<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
  <channel>
    <title>EPS100Momentum's Instablog</title>
    <description>Author has a degree in Engineering and is an avid investor in the market. Experience in industrial materials and structures. In college studied atomic &amp; nuclear  physics as well as material engineering.

Eastern European  </description>
    <author>
      <name>EPS100Momentum</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/user/521936/instablog</link>
    <item>
      <title>Days after FED. announces $300B more buying after QE2, we have massive redemptions in VIX ETF's</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/521936-eps100momentum/194204-days-after-fed-announces-300b-more-buying-after-qe2-we-have-massive-redemptions-in-vix-etf-s?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">194204</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-27/fed-seen-buying-25-billion-a-month-in-treasuries-after-qe2-comes-to-end.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Fed May Buy $300 Billion in Treasuries After QE2</a>                                                                                                                      <br> By                      Daniel Kruger and John Detrixhe                  - <br> <span>Jun 27, 2011 7:15 AM ET <br>-------------------------------------<br><br>After the news above occurred, these actions followed quickly below:<br><br>------------------------------------<br> <br> </span> <p>VZZ, which had $12.8 million in assets as of June 30, was halted by  Arca, the New York Stock Exchange&rsquo;s electronic trading platform, after  the ETN fell to $9.98 a share. That was $1.82, or 15 percent lower on  the day.</p> <p>The actual redemption date is the &ldquo;fifth business day  following the automatic termination date,&rdquo; according to the press  release. The company said further details about the automatic  redemption, including the redemption value, <a href="http://us.lrd.yahoo.com/SIG=11ccl81kn/EXP=1311563549/**http%3A//www.ipathetn.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">will be made public on iPath&rsquo;s website</a> as soon as possible after the close of business on July 1.</p> <p>The  notes were brought to market in November 2009. Their price had fallen  by more than 50 percent in the past six months and by more than 60  percent in the past year.<br> &nbsp;</p> <p>The midterm volatility ETN, VXZ, as noted, was also trading more than  4 percent lower on Friday afternoon, at $48.04 a share. It has declined  more than 20 percent in the past six months and more than 40 percent in  the past two years. It too was launched in January 2009.</p> <p>But it&rsquo;s also had success gathering assets, though it had an <a href="http://us.lrd.yahoo.com/SIG=13ov5ae0k/EXP=1311563549/**http%3A//www.indexuniverse.com/sections/etf-fund-flows/9467-etf-fund-flows-spy-nets-8365-million-.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">usually large redemption on Wednesday</a>,  of more than $257 million, or about a third of its assets. It wasn&rsquo;t  immediately clear what prompted such a large and unusual shift in  assets. It had $526.2 million in assets as of June 30.<br> <br> <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Barclays-To-Redeem-VZZ-Due-To-indexuniverse-2863215893.html?x=0&amp;.v=10" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Barclays-To-Redeem-VZZ-Due-To-indexuniverse-2863215893.html?x=0&amp;.v=10</a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <span><br> </span>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 10 Jul 2011 23:28:03 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-27/fed-seen-buying-25-billion-a-month-in-treasuries-after-qe2-comes-to-end.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Fed May Buy $300 Billion in Treasuries After QE2</a>                                                                                                                      <br> By                      Daniel Kruger and John Detrixhe                  - <br> <span>Jun 27, 2011 7:15 AM ET <br>-------------------------------------<br><br>After the news above occurred, these actions followed quickly below:<br><br>------------------------------------<br> <br> </span> <p>VZZ, which had $12.8 million in assets as of June 30, was halted by  Arca, the New York Stock Exchange&rsquo;s electronic trading platform, after  the ETN fell to $9.98 a share. That was $1.82, or 15 percent lower on  the day.</p> <p>The actual redemption date is the &ldquo;fifth business day  following the automatic termination date,&rdquo; according to the press  release. The company said further details about the automatic  redemption, including the redemption value, <a href="http://us.lrd.yahoo.com/SIG=11ccl81kn/EXP=1311563549/**http%3A//www.ipathetn.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">will be made public on iPath&rsquo;s website</a> as soon as possible after the close of business on July 1.</p> <p>The  notes were brought to market in November 2009. Their price had fallen  by more than 50 percent in the past six months and by more than 60  percent in the past year.<br> &nbsp;</p> <p>The midterm volatility ETN, VXZ, as noted, was also trading more than  4 percent lower on Friday afternoon, at $48.04 a share. It has declined  more than 20 percent in the past six months and more than 40 percent in  the past two years. It too was launched in January 2009.</p> <p>But it&rsquo;s also had success gathering assets, though it had an <a href="http://us.lrd.yahoo.com/SIG=13ov5ae0k/EXP=1311563549/**http%3A//www.indexuniverse.com/sections/etf-fund-flows/9467-etf-fund-flows-spy-nets-8365-million-.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">usually large redemption on Wednesday</a>,  of more than $257 million, or about a third of its assets. It wasn&rsquo;t  immediately clear what prompted such a large and unusual shift in  assets. It had $526.2 million in assets as of June 30.<br> <br> <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Barclays-To-Redeem-VZZ-Due-To-indexuniverse-2863215893.html?x=0&amp;.v=10" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Barclays-To-Redeem-VZZ-Due-To-indexuniverse-2863215893.html?x=0&amp;.v=10</a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <span><br> </span>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vzzb/instablogs">vzzb</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxz/instablogs">vxz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxx/instablogs">vxx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tvix/instablogs">tvix</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqq/instablogs">qqq</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tna/instablogs">tna</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxl/instablogs">spxl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midu/instablogs">midu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midz/instablogs">midz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxs/instablogs">spxs</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tza/instablogs">tza</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dog/instablogs">dog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/adz/instablogs">adz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aga/instablogs">aga</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bis/instablogs">bis</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bom/instablogs">bom</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bos/instablogs">bos</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bril/instablogs">bril</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edz/instablogs">edz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edc/instablogs">edc</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxi/instablogs">fxi</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld/instablogs">gld</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sil/instablogs">sil</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sivr/instablogs">sivr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/slv/instablogs">slv</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gdx/instablogs">gdx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gdxj/instablogs">gdxj</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/BEAR TRAP (leveraged etf's)">BEAR TRAP (leveraged etf's)</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Hedge funds love shorting VIX ETF's</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/521936-eps100momentum/191723-hedge-funds-love-shorting-vix-etf-s?