I run a fund based on automated trading and technical analysis. But my favorite pastime is thinking and talking about political economy. I guess I'm George Soros.
Writing helps clarifying my thinking. All opinion expressed here is mine, wholly mine, nobody's but mine. And all trading/investment opinion I talk about here is related only to my personal accounts, not the fund.
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets?, (2) How much should we allocate to conservative assets?, (3) What are the most attractive risk assets?, and (4) What are the most attractive conservative assets?
Chris is an expert in identifying the best ETFs from a wide variety of asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and precious metals. The CCM Market Model compares over 130 different ETFs to identify the most attractive risk-reward opportunities.
Chris graduated summa cum laude from The Georgia Institute of Technology with a co-operative degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering. Prior to founding Ciovacco Capital Management in 1999, Mr. Ciovacco worked as a Financial Advisor for Morgan Stanley in Atlanta for five years earning a strong reputation for his independent research and high integrity. While at Georgia Tech, he gained valuable experience working as a co-op for IBM (1985-1990). During his time with Morgan Stanley, Chris received extensive training which included extended stays in NYC at the World Trade Center.
His areas of expertise include technical analysis and market model development. CCM’s popular weekly technical analysis videos on YouTube have been viewed over 700,000 times. Chris’ years of experience and research led to the creation of the thoroughly backtested CCM Market Model, which serves as the foundation for the management of separate accounts for individuals and businesses.
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Ananthan Thangavel is the Managing Director of Lakshmi Capital and Lead Writer for the RealFinance Commodity Analyst Newsletter. He is particularly proud of producing a return 35.01% annualized since inception (through 12/31/11) for his Lakshmi Capital Global Macro ARS clients (www.lakshmi-capital.com/performance).
Mr. Thangavel is frequently interviewed by major media outlets including Forbes and Fox Business. He called the exact top of the silver market in an interview with Bob Lenzner of Forbes (http://www.forbes.com/sites/robertlenzner/2011/04/25/gold-and-silver-due-for-a-10-correction/) and also called gold's collapse in September 2011 (http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/1156274321001/bearish-outlook-for-gold-prices).
Mr. Thangavel authors The Commodity Analyst, a newsletter service that provides weekly in-depth commodity and currency research and trading recommendations as well as daily blog updates to remind investors what to keep any eye out for (www.realfinancenewsletter.com). Ananthan welcomes collaboration and interaction in his Members Forum, a discussion board that allows for direct interaction with Ananthan.
Ananthan Thangavel holds a B.S. in Economics from Northwestern University, and a J.D. from UCLA School of Law.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
David Fry writes a subscription newsletter focused on technical analysis of exchange-traded funds, called ETF Digest (www.etfdigest.com). Dave founded the ETF Digest in 2001 and was among the very first to see the need for a publication that provided individual investors with information and actionable advice on global ETF investing.
We particularly like the overview of financial markets that his work provides. Even if you're not a fan of chart analysis, Dave provides insight and commentary into which global markets are "working" and why.
Specializing as a market strategist and tactician, Fry focuses on evaluating, creating and implementing a variety of ETF portfolios for individual investors and financial professionals. His philosophy and approach incorporates fundamental with technical analysis in pursuit of risk management and capital preservation especially during uncertain and volatile times.
His new eBook, The Best ETFs: U.S. Equities,is now available on Amazon Kindle. Written as a cheat sheet to only the best ETFs for you or your client’s portfolios. For those that don't have a Kindle, you can purchase the pdf here: The Best ETFs: US Equities [https://gumroad.com/l/The%20Best%20ETFs]
Richard is the managing principal of QVM Group LLC, a fee-based investment advisor based in Connecticut, with clients across the country. . QVM manages portfolios uniquely designed for each client on a flat fee basis through the client’s own accounts at Schwab; and provides investment coaching to "do-it-yourself" investors on an hourly fee basis. The investment approach is based on value, asset allocation, expense control, risk management, customizing portfolios to each client's specific circumstances, and regular communication about strategy and absolute and benchmark performance. Richard's extensive experience includes serving having served as a Board Director of Phoenix Investment Counsel, a U.S. pension and mutual funds manager, now Virtus Investment Partners (New York Stock Exchange: VRTS http://www.virtus.com); as Managing Director of Phoenix American Investment in London; and as a Board Director Aberdeen Asset Management PLC in Aberdeen Scotland (London Stock Exchange: ADN http://www.aberdeen-asset.com). He has been a Trustee of a $500 million pension fund, and was a charter investor and member of the Board of Directors of several internet companies, including Lending Tree (NASDAQ: TREE http://www.lendingtree.com) prior to its IPO. He is a 1970 graduate of Dartmouth College. QVM Group LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor. Visit the QVM Group website. (http://www.qvmgroup.com). Follow him on Twitter: @QVMinvest
I am a 15 year veteran of the buy-side, with over a decade of experience in Investment Management, at one time overseeing several billion dollars in hedge fund assets for institutional clients. Currently, I advise wealthy families on their investment portfolios as well as trade my own money.
