I am currently a retired Aerospace Engineer. I am married with three children and eight grandchildren. I was born in San Francisco, CA in 1949 and moved to Newport News, VA in 1951 where I lived until I went to college. By God's grace, I received a B.S. degree from Virginia Tech (1972), a M.S. degree from Caltech (1973), and a M.A. - Biblical Studies degree from Birmingham Theological Seminary (2013). I worked at Pratt & Whitney (1973-1986) and CFD Research Corporation (1987-2008).
Now in retirement and trying to preserve my life savings, I currently have a strong interest in tactical asset allocation strategies, and have studied them extensively. I have developed a number of tactical strategies involving the periodic trading of ETFs and, more recently, mutual funds. These strategies have been backtested mainly using Portfolio Visualizer and ETFreplay software. The goal is to earn 10-15% annually with no negative years, and to have maximum drawdowns of less than 10%, preferably less than 5%. The strategies include purchasing a limited number of funds with the highest growth and lowest volatility, and minimizing risk using moving average, dual momentum, and risk parity methods. I have developed strategies for equity as well as bond assets.
Stone Fox Capital Advisors is a registered investment advisor founded in 2010. The firm offers portfolio management with a focus on opportunistic stocks providing secular growth trends at an affordable value. An emphasis is placed on fundamental analysis though charts are used for timing entry and exit points.
Mark Holder graduated from the University of Tulsa with a double major in accounting & finance. He's been interested in the stock market since college and began managing investments for friends and family more than 20 years ago. Mark has his Series 65 and is also a CPA.
Invest with Stone Fox Capital's model portfolios on Covestor.com as he makes real time trades. Covestor also allows followers to duplicate the model portfolio in their own brokerage accounts. You can find the portfolio and more details here:
Follow Mark on twitter: @stonefoxcapital
I have over five years of experience in covering financial markets. I am interested in commodities, emerging markets, media & entertainment and technology.
As an investor, I always employ the top-down approach. My objective is to share my insights and investing ideas and also learn from other accomplished investors here.
I am a chemical engineer with a MS in Food Technology and Economics. I am also the author of 2 mathematics books ("Arithmetic calculations without a calculator" and "Word Problems") and perform almost all the calculations in my mind, without a calculator, making it easier to make immediate investing decisions among many alternatives. I invest applying fundamental and technical analysis and mainly use options as a tool for both investing and trading. In my spare time, I follow Warren Buffett's principle: "Some men read playboy. I read financial statements".
Zacks.com brings the decades of study and stock picking expertise of Zacks Investment Research to individual investors. Now, you don't to be an investment bank or brokerage firm to get the professional power of Zacks' research. It's all available on Zacks.com. Learn more about Zacks' history and company below.
Seeking Alpha is an interesting platform to float your ideas and communicate with the investing public and get valuable feedback. However, Investors should do their own due diligence and consider the research presented in Price Point articles as only a single factor in making their own investment decision.
I've been a financial advisor for the past 7 years. Currently hold my CFP and a struggling CFA candidate. I created The 5 Funds initially to provide friends with good investment advice for free. The 5 Funds is a portfolio of 5 low cost ETFs that are updated quarterly. I have 3 portfolios based on risk tolerance: The Conservative 5, The Moderate 5, and The Aggressive 5.
Over 30 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur, however focus now is global and involves almost all economic categories.
John M. Mason writes on current monetary and financial events. He is an entrepreneur and a writer. Current projects include a new banking institution, an Internet company, a private equity fund, two depository institutions and a community redevelopment fund. He formerly was on the faculty of the Finance Department, Wharton School, the University of Pennsylvania. Dr. Mason has been President and CEO of two publicly traded financial institutions and the executive vice president and CFO of a third. He has also served as a special assistant to the secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development in Washington, D. C. and as a senior economist within the Federal Reserve System. Dr. Mason has served on the boards of venture capital funds and other private equity funds. He has worked with young entrepreneurs, especially within the urban environment, starting or running companies primarily connected with Information Technology. Some of his new ventures are in the sustainable business and impact business space. .
Somewhere between disaster and "more of the same" is the world we all live in today, and it may go on in this same state for our lifetimes. No black swan, no collapse, no implosion of the Republic. Because there is no knowing I have given up trying to know or predict.
I have one goal. Survival at a modest level under any foreseeable future.
Let it be noted, I am a tiny investor.
If all my Shearson Lehman deals hadn't gone south, I'd be a medium small investor.
Now I trust no one.
So. Really big companies. Really good divi histories. Really broad diversification.
Buy and hold. Usually.
Gold buried in my sister's yard. Cash under the mattress. Food in the basement. And a full expectation that we shall see a blistering correction before 2020. But, no telling.
Let's talk about the big companies. I like big, strong and smart.
