Alexander Paul Morris is a trader, investor, and entrepreneur who has been involved in the markets for over 15 years trading stocks, forex, options, and futures. He is the designer, creator, and programmer of the tymoraPRO trading platform, which received exceptional reviews in both Active Trader and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities Magazines, and was designed to empower traders with a real-time trading edge. He is also a viral media producer and co-founder of the vlogolution network, where he shares his perspectives and calls B.S. where he sees it. vlogolution currently has nearly 90,000 subscribers and over 57 million video views on YouTube alone (http://www.youtube.com/vlogolution). twitter: @alexpmorris twitter: @tymorapro for sample real-time trading alerts facebook: http://vlogolution.com/fbalex
I am a 29 year old father of three, active duty US Marine. I began investing with my retirement in mind and mostly focus on reliable dividend paying companies. I enjoy writing for Seeking Alpha to share my ideas and create discussions with fellow investors. I firmly believe that investing should be made more approachable to the masses and strive to keep my articles simple yet informative. Being on a "fixed" but stable income and lone "breadwinner" in the house creates interesting dynamics and greatly impacts my investing approach. I currently hold in no particular order:
PFE, AAPL, RTN, BAESY, RGR, NKE, UA, DIS, CSX, F, O, MO, UL, SBUX, BUD, EML, CGNX, DOW, XOM, T, VOD, CSCO, SYF, ORI, GLW, TATT, KTOS, JOUT, GLBL. TWNK Warrants.
Any spreadsheets that I use will be uploaded to my Amazon Drive. Feel free to use them. The link is:
I like writing about all sorts of companies in all sorts of sectors. Recently I've been focusing my writing and even investing dollars on micro/small cap defense facing companies. I will always try to keep it simple and understandable, please hit "Follow" if you would like to read my articles in the future.
DISCLAIMER: I am not an investing professional. As a result anything that I write should not be taken as investment advice as it is my personal opinion at the time. In addition, I am not your fiduciary nor do I understand your personal financial situation. Please perform your own due diligence on any potential investment decisions.
“When you are inspired by some great purpose, some extraordinary project, all your thoughts break their bonds: Your mind transcends limitations, your consciousness expands in every direction, and you find yourself in a new, great and wonderful world. Dormant forces, faculties and talents become alive, and you discover yourself to be a greater person by far than you ever dreamed yourself to be.” (Author - Patanjali)
“Tentative efforts lead to tentative outcomes. Therefore, give yourself fully to your endeavors. Decide to construct your character through excellent actions and determine to pay the price of a worthy goal. The trials you encounter will introduce you to your strengths. Remain steadfast...and one day you will build something that endures: something worthy of your potential.” (Author - Epictetus)
"Hope sees the invisible, feels the intangible, and achieves the impossible." (Author - Unknown)
"When I stand before God at the end of my life, I would hope that I would not have a single bit of talent left, and could say, 'I used everything you gave me." (Author - Erma Bombeck)
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
I have over 17 years experience in the hedge fund industry working as a Portfolio Manager, Domestic Equity Analyst and Trader. I was the Portfolio Manager of a domestic Hedged Equity product with gross assets that peaked over 1 Billion dollars, and I have over 18 years experience generating both long and short ideas in domestic equities. I am a fundamental, bottoms up, value investor in long investments, and catalyst oriented short investor. I like to employ technical analysis as a balance to my fundamental work, and also as a risk management characteristic to my overall investment philosophy. I am currently investing my own capital in a similar manner I employed while working in the hedge fund industry.
Whitney Tilson is the founder and Managing Partner of Kase Capital Management, which manages three value-oriented hedge funds. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter.
Mr. Tilson has co-authored two books, The Art of Value Investing: How the World's Best Investors Beat the Market (2013) and More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times (2009), was one of the authors of Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the definitive book on Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, and has written for Forbes, the Financial Times, Kiplinger’s, the Motley Fool and TheStreet.com. He was featured in two 60 Minutes segments in December 2008 about the housing crisis (which won an Emmy) and in March 2015 about Lumber Liquidators. He served for two years on the Board of Directors of Cutter & Buck, which designs and markets upscale sportswear, until the company was sold in early 2007.