Articles on Seeking Alpha are meant to be a snapshot of my views, but do not necessarily always reflect my portfolio. I also try to write on controversial and contrarian topics.
All money received from Seeking Alpha activities is currently being donated to various charities, including the World Food Program and UNICEF.
Mr. Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC, a low fee financial services firm based in San Diego, CA as well as the founder of the popular financial website Pragmatic Capitalism (some articles from Pragmatic Capitalism get syndicated on Seeking Alpha so please see the full site if you don't want to miss articles by Mr. Roche).
Orcam Financial Group, LLC (www.orcamgroup.com) is a low fee financial services firm offering asset management, personal advisory, consulting and educational services. Pragmatic Capitalism (http://pragcap.com) was founded by Cullen Roche in the midst of the financial crisis of 2008. Mr. Roche foresaw many of the events that led up to the crisis and felt that the government was slow to react and when it did finally react, responded with the wrong medicine.
Mr. Roche's primary areas of expertise include global macro portfolio construction, quantitative risk management, monetary economics and behavioral finance. Prior to establishing his own business, Mr. Roche worked at Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management where he worked on a team overseeing $500MM+ in assets under management. Upon leaving Merrill Lynch, Mr. Roche managed a private investment partnership for 7 years generating substantial positive alpha (high risk adjusted returns) without a single negative year of returns. He has since transitioned back to retail asset management to better serve the much needed low fee retail space with sophisticated but simple asset management and financial planning services.
Mr. Roche is also a prolific writer. In addition to the daily musings on his website, he is the author of the popular book “Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance” as well as “Understanding the Modern Monetary System”, one of the top 10 all-time most downloaded research papers on the SSRN academic research network. He was named one of the “Top Wall Street Economists, Experts and Opinion Leaders” of 2011 by Wall Street Economists and was named one of the “101 Best Finance People” by Business Insider where he was described as “one of the most influential economic thinkers today.” In 2015 Mr. Roche was named one of the “40 Under 40” most influential people in finance by InvestmentNews. He is regularly cited in the Wall Street Journal, on CNBC and in the Financial Times.
Mr. Roche is a Georgetown University alumnus, growing up in the DC area and now living in Southern California with his wife Erica, troublesome collie Cal and 4 irritable laying hens. In addition to being a financial dork Cullen is an avid outdoorsman, mediocre gardener, proficient complex carbohydrate consumer (i.e., loves brownies and cake) and finisher of one of the most difficult IRONMAN races at Cabo in 2015.
Follow me and my trades on Twitter @Keddie
Long time private investor of Stocks and Options. I have been trading Stocks for 14 years and Options for 12+ years. I am extremely creative when it comes to my trades and I almost always attempt to keep things leveraged. The one thing I've learned is an investor should always be hedged and never be "Naked" in your trades.
Avery B. Goodman is a licensed attorney and the author of the action-packed Wall Street thriller "The Synod".
He holds a B.A. from Emory University, where he concentrated on history and economics. He also holds a Juris Doctorate degree from the University of California at Los Angeles Law School and is a member of the Bar, licensed to practice law in several jurisdictions.
Mr. Goodman serves on the roster of neutral arbitrators of the National Futures Association (NFA) and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). His career has consisted not only of prosecuting cases on behalf of clients, but also in sitting in judgment on the cases involving others, and making important decisions on intra-industry and customer disputes involving securities issues.
As an independent investor, Mr. Goodman has observed that markets are subject to frighteningly high levels of disinformation. Investors desperately need a voice of logic, reason and common sense. For that reason, he is now sharing thoughts with the community.
James A. Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.
Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International Investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.
Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book about the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.
Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
You can receive custom delivery of all of Mr. Kostohryz's published work on Seeking Alpha, The Street, and other media, as well as exclusive material, by following the link below. It is absolutely free:
You may connect with Mr. Kostohryz via the following social networks:
When connecting, be sure to identify yourself as a Seeking Alpha reader.