I want a dividend that has history, a future, and a present.
I want, five years from today, all investments made today to be yielding at least 5% based on cost.
The higher today's yield, the lower the dividend growth rate can be. So I like the "Chowder Rule." Some examples of stocks in this category (I think) are T, SO, DUK, VZ, D, AEP, and so on. Based on my cost basis.
The other extreme are a companies whose dividend growth rate leads to a reasonable expectation that it will yield 5% in five years. WMT, MCD, KMB, CL, EMR, TGT, and JNJ all are of the type. More or less, as of this writing. They will have their ups and downs. Bought right, in general, they should fit the bill.
My third favorite category are resource oriented companies, mostly oil, whose history and business fit with my goals. OXY, COP, CVX, XOM, RDS, FCX, and BHP come to mind.
These three kinds of companies represent my "core" investments. Outside the core, about 10% of the portfolio is more adventurous.
To round out the stable with some diversity I also own some REITs; O, ADC, OHI.
I also hold a very small portfolio of energy related companies like LINE, VNR, etc.
And yes, I do own little tiny positions in a few gold and silver resources. While I fully expect metals to break below the floor they are forming here in late January, 2014, but I hold them as a little insurance.
No position is over 5% of the portfolio value. Oils are overweighted on purpose as a group, perhaps foolishly, since oil may see a decline this year. Most positions are 2-3% of the total.
I try and follow Chowder and Carnevale here on SA, and wish I had gotten the divi bug sooner in life, so I preach it ofter to others. As the markets unfold, I may of may not prove to have the mettle to be a buy and hold investor.
Sy Harding founded Asset Management Research Corporation in 1988 for the purpose of providing stock market and economic research to institutions and serious investors. Harding’s engineering background, coupled with his experience in operating high-tech businesses through numerous economic cycles, made it natural that the research involves technical analysis and charting, as well as analysis of the economic fundamentals that affect markets and individual stocks.
The firm publishes its research on its website at www.StreetSmartReport.com.
Harding is frequently ranked highly in the ‘Top Ten Market Timers in the U.S.’, and is quoted frequently in the financial media.
He wrote the timely 1999 book Riding the Bear – How to Prosper in the Coming Bear Market, which accurately predicted the 2000-2002 bear market. It also introduced Sy’s remarkable Seasonal Timing Strategy, which more than doubled the performance of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in the nine years since, without a single down year even in the serious 2000-2002 bear market.
He has a new book out ‘How to Beat the Market the Easy Way’, which reveals several new seasonal timing strategies, from short-term to long-term, which have a history of out-performing the market, while exposing investors to less than 50% of market risk.
Retired Financial Analyst with an investment plan derived from Charles D. Ellis' book "Winning The Loser's Game". My "Winning Formula" is to invest in a worldwide capitalization-weighted index ETF such as Ticker:VT, or a similarly weighted subgroup of ETF's from Vanguard (VTI,VEA,VWO) or Schwab (SCHB, SCHF, SCHE) to lower the weighted average fee, then fund my retirement by spending the dividends from the portfolio as suggested in Ellis' book. If additional spending beyond the portfolio's dividend is desired, spending can be increased by the "Required Minimum Distribution" [RMD] as calculated from the IRS Rule-72(t) for early retirees here: https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/rr-02-62.pdf. Spending the dividend plus the RMD is called a "Modified RMD" distribution method as explained in this article: http://www.aaii.com/journal/article/retirement-withdrawals-can-you-base-them-on-rmds.mobile
David is a Managing Partner at FMD Capital Management, a fee-only registered investment advisory firm specializing in exchange-traded funds. He has years of experience constructing and implementing actively managed growth and income portfolios using ETFs, CEFs, and mutual funds.
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Follow me on Stocktwits: http://stocktwits.com/fabiancapital
I am a 30-year veteran of the bond market. My career began at the Open Market Desk of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the significant majority of the subsequent years were spent trading (Treasuries) or selling high grade fixed income product for some of the largest primary dealer firms. I am currently “on the beach” and choose to remain in contact with the bond business via my blog (http://acrossthecurve.com/). Thanks in advance to all who contribute, and since this is a work in progress, I invite constructive criticism regarding the structure and format of my blog (http://acrossthecurve.com/).
John can be contacted at email@example.com (mailto:firstname.lastname@example.org)
Visit John's blog, Across the Curve (http://acrossthecurve.com/)
Follow John on Twitter: @acrossthecurve
James A. Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.
Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International Investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.
Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book about the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.
Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
You can receive custom delivery of all of Mr. Kostohryz's published work on Seeking Alpha, The Street, and other media, as well as exclusive material, by following the link below. It is absolutely free:
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I provide economic analysis, market commentary and company-specific research. My general view is to operate a diversified basket of long-term investments in both equities and fixed income.