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">191723</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Its the easiest short that exists on wall street. <br> <br> Yes short term they could have days when they could lose money, but in  the end you always make money shorting VIX ETF's its almost criminal how  easy it is.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 30 Jun 2011 10:33:42 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Its the easiest short that exists on wall street. <br> <br> Yes short term they could have days when they could lose money, but in  the end you always make money shorting VIX ETF's its almost criminal how  easy it is.]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tvix/instablogs">tvix</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxx/instablogs">vxx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxz/instablogs">vxz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxl/instablogs">spxl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tza/instablogs">tza</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxs/instablogs">spxs</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midz/instablogs">midz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midu/instablogs">midu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vtwo/instablogs">vtwo</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vtwg/instablogs">vtwg</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vtwv/instablogs">vtwv</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rtla/instablogs">rtla</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tna/instablogs">tna</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/urty/instablogs">urty</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/iwm/instablogs">iwm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ees/instablogs">ees</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ijs/instablogs">ijs</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vbk/instablogs">vbk</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ijt/instablogs">ijt</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/slyg/instablogs">slyg</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqq/instablogs">qqq</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tecl/instablogs">tecl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rwj/instablogs">rwj</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fyx/instablogs">fyx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jkj/instablogs">jkj</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jkk/instablogs">jkk</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jkl/instablogs">jkl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/scz/instablogs">scz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/saa/instablogs">saa</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rzg/instablogs">rzg</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rzv/instablogs">rzv</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>They fooled the retail guys into selling in May again with QE2 ending scares for June.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/521936-eps100momentum/190661-they-fooled-the-retail-guys-into-selling-in-may-again-with-qe2-ending-scares-for-june?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">190661</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Now they are telling the retail guys that QE2 really does not end in JUNE because they have $300 Billion in easing coming after June 30th.<br><br>Now that they fooled the retail folks into selling, they are probably buying now just days ahead of June 30th to take advantage of the scare of QE2 ending.<br><br><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-27/fed-seen-buying-25-billion-a-month-in-treasuries-after-qe2-comes-to-end.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Fed May Buy $300 Billion in Treasuries After QE2</a>                                                                                                                    By                     Daniel Kruger and John Detrixhe                  -                                  <span>Jun 27, 2011 7:15 AM ET <br><br></span>While the $600 billion purchase program, known as QE2, winds down, the Fed said June 22 that it will continue to buy Treasuries with proceeds from the maturing debt it currently owns. That could mean purchases of as much as $300 billion of government debt over the next 12 months without adding money to the financial system. <br>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 27 Jun 2011 10:06:31 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Now they are telling the retail guys that QE2 really does not end in JUNE because they have $300 Billion in easing coming after June 30th.<br><br>Now that they fooled the retail folks into selling, they are probably buying now just days ahead of June 30th to take advantage of the scare of QE2 ending.<br><br><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-27/fed-seen-buying-25-billion-a-month-in-treasuries-after-qe2-comes-to-end.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Fed May Buy $300 Billion in Treasuries After QE2</a>                                                                                                                    By                     Daniel Kruger and John Detrixhe                  -                                  <span>Jun 27, 2011 7:15 AM ET <br><br></span>While the $600 billion purchase program, known as QE2, winds down, the Fed said June 22 that it will continue to buy Treasuries with proceeds from the maturing debt it currently owns. That could mean purchases of as much as $300 billion of government debt over the next 12 months without adding money to the financial system. <br>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tna/instablogs">tna</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxl/instablogs">spxl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midu/instablogs">midu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxx/instablogs">vxx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tvix/instablogs">tvix</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxz/instablogs">vxz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl/instablogs">aapl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ibm/instablogs">ibm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hpq/instablogs">hpq</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msft/instablogs">msft</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/goog/instablogs">goog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amd/instablogs">amd</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/intc/instablogs">intc</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/klac/instablogs">klac</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tzoo/instablogs">tzoo</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pcln/instablogs">pcln</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx/instablogs">nflx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amzn/instablogs">amzn</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wmt/instablogs">wmt</