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Gold Stock Trades Editor Jeb Handwerger is a highly sought-after stock analyst syndicated internationally and known throughout the financial industry for his accurate and timely analysis of the equities markets, particularly the metals and mining sector. Subscribe to his FREE Newsletter right now at: http://goldstocktrades.com.
I am a private investor residing in Singapore. I am interested in all kinds of markets and assets but my current views are that very few assets are currently undervalued at the moment.
The only market that I know that is clearly undervalued with good/improving fundamentals is Vietnam. Therefore, most of the posts here will be on Vietnamese stocks.
Contact Email: investor-at-futuresasia-dot-com
Investor with more than 5 years experience trading commodities, gold and silver miners, exploration companies, oil and gas, platinum and other hard assets.
The investment style is part contrarian/value and I actively seek investments in distressed sectors.
I run a model fund at Ken Kam's Marketocracy, where they do capital management using the best member mutual fund track records with extensive tabulations of alpha, beta, R-squared, and many other fund management evaluations.
Marketocracy Capital Management offers SMA (Separately Managed Accounts) through FOLIOfn Institutional ($100,000 minimum accounts) set up to track the top 15 or so long-term track records (many 12 years plus) of the 30000 or so active members that run models at their site. My fund is one of those top models available for SMAs.
My fund methodology is high diversification, usually running around 40-60 stocks from many different sectors. I rarely weight any position much over 5%. I began at Marketocracy developing an analysis method I've labeled The Fractal Base Flow Model. I've been experimenting with variations of my basic methodology with 4 other funds and a 5th where I try new things. With my first and main model fund BPMF (Bruce Pile's Mutual Fund) I did my basic method for the first 7 years or so with an alpha over 30, then strayed a little into other analysis methods that did not work as well. The last couple years I have been making my model strictly a one method fund again as I am convinced I'm not going to find a better analysis method.
Marketocracy is a new way of investing that solves a lot of the problems in the industry today. When investors nowadays survey their options, they are perplexed by the mish mash of risk and fees.
In mutual funds, you have regulated safety where managers must diversify with less than 10% of your money in any one name in the top of your weightings scheme, making for at least around 20 stocks at any one time. The SEC also prohibits the risk of leverage and investing in dangerous derivatives, etc. But this safety is typically viewed as a tradeoff with performance vs hedge funds, where all the dangerous stuff is allowed. But the sad result of all this danger is that most hedge funds fail.
The average life of a hedge fund that makes it past the first year is just 5 years. More than two thirds of all hedge funds that ever existed are now dead. There is the fund of funds option, but the high turnover means that even they must select an all new portfolio of funds about every 5 years. This makes selecting proven long-term performers virtually impossible.
A fund of hedge funds will typically not only charge the high hedge fund fees of 1%-4% management fee plus 15%-25% of your returns, but will also charge fees for running the fund of funds. They pile complication upon complication and charge you for it. "Oh, and the hedge fund industry as a whole hasn’t produced alpha/added value to simple portfolios for years, since its assets under management ballooned." [FTalphaville]
With typical leverage, that has grown over 15 years from around 20% to over 40% now, you get 40%more risk than mutual fund rules with no significant added performance, just more costs. And because that added leverage risk is so often concentrated in the same areas by all the large funds, inducing systemic risk, when those bets go wrong they can go very wrong. With all the above, an investor must live with the risk of having just one fund manager, or picker of rotating funds in a fund of funds.
Imagine a place where you could go to sign up for an account where you could review track records and styles and risk levels of not just one guy, but up to 15 or so, and check on your account signup form how you want to spread your money among these guys. And imagine that all these managers have had to compile top ranked hedge fund performance levels for up to 15 years under the safety level of SEC rules for mutual funds. And imagine you could get all this at roughly cost of a mutual fund. It would be like opening an account and checking the names of Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, and all your favorite hedge fund managers to gang tackle your investment objectives. And as in any team sport, if one guy hits a cold streak, the others will carry him. No dependence on one manager.
Well there is such a place - Marketocracy Capital Management. Here, thousands of people from all walks of life, from retired and active fund managers to ordinary individual investors, compete online with virtual funds. If your track record qualifies, you can open a GIPS account for real money tracking of your model fund and have client accounts track your model. My fund is one of those, ticker BPMF. FOLIOfn Institutional can open a client SMA where you can pick and choose from the best of the best long-term performers. To look into this:
Jeffrey Dow Jones is the managing editor for Alpine Advisor. He has previously worked for PaineWebber/UBS and Ford Motor Credit Company, and he spent the last decade co-managing a group of hedge funds. He holds a degree in Business Economics with a specialization in Computer Programming from The University of California - Los Angeles.