I have a bachelor's degree in economics from San Diego State University (2007), eight years of publishing experience and over a decade of cumulative investment experience. I have been published in several newspapers and magazines, including The Wall Street Journal and Barron's.
Mr. Berger is the creator and developer of the YDP screening tool, a chart system and its analysis for screening and monitoring dividend income equity investments. The recipient of Seeking Alpha's Outstanding Performance Award, he also has been Seeking Alpha's #3 ranked Author for Income Investing Strategy & #4 for Utilities.
20 years of sitting in the board room gives me unique insights into Oil & Gas investments and corporate deal making in general. Additionally, he offers a Premium Research subscription service for boosting income while reducing market risk using covered option writing on a dividend income equity portfolio.
Residing in Brazil gives me a local's inside view on the pulse of its economy, politics, investment climate and breaking news. A view of my front yard is available here.
A former Chief Operating Officer, Director, Vice President and General Manger of Oil and Gas for Southern Pacific's Oil and Gas Operations, Business owner, geologist, and cribbage player, I've been an investor for over 48 years (started young at 13) and learned my lessons the way that makes them stick, by hard knocks and both big and little mistakes. Hopefully I can share some of those lessons with others.
I am an American expatriate that decided to retire at age 57 in 2009 and now live in Brazil. As an early retiree I invest for income and manage portfolio risk by screening for strong and reliable historic data along with favorable fundamental and technical current trends.
I spend 6 months/year living at home in Brazil and 6 months/year traveling the world. I have structured my financial positions so that I live virtually tax free with much of my income exempt from US tax since I live ex patriot and a lot of my US derived income over the annual ex-patriate exemptions is held in my tax free ROTH and tax deferred IRA/SIMPLE plans. This enables my tax savings to pay for my 6 months of annual traveling :) .
My investing is for income and appreciation with a balance of low to moderate short term risk and low long term risk. To accomplish this I use quality dividend payors with a long track record of steady or increasing dividends along with slowly appreciating equity prices. I target a 6 to 9 % yield and almost exclusively require a minimum history of 5 years of steady/increasing dividends and no decreases in dividend ever or at least past 10 years. I diversify through sector, country and currency unit the stocks are traded in, and security type (equity, royalty trust, REIT, mlp, etf, and ADRs).
I use covered call writing to enhance my portfolio yield with no added risk. In fact, it lowers the risk substantially. Once I identify a stock I want to own and an entry price for it, I write cash covered puts at or below that entry price (with a minimum of 1%/month time premium. Thus i obtain at least a 12% annualized yield before compounding just from the option premium.
Likewise, I use the sale of cash covered puts to generate income and and generally get an entry point at 5 to 10% below my acceptable entry level price if/when the put stock does get presented. Thus my strategy provides a 12% pre compound yield on cash and entry into stock purchases at a 5 to 10% discount from "retail".
Because I only select stocks that I am willing to hold long term for their reliable dividend yields of > 6%, I am not concerned much with market volatility or short/midterm risk. Indeed, market volatility is my friend since it increases the premiums paid on the options I sell. I also selectively sell covered calls on positions I hold long so as to add to my yield that way while not taking on any additional risk.
This strategy has kept me happily living off my portfolio income and traveling 1/2 the year while my portfolio has been slowly increasing in value even after my harvesting income for living expenses. Of course my income will incrementally increase when social security kicks in for me in a few more years and I may then slightly mofidy my goals and strategies.
Readers can get an e-mail once a day from Seeking Alpha that lists all newly published articles of ALL the authors they follow in a single e-mail. To get these updates:
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I am a buy side research analyst working for an asset management firm. I aim for a combination of growth and value while investing and recommend the same for others. My sector expertise include financials and healthcare.
In my research, I focus more on cost drivers, revenue drivers and the factors affecting these drivers as financial results are only an output of these drivers.
Larry Swedroe is director of research for Buckingham Asset Management (www.investmentadvisornow.com), a Registered Investment Advisor firm in St. Louis, Mo and an independent member of the BAM ALLIANCE (www.thebamalliance.com). He is also director of research for BAM Advisor Services, LLC (www.bamservices.com), a service provider to investment advisors across the country, most of whom are affiliated with CPA firms. Previously, Larry was vice chairman of Prudential Home Mortgage. Larry holds an MBA in finance and investment from NYU, and a bachelor’s degree in finance from Baruch College.
To help inform investors about the passive investment approach, he was among the first authors to publish a book that explained passive investing in layman’s terms — The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You'll Ever Need. He has authored seven more books: What Wall Street Doesn't Want You to Know (2001), Rational Investing in Irrational Times (2002), The Successful Investor Today (2003), Wise Investing Made Simple (2007), Wise Investing Made Simpler (2010) and The Quest for Alpha (2011), and Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett (2012).