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/m/instablogs">m</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/f/instablogs">f</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gm/instablogs">gm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tm/instablogs">tm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hmc/instablogs">hmc</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wlt/instablogs">wlt</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/clf/instablogs">clf</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/anr/instablogs">anr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mos/instablogs">mos</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pot/instablogs">pot</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/agu/instablogs">agu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf/instablogs">cf</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/roc/instablogs">roc</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sqm/instablogs">sqm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fmc/instablogs">fmc</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ffiv/instablogs">ffiv</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vmw/instablogs">vmw</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/crm/instablogs">crm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cat/instablogs">cat</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/de/instablogs">de</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ppo/instablogs">ppo</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pol/instablogs">pol</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dow/instablogs">dow</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/met/instablogs">met</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bac/instablogs">bac</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/c/instablogs">c</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/brk.b/instablogs">brk.b</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/brk.a/instablogs">brk.a</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs/instablogs">gs</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ms/instablogs">ms</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/v/instablogs">v</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>QE2 effect does not really end on June 30th</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/521936-eps100momentum/190142-qe2-effect-does-not-really-end-on-june-30th?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">190142</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Chan, the JP Morgan economist, says the full benefits from the central bank's bond-buying have yet to be seen.</p> <p>&quot;We're   not really done with QE2 yet,&quot; Chan says.  Even after it spends the   last of its $600 billion on Treasurys this month, the Fed will continue   to invest the cash it gets from bonds coming due every month. And with   the Fed keeping all the bonds it bought, the low borrowing rates   available to banks may prod them to free up more cash for small business   lending and other loans.</p> <p>&quot;The Fed can support growth without lifting a finger,&quot; Chan says.<br> &nbsp;</p> 1 Comments &ndash; Post Your Own <strong>#1)</strong> On June 24, 2011 at 2:18 PM, <strong><a href="http://caps.fool.com/player/dumberthanafool.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">dumberthanafool</a> (26.74)</strong> wrote: <p>You are correct.&nbsp; The vast majority of the press and of the people on this website are wrong.</p> <p>+1</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 24 Jun 2011 14:29:44 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Chan, the JP Morgan economist, says the full benefits from the central bank's bond-buying have yet to be seen.</p> <p>&quot;We're   not really done with QE2 yet,&quot; Chan says.  Even after it spends the   last of its $600 billion on Treasurys this month, the Fed will continue   to invest the cash it gets from bonds coming due every month. And with   the Fed keeping all the bonds it bought, the low borrowing rates   available to banks may prod them to free up more cash for small business   lending and other loans.</p> <p>&quot;The Fed can support growth without lifting a finger,&quot; Chan says.<br> &nbsp;</p> 1 Comments &ndash; Post Your Own <strong>#1)</strong> On June 24, 2011 at 2:18 PM, <strong><a href="http://caps.fool.com/player/dumberthanafool.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">dumberthanafool</a> (26.74)</strong> wrote: <p>You are correct.&nbsp; The vast majority of the press and of the people on this website are wrong.</p> <p>+1</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqq/instablogs">qqq</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fas/instablogs">fas</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tna/instablogs">tna</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxl/instablogs">spxl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midu/instablogs">midu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/faz/instablogs">faz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tza/instablogs">tza</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxs/instablogs">spxs</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midz/instablogs">midz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld/instablogs">gld</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/slv/instablogs">slv</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pall/instablogs">pall</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cu/instablogs">cu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/copx/instablogs">copx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gdx/instablogs">gdx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gdxj/instablogs">gdxj</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxx/instablogs">vxx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxz/instablogs">vxz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tvix/instablogs">tvix</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl/instablogs">aapl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/orcl/instablogs">orcl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msft/instablogs">msft</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/goog/instablogs">goog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/de/instablogs">de</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cat/instablogs">cat</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mos/instablogs">mos</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pot/instablogs">pot</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/agu/instablogs">agu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf/instablogs">cf</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xom/instablogs">xom</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cvx/instablogs">cvx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cop/instablogs">cop</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bp/instablogs">bp</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pbr/instablogs">pbr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs/instablogs">gs</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bac/instablogs">bac</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wfc/instablogs">wfc</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/c/instablogs">c</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/stt/instablogs">stt</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/brk.b/instablogs">brk.b</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/brk.a/instablogs">brk.a</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jnj/instablogs">jnj</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mrk/instablogs">mrk</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pfe/instablogs">pfe</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