I have been an individual investor for 25 years. I have also worked in Risk Management at several Fortune 100 banks over the last 15 years, and have a PhD in Economics and an MBA in Finance.
Current vocation - low-level retail management (auto parts). College educated (English, math, CIS), oddly enough. Married, father of one. I am a DRIP investor only, and no longer 'trade'. Almost completely out of the market due to a entrepreneurial venture me and the love of my life are undertaking. What I've learned from 20+ years of investing is that there are few forces in the universe as powerful as compounding. That is the train I plan to ride to easy street.
Hobbies include carpentry (general construction all the way to finish work), computers, spreadsheeting (just about everything!), gardening, "fixing stuff", and doting on my wife.
Two dogs - a lab/rott mix, and a Karelian Bear Dog.
Love Tennessee after spending most of our lives in WI/IL. Never going back!
I am a CFA charter holder with over 25 years experience at a number of major global middle market investment banks. I worked as a sell side equity research analyst as well as in investment banking where I researched and analyzed M&A trends and activity.
When will long-term investors have any cash to deploy? If you believe in their mantra, most of them think people should be nearly fully invested nearly all of the time - it is rare to have a long term Buy and Hold investor to keep 30% in cash for buying opportunities. How much of a loss are you willing to suffer waiting for a recovery? 10%, 20%, 30%? Do the numbers and see what kind of gain you will need to recoup to the break even point on several loss levels to get an idea of how long you may need to wait. For example a 30% loss requires a 43% gain to get back to the break even. A 20% loss takes a 25 % GAIN to get back to even.$100,000 - 20% = $80,000 . 80k X 25% = 20,000 +80k =100K There are few assets like PM's that are liquid and have NO counterparty risk. If you know of any that perform that function please post it for all to see. The fact of the matter is that some people ONLY save any money because of Precious Metals. If it were not for their gold and silver many would not have any money saved or invested. They would have Beanie babies or some other fad item. The people that buy Silver Eagles are much happier ten years later when they bought those coins made of PM's for their grandchildren (or whomever) when they find out the $8 - $12 bucks they spent is worth more than they paid.And the recipient learns a valuable lesson from it. There are good gifts and not so good gifts. Silver Eagles rank near the top of the list. Don't underestimate the power for people to develop good savings habits using PM's . It's fundamental. Our welfare system is a huge drain on the economy .Those of us working for a living instead of voting for a living see huge holes in our paychecks every week. As unfortunate as it is to know that cuts to foodstamps and welfare will likely cause a bit of suffering, it’s not the job of the government to forcibly remove money from the pockets of hard working Americans in order to take care of those who won’t work. Granted, there are some people who genuinely need the help, and those folks get dragged into the mud with the abusers, which isn’t fair to them. Now, just because the government shouldn’t be “helping” those in need, doesn’t mean we as Americans should forego kindness and charity. Quite the opposite. Americans are some of the most generous people on the planet, but unfortunately, that generosity gets quelled when the government is involved.Without the government in the way, regular every day individuals like you and me need to step up and start helping those who are in dire straits. That’s how this country used to be long before all of the social welfare programs, and it’s what made our nation so wonderful. If the government insists on being “helpful,” they can start by reducing taxes and ridiculous regulations that overburden small business owners, which will free them up to expand their companies and hire new workers. Two of my favorite comments ever on SA Avi Gilburt , Contributor
WOW!!! So, I guess when sentiment is at historical lows, we MUST assume it can only continue down!! lol
All you say constantly over and over is "I don't understand how it can work, so, clearly, it does not work." That really does not need much of a "demonstration" or response.
........................ In 1971 Nixon set the price of gold at $31/oz, today it's around $1,200, so in 45 years the price has gone up 3,158% or so if my math is sound. If you bought your stock in 1971, when the S&P was around 700 you realized a very impressive gain but well short of gold and what it buys you now in 2017 .
....................................................................................................................................................... Let's say 50 years ago, 1964, your grandfather bequeathed you an inheritance worth $1,000, which he put in a pretty box with your name on it. At this moment, you are about to open that box… Would you be happy to find his personal check dated 1964 made payable to you; would you rather find ten $100 Federal Reserve Notes; or would you prefer to find that thousand bucks in the form of 4,000 silver quarters, the steady constant value of 715 ounces of silver, with a current dollar number north of $12,500? Would your choice be the same if you were putting your wealth away today for an heir to receive in ten, twenty, or fifty years?
