I read annual reports and related materials daily, and have found that Buffett was very right about how knowledge works like compound interest. What I've found in assessing companies is that the truly great ones downplay their position, while the pie in the sky market opportunities usually represent stagnant capital and/or intense competition (weak margins). The longer the horizon, the less competition you will face in regards to price paid versus value, but too much dependency on growth also leaves you vulnerable to permanent loss when growth fails to materialize. Lastly, never discount the value of a great capital allocator at the helm. A CEO of a company earning 20% ROE that keeps 75% of the company's earnings each year will have made capital allocation decisions representing half of the equity of the company within 5 years.
Investor in dividend stocks with a promising future ;-)
ABT, ADM, BBZ, BDX, CSCO, D, DE, FLO, GE, GIS, GPC, HASI, HD, HRL, IBM, JCI, JNJ, KHC, KO, LMT, MSEX, MSFT, MMM, MO, OHI, PAYX, PEP, PFE, PG, SO, QCOM,T, TGT, THW, UN, WMT, WTR
I have 9 years of professional public equity and private equity experience, but I've covered and invested in stocks my whole life. Areas of focus: small/micro cap, spinoffs, value stocks, and special situations.
Would love to meet other like-minded investors!
Also, feel free to check out my blog:
*************Original User account: 17741882***********************
General : Aspiring Equity Analyst with 7 years of professional and personal investment experience. Primary focus is Value and Growth both domestic and abroad (Europe and Latin America)
Professional Experience: Hedge Fund Assurance and Valuation Services ( AUM 100M - 10B). Exposure to almost every investment strategy and product on the market. Strategies ranged from typical Long/Short Equity & Structured Products such as MBS and CDOs, all the way to reinsurance funds trading catastrophe linked bonds.
Licenses: CPA (NJ) Certified Public Accountant
CFA Candidate - Level 1 June 2017
Very proud Rutgers Graduate- New Brunswick Campus - GO Scarlet Knights ! -
Major: Bachelor's of Accounting
SevenSeas Investment Research was created to provide investors with honest, deeply considered, detailed, passionately conducted, straight forward, value focused, fundamental investment research on a variety of asset classes and market topics.
I use a combination of traditional value focused fundamental research and a proprietary method of stock selection that can be adjusted to meet a dynamic mixture of different risk tolerances, and various other investor criteria to construct concentrated and unique portfolios to any given individual's investment needs.
My deep knowledge of Alternative Investments and Accounting (both GAAP & IFRS), as well as my exposure to dozens of successful hedge fund portfolios and complex investment securities, provided me with a unique perspective few obtain of a side of the market unseen by the retail investor. I wish to share my passion and knowledge for the markets that has grown to an obsession over the last 7 years with the SA community, to bring value to investors ranging from beginners, all the way to seasoned professionals, and network with the thousands of talented individuals from around the world who come to the platform seeking the same objectives.
My overall mission is to provide readers with valuable research to assist them in making wise investment decisions. All articles are my own personal views, and do not constitute investment advice. **Please be sure to contact your own investment professional when considering purchasing an investment.
SevenSeas will remain dedicated to providing a complete, and consistent level of work and appreciation for the readers. The highest standards of ethics and professionalism will be displayed at all times. I welcome all feedback and can be reached via direct messaging. Best of luck to all, and I hope you enjoy the work.
Stock investors are always asking what is the catalyst for value to be realized? I originally thought like this which lead me to take too much risk. I now focus on being patient, controlling risk, and minimizing permanent capital losses. These steps have lead to significantly better returns. Even when there is no clear catalyst, an undervalued stock is eventually its own catalyst.
I think the benefits of communicating on Seeking Alpha are enormous. Many times I have a strong financial view of a company but do not understand the specific industry or industry competitive dynamics. I can often interact and read insightful comments from engineers, scientists, and technology experts. These experts offer great free advice and I try to add value in my specific areas of expertise. One area that I have been specifically helped is the energy sector.
While some investors are very negative of people who short, I view shorting stocks and posting factual information as noble. The focus of course is on truthfulness and accuracy of this information. Anyone who is posting rumors, lies, or other unscrupulous behavior (long or short) to manipulate a stock should be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.
I graduated from the University of Arizona in 2002 with a BS in Finance. From 2002-2006 I worked in the Wealth Management Group at Bank of America. I left Bank of America to manage family/friend money in long/short equity strategies. I also helped start-up two internet retail businesses.