/anr/instablogs">anr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/clf/instablogs">clf</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wlt/instablogs">wlt</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/btu/instablogs">btu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dow/instablogs">dow</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/emn/instablogs">emn</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pep/instablogs">pep</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cce/instablogs">cce</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mmm/instablogs">mmm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ibm/instablogs">ibm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dell/instablogs">dell</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hpq/instablogs">hpq</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jnpr/instablogs">jnpr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jdsu/instablogs">jdsu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cien/instablogs">cien</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ff/instablogs">ff</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>OIL sector gets Game Changer move from International Energy Agency </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/521936-eps100momentum/189890-oil-sector-gets-game-changer-move-from-international-energy-agency?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">189890</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Just when you thought it was safe to test the water in the oil sector.<br> <br> &quot;Bam Shock a locka&quot;<br> <br> The oil sector market gets a game changing move.<br> <br> Its hard enough to be long in the oil sector with the market trending downward and with the constant sellers and short sellers showing up daily but this game changing move by the&nbsp;International Energy Agency came out of left field to help the shorts and crush any upward thinking by longs in oil for the forsee-able future.<br> <br> Hopefully there were no insider trading by shorts in oil because<br> <br> &quot;The coordinated nature of this move indicates that planning has been  underway for some time&quot;]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 23 Jun 2011 20:51:21 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Just when you thought it was safe to test the water in the oil sector.<br> <br> &quot;Bam Shock a locka&quot;<br> <br> The oil sector market gets a game changing move.<br> <br> Its hard enough to be long in the oil sector with the market trending downward and with the constant sellers and short sellers showing up daily but this game changing move by the&nbsp;International Energy Agency came out of left field to help the shorts and crush any upward thinking by longs in oil for the forsee-able future.<br> <br> Hopefully there were no insider trading by shorts in oil because<br> <br> &quot;The coordinated nature of this move indicates that planning has been  underway for some time&quot;]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dto/instablogs">dto</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ery/instablogs">ery</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/erx/instablogs">erx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uso/instablogs">uso</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/oil/instablogs">oil</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xom/instablogs">xom</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bp/instablogs">bp</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cvx/instablogs">cvx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pbr/instablogs">pbr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cop/instablogs">cop</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wll/instablogs">wll</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/atpg/instablogs">atpg</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bexp/instablogs">bexp</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eog/instablogs">eog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aog/instablogs">aog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nog/instablogs">nog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mro/instablogs">mro</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vlo/instablogs">vlo</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wnr/instablogs">wnr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cxo/instablogs">cxo</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxl/instablogs">spxl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tna/instablogs">tna</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midu/instablogs">midu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tecl/instablogs">tecl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/slv/instablogs">slv</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld/instablogs">gld</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pall/instablogs">pall</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/copx/instablogs">copx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cu/instablogs">cu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqq/instablogs">qqq</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sqqq/instablogs">sqqq</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxx/instablogs">vxx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxz/instablogs">vxz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tvix/instablogs">tvix</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dog/instablogs">dog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dug/instablogs">dug</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dig/instablogs">dig</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/Game Changer in Oil">Game Changer in Oil</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>QE3 type news just announced watch mkt go -220 pts to Green by day's End.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/521936-eps100momentum/189739-qe3-type-news-just-announced-watch-mkt-go-220-pts-to-green-by-day-s-end?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">189739</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Russia's Finance Minister <a href="http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;view=article&amp;id=18944:oil-prices-will-ease-in-2012-on-stimulus-withdrawal-russias-kudrin-says&amp;catid=44:latest-news&amp;Itemid=64" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Alexei Kudrin said back in April</a> that oil is headed to $60 in 2012 and so far he is being proven correct. Kudrin told a press briefing in Washington, D.C., in April. The price  will probably fall to $60 a barrel in the next two years and stay at  that level for about six months, he said, reiterating a forecast he made  a year ago.<br><br>Obama Taps Petroleum Reserve. Consider This Q.E. 3<br> Jun. <span>23</span> 2011 - 11:22 am<br> <br> <a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/christopherhelman/2011/06/23/obama-taps-petroleum-reserve-consider-this-q-e-3/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Forbes Article</a><br> <br> <p>Today the International Energy Agency announced that it would release  60 million barrels of oil from global stockpiles. More than half of  that will come from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve.<br> Crude oil prices and shares of oil companies plunged on the news,  with Brent crude down more than $6 to $107 per barrel and West Texas  Intermediate off $5 to $90. Shares of ExxonMobil, <a href="http://finapps.forbes.com/finapps/jsp/finance/compinfo/CIAtAGlance.jsp?tkr=cvx&amp;tab=searchtabquotesdark" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Chevron</a> and <a href="http://finapps.forbes.com/finapps/jsp/finance/compinfo/CIAtAGlance.jsp?tkr=oxy&amp;tab=searchtabquotesdark" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Occidental</a> Petroleum were all down 3% in mid-morning trading. The Dow was down 220 points.