He publishes a free weekly newsletter at AlpineAdvisor.info.
I write about emerging and frontier markets in Asia. I now primarily contribute work to Forbes Asia. My most recent work and my complete bio can be found on Forbes Asia's site:
If it is easier, you can find my recent work sorted by country on this Seeking Alpha blog:
You can follow me on Twitter here: https://twitter.com/FrontierWriter
You can find me on Linked In here (I accept 98% of connection requests): http://www.linkedin.com/pub/jon-springer/42/b15/844
I would like to thank Seeking Alpha's editorial staff for giving me a start in this profession. In particular I would like to thank George Moriarty and Eli Hoffman.
I will contribute still to Seeking Alpha from time to time as the opportunity presents itself.
The picture is a young man pole-vaulting a bull in Pamplona, Spain, as part of the festivities around the annual running of the bulls. "Play with the bull, avoid the horns."
Steven Bavaria writes about finance, economics and politics, drawing on his forty-five years experience in international banking, credit, investment, human resources/training, journalism and public service. Now retired from his "day job" on Wall Street, Bavaria lives mostly off his investments. His focus is largely on income-oriented stocks, bonds and mutual funds, as well as closed-end funds, ETFs and other IRA-suitable investments. His book "Too Greedy for Adam Smith: CEO Pay and the Demise of Capitalism" was just published and is available on Amazon and at independent retailers.
Bavaria began his career at the Bank of Boston, where he handled international credit workouts that included managing a fleet of ships, chasing a Vatican-owned bank in Switzerland, and leading the turnaround of troubled branches in Australia and Panama. He also ran the bank's human resources department, which is where he saw personally the beginnings of many of today's executive compensation excesses.
More recently he worked at Standard & Poor's, where he introduced ratings to the leveraged loan market. In between Bank of Boston and S&P he was Assoc. Commissioner of the Massachusetts Dept. of Mental Health, worked briefly for Citibank, and was a reporter for IDD Magazine. He also did a short stint at a smaller rating agency where he had to leave in a hurry after writing an article called "From Banker to Bookmaker" that was deemed a bit too candid in describing the conflicted role of major commercial and investment banks.
Bavaria graduated from Georgetown University and New England School of Law.
Michael Pettis is a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets. He has also taught, from 2002 to 2004, at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and, from 1992 to 2001, at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business.
Pettis has worked on Wall Street in trading, capital markets, and corporate finance since 1987, when he joined the Sovereign Debt trading team at Manufacturers Hanover (now JP Morgan). Most recently, from 1996 to 2001, Pettis worked at Bear Stearns, where he was Managing Director-Principal heading the Latin American Capital Markets and the Liability Management groups.
Visit: China Financial Markets (http://www.mpettis.com)
Marin Katusa, who works with Casey Research (http://www.caseyresearch.com/), is an accomplished investment analyst who specializes in the junior resource sector. He left a successful teaching career to pursue analyzing and investing in junior resource companies. In addition, he is a member of the Vancouver Angel Forum where he and his colleagues evaluate early seed investment opportunities. Marin also manages a portfolio of international real estate projects. Using advanced mathematical skills, he has created a diagnostic resource market tool that analyzes and compares hundreds of investment variables. Through his own investments, Marin has established a network of relationships with many of the key players in the junior resource sector in Vancouver. Marin has the connections, the mathematical and analytical acumen to bring the best investment ideas and most promising Private Placement offerings to Casey Research subscribers.
I’m a product designer and mechanical engineer by profession. The design side of my job requires me to think about problems in imaginative ways and dream up creative solutions. The engineering side of my job requires an application of real world constraints and analytical problem solving to make those dreams a reality. Put the two together and you get a point of view you’ll rarely hear from mainstream economists.
I have little formal education or training in economics. Or, as I prefer to think of it, I have no baggage. I’m more apt to look at the world empirically than to view it through the lens of an economic or political theory pushed upon me in school.
Growing up, I had an innate interest in economics which was nurtured by my father who was an outstanding stock analyst. In 2007, as the housing bubble was reaching its peak, I began studying Austrian economics and the history of money to understand what was really going on with the economy.
From an Austrian perspective, the crash of 2008 was just the prelude to the impending currency crisis we face. While the politicians and central bankers do everything they can to postpone the inevitable, they are only exacerbating the problems. In 2010, I started a blog, Liberty Insight, to inform people of the seldom heard Austrian perspective and to explain how free market solutions and sound money can provide the answers to our problems.