Mr. Tilson received an MBA with High Distinction from the Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar (top 5% of class), and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, with a bachelor’s degree in Government.
Mr. Tilson spent much of his childhood in Tanzania and Nicaragua (his parents are both educators, were among the first couples to meet and marry in the Peace Corps, and have retired in Kenya). Consequently, Mr. Tilson is involved with a number of charities focused on education reform and Africa. For his philanthropic work, he received the 2008 John C. Whitehead Social Enterprise Award from the Harvard Business School Club of Greater New York. He is a member and past Chairman of the Manhattan chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. Mr. Tilson lives in Manhattan with his wife and three teenage daughters.
KL is a special situations and opportunistic fund, managing a concentrated portfolio. KL believes that minimizing losses in difficult periods is critical to generate attractive long term returns. The Fund’s objectives are to minimize losses and generate returns in excess of the special situation hedge fund index, which is expected to return 10% pa. over the next 3 years. KL’s competitive edge is its rare ability to combine detailed and independent value-investing research with a unique willingness and ability to trade special situation securities.
KL Investment Partners may change or exit its holdings (buy, sell, sell-short shares) without updating its Seeking Alpha articles and without informing the Seeking Alpha community.
KL's articles, blogs and comments are not an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to buy any securities. Securities of the Fund are offered to selected investors only by means of a complete offering memorandum and related subscription materials. There is the possibility of loss and all investment involves risk including the loss of principal.
Five Plus Investor is business owner and an avid follower of the stock market, managing seven different types of portfolios for family and friends. Five Plus Investor invests in multiple types of investments, with the goal of achieving relatively high dividend yield that has a reasonable margin of safety. She enjoys contributing to Seeking Alpha as she has time, with her core audience being new investors and retirees.
IncomeSurfer.com is a website that discusses where I am finding opportunity in the markets and how I am capitalizing on those opportunities through posts. I also include stories about me and my family, books I found useful, travel and important investment decisions. Follow me @IncomeSurf on Twitter. IncomeSurfer.com and all content, are wholly owned by Fast Group, LLC
Abdalla Al-ayrot is a value investor with a long time horizon. I tend to focus on misunderstood and/or under-followed companies where i believe there are a great amount of value that the market is yet to price in. Some people prefer to buy $1 for 50-60 cents, i usually buy $1 for 20-35 cents.
I have managed money for 5 years, with industry leading results, which i think is a direct result of my extensive and innovative research process.
I have also founded Ayrot, which you can read more about below.
I have written 2 dutch books on value investing: "Aandelen selecteren als waardebelegger" and "Beleggen in bull- en bearmarkten". See bol.com (search for the titles). As a mathematician (Ph.D.) I am most interested in investment strategies with statistically favorable returns. In particular I invest in net-nets (20-30% average annual returns). I find companies with low Enterprise Value/Earnings before Tax and Interest (EV/EBIT) and strong balance sheets (20% average annual returns) also very interesting. Since such stocks are rare I invest globally. Send me a message with your email address to get example articles of my premium research on Seeking Alpha.
I am an activist investor in US and Chinese stocks. I was previously an investment banker in New York Hong Kong and London for 9 years, focused on Equity Capital Markets. I look at both long ideas and short ideas and typically focus on a small number on names where I can spend the time to conduct very deep research. I spend my time living between Los Angeles and Beijing, China.
Saj Karsan founded an investment and research firm that is based on the principles of value investing. He has an MBA from the Richard Ivey School of Business, has completed all three CFA exams, and has an engineering degree from McGill University. Visit his blog, Barel Karsan (http://barelkarsan.com/).
I'm an independent equity researcher, writer and investor based in Amsterdam. My primary focus is on the micro-cap segment of the market. I also work for pension funds as a member of the Board and Investment Committee. Lastly, I enjoy soccer, sports in general and brewing the best coffee one can make at home.
The Fraud Research Institute ("FRI") specializing in the research and discovery of financial scandals and corporate malpractice in the United States with an emphasis on the small cap markets.
Our business model is to publish the highest quality and most compelling professional research reports that highlight all material information necessary for short-biased traders to identify superior risk-to-reward trade ideas that are primarily a result of market inefficiencies created by the artificial demand from stock promotion (pump & dump) campaigns.