</p> <p>The timing of this move comes just days ahead of the end of the  Federal  Reserve&rsquo;s second quantitative easing program. In the absence of   continued Fed buying of Treasuries, and the liquidity it adds to the   financial markets, moving to reduce oil prices will be another helping   hand to the U.S. economy. Knocking $20 a barrel off oil prices would   reduce America&rsquo;s annual oil spend by some $150 billion.</p> <p>In a <a href="http://www.iea.org/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ID=418" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">release </a>this  morning explaining the move, the IEA said the releases would amount to 2  million barrels per day. The IEA said the intent is to replace Libyan  crude missing from the market, adding that it said there is increasing  likelihood of summer oil supply shortfalls, especially in China, where  petroleum demand is up 9% over last year and chronic electric power  shortages have forced Chinese to turn to diesel generators. Some  economists have predicted that shortages this summer could drive crude  up to record highs. (See:&nbsp;<a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/christopherhelman/2011/06/16/could-we-see-a-summer-o%20%20il-shortage-this-economist-says-yes/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"> Could We See A Summer Oil Shortage? This Economist Says Yes.</a> )</p> <p>The coordinated nature of this move indicates that planning has been  underway for some time. Last week came the revelations that Saudi Arabia  had in the weeks running up to the recent contentious OPEC been in  secret talks with the Obama administration to balance Libyan outages by  swapping light crude out of the SPR in exchange for cut rate Saudi heavy  crude. The light crude released into the U.S. market by the SPR will  free up crude for delivery elsewhere in the world.</p> <p>At the OPEC meeting, the Saudis said that they intended to add  volumes to the market, unilaterally if need be, over the objections of  members like Iran and Venezuela. (See: <a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/christopherhelman/2011/06/08/saudi-bid-for-qe3-quash%20%20ed-by-opec-discord/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Saudi Bid for QE3 Quashed By OPEC Discord</a>).</p> <p>Yesterday it was revealed that the Saudis seemed prepared to flood  the market with oil, in part to put the screws to arch-rival Iran. (See:  <a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/christopherhelman/2011/06/22/saudis-set-to-bankrupt-iran-with-flood-of-oil/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Saudis Set To Bankrupt Iran With Flood Of Oil.</a>)  With Iran inching ever closer to succeeding in its nuclear weapons  ambitions, the U.S. and Saudis will necessarily be looking at all  options short of outright military action to bleed the mullahs&rsquo; power.  The Saudis have reportedly for months been working to increase their oil  trade with China, in order to reduce Chinese reliance on Iranian crude.</p> <p>A thought: world markets should be seriously disturbed that this  emergency extra oil supply is coming out of government stockpiles rather  than from the pumps of OPEC nations. The Saudis talk a good talk about  being able to dramatically boost their output by as much as 4 million  bpd if need be. If that&rsquo;s the case, then why didn&rsquo;t they? And what  happens after this initial 30-day release period is over? There&rsquo;s plenty  more oil in the SPR&ndash;more than 700 million barrels&ndash;and the  administration says it might extend the releases. But for how long?  Eventually the stockpiles need to be replaced by newly pumped crude.  Maybe Libya&rsquo;s production will be back on line by then. If not, and if  new supplies don&rsquo;t materialize, the only thing that will keep prices  from shooting back up will be the demand destruction that comes with a  recession.</p> <p>The IEA also released a surprisingly insightful&nbsp;<a href="http://www.iea.org/files/faq.asp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"> Q&amp;A</a> about the release with some interesting insights to the process.</p> <p>For easier reading, I&rsquo;ve cut and pasted them here:</p> <p><em>How many times has the IEA undertaken such a &ldquo;collective action&rdquo;? When was the last time?</em></p> <p>On a global scale, this is the third time IEA member-country stocks  have been used. IEA member countries released oil stocks in 2005, after  Hurricane Katrina damaged offshore oil rigs, pipelines and oil and gas  refineries in the Gulf of Mexico. The only other occasion IEA member  countries mandated a stock release was at the time of Iraq&rsquo;s invasion of  Kuwait in 1990/1991.</p> <p><em>How exactly will stocks be made available to the market in each of your member countries? What mechanism is used?</em></p> <p>Member countries have different stockholding systems.&nbsp; Some have  large reserves of public stocks, like the US, Japan and Germany, which  can be offered to the market through loans or sales.&nbsp; Other  countries&nbsp;have sizeable stockholding obligations on commercial oil  industry operators which can be lowered in order to make these volumes  freely available to the market.&nbsp; In some instances, a combination of  public stocks and reduced obligation on industry is used, and it would  be up to each country to decide how make additional oil available to the  market.&nbsp; Finally, stocks can be in the form of crude oil of various  grades, products or a mixture of the two.</p> <p><em>How much time will it take for these stocks to become available?</em></p> <p>Oil supplies from IEA member countries should begin hitting the market around the end of next week.</p> <p><em>How much oil will each country release? Will each country release  the same proportional amount, or will some countries do more? How is  that decision made?</em></p> <p>Country shares are based on their proportionate share of total IEA  oil consumption &shy; so larger oil-consuming countries obviously have a  bigger share in the overall release.&nbsp;In this case, all IEA countries  holding strategic stocks and representing more than 1% of IEA final oil  consumption are participating. It is expected that North America will  release 50 percent of the total, with European countries releasing some  30 percent and Asian countries providing the remaining 20 percent. The  IEA will produce a tally once it has a clear indication of the types of  oil that each country will make available.</p> <p><em>Has the IEA consulted with OPEC or Saudi Arabia on this decision?  Would this IEA action not discourage Saudi Arabia and other willing  OPEC members from increasing oil production?</em></p> <p>The IEA and its member countries have been in close contact with key  oil producing countries, and in particularly with Saudi Arabia, which  holds the lion&rsquo;s share of OPEC&rsquo;s spare capacity.&nbsp; The IEA welcomes the  announcement made by Saudi Arabia that it intends to make incremental  oil available to the market.&nbsp; However it will take time for these  incremental barrels to be produced and shipped to consuming markets; the  use of IEA strategic stocks now will help bridge the gap until these  new supplies are available. Producers and consumers have a common  interest in stabilising oil markets. This point has been highlighted  many times before, and is a reason for the IEA&rsquo;s close liaison with key  oil producing countries at all times.</p> <p><em>I thought the IEA only does this for supply disruptions in excess  of 7%. The 1.5 million-barrels-a-day disruption from Libya doesn&rsquo;t seem  all that much, given that global demand is around 88 mb/d, so why go to  all the trouble?