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Eighthman

Eighthman
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  • With a record of poor shareholder returns, why do the TBTF banks (JPM, C, BAC) even exist, writes Sheila Bair. Capital markets certainly wouldn't finance such "unstable behemoths" if it weren't for their de facto government backstop. Jamie Dimon can provide a better return to shareholders by recognizing his bank is worth more in smaller pieces.  [View news story]
    Again, no one goes to jail? For record-breaking document fraud across the whole country?

    Banks are paying heavily for their sins? Apparently, that doesn't include jail time for egregious, massive violations like fraud - or even potential murder (yes, murder - ask Andrew Maguire).

    It's a very simple matter: if they are above the law as regards jailtime (or even prosecution, in many cases), then they are the government's superiors. They ARE the government, de facto.
    May 27 10:25 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Greece Will Drag Down Europe And Refuse To Leave [View article]
    I'm not clear on the concept. Can they fund their economy internally with no loan money coming in? Pensions? Police? The Military? Civil Service? I think Tsipras believes this.
    May 26 07:51 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • With a record of poor shareholder returns, why do the TBTF banks (JPM, C, BAC) even exist, writes Sheila Bair. Capital markets certainly wouldn't finance such "unstable behemoths" if it weren't for their de facto government backstop. Jamie Dimon can provide a better return to shareholders by recognizing his bank is worth more in smaller pieces.  [View news story]
    TBTF violates the very notion of legitimate government representing the consent of the governed. They are an unelected authoritarian force in society that endangers the rule of law by egregious scofflaw behavior. It is simply bizarre to witness massive document fraud, first in regard to mortgages and then with credit cards - and have this go unpunished and published in the media as if it were trivial and mundane.
    If the government continues unable to discipline them, then the label Too Big To Jail is justified - and the matter should be considered settled: They are too big.
    May 25 08:04 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • JPMorgan's CIO losses can't be described "in any way as a hedge," says hedge fund giant Michael Platt, whose BlueCrest capital was on the other side of the trade. "It's a trading loss. They deliberately put the positions on." "They're not out of those positions," he says and will face further losses if Europe continues to deteriorate.  [View news story]
    Hey, guess what? It's rumored that the senator who Demands An Investigation of JP Morgan has - as his biggest campaign contributor - (drum roll, please) you guessed it, JP Morgan !

    The Best Government Money Can Buy?
    May 21 10:05 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ray Dalio explains the concept of a beautiful deleveraging and why the U.S. is in one, but the EU, not so much. He expects the ECB will ultimately print money and produce another big rally, "but this is a tougher time to be very confident about that scenario." An "uncivilized" man, Dalio remains a fan of gold, recommending most have 10% of their assets in the metal.  [View news story]
    Paying down deficits and/or debt in good years is straight out of the Keynes playbook. Is there any hard evidence that this actually happens?

    We have the most heavily medicated population in history in regard to anti-depressants and psychoactive drugs. Polls say one in seven believes the world will end soon. Where's the discipline to guide long term economic health?
    May 20 08:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Banks And Derivatives: Too Big To Fail Or Too Exposed To Be Saved? [View article]
    Has anyone taken a step back and looked at the big picture?
    OK, I understand the claim that these derivatives may not represent a mind numbing net claim - fair enough..... but how can we have a collective market that is many times greater than the whole economy? At what point does this become a casino that tends to exclude rational management of change and risk BEYOND merely 'placing a bet'?

    And as for the notion that derivatives are not a NET threat, who knows this? Who can assert such a thing with reasonable authority?
    May 20 08:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • JPMorgan's (JPM) losses from its disastrous trades could reach $5B or more, the WSJ reports, as the bank struggles to unwind its positions. Major problems include increasing worries about Greece and the the EU economy. Meanwhile, the CFTC becomes the latest government agency to open a probe into the debacle, the NYT reports.  [View news story]
    2 billion.......3.... 4...... 5 do I hear 6? Can I get a 6?
    May 20 07:22 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Jamie Dimon "couldn't breathe" when he saw the actual positions behind the $2B (and growing) CIO loss, according to an inside-baseball account. Dimon's risk-management instincts appear over time to have been dulled by the profits the unit was producing, leaving him unaware the CIO had morphed from a hedging outfit to one making big directional plays.  [View news story]
    Did the WSJ hint that it's now $5 billion?
    May 19 07:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ray Dalio explains the concept of a beautiful deleveraging and why the U.S. is in one, but the EU, not so much. He expects the ECB will ultimately print money and produce another big rally, "but this is a tougher time to be very confident about that scenario." An "uncivilized" man, Dalio remains a fan of gold, recommending most have 10% of their assets in the metal.  [View news story]
    So, the government bails everyone out, saves the economy and then manifests a self discipline across a decade to reduce debt - "after the economy recovers" - amidst worsening demographics.

    Does anyone really believe this?
    May 19 05:22 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Ray Dalio explains the concept of a beautiful deleveraging and why the U.S. is in one, but the EU, not so much. He expects the ECB will ultimately print money and produce another big rally, "but this is a tougher time to be very confident about that scenario." An "uncivilized" man, Dalio remains a fan of gold, recommending most have 10% of their assets in the metal.  [View news story]
    I don't understand his concept at all: consumers deleverage while the US government vastly expands debt. The two things are not separated, they are deeply linked.

    We had a worldwide crash in some measure because "experts" failed to notice strong correlations between markets and asset classes. Has anything been learned?
    May 19 01:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dimon on CIO activities: JPM has suffered a $2B loss in the synthetic credit portfolio. "The strategy was flawed ... There were many errors, sloppiness, and bad judgment ... risk managers are fully engaged in helping to monitor the current portfolio." He goes on to say volatility could remain high over coming quarters and could cost the bank another $1B.  [View news story]
    Archman is correct. They are invunerable and above any law enforcement. Ask Andrew McGuire.
    May 10 08:13 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Goodbye TBTF? The FDIC's Martin Gruenberg is expected to outline today that the next time a major financial firm is brought to its knees, the FDIC will seize the parent company and unwind it while allowing its global subsidiaries to keep operating. Equity stakeholders will be wiped out and bondholders will face losses as their holdings are swapped for equity in a new entity.  [View news story]
    Plenty of tough laws, no practical enforcement - except perhaps for the 'little fish' who can't afford lobbyists or fraudulent document mills.
    May 10 11:21 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Goodbye TBTF? The FDIC's Martin Gruenberg is expected to outline today that the next time a major financial firm is brought to its knees, the FDIC will seize the parent company and unwind it while allowing its global subsidiaries to keep operating. Equity stakeholders will be wiped out and bondholders will face losses as their holdings are swapped for equity in a new entity.  [View news story]
    Really? Will they dare to wipe out Warren Buffett and Saudi billionaires? And ignore whoever is elected President with Big Bank money (either candidate)?
    May 10 09:12 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Future Of Global Finance [View article]
    This is an excellent article and suggests a measure of hope for the future.
    That said, I worry about the TBTF banks hold on the economy and their serious scofflaw behavior, which I believe goes beyond massive document fraud all the way to murder, as needed (Andrew McGuire attempt). Their sheer size dictates this unpublicized ability, over and above any law enforcement. How do they get broken up?
    May 5 09:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Long Before Spain Does Something Crazy? [View article]
    Venezuela is a democracy. It, along with Bolivia and Argentina, are kleptocracies as well, no contradiction between the two.
    May 2 08:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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