I manage several funds dedicated to investing in single family homes. The bulk of our business consists of making loans to developers who specialize in buying, renovating and reselling single family homes in California, in order to generate steady income with a healthy margin of safety. We have a special emphasis on making loans on luxury properties that will sell for $2-$6 million upon completion of an extensive renovation. To date I have made more than 275 real estate investments where my own capital was at risk.
I am actively involved in real estate education and have taught four classes at UCLA Extension as well as organizing eight events at the UCLA Anderson School of Management and speaking on real estate as part of the CFA Los Angeles Alternative Investment Series.
For more information, please see my LinkedIn profile at www.linkedin.com/in/janbrzeski3104289109
Five Plus Investor is business owner and an avid follower of the stock market, managing seven different types of portfolios for family and friends. Five Plus Investor invests in multiple types of investments, with the goal of achieving relatively high dividend yield that has a reasonable margin of safety. She enjoys contributing to Seeking Alpha as she has time, with her core audience being new investors and retirees.
Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst.
He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015.
From his website:
Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors.
Rules of Investment
Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing.
Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off.
Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.)
Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'.
Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions.
More information on CGTS is available at:
His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address:
His writing portfolio can be found at:
Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at:
Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.
Martin O. Hutchinson is an investment banker with more than 25 years’ experience, Hutchinson has worked on both Wall Street and Fleet Street and is a leading expert on the international financial markets. At Creditanstalt-Bankverein, Hutchinson was a Senior Vice President in charge of the institution’s derivative operations, one of the most challenging units to run. He also served as a director of Gestion Integral de Negocios, a Spanish private-equity firm, and as an advisor to the Korean conglomerate, Sunkyong Corp. But it was Hutchinson’s work in Bulgaria, Croatia and Macedonia that solidified his reputation as a true “hands-on” expert on the developing economies. As the U.S. Treasury Advisor to Croatia in 1996, he helped the country establish its own T-bill program, launch its first government bond issue, and start a forward currency market. Hutchinson returned to the United States, was named Business and Economics Editor at United Press International, and was able to jump-start the financial-news operation of that historic wire service. In October 2000, Hutchinson began writing “The Bear’s Lair,” a weekly investment column that appears on the Prudent Bear Web site. Hutchinson earned his undergraduate degree in mathematics from Cambridge University, and an MBA from Harvard University. He lives in upstate New York.
Abigail F. Doolittle is the founder of Peak Theories Research LLC, which is an on-line research firm dedicated to providing investors with a technically-inclined view on the financial markets and the economy. The firm’s research begins with the analysis of charts and then ties in various economic fundamentals to better understand the trends pointed to in the charts. She has more than 12 years of experience in the financial services industry including portfolio management, macro research, institutional equity sales, and investment banking.
Abigail F. Doolittle
Peak Theories Research LLC
Michael Michaud is the founder owner of Invest2Success.com (http://www.invest2success.com/). He has been investing and trading in the financial markets since 1989.
He founded Invest2Success.com to empower independent and institutional investors traders to take control of their financial destiny by providing them education training mentorship and support for them to research analyze invest and trade in the markets successfully in the long-term.
As he says, "With knowledge, dated goals, a plan of action, then taking action, profitable investing and trading success will only be a matter of time."
Mark's mutual fund is launching December 15, 2011.
He is a self taught private investor who operates the website Fund My Mutual Fund (http://fundmymutualfund.com); a daily mix of market, economic, and stock specific commentary. Fascinated by the market since an early age, he discovered mutual funds as a teenager in the 80s and moved to equities by the mid 90s. The origin of the website is/was to leverage the power of the internet in developing a transparent track record to attract investors for his potential "long/short" mutual fund.
His equity focus is identifying secular growth trends and the companies most likely to benefit from these macro trends. Stocks are identified through fundamental analysis, although basic technical analysis is used in determining entry and exit points. You can receive Trader Mark's latest posts daily by subscribing free via RSS reader (http://feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund) or subscribing free via email (http://www.feedburner.com/fb/a/emailverifySubmit?feedId=1109639).
With a degree in economics from the University of Michigan, a broader understanding of the economy as a whole, along with interpreting investor psychology, is also a major interest for Mark. To follow on Twitter, username: fundmyfund
Michael Pettis is a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets. He has also taught, from 2002 to 2004, at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and, from 1992 to 2001, at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business.
Pettis has worked on Wall Street in trading, capital markets, and corporate finance since 1987, when he joined the Sovereign Debt trading team at Manufacturers Hanover (now JP Morgan). Most recently, from 1996 to 2001, Pettis worked at Bear Stearns, where he was Managing Director-Principal heading the Latin American Capital Markets and the Liability Management groups.
