Tales From The Future (tftf). I picked my nickname because many advisors and investors claim they can predict the future of the (stock) markets and somehow pick the winners. I don't. I usually do not engage in short-term trading and myopic analysis (quarter by quarter, without looking at the big picture). I like to work with long-term scenarios with a focus on possible disruptions in the technology and energy sectors. I look into value and contrarian ideas as well as emerging technologies and growth stocks worldwide, both on the long and short side. I also like to discuss the influence of monetary policy on global stock markets. I am fiercely independent in my investment research and therefore use the image of a lone Ninja. This influenced my investment principles for the past 20+ years: Pick your targets with patience. Do your OWN diligence. Never follow the herd blindly: 'Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.' General Sector Focus: Technology/Internet, Value, Disruptors, Energy/Alt Energy, Entertainment Stocks and Monetary Policy/Geopolitics. Geographical Focus: USA, Western Europe, Japan. Sector 'Halo' Focus Stocks: AAPL, TSLA... PS: Not a native English speaker. I apologize in advance for any typos and grammatical errors.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.
Electrical Engineer specializing in Dynamical Systems and their control, analysis, synthesis, modeling, and simulation. Analytical background has allowed me to moonlight and contribute in related areas including optics, celestial mechanics, and other space and satellite associated disciplines. I develop and perform detailed systems analysis of complex multi-discipline systems.
I have been in the automotive business for 23 years. My store was currently listed as the 8th largest independent dealer in the United States according to Auto Remarketing magazine. I started with 12 cars and worked my ass off to own as many as eight hundred at any one time. I trade naked puts and calls every day the market is open. I guess I enjoy gambling. I rarely hold a position more than a week. Been doing it since 1995 so I guess if I am not broke yet I have gained some credibility. To me the market has changed. The old days of buy and hold seem to be ineffective. Look at Walmart, Exxon, IBM, and the list goes on. Finally, I find the heard mentality of Wall Street ridiculous. The self appointed experts that get paraded on the financial news programs such as Fox Business and CNBC blow my mind. For this reason, I enjoy reading stories and comments on sights such as Seeking Alpha. Yes I do take it all with a grain of salt.!!
As a pioneer in the renewable energy industry, I continue to work in developing the next generation of SPV technology, based on multi-junction thin films. I am also involved in renewable energy storage technologies based on a combination of batteries and hydrogen.
My research and writing examine the difficulties of the present economic system and searches for solutions that can bring about changes without violence in our society. My efforts focus on creating a new paradigm of self-sustaining economic communities (SSECs) in which all members of the community have the opportunity to succeed and to contribute to the common good, and in which renewable energy plays a central role. My theory is based on decades of research in energy, technology, economics, sociology, and business. I hold 25 technology patents, and have published more than 120 articles detailing my work in physics, engineering, and technology. My theories address some of the most profound problems our world faces.
I founded Optel, in 1970, to manufacture liquid crystal displays, and Chronar Corporation, in 1976, to commercialize thin film photovoltaic technology based on amorphous silicon. I headed up technical development of a manufacturing process for amorphous silicon, and, in 1982, oversaw the construction of the world's first amorphous silicon manufacturing facility in Port Jervis, New York. Over 20 such manufacturing facilities built by Chronar are currently in operation throughout the world. Chronar also established the world's first amorphous silicon 100-kilowatt utility interactive photovoltaic power source in Birmingham, Alabama.
Today, my work centers on creating SSECs that harness the power of renewable energy, and help create equality and prosperity for all members of the communities. I am currently writing a book that details how SSECs can help solve energy, economic, and value crises that will, in turn, help humanity achieve more of its potential.
I was an NRC scholar from Canada, and spent two years in Oxford, working on lasers and nuclear polarization. I speak English, Hungarian, German, and French.
The Oil & Gas Investments Bulletin (http://www.oilandgas-investments.com) is an online subscription-based service that finds, researches, and profiles growing oil and gas companies that have high growth rates (or high growth potential.)
Its team of writers work under Keith Schaefer, Editor/Publisher, who shares his knowledge of the oil and natural gas markets in a simple, easy to read manner. The bulletin outlines which TSX, NYSE and NASD-listed energy companies have the ability to grow, and bring shareholders prosperity even in tough times.
There is tremendous potential to profit in oil and gas companies for informed investors. Mr. Schaefer has a degree in journalism but has spent the last 15 years assisting public resource companies in raising exploration and expansion capital.
Frank Holmes is CEO and chief investment officer of U.S. Global Investors, Inc., a boutique investment advisory firm based in San Antonio that manages domestic and offshore funds specializing in the natural resources and emerging markets sectors. The company’s no-load mutual funds include the Global Resources Fund (PSPFX), the World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) and the Gold and Precious Metals Fund (USERX). For more insight and perspective from Mr. Holmes, please visit his investment blog, “Frank Talk” (http://www.usfunds.com/investor-resources/frank-talk/).
Consultant in the economics of renewable energy retrofitting - moving energy from liabilities to assets. Passionate student of the business scene, particularly commodities, currently not an active investor. Author, translator, blogger. Trading experience is more commodities than stocks.
Born June 27th 1935 in Vienna, Austria. The youngest singer in my family which sang with the von Trapp singers, of which the film Sound of Music was based. Maria (played by Julie Andrew) was actually my nanny before she married Capt von Trapp (played by Christopher Plumber) who was not in the navy of Austria since Austria, being a land locked country, had no navy.