Acting Man has been named after the title of the first chapter of Ludwig von Mises' book "Human Action" - the best treatise on economics ever written. The blog's main author is Pater Tenebrarum, an independent analyst who has been involved with financial markets for 34 years and is writing economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy. Acting Man presents articles on the markets and the economy, a mixture of commentary on current events as well as economic theory and history, mainly from an Austrian School of Economics viewpoint. As more authors have joined the site, we have begun to broaden our palette a bit, but our orientation remains the same: pro-free market, anti-state, pro peace.
I started investing several years ago after being Inspired by the works of Benjamin Graham and the shareholder letters of Warren Buffett. My investment ideas are generally guided by Mr. Graham's margin of safety principle, and are adapted to a variety of different market sectors.
Mariusz Skonieczny is the founder and president of Classic Value Investors, He is also the author of several books on investing including Why Are We So Clueless about the Stock Market, The Basics of Understanding Financial Statements, Due Diligence: How to Research a Stock, 100 Ways to Find Investment Ideas, Investment Wisdom and Gold Production from Beginning to End.
The author behind pseudonym "UltraLong" holds a Masters of Science (Technology) degree. He lives in Finland and works in a management position in a large international company. He manages portfolios for self and family and has been investing into stocks for close to twenty years.
Consultant / Investment research writer, focusing on natural resource companies & select other small cap opportunities. MBA, Financial Analysis, Top 12 rated business school, New York University (NYU) Stern School of Business.
Designated a Chartered Financial Analyst, "CFA" He's published hundreds of investment articles & CEO interviews on a number of prominent [Metals & Mining] and [Investment] websites including:
EpsteinResearch, InvestorIdeas, InvestingNews, MiningFeeds, Equity.Guru, Investing.com, Equities.com, CNAFinance, CountingPips, StockHouse, SeekingAlpha, TalkMarkets, CEO.CA, Investor-SMS.de, SmallCapMarkets.
On Twitter: @peterepstein2 Email: firstname.lastname@example.org
A veteran of the small cap wars, the Goombarh has survived both the glory and collapse of the internet boom and the 2008 bust. Now he is focused on oil, mining and commodity junior stocks. The world has evolved with the rising tide of demand from the emerging markets growth of their middle class. In the Goombarh's opinion, this will provide a longer term structural change of continuing demand for oil, metals and commodities.
In this blog, he shares his findings and insights and sometimes his portfolio's contents. If this information and investing sector is of interest to you, drop him a line with your email address, and you will be added to his distribution.
The Goombarh has Neanderthal heritage and as such has an extra section in his brain that gives him his prescient ability. ...just kid'n.
"I was innocent and believed in the "buy and hold" conventional view. Now I am experienced and hopefully wiser, and I try to monitor my stocks. I may be quite an opinionated writer, but I would like to share my findings, insights and research, in order to give an investor, an edge on the market. I may be holding a position in the stocks that I write about."
The term “goombah”, comes from Latin “cumbà”, is an older or senior advisor, or quite literally godfather. The term also has gangster connotations, but that is not my intent. I have deliberately, adding an “r” to make the sound more my own. Welcome to my investing world.
Albert Sung is the author of Correlation Economics, monitoring breaking economic news on a day to day basis.
He started investing in 2008 because of the economic crisis and holds a masters degree in chemical engineering. Previously, he worked several years as a process engineer at Ashland, a competitor of Dow Chemical. Today, he works as a regulatory compliance consultant at J&J, but his real passion will stay in macro-economics.
His experience in the chemical and pharmaceutical industry allows him to monitor the economy from a process engineering standpoint, analyzing macro-economic charts, correlations and trends.
I possess 10+ years of trading and investing experience, with a focus on precious metals, currency, energy, and technology markets. My decisions are based on market cycles, valuation metrics, technical analysis, and industry-specific trends and technologies. I typically hold positions for several years.
I also run InformedTrades.com, a site dedicated to helping individuals learn to trade the world's financial markets.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA, winner of the 2016 Dow Award and 2015 NAAIM Wagner Award, is chief investment strategist and co-portfolio manager at Pension Partners, LLC., an investment advisor which manages mutual funds and separate accounts according to its ATAC strategies. Prior to this role, Gayed served as a portfolio manager for a large international investment group, trading long/short investment ideas in an effort to capture excess returns. From 2004 to 2008, Gayed was a strategist at AmeriCap Advisers LLC, a registered investment advisory firm that managed equity portfolios for large institutional clients. In 2007, he launched his own long/short hedge fund, using various trading strategies focused on taking advantage of stock market anomalies. Follow him on Twitter @pensionpartners and YouTube youtube.com/pensionpartners. He has re-released his father's 1990 book Intermarket Analysis and Investing, now available on Amazon.com.