</em></p> <p>As far back as 1984, IEA member countries understood that a  disruption of a much smaller scale than 7% could cause significant  economic damage, and thus they adopted more flexible response measures.  &nbsp;The two previous emergency IEA actions, in 1991 and 2005, each  accounted for less than 7% of world demand.&nbsp; Particularly in a  tightening market such as the one we see currently, a relatively small  disruption can have a significant impact on the market.</p> <p><em>If the disruption from Libya is 1.5 million barrels per day, why  are the IEA member countries releasing 2 million barrels per day?</em></p> <p>By the end of May the Libyan crisis had removed 132 million barrels  of crude from the market. Commercial stocks in the OECD countries have  tightened as a result. Because crude demand peaks during the summer  season in the Northern Hemisphere, we estimate that preventing further  market tightening in the third quarter will require 2 million barrels  per day of additional supply. Our action aims to provide market  liquidity until incremental production comes to the market.</p> <p><em>Libyan supplies have been off the market since February. Why are you only doing this now?</em></p> <p>The IEA is prepared to act when there is a significant supply  disruption or an imminent threat thereof.&nbsp; Since the Libyan crisis  began, the market has focused on the potential for further tightening in  both OECD industry stocks and OPEC spare capacity.&nbsp; The onset of the  Libyan crisis fortuitously coincided with the peak of the European  refinery outages, primarily linked to seasonal maintenance work, and  thus lower demand for crude oil.&nbsp; Now, heading into the &ldquo;driving season&rdquo;  in the Northern Hemisphere, demand for crude will rise as refiners seek  to replenish product stocks ahead of rising transport fuel demand.&nbsp;  This seasonal increase in demand, combined with OPEC&sup1;s announcement at  their 8 June meeting not to increase production to fill the gap with the  necessary additional supplies, represents an imminent risk, which is  why the IEA has chosen to take decisive action now.</p> <p><em>Are IEA countries not putting at risk their capacity to react to  more serious oil disruptions that may happen in the coming months  considering geopolitical uncertainties in MENA countries?</em></p> <p>No; IEA countries benefit from a very large safety net with their  stocks: Total IEA stocks amount to more than 4 billion barrels, of which  1.6 billion are public stocks held exclusively for emergency purposes.  This is equivalent to 146 days of net imports. So even after this  60-million-barrel collective action, all participating countries&rsquo; stocks  will remain above 90 days of their net oil imports.</p> <p><em>Several analysts say this is only likely to have a short-term  effect on the market, and that prices will be higher in a month&rsquo;s time.  What&rsquo;s your response? &nbsp;Will you extend this by 30 days? How will you  decide?</em></p> <p>Markets move based on today&rsquo;s fundamentals and expectations of future  supply and demand.&nbsp; The coming months, as we head into the driving  season, would likely see the impact of the Libyan crisis felt most  keenly; &nbsp;&nbsp;this is why the IEA is acting now.&nbsp; Some producer countries  have announced their intentions to raise production, but it takes time  for these incremental barrels to be produced and shipped to consuming  markets. The use of IEA strategic stocks now will help bridge the gap  until these new supplies are available. The IEA will continue to monitor  the situation.&nbsp; If supply remains disrupted and markets remain tight in  the future, the IEA does not exclude another decision to make  additional supplies available to the market.</p> <p><em>Isn&rsquo;t the IEA effectively doing this to counter high prices &shy; and  in that sense isn&rsquo;t this fundamentally different from a traditional  release in response to a supply disruption? Doesn&rsquo;t this therefore set a  bad precedent, by making the IEA a market manipulator?</em></p> <p>The IEA is prepared to act when there is a significant supply  disruption or an imminent threat thereof.&nbsp; &nbsp;Since the Libyan crisis  began, the market has focused on the potential for further tightening in  both OECD industry stocks and OPEC spare capacity, and we are now  heading into the driving season in the Northern Hemisphere, which will  witness an increase in demand for motor fuels. Refiners&rsquo; demand for  crude oil is also rising, as plants typically come out of seasonal  maintenance and begin ramping up runs to meet peak demand.&nbsp;This action  is not about price but rather about ensuring an adequately supplied  market to protect the world economy from unnecessary damage when it is  in a fragile state.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 23 Jun 2011 12:19:44 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Russia's Finance Minister <a href="http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;view=article&amp;id=18944:oil-prices-will-ease-in-2012-on-stimulus-withdrawal-russias-kudrin-says&amp;catid=44:latest-news&amp;Itemid=64" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Alexei Kudrin said back in April</a> that oil is headed to $60 in 2012 and so far he is being proven correct. Kudrin told a press briefing in Washington, D.C., in April. The price  will probably fall to $60 a barrel in the next two years and stay at  that level for about six months, he said, reiterating a forecast he made  a year ago.<br><br>Obama Taps Petroleum Reserve. Consider This Q.E. 3<br> Jun. <span>23</span> 2011 - 11:22 am<br> <br> <a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/christopherhelman/2011/06/23/obama-taps-petroleum-reserve-consider-this-q-e-3/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Forbes Article</a><br> <br> <p>Today the International Energy Agency announced that it would release  60 million barrels of oil from global stockpiles. More than half of  that will come from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve.<br> Crude oil prices and shares of oil companies plunged on the news,  with Brent crude down more than $6 to $107 per barrel and West Texas  Intermediate off $5 to $90. Shares of ExxonMobil, <a href="http://finapps.forbes.com/finapps/jsp/finance/compinfo/CIAtAGlance.jsp?tkr=cvx&amp;tab=searchtabquotesdark" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Chevron</a> and <a href="http://finapps.forbes.com/finapps/jsp/finance/compinfo/CIAtAGlance.jsp?tkr=oxy&amp;tab=searchtabquotesdark" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Occidental</a> Petroleum were all down 3% in mid-morning trading. The Dow was down 220 points.</p> <p>The timing of this move comes just days ahead of the end of the  Federal  Reserve&rsquo;s second quantitative easing program. In the absence of   continued Fed buying of Treasuries, and the liquidity it adds to the   financial markets, moving to reduce oil prices will be another helping   hand to the U.S. economy. Knocking $20 a barrel off oil prices would   reduce America&rsquo;s annual oil spend by some $150 billion.</p> <p>In a <a href="http://www.iea.org/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ID=418" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">release </a>this  morning explaining the move, the IEA said the releases would amount to 2  million barrels per day. The IEA said the intent is to replace Libyan  crude missing from the market, adding that it said there is increasing  likelihood of summer oil supply shortfalls, especially in China, where  petroleum demand is up 9% over last year and chronic electric power  shortages have forced Chinese to turn to diesel generators. Some  economists have predicted that shortages this summer could drive crude  up to record highs. (See:&nbsp;<a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/christopherhelman/2011/06/16/could-we-see-a-summer-o%20%20il-shortage-this-economist-says-yes/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"> Could We See A Summer Oil Shortage? This Economist Says Yes.