    Jun 10 05:21 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The U.S. Doesn't Have A Debt Crisis: Don't Let It Scare You Out Of Stocks [View article]
    It will be interesting to see events unfold in Japan. They have a trade deficit now, a debt to GDP of 245%, a demographic crisis, and interest on their debt consuming > 50% of total govt revenue, and the BOJ recently increasing bond purchases and yeilds went UP! IMO, Japan is going bankrupt and will default within 2 years. US not far behind.
    Jun 10 05:12 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rising Stock Market And Housing Recovery Bring U.S. Household Net Worth To A New Record High [View article]
    In real terms however...the picture is not quite as rosy (as you know); and I fear the re-inflation of the s&p and housing prices is going to make a plastic banana out of our "new and improved" economy.
    Jun 6 06:58 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Jamie Dimon: 'As We Go Back To Normal, It's Going To Be Scary' [View article]
    The FED can't stop their purchasing of bonds. They have a dual mandate; stable inflation/deflation and employment. Currently unemployment is just under 8% and the CPI back down to 2.1%. Also, our debt of 17T will be much more burdensome to finance if rates rise. Given the G7 currency wars, I doubt the US will sit idly by and watch Abe et al depreciate their currencies and wipe out our exporting competitiveness (or what's left of it). Market volatility and asset bubbles are the new norm, and I think are here to stay, accelerating until we hit the wall that Japan is going to run into first. That's when total govt revenue is less than the INTEREST on outstanding debt (currently Japan is at about 50%). That's when a country defaults.
    Jun 6 06:42 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dr. Doom Has Gold Going Below $1,000: Why His Thesis Is Spot On [View article]
    you can't print gold
    Jun 5 09:36 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dr. Doom Has Gold Going Below $1,000: Why His Thesis Is Spot On [View article]
    In a fiat currency, we the people are dependent on the government for producing, protecting, inflating/deflating, regulating and enforcing the integrity of the currency. The currency itself has no intrinsic value.

    In a metal based currency, the government and it's borrowing and spending depends first on the production and taxation of it's people.

    Alternatives to the US dollar, like gold, silver, and bitcoin, will be smacked down by the powers that be to preserve the status quo. Right now, the status quo is the petrodollar, but that will not be for much longer. As every fiat currency has found throughout history, something better will soon take it's place.
    Jun 4 08:31 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Equivalent Of Cyprus Gold Reserves Have Just Gone Offline [View article]
    Since when did silver trade on fundamentals, supply and demand? I thought JP Morgan controlled the price with their massive short position.
    Apr 22 07:12 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gold's Crash, Europe's Woes Signal Global Decline: Companies To Watch [View article]
    The western world's debts are too high, they will have to continue to accelerate the monetization process through "currency wars." Entitlements in the EU and US are unsustainable with no political will or even understanding to change them intelligently. The demographic trends with an aging population in the EU, Japan, and US are also concerning. I don't see how we "grow" our way out of this mess. I see decades of stagnation with tepid inflation; stagflation. Invest accordingly!
    Apr 22 07:04 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Trouble Ahead For The Gold Bears [View article]
    Outcast,
    Good comment. I agree with you. I am basically on a fixed salary and if there's deflation my purchase power goes up. With inflation/CB shenanigans my purchase power goes down. To hedge against inflation I keep about 10% in metals. These PM dips have provided an excellent buying opportunity for my metal holdings to catch up to my equity gains over the past few years. I'm positioned so that if the economy roars I'll do ok, if the economy stagnates I'll still do ok. I'm expecting stagflation and am long precious metals short the US economy by the way.
    Apr 12 09:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • World Currency War II? [View article]
    Is it a currency war vis a via competitive devaluation? Or is it a coordinated fleecing of these nation's citizens in an attempt to mitigate debt and preserve the political status quo?
    Apr 12 09:09 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Ripple Effect Of 'Abenomics' [View article]
    Japan is a good litmus test for the Eurozone and US, they are about a decade ahead of us in the global printing/fiat experiment.
    Apr 11 08:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stars Continue To Align Against Gold, Goldman Sachs Targets $1,270 Per Ounce In 2014 [View article]
    I hope you're right and gold goes down to 1270, I'll buy like there's no tomorrow! I just don't see the dollar gaining purchase power from here: with our demographics, entitlements, spending, trade imbalance, Obamacare, and debt.
    Apr 11 11:32 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Futility Of Expanding The Monetary Base [View article]
    The expansion of MB is in response to credit contraction and decreasing M2 velocity with the result being an offset in CPI to result in tepid 2% inflation. The Primary Dealers are hoarding excess reserves, not for the meager 25 basis points, but for fear; fear of another violent contraction of credit and run on deposits. The negative money multiplier has already threatened their solvency before (2007-8). This author is absolutely right, we find ourselves trapped. The Fed can't unwind, they can't stop printing, they can't reduce liquidity, so the money printing will go on and on vis a via Japan until the point of hyperinflation.
    Apr 9 09:55 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
279 Comments
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