The little boy "Kurt" in the film was actually me. My mom never sued Twentieth Century Fox for using our story without receiving payment. (the von Trapps never went over the Alps to Switzerland.. that was my family and me...the captain and his singing family went to Italy and from there came to America via London)
When arriving in USA we moved to Arlington VT. where my neighbor was Norman Rockwell. My mom disallowed me from sitting for him despite frequent invitations to do so. Second immortality lost. :-)
Graduated with honors(Wall Street Journal award) from Lafayette College in 1957. After attending med school became ER physician in Conn. hospital, on the night shift. Had a seat on the NYSE at the same time and commuted from the hospital to Wall Street daily. After a few years of this, left medicine to stay with the NYSE Stock exchange.
Was also partner with Leon Cooperman in a NYSE member firm in late sixties. Carl Ichan and other notables of Wall Street are on best friends list..
Traded money for many well known names on the street such as Peter Kellogg of Spear Leeds and Kellogg, etc.
Am only surviving founder of the CBOE opened In early 70's. Names of "stripp, strapp, iron condor, condor, straddle, strangle" were all names that were thought up and first used by me. Traded options long before the CBOE was founded.
Traded on the CBOE under acronym PPP (known as Peter Paul) till 1988.
Started a Classic Jaguar restoration company in 1988 till 2011.
Went back to trading my own account, off floor in 2008.
60 years trading experience. Have been an avid technician the entire 60 years. We use fundamentals, PE ratios, overall market conditions, Fibonacci retracements, Elliott Wave theory, my own mathematical formulas as well as my own technical chart work (5 minute, daily, weekly as well as yearly) charts in analyzing and preparing recommendations to buy sell or hold.
ALL OUR ARTICLES are and will contain material discussion on timing and will be geared for the short term trader as well as the long term investor. I am on my computers, monitoring live charts and financial news on a minute to minute basis every trading day, from pre-market trading opening to after-market trades and the final closing.
Unlike Seeking Alpha articles from other contributors, all our articles will be prepared for maximum gain and minimum loss by supplying sell and buy stop recommendations along with the original recommendation. These will be updated as necessary over future time intervals. All will be published and added to all our recommendations on an "as needed" basis as often as market forces cause the need for such alterations. The use of option strategies as adjuncts or substitutions for stock will also be used and discussed as well as updated as necessary, so the investor taking our advise will never be out there "on his own" after acting on our initial recommendation from Doc's Trading"..
Readers may contact me directly at: firstname.lastname@example.org or (cell)928 951 4779
I have traded for 40 years and seen the world change in investing. These days I trade a number of private accounts as hedge funds, using the old meaning of hedge fund, in that I actually hedge instead of purely speculate.
Hale Stewart spent 5 years as a bond broker in the late 1990s before returning to law school in the early 2000s. He is currently a tax lawyer in Houston, Texas. He has an LLM from the Thomas Jefferson School of Law in domestic and international taxation where he graduated Magna Cum Laude and is also a Chartered Asset Manager, Chartered Wealth Manager and Chartered Trust and Estate Planner from the American Academy of Financial Management. He is the author of the book US Captive Insurance Law. You can read him daily at the XE.com currency blog (http://community.xe.com/blog/xe-market-analysis).
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
Born in 1958, I am a small investor who has taken his lumps. When I started out, I made a lot of money trading. Then I lost twice as much, when market conditions changed but my methods didn't.
Intellectually I believe that dividend investing is probably the best way to go. However, I am still addicted to searching for a good deal--call it value investing, or swing investing, or what you will.
In 2016, my portfolio was up 153%. Needless to say, I am happy about that. Especially as a part-time investor with a day job.
Individual investors should feel free to message me privately about my real-time subscription service, which is very affordable. That is also included with my short idea product for institutional investors, here on Seeking Alpha.
For a better mobile experience on Seeking Alpha click the top right menu icon on most browsers and select "request desktop site".
I am a former financial communications programmer, turned full-time investor. I began investing in the mid-1990s, looking for a way to achieve early retirement. (A goal in which I have succeeded, if you don't consider full-time investing a job.) I took a scientific, experiment-based approach rather than a studious one. I feel that this approach, combined with my extensive programming work in financial markets and directly with traders has given me uncommon contrarian insight into what really drives market dynamics.
To that end, my articles will center around stocks and their derivatives because that's where I have the most experience (over 20 years). I may occasionally comment on currencies, where I believe I have a sound academic knowledge, but less trading experience.I will always refer to a company by name or some abbreviation thereof. By contrast, I will refer to the stock a company issues by its ticker symbol. I think it can be important to differentiate between the two.
Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. He has the unique combination of a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and over 30 years’ experience helping companies adapt to changing economic conditions. He has worked in economics and corporate planning at two Fortune 500 corporations and at a major bank, where he was senior vice president. He has earned the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Companies have used Dr. Conerly’s expertise to help with decisions regarding capital expenditures, inventory levels, expansion into new markets, pricing, business models and financial structure.
Dr. Conerly is an on-line contributor to Forbes.com and the author of The Flexible Stance: Thriving in a Boom/Bust Economy (2016) as well as Businomics (2007). He had been interviewed on the News Hour with Jim Lehrer, CNN and CNBC. He has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Fortune Magazine, and USA Today.
Richard Zeits is an Oil & Gas industry analyst and consultant. His background includes fourteen years as Energy industry-focused investment banker, portfolio manager and senior investment analyst with bulge bracket firms in New York. Zeits Energy Analytics use elaborate proprietary analytics and data bases to provide in-depth industry research, market intelligence, and forecasting.