</a> )</p> <p>The coordinated nature of this move indicates that planning has been  underway for some time. Last week came the revelations that Saudi Arabia  had in the weeks running up to the recent contentious OPEC been in  secret talks with the Obama administration to balance Libyan outages by  swapping light crude out of the SPR in exchange for cut rate Saudi heavy  crude. The light crude released into the U.S. market by the SPR will  free up crude for delivery elsewhere in the world.</p> <p>At the OPEC meeting, the Saudis said that they intended to add  volumes to the market, unilaterally if need be, over the objections of  members like Iran and Venezuela. (See: <a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/christopherhelman/2011/06/08/saudi-bid-for-qe3-quash%20%20ed-by-opec-discord/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Saudi Bid for QE3 Quashed By OPEC Discord</a>).</p> <p>Yesterday it was revealed that the Saudis seemed prepared to flood  the market with oil, in part to put the screws to arch-rival Iran. (See:  <a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/christopherhelman/2011/06/22/saudis-set-to-bankrupt-iran-with-flood-of-oil/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Saudis Set To Bankrupt Iran With Flood Of Oil.</a>)  With Iran inching ever closer to succeeding in its nuclear weapons  ambitions, the U.S. and Saudis will necessarily be looking at all  options short of outright military action to bleed the mullahs&rsquo; power.  The Saudis have reportedly for months been working to increase their oil  trade with China, in order to reduce Chinese reliance on Iranian crude.</p> <p>A thought: world markets should be seriously disturbed that this  emergency extra oil supply is coming out of government stockpiles rather  than from the pumps of OPEC nations. The Saudis talk a good talk about  being able to dramatically boost their output by as much as 4 million  bpd if need be. If that&rsquo;s the case, then why didn&rsquo;t they? And what  happens after this initial 30-day release period is over? There&rsquo;s plenty  more oil in the SPR&ndash;more than 700 million barrels&ndash;and the  administration says it might extend the releases. But for how long?  Eventually the stockpiles need to be replaced by newly pumped crude.  Maybe Libya&rsquo;s production will be back on line by then. If not, and if  new supplies don&rsquo;t materialize, the only thing that will keep prices  from shooting back up will be the demand destruction that comes with a  recession.</p> <p>The IEA also released a surprisingly insightful&nbsp;<a href="http://www.iea.org/files/faq.asp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"> Q&amp;A</a> about the release with some interesting insights to the process.</p> <p>For easier reading, I&rsquo;ve cut and pasted them here:</p> <p><em>How many times has the IEA undertaken such a &ldquo;collective action&rdquo;? When was the last time?</em></p> <p>On a global scale, this is the third time IEA member-country stocks  have been used. IEA member countries released oil stocks in 2005, after  Hurricane Katrina damaged offshore oil rigs, pipelines and oil and gas  refineries in the Gulf of Mexico. The only other occasion IEA member  countries mandated a stock release was at the time of Iraq&rsquo;s invasion of  Kuwait in 1990/1991.</p> <p><em>How exactly will stocks be made available to the market in each of your member countries? What mechanism is used?</em></p> <p>Member countries have different stockholding systems.&nbsp; Some have  large reserves of public stocks, like the US, Japan and Germany, which  can be offered to the market through loans or sales.&nbsp; Other  countries&nbsp;have sizeable stockholding obligations on commercial oil  industry operators which can be lowered in order to make these volumes  freely available to the market.&nbsp; In some instances, a combination of  public stocks and reduced obligation on industry is used, and it would  be up to each country to decide how make additional oil available to the  market.&nbsp; Finally, stocks can be in the form of crude oil of various  grades, products or a mixture of the two.</p> <p><em>How much time will it take for these stocks to become available?</em></p> <p>Oil supplies from IEA member countries should begin hitting the market around the end of next week.</p> <p><em>How much oil will each country release? Will each country release  the same proportional amount, or will some countries do more? How is  that decision made?</em></p> <p>Country shares are based on their proportionate share of total IEA  oil consumption &shy; so larger oil-consuming countries obviously have a  bigger share in the overall release.&nbsp;In this case, all IEA countries  holding strategic stocks and representing more than 1% of IEA final oil  consumption are participating. It is expected that North America will  release 50 percent of the total, with European countries releasing some  30 percent and Asian countries providing the remaining 20 percent. The  IEA will produce a tally once it has a clear indication of the types of  oil that each country will make available.</p> <p><em>Has the IEA consulted with OPEC or Saudi Arabia on this decision?  Would this IEA action not discourage Saudi Arabia and other willing  OPEC members from increasing oil production?</em></p> <p>The IEA and its member countries have been in close contact with key  oil producing countries, and in particularly with Saudi Arabia, which  holds the lion&rsquo;s share of OPEC&rsquo;s spare capacity.&nbsp; The IEA welcomes the  announcement made by Saudi Arabia that it intends to make incremental  oil available to the market.&nbsp; However it will take time for these  incremental barrels to be produced and shipped to consuming markets; the  use of IEA strategic stocks now will help bridge the gap until these  new supplies are available. Producers and consumers have a common  interest in stabilising oil markets. This point has been highlighted  many times before, and is a reason for the IEA&rsquo;s close liaison with key  oil producing countries at all times.</p> <p><em>I thought the IEA only does this for supply disruptions in excess  of 7%. The 1.5 million-barrels-a-day disruption from Libya doesn&rsquo;t seem  all that much, given that global demand is around 88 mb/d, so why go to  all the trouble?</em></p> <p>As far back as 1984, IEA member countries understood that a  disruption of a much smaller scale than 7% could cause significant  economic damage, and thus they adopted more flexible response measures.  &nbsp;The two previous emergency IEA actions, in 1991 and 2005, each  accounted for less than 7% of world demand.&nbsp; Particularly in a  tightening market such as the one we see currently, a relatively small  disruption can have a significant impact on the market.</p> <p><em>If the disruption from Libya is 1.5 million barrels per day, why  are the IEA member countries releasing 2 million barrels per day?</em></p> <p>By the end of May the Libyan crisis had removed 132 million barrels  of crude from the market. Commercial stocks in the OECD countries have  tightened as a result. Because crude demand peaks during the summer  season in the Northern Hemisphere, we estimate that preventing further  market tightening in the third quarter will require 2 million barrels  per day of additional supply. Our action aims to provide market  liquidity until incremental production comes to the market.</p> <p><em>Libyan supplies have been off the market since February. Why are you only doing this now?</em></p> <p>The IEA is prepared to act when there is a significant supply  disruption or an imminent threat thereof.