He also co-authored five books: The Only Guide to a Winning Bond Strategy You’ll Ever Need (2006, with Joe Hempen), The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need (2008, with Jared Kizer) and The Only Guide You’ll Ever Need for the Right Financial Plan (2010, with Tiya Lim and Kevin Grogan), Ivestment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make (2011, with RC Balaban) and Reducing the Risk of Black Swans (2013 with Kevin Grogan). He writes the blog Wise Investing for CBS’s personal finance Web site http://www.cbsnews.com/search/author/larry-swedroe, He also writes for IndexUniverse.com http://www.indexuniverse.com/sections/index-investor-corner.html and you can follow him on Twitter (http://twitter.com/larryswedroe).
I began my career as an Aeronautical Engineer and had an interest in capital markets. My interest ultimately led me to go back to school to Purdue University in order to obtain my MBA. I am a student of the Intelligent Investor. I wait for Mr. Market to offer me dollar bills for less than 100 cents. My goal is to take advantage of short term inefficiencies in the market and let the long term efficiency make the corrections. Intelligent investing is not about flashing lights and quick speak, it is about sound, simple, and thorough analysis.
Heard on the REITs and PM101 are led by CFA Charterholders with combined investment experience of over 25 years. The articles are intended to be informative and may contain opinions on the soundness of particular investments but should not be considered a recommendation for any particular investor. For this reason, we attempt to not only outline the reasons why we think an investment looks attractive but also highlight the risks that the investment entails. Investors should consider their own investment objectives and profile before using any of our articles as the basis for investing.
Avi Morris became interested in stocks while in high school when he started an investment club. It made him a few bucks and his interest in stocks continued. Over the years, Avi earned a portfolio between savings
Kiran is an independent research consultant in the areas of volatility-based and leveraged instruments, including several proprietary strategies.
His services include hypotheses generation, back-testing, risk/return analytics, and predictive modelling for proprietary trading strategies, as well as research consulting in the above areas. Expected and realized returns for his 2 flagship strategy portfolios exceed 100% on an annualized basis, while maintaining expected and realized Sharpe ratios over 3 times higher than the S&P 500. Kiran was mentored by Wall Street research veteran Mark Gomes. Alongside Mr. Gomes, he brought Wall Street level research to retail and institutional investors through PTT Capital's flagship newsletters.
25 years experience in Quant research, portfolio management, and stock market data analytics. 15 years experience in index trading / ETF strategist. Risk manager. Mean revision / time series / seasonal studies applied towards general market trends with a focus on long term format.
Jake Huneycutt is a former Portfolio Manager. Jake holds an MBA degree with a concentration in finance from Emory University. He earned a Master of Accounting degree from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. He received his B.A. in History from East Tennessee State University. Jake is originally from Johnson City, TN and currently splits time between Boston, MA and Atlanta, GA.
I have 15 years of experience as a senior quantitative analyst in fixed income. I specialized in the development of research systems and analytics. Currently a consultant and blogger. I have a B.Eng. in electrical engineering from McGill University, and a Ph.D. from the University of Cambridge in control systems engineering. I am a CFA Charterholder.
Tom Madell, Ph.D., is the publisher of Mutual Fund/ETF Research Newsletter, a free newsletter which began publication in 1999. It has become one of the most popular mutual fund/ETF newsletters on the internet, as shown on the Google Directory page for Mutual Funds News and Media Newsletter websites.
His site has been named as one of the "Top 12 Investment Newsletters Focusing on Mutual Funds" by mutualfunds.com, an important fund information provider. Also, recently his Newsletter was recognized as one of 5 expert mutual fund resources worth following offering free, and, in its case, particularly "unbiased, useful, and original advice" at http://fundreference.com/articles/2015/172/10-mutual-fund-experts-worth-following/
He is also a researcher/writer/investor whose articles have appeared on hundreds of websites, including the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Morningstar and in the international media.
His articles have been among the most popular among those posted on the Morningstar.com website by non-Morningstar employed contributors.
His Newsletter's Model Portfolios have an outstanding long-standing record of frequently outperforming the major market indices. His complete articles and Model Portfolios can be accessed at http://funds-newsletter.com
On October 31st, 2014, I retired. Turned in the keys to the company car, gave them my computer and my account lists and joined the ranks of those who "slipped off into the sunset." I never thought in retirement that I would be this busy. It's fun. Time with the grandkids, time to perfect my cooking skills, and time to travel and check off the things on my bucket list. I should have done this a long time ago.
I write about dividend growth stocks on my website www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com.
I am mostly a buyer of high quality dividend stocks, with solid competitive advantages. My holding period is forever, as long as the dividend is at least maintained. I tend to concentrate my efforts on stocks which grow earnings and dividends, which provides outstanding