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Your work is instructive. Several articles about collective debt level have me very concerned:
Sep 07 10:24 am
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All Comments by basehitz »How Did Major Retailers Do in August? [View article]
1) From Seeking Alpha
The Great Consumer Crash of 2009
by: James Quinn posted on: August 14, 2008
2) From Dr. Marc Faber Market Comment: October 9, 2005
gloomboomdoom.com
(Note here that the ONLY time in history when our debt level even approached today is just before the Great Depression. Not a prediction, just an editorial note. But today our debt level is worse. )
3) from Barrons Feb 11, 2008
"This Credit Crisis Has a Long Way to Run"
Interview with Jeremy Grantham, Chief Investment Strategist, GMO
Barron’s By SANDRA WARD
The above is a lot of data to take in. The picture, due to grossly excessive credit expansion, is bleak.
I disagree with your suggestion that consumers will wise up. Some will for sure. But most won't until they are forced. And they will be due to credit restrictions now becoming much tougher. The banks will cut them off.