..................................................................................................... Financial contagion happens at both the international level and the domestic level. At the domestic level, usually the failure of a domestic bank or financial intermediary triggers transmission when it defaults on interbank liabilities and sells assets in a fire sale, thereby undermining confidence in similar banks. An example of this phenomenon is the subsequent turmoil in the United Statesfinancial markets. International financial contagion, which happens in both advanced economies and developing economies, is the transmission of financial crisis across financial markets for direct or indirect economies. However, under today's financial system, with large volume of cash flow, such as hedge fund and cross-regional operation of large banks, financial contagion usually happens simultaneously both among domestic institutions and across countries. The cause of financial contagion usually is beyond the explanation of real economy, such as the bilateral trade volume.
On October 31st, 2014, I retired. Turned in the keys to the company car, gave them my computer and my account lists and joined the ranks of those who "slipped off into the sunset." I never thought in retirement that I would be this busy. It's fun. Time with the grandkids, time to perfect my cooking skills, and time to travel and check off the things on my bucket list. I should have done this a long time ago.
Oil midstream professional with a focus on Bakken/NorthDakota midstream assets. Market Analysis, Project Analysis, Competitive Analysis, and Cash Flow Analysis are a few of my favorite things. Some exposure with downstream assets, refined products, and gas.
Zugzwang (German for "compulsion to move") is a situation found in chess wherein one player is put at a disadvantage because they must make a move when they would prefer to pass and not to move. The fact that the player is compelled to move means that his position will become significantly weaker. A player is said to be "in zugzwang" when any possible move will worsen his position.
An independent (small) investor living in the state of Texas. Am over 65 but still work full time. I refer to my interest in the stock market as my night job. When asked what kind of job or what kind of work is that, I generally say, well, you read, read, read etc.
Self-directed, began in mid 90s in drips. Then employer 401k. Rolled to self in 2010, invested in all div stocks.
Buy and hold (so far), I am a dividend-lover that has always aspired to live off my divs.
My Roth includes some hedges that began as experiments: 2 TIPS funds out of sheer curiosity , 2 govt bond funds (med and LT), and one bond index ETF. I have always been 90%+ stocks (or stock funds in 401k) , currently 98% equities. I let the workplace 401k handle international exposure and otherwise diversify within each portfolio, and across entire holdings.
Each stock owned in only one acct; multiple portfolios taxable and retirement; position sizes and start/add dates vary widely, not all positions receive new money:
The USA is in trouble due to a broken federal political system, corruption that is less sinister and more systematic, lobbyist control of everything, and free markets used as an excuse to make money off people's misery. Despite this fact, I want to survive and (in parallel) I want to see humanity progress so I'll just do my little part and hopefully I have some success. If anyone here is truly seeking "alpha" status then you are guaranteed to fail as it only happens to those not looking for it. "The crow doesn't choose the crow life, the crow life chooses the crow" -- The Lord Of Crows. I cannot help my cynicism but I enjoy humanist moments plus I also really like a good laugh since, as you may know, humor is one of the most important aspects of life.
I am in equipment sales in industrial and laboratory markets. As I am getting within 3 years or so from retirement I am shifting from focusing on growth to generating income. I do not reach for yield, preferring a mix that allows for solid growth of the income stream and capital appreciation. I have built a diversified portfolio of solid dividend paying companies who grow their dividends at a rate beyond inflation with 80% of investable assets. I also maintain a growth portfolio of 10% of investable assets.
I was first interested in stocks and investing while in High School. With my first job I saved a significant portion of that and put it into various instruments i.e. Roth IRA and stocks mostly. I started college for Business Administration and continued teaching myself principles of investing and savings and good personal finance. I graduated with an MBA in Financial Planning from California Lutheran University in May of 2011.
I have not worked in any capacity as a financial analyst but have significant experience in stock analysis mainly using fundamental methods but have recently started using technical analysis as well. A significant portion of my free time is spent with this hobby and I have a lot at stake as I have been investing roughly 40% of my salary for the last 16 years. I have a significant nest egg at the moment and hope to be partially retired within 5 years by 2019. I have been building a property rental and investment business and continue to build that and expand that.
What does the future bring for me? I hope to continue building and growing my business as well as publish articles on investing and start a blog in the future as well.
Recently retired, managing (trading on a daily basis) my retirement money.
Suggest best approach for most people is Indexing.
Lots of choices out there, develop a strategy as complex or simple as you want but I recommend leaving the gambling for trips to vegas not the market.