Visit: China Financial Markets (http://www.mpettis.com)
John Nyaradi is publisher of Wall Street Sector Selector, Your Home for ETF Investing! (www.wall-street-sector-selector.com) a financial media site focused on news, analysis and information about exchange traded funds and global financial and economic developments. John writes a weekly guest column for MarketWatch.com and is a regular contributor to Investor’s Alley, a widely read internet site. His investment articles have appeared in many online publications including Trading Markets, Money Show, Yahoo Finance, Investors Insight, Fidelity, SeekingAlpha, ETF Daily News, iStock Analyst and many others. He has also appeared as a guest on National Business Talk Radio, Sound Investing, and The Index Investing Show and has been a speaker at The Money Show, Las Vegas. His book, "Super Sectors: How to Outsmart the Market Using Sector Rotation and ETFs," is published by John Wiley and Sons and included among the Years Top Investment Books in the 2011 Stock Trader’s Almanac. Every business day, Wall Street Sector Selector: Your Home for ETF Trading!, publishes multiple articles of news, analysis and opinion in the world of exchange traded funds and global economics. John’s articles can be viewed in the “Executive Suite: Wall Street Sector Selector.com ETF News Updates.”
Jeffrey Saut is Chief Investment Strategist and Managing Director of Equity Research at Raymond James & Associates.
Mr. Saut began his career on a trading desk in New York City. In 1973, he joined E.F . Hutton, where he began following equities and writing research. He subsequently worked as a securities analyst for Wheat First Securities, and then Branch Cabell, where he ran the equity research group as director of research and acted as portfolio manager for the firm's affiliate, Exeter Capital Management. As director of research, he built the research and institutional sales departments for the regional brokerage firm Ferris, Baker and Watts, Inc. and subsequently Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.
Mr. Saut is well known for his insightful and colorful commentary regarding the stock market, and he makes regular media appearances.
Note: Mr. Saut is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Mr. Saut's public commentary.
Mike Shedlock (Mish) is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management (http://www.sitkapacific.com/). Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit Sitka Pacific's Account Management Page (http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html) to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.
I blog at Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis (http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/) which typically has commentary every day of the week. I am also a contributing "professor" on Minyanville (http://www.minyanville.com/), a community site focused on economic and financial education.
I do weekly podcasts every Thursday on HoweStreet (http://www.howestreet.com/audiovideo/) and a brief 7 minute segment on Saturday on CKNW AM 980 (http://cknw.com/%20) in Vancouver.
When not writing about stocks or the economy I spend a great deal of time on photography and in the garden. I have over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Some of my Wisconsin and gardening images can be seen at MichaelShedlock.com (http://www.michaelshedlock.com/BestImages/index.html).
Management at Annaly will occasionally express their thoughts and opinions on specific issues and events in the financial markets through monthly commentaries and white papers. Annaly Salvos is a venue for expressing occasional thoughts and opinions on issues and events in the financial markets.
Blog posts, commentaries and white papers are for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer to sell, nor a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities of Annaly Capital Management, Inc. or any other company.
Annaly manages assets on behalf of institutional and individual investors worldwide. Annaly’s principal business objective is to generate net income for distribution to investors from its Investment Securities and from dividends Annaly receives from its subsidiaries. Annaly is a Maryland corporation that has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”).
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT is a Chartered Market Technician and member of the Market Technicians Association. He is the publisher and editor of TheDailyGold Premium, a publication which emphasizes market timing and stock selection for precious metals investors. He is also the author of the 2015 book, The Coming Renewal of Gold’s Secular Bull Market which is available for free.
Jordan’s work has been featured in CNBC, Barrons, Financial Times Alphaville, Kitco and Yahoo Finance. He is quoted regularly in Barrons. Jordan has been a speaker at PDAC, Cambridge House and Hard Assets conferences. TheDailyGold.com was recently named one of the top 50 Investment Blogs by DailyReckoning and WalletHub. Jordan earned a degree in General Studies from the University of Washington with a concentration in International Economic Development. He also lived and worked in Southeast Asia for 3 years in order to study economic development from an emerging market perspective. In his spare time he enjoys spending time with his wife, fitness, football and travel.
Jason Kelly edits The Kelly Letter, a curiously readable weekly investment advisory covering stock market forecasts, stocks, ETFs, mutual funds, commodities, and general investing.
He is the author of the Neatest Little Guide series of financial books which includes the bestseller "The Neatest Little Guide to Stock Market Investing," now available in a revised 2010 edition.