We identify Wall Street's biggest frauds and profit from them.
I have retired from a 35 years career in the semiconductor industry. I now have the time to do the deep research necessary for successful investing.
I freely provide investment information for friends and family.
I am a member of MENSA, which means precisely nothing except I wake up in the middle of the night doing pointless math problems in my head:)
We are a research group that consults hedge fund and high-net worth clients. We specialized in identifying special opportunities from both the long and short side. The writer for 3D Analytics has professional traded for hedge funds for 10+ years and specializes in 1) finding hidden, unrecognized value, 2) shorting overvalued stocks, and 3) arbitrage situations. The articles are written solely by him, but has a group that assist him in finding opportunities, basic research, and editing.
Team StockMatusow.com research and writers are:
Scott Matusow; Team Leader, owner and founder of StockMatusow.com and Dan Cohen, partner, and independent investor/scientist/inventor/trader and lead contributor at stockmatusow.com.
Scott is an independent investor/writer/trader and team leader of StockMatusow.com.
He has have about 17 years of stock market experience which include trading, investing, and managing his family’s trust as well as his personal account.
Scott has had the most success in trading/investing in smaller cap growth companies. Because Scott is not 'officially trained' in the markets, he see things outside the box, using his experience to provide clarity and alpha. Scott uses his ability to read situations, emotion, charts, times and sales, historical data, and macroeconomic and other market forces to predict stock price movements, in both short and longer terms situations.. Using these acquired allowed for him to completely divest his own and family's money near the top of the market before the 2008 financial crisis.
Dan Cohen is a partner at stockmatusow and entrepreneur in the fields of nanotechnology, medical diagnostics, and energy storage. Additionally, Dan is a Scientist and inventor. He has 7 years of experience investing and trading biotechnology focused equities with a specialty in identifying under-appreciated value in small caps. Dan utilizes his experience reading and reviewing scientific literature to evaluate prospects for success. His work with diagnostics development give him a strong background in immunology which is leveraged in evaluating immunoncology focused approaches. As well Dan has 5 years trading futures, specializing in E-minis and Treasury products. He utilizes a combination of technical analysis, deep scientific research, and macro views to generate alpha for the team.
Places you can follow Scott are:
Places to follow Dan are:
Mariusz Skonieczny is the founder and president of Classic Value Investors, He is also the author of several books on investing including Why Are We So Clueless about the Stock Market, The Basics of Understanding Financial Statements, Due Diligence: How to Research a Stock, 100 Ways to Find Investment Ideas, Investment Wisdom and Gold Production from Beginning to End.
Active investor and trader since my teens. I retired early from my career in healthcare administration and have been a full time investor for 5 years.
I write about 3D Printing Stocks on my site @ 3DPrintingStocks.com, as well as small and microcap stocks (no pinks or junk!) at MicrocapResearch.com
Hi, I am Ong Kang Wei, a Singaporean investor intrigued by the stock market and anything related to business, finance and economics. I love observing the stock market in my free time, and I especially favor dividend-paying aristocrats offering products/services people need such as P&G, Kinder Morgan, Wal-Mart, among many others. I also love high quality stocks or mispriced stock opportunities that will be able to reward shareholders. Of course, I can only come to such a conclusion through extensive fundamental research and analysis. I am still in the process of learning how to analyse stocks more perfectly, and I must say that I have learnt a lot so far on Seeking Alpha. People whom I admire include Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, Charlie Munger, Philip Fisher and Benjamin Graham. I try to learn about these famous people and find out what made them successful. I also regard established people in the financial industry very highly, and always try to learn from them through their writing. This group of people would include Professor Aswath Damodaran, many of the other knowledgeable CFAs and also Seeking Alpha writers. Though I try my best to keep writing on Seeking Alpha, I may stop writing at times due to study obligations.
Here's the link to my latest dividend portfolio update: http://seekingalpha.com/article/2783865-kangs-dividend-compounding-portfolio-2014-review
Connect On Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/ong.kangwei.9
Connect On LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/pub/ong-kang-wei/4a/677/541
Connect On Twitter: https://twitter.com/Okw2101
4/29/16 - Student loans paid off six months before I planned on them being paid off. Basically every paycheck minus living expenses since last Oct went towards them. Lower end luxury car amount of money at close to 7% interest. Now I will have more disposable income than I can spend each paycheck (because I've adjusted myself to live cheaply).