I don't post much on twitter but think it is another great resource. I can be followed at https://twitter.com/jrhUofA
I currently live in Phoenix, AZ. If you live in the area and are a serious investor, please send me a note as I would be happy to meet and exchange our best ideas.
Andrew Walker, CFA, is a portfolio manager at Rangeley Capital LLC with a focus on small cap special situations investments. Mr. Walker also contributes to Sifting the World, a value investing forum.
A*L was established in 2010 by Jon Carnes, a growth and value-oriented investor who lived for six years (from 2005 to 2011) in China where he researched and invested in dozens of Chinese companies, first long (2005-2009) and then primarily short (2010-2012). Mr. Carnes outperformed other investors by performing extensive “on the ground” due diligence, conducted by a team of experienced analysts and local researchers. His investment opinions were greatly respected by other China focused fund managers attracted to the booming economy but wary of getting duped.
Over several years of scrutinizing over a hundred companies in every corner of China, Mr. Carnes realized that many of those that had gone public were seriously exaggerating their financial performance in their SEC filings. Investors raced to invest billions into Chinese companies that were dishonest and legally accountable to no one, a recipe for disaster for investors, both large and small.
Deciding to take action, Mr. Carnes decided to publicly expose the most egregious frauds he had discovered over the years, focusing on the worst offenders: companies that had exaggerated their profitability by at least 100%. In February 2010, he published a series of reports titled “Management Leaving Investors Stuck at the Pumps” showing that China Natural Gas (formerly NASDAQ: CHNG) management defrauded investors by failing to disclose and likely misappropriating $20 million from an acquisition of an undisclosed related party.
Unfortunately, when CHNG discovered that Mr. Carnes wrote the reports, its chairman Qinan Ji responded by sending an agent to threaten him where he lived in China. Frightened by Ji’s threat, Mr. Carnes removed the reports from the Internet. From this point onward Mr. Carnes knew that publishing the truth while living in China might get him killed.
Mr. Carnes nevertheless chose to remain in China to continue exposing fraud. Knowing that the safety of his researchers depended upon absolute secrecy and anonymity, he published my reports anonymously online using the obvious pseudonym “Alfred Little.” Beginning with CHNG, over the next two years Mr. Carnes exposed a diverse array of investment fraud committed by a U.S. listed Chinese companies.
After two years, CHNG Chairman Qinan Ji’s effort to conceal his fraud finally failed. On 9/21/11 NASDAQ halted trading of CHNG and on 3/8/12 CHNG was delisted. Most importantly, on 5/14/12 the SEC filed fraud charges against CHNG and its Chairman Qinan Ji.
Two more of the companies that Mr. Carnes first exposed faced the same fate. On 2/22/12 the SEC charged Puda Coal (formerly AMEX: PUDA) Chairman Ming Zhao with fraud, confirming each of the allegations in his 4/8/11 report, “Puda Coal Chairman Secretly Sold Half the Company and Pledged the Other Half to Chinese PE Investors.”
Then on 4/23/12 the SEC charged SinoTech Energy (formerly NASDAQ: CTE) and two of its officers with fraud. On 8/16/11, Mr. Carnes was the first to blow the whistle exposing CTE’s massive fraud in a report titled “SinoTech Energy: Enhanced Oil Recovery or Capital Extraction.” Unlike other numerous smaller “reverse merger” frauds, Sinotech was a $168 million IPO listed on NASDAQ underwritten by UBS and Lazard Capital Markets and audited by Ernst & Young.
Three companies, Deer Consumer Products (“DEER”), Sino Clean Energy (“SCEI”) and Silvercorp Metals (“SVM”) criticized in reports published by A*L sued Mr. Carnes for defamation. The three companies coordinated their legal and retaliatory efforts, both in the U.S., Canada and China to silence Mr. Carnes.
The epic battle that followed ended swiftly in a complete rout. NASDAQ delisted DEER and SCEI. SVM and DEER both lost their defamation claims against Mr. Carnes. SCEI abandoned its defamation claim against Mr. Carnes.
After winning the battle against DEER, SCEI and SVM, A*L emerged with the best track record of any China focused investment blog.
I'm a financial auditor that holds a BA in accounting and a MBA. I'm interested in where value can be realized. This could be a small or large cap company selling at favorable EV/EBIT or a special situation/event driven investments. Warren Buffet once said, "You have to turn over a lot of rocks to find those little anomalies" and I hope to do just that.