&nbsp; Since the Libyan crisis  began, the market has focused on the potential for further tightening in  both OECD industry stocks and OPEC spare capacity.&nbsp; The onset of the  Libyan crisis fortuitously coincided with the peak of the European  refinery outages, primarily linked to seasonal maintenance work, and  thus lower demand for crude oil.&nbsp; Now, heading into the &ldquo;driving season&rdquo;  in the Northern Hemisphere, demand for crude will rise as refiners seek  to replenish product stocks ahead of rising transport fuel demand.&nbsp;  This seasonal increase in demand, combined with OPEC&sup1;s announcement at  their 8 June meeting not to increase production to fill the gap with the  necessary additional supplies, represents an imminent risk, which is  why the IEA has chosen to take decisive action now.</p> <p><em>Are IEA countries not putting at risk their capacity to react to  more serious oil disruptions that may happen in the coming months  considering geopolitical uncertainties in MENA countries?</em></p> <p>No; IEA countries benefit from a very large safety net with their  stocks: Total IEA stocks amount to more than 4 billion barrels, of which  1.6 billion are public stocks held exclusively for emergency purposes.  This is equivalent to 146 days of net imports. So even after this  60-million-barrel collective action, all participating countries&rsquo; stocks  will remain above 90 days of their net oil imports.</p> <p><em>Several analysts say this is only likely to have a short-term  effect on the market, and that prices will be higher in a month&rsquo;s time.  What&rsquo;s your response? &nbsp;Will you extend this by 30 days? How will you  decide?</em></p> <p>Markets move based on today&rsquo;s fundamentals and expectations of future  supply and demand.&nbsp; The coming months, as we head into the driving  season, would likely see the impact of the Libyan crisis felt most  keenly; &nbsp;&nbsp;this is why the IEA is acting now.&nbsp; Some producer countries  have announced their intentions to raise production, but it takes time  for these incremental barrels to be produced and shipped to consuming  markets. The use of IEA strategic stocks now will help bridge the gap  until these new supplies are available. The IEA will continue to monitor  the situation.&nbsp; If supply remains disrupted and markets remain tight in  the future, the IEA does not exclude another decision to make  additional supplies available to the market.</p> <p><em>Isn&rsquo;t the IEA effectively doing this to counter high prices &shy; and  in that sense isn&rsquo;t this fundamentally different from a traditional  release in response to a supply disruption? Doesn&rsquo;t this therefore set a  bad precedent, by making the IEA a market manipulator?</em></p> <p>The IEA is prepared to act when there is a significant supply  disruption or an imminent threat thereof.&nbsp; &nbsp;Since the Libyan crisis  began, the market has focused on the potential for further tightening in  both OECD industry stocks and OPEC spare capacity, and we are now  heading into the driving season in the Northern Hemisphere, which will  witness an increase in demand for motor fuels. Refiners&rsquo; demand for  crude oil is also rising, as plants typically come out of seasonal  maintenance and begin ramping up runs to meet peak demand.&nbsp;This action  is not about price but rather about ensuring an adequately supplied  market to protect the world economy from unnecessary damage when it is  in a fragile state.</p>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/midu/instablogs">midu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spxl/instablogs">spxl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tna/instablogs">tna</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fas/instablogs">fas</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/erx/instablogs">erx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ery/instablogs">ery</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uso/instablogs">uso</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/oil/instablogs">oil</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dto/instablogs">dto</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tvix/instablogs">tvix</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxx/instablogs">vxx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vxz/instablogs">vxz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sox/instablogs">sox</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/soxl/instablogs">soxl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tecl/instablogs">tecl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/anr/instablogs">anr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/clf/instablogs">clf</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wlt/instablogs">wlt</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl/instablogs">aapl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ibm/instablogs">ibm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/csco/instablogs">csco</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jnpr/instablogs">jnpr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/goog/instablogs">goog</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/yhoo/instablogs">yhoo</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msft/instablogs">msft</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/orcl/instablogs">orcl</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sap/instablogs">sap</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bidu/instablogs">bidu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amzn/instablogs">amzn</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pcln/instablogs">pcln</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nflx/instablogs">nflx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tzoo/instablogs">tzoo</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/roc/instablogs">roc</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/de/instablogs">de</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cat/instablogs">cat</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dow/instablogs">dow</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mos/instablogs">mos</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pot/instablogs">pot</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/agu/instablogs">agu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf/instablogs">cf</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xom/instablogs">xom</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bp/instablogs">bp</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cvx/instablogs">cvx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pbr/instablogs">pbr</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tot/instablogs">tot</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tm/instablogs">tm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gm/instablogs">gm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/f/instablogs">f</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hmc/instablogs">hmc</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tsla/instablogs">tsla</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/slv/instablogs">slv</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sil/instablogs">sil</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld/instablogs">gld</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gdx/instablogs">gdx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gdxj/instablogs">gdxj</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pall/instablogs">pall</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/copx/instablogs">copx</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cu/instablogs">cu</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/QE3 in disguise">QE3 in disguise</category>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