Maybe I'll return to writing at some point for fun. But probably more likely just update this profile whenever I hit a goal like this. And I've changed some things about the way I invest - more DCA into averages and less worrying about whatever pick I make when I get paid.
I've come to believe that the savings rate matters more than getting a percent or so above what's going on in the stock and bond markets (when that can even be done). Second is tax-efficiency.
So a lot of that stuff below no longer applies to the way I do things and it's a reminder to me to set a goal and stick with it like a pit bull. Next goal is enough money for a REAL down payment on a house. Or enough to buy a bunch of VTI or whatever if there's a big ol' dip before I'm ready to buy.
Whenever I updated this in summer of 2015:
I used to frequently write an instablog on my investments, but have realized I was doing things backwards and am currently focusing on paying down as much debt as humanly possible over the next couple of years (it can be done in a year and a half) and that's kind of boring to write or read about. "Oh yes! I scrounged another $10 over the last month by swapping out light bulbs to energy efficient ones and now am one week closer to paying off my student loans!" Bleah. I (still) work as a mental health nurse. I did not get my dream job of helping people to die - but I now have a job that's less violent, pays better, and that allows some autonomy for actually doing some people some good. My goal is to eventually replicate my income via dividends and then retire (so I can quit interacting with people that test my own sanity). I'm in my late 30's. I believe in value investing with high dividends/distributions. That said, my favorite investments are CEFs (not because these are particularly good investments, but because I can find out if they are trading at a good value) and preferred shares (as long as I can buy them below par and the company is making money or is demonstratively turning things around). I'm also implementing a long-term moving average strategy in my 401k and Roth accounts (and as an update, seems to work much better for my mentality for total returns - wax on/wax off). And I've been experimenting with leveraged trading funds with small amounts of money. Sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't. The trick, I think, is to make sure that when it works it more than makes up for when it doesn't. I happily admit that I tend to take different ideas from different sources that I think make sense and mix them together. And if you bothered to read this far, you would be well served by reading the articles/comments of the these folks: http://seekingalpha.com/author/monty-spivak/articles (the high/yield with moderate risk articles are the biggest influence of the way I currently invest) http://seekingalpha.com/author/douglas-albo/articles (man has been touting the same line for years and it's starting to pay off - excellent cef analysis - I have read all of his articles twice and will be reading them again) http://seekingalpha.com/user/157675/comments (guy's has excellent long-term investment wisdom and keeps things in perspective) http://seekingalpha.com/author/tim-mcpartland/comments (I don't think he comments or writes much, but has the best free site on the internet) http://seekingalpha.com/article/921541-this-simple-trend-following-model-has-crushed-buy-and-hold (this article is the one that got me interested in trend/momentum following and led me to Mebane-Faber and a bunch of other stuff - personal best results so far in my short investing career have come from these type of strategies though you have to deal with a shrinking scrotum and sinking stomach at times)
I'm an American (EEUU) by birth, but certainly a mutt by ethnicity. I prefer the Southern Hemisphere nowadays, and I try to spend time on at least 3 continents per year, in more than a few different countries. While there I explore intriguing social, investment, business and lifestyle opportunities.
I've been involved in everything from hydroponic farming operations in the tropics, to Internet marketing. I've tried my hand as a "professional" stock trader, financed start-ups, traded bananas in Peru, real estate in Panama, high-finance in Uruguay and worked with one of the first Vietnamese companies to list its shares publicly.
I enjoy travel, but much prefer the Four Season’s to a hut among the natives – unless they’re friendly. I plan to continue traveling, exploring and digesting as much culture and diversity as I can handle. My next adventure will likely be a small, self-sustaining community somewhere far away from the madness that is most of the world. If you’re lucky I’ll tell you where it is.
During the IPO season Francis Gaskins, editor of IPOdesktop.com & director of research for Equities.com, regularly appears on CNBC TV, Bloomberg, thestreet.com & other financial cable channels. On the day of the Visa IPO he appeared on four cable TV financial shows including Bloomberg & CNBC.