He worked from 1993 to 1997 as a technical writer at the IBM Silicon Valley Laboratory in San Jose, California. He graduated 1993 from the University of Colorado at Boulder with a Bachelor of Arts in English. He currently lives in Sano, Japan, northwest of Tokyo.
Find his latest ideas at jasonkelly.com.
Back in the deep forests of the southern Adirondacks after a six month, 9000 miles bicycle tour. When was the last time YOU went on a six month vacation that cost you about $100 a week. Most of that was for food; and I STILL MANAGED to trim down to 175lbs.Healthy and happy here, ready to get back to the market and writing for SA.
Now you know how I can live on an income most of you call pocket change. Put me in the bottom 1% of Seeking Alpha readers and most certainly contributors. Nothing like hanging out with loggers to cut expenses.
What a great way to avoid the carping on Wall Street. If I read another article about how the market is in a bubble, I shall pull out my hair...which is difficult because I have a shaved head.
Seriously though, I am a tried, true, and original Investment Biker. I've already toured in Europe, Asia, North and South America (see my website below) so I have about 200,000 cycling miles under my belt. It's been a while since I've done a long tour so starting this spring of 2015 I'm hittin' the road with my 28 speed Fuji Touring bike and riding for as long as I want. (Sorry about the Jap bike for all you Harley guys). Think about it...since I usually 'wild camp' in the forests for nothing, my only real expenses are food and some routine maintenance. I cover those expenses by using the monthly options cycle to generate income from calls, puts, or spreads of various sorts. So while you Seeking Alpha trendies are sitting in front of your screens all day, I'll be out riding in the Sierra, the Cascades, the Rockies, the Appalachians, the Catskills, the Adirondacks, the Green and White Mountains...and thats just this summer!
All i need to keep an eye on the markets are a small Grundig AM/FM/Shortwave radio (go to hell you Sirius guys!) and a Netbook for trading and fun when I can get internet access...which last time I looked was everywhere.
Enjoy the bull market which started in Summer of 2009 and should run for a few more years. Ignore these 'stuck in a rut guys' and Obamanazis. Between lower energy prices from natural gas frackomania, lower medical costs and longer lifespans from bioengineering marvels just coming down the pike, and the eventual collapse of slave labor kleptocracies like China (and Chicago), the outlook for stocks and capitalism is as strong as its ever been.
When not cycling I am a self employed stock trader and military/political analyst. Live in the US now, lived throughout Asia (Korea, Japan, Russia, Pakistan, India, SE asia) in the 1990s and early 2000s. Statistics and forecasting, using market based socioeconomic data, are my specialty. Sometimes I am an adjunct college professor, teaching statistics, some finance courses, and earth/environmental science classes online.
I'll try to submit SA articles from time to time but I enjoy READING the wisdom of many of you writers (thanks to many of you!). Maybe I can visit some of you along the way.
Daryl Montgomery is the organizer of the New York Investing meetup, a 7,000 member educational group that provides the public with unbiased stock, bond, currency and commodity market information. For details, see: http://ow.ly/Y6CNhT (it's free to join). The group is the largest investing meetup in the world. It holds monthly general meetings, offers small classes on investing topics, has webinars and provides individual tutoring.
Montgomery, a former professor and expert witness in court cases on data reliability (up to the Supreme Court), has written a number of books on investing and approximately 700 articles on financial topics. He was formerly the chief blogger for the "Helicopter Economics Investing Guide". He has done extensive research on optimal use of technical indicators. Montgomery has never worked for, nor has any association with any Wall Street company and this allows him to bring an independent perspective to market analysis.
The New York Investing meetup's strength is in calling market turns. It called the top in gold and silver in March 2008 and the exact day of the oil bottom in February 2009 and almost the exact peak price in Silver in 2011. The group went to an all-cash position starting in September 2015. The New York Investing meetup uses its own approach to technical analysis and currently has access to a proprietary model that predicts tops and bottoms in stocks and commodities.
Graduated from Moscow Technical University as MS in Electrical Engineering and from Canterbury Business School (Finance, 1996). Started my investment analyst career as a secondee at HSBC James Capel (London). Then returned to Russia where dedicated personal development to mastering report writing skills. Upon 1998 ruble and debt crisis relocated to USA (New York, then - Los Angeles) where passed SEC Series 7, 63, became registered representaive of New York State, and, later, independent reseach analyst with Sophia Orange Investment Advisors pursuant to Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Acting LIFA chartholdered member.