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I am a curious. Thnks for reading this .....
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  • Inflation Versus Deflation

    Inflation /Deflation

    This is were we are now

    If Deflation is there i believe the first signal is dolar and dolar is going up

    If it breaks DX 84 my last post is passed and counting is wrong.

    Deflation will be in action Mr Prechter ( ) win. Commodities are coming down and there will be no inflation

    A long way to go down soon or later The market will reverse

    Let us see what the dollar does

    Bonds are already on position !!!


    Tags: DX
    May 12 8:13 AM | Link | Comment!
  • Dollar Trend @=55

    Dollar what future?

    I have been willing to share with you my opinion on the dollar trend based on fractal theory applied to the market that I believe the best approach to quantify is Elliot wave pattern or structure.(1,2,3,4,5,ABC) with Fibonacci series.

    Long picture

    I find this picture in the internet.

    Since 1985 we have been seeing the dollar down. Bear market or correction? ABC zigzag correction? It looks like we seeing a big diagonal triangle. Being since 2000 on the C leg This leg is going to unfold on 5 waves as the structure shoes

    (click to enlarge)

    Since 2000

    (click to enlarge)Waves

    Wave 1,2 and 3 are quite calm. Wave 4 is complex.

    The structure shoes 4 waves The amusing and exciting is that wave 4th finish on 22th July 2012 .Wave 4 started on 2005 and unfold as a triangle A,B,C,D,E

    Wave D made a lot of confusion as you can see D wave is complex. At least it finished with a five waves up completing Wave E of the triangle and finishing 4 th wave . 7.5 years


    Dollar bear market will accelerate and using the Fibonacci series and relations ( wave 5=0.618 of 0-3 ) we can project the dollar index to a range of 55 to 57.50.

    Implications for our life will be high inflation and high commodities prices.

    I do not own any dollar index positions. I am long on gold and silver.

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Feb 02 6:31 PM | Link | Comment!
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