Over the past five years he has been quoted over 500 times by such financial media as the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Reuters, Associated Press, USA Today among others. Those quotes are available at IPOdesktop.com.
His varied personal interests include violin playing. For example, he is concertmaster of the Palisades Symphony. He also holds an MBA from Harvard Business School (finance) and an AB from Princeton University (economics).
Invest. Manage risk. Communicate. Educate yourself. Make profits. .
My name is Todd Johnson. I’m a family man, sports fiend, health nut, technology buff, long-time stock investor, and a very lucky mountain climber, all of which has shaped my philosophy as a professional investor for the last 30 years. As my interests might suggest, I am always looking for the upside while striving to minimize risks.
My new passion, which I have realized through DividendLab.com project, is helping other investors learn more about investing; investing in stocks and other assets that are subject to wide price swings can actually enhance their returns when the right investment strategy is applied. To that end, I read company 10k and 10q statements so they can skip them. I compile and analyze the market research that isn’t always at their fingertips. And I don’t make any investment recommendation without committing my own funds first, which is the purest form of accountability.
The Parsimony community is made up of thousands of do-it-yourself dividend and income investors working toward one common goal...generating consistent income!
Our strategy is simple:1. Buy great dividend stocks at reasonable prices.2. Enhance income with conservative option strategies.3. Manage risk through diversification and exit strategies.
Our research (which includes dividend stock rankings, single stock Buy Zone reports, stock screens, and model portfolios) will give you all the tools you need to build and monitor your own DIY Dividend Portfolio and super charge that portfolio with conservative option strategies (cover calls and cash-secured puts).
For more information about our subscription services click the links below:
- DIY Dividend Portfolio
- Triple Income Portfolio (stocks + options)
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
David Zanoni is ranked in the top 1% of blogging analysts on Tipranks.com for performance and accuracy. He focuses on growth & momentum stocks that are reasonably priced and likely to outperform the market over the long-term. David is a graduate of Rutgers University with a B.S. in Management. He is an independent long term investor of quality stocks and uses options for strategy. David believes in the power of innovation, capitalism, and the characteristics of the American spirit: intellect, fortitude, and adaptability to lead our country and the world to growing prosperity. His wants to help make people money by investing in high-quality growth stocks.
I have been trading max pain type data since 2007 after noting odd trading patterns centered around options expiry. I am a more conservative trader/investor and only take high probability trades. I prefer to know where stocks won’t be rather than guess where they will be. Trading with this mind set gives you 80% plus probability of being correct.
I have always been a stock market enthusiast. My formal training is that of informal. I am self taught, soaking up as much knowledge as can be absorbed. I love the financial industry and would work for free. I am a fundamental investor at heart and like crunching the numbers. I picked up on Max Pain theory and use option data as a main thesis in taking my positions.
In the beginning; when studying Max Pain I was truly amazed at the power it had in pulling or pushing AAPL around. I have seen the stock drop 5% out of nowhere with no news. The only news would be it was the 3rd Friday of the month. I then picked up on hitting the Max Pain strike was about 50/50 odds. Max Pain would give you a tell on what direction AAPL would start heading for expiry. I started to build a strategy from my studies. Using the Max Pain strike is not really tradable, good to know, but not tradable. So I started to study open interest (OI) and its affect on AAPL. Long story short, I have altered the original Max Pain theory and morphed it into what my own studies have concluded. I call this OI/Max Pain, it uses open interest and a range. This way it is tradable as I now have a high probability range. It doesn’t stop there, using OI will tell you so much more. How a stock reacts at each strike depending on the amount of OI is a major tell.
Conclusion: When using open interest you can accomplish multiple things. We can use it for OI/Max Pain when AAPL is stuck in a range and we can use it for catching breakouts, breakdowns, buy and sell points. Enjoy.
I want to give a special thanks to some of my early influences: Turley Muller, Andy Zaky and Jason Schwarz. I thank Philip Elmer-Dewitt for his coverage on AAPL and letting us have a voice, Horace Dediu for his tireless studies and anyone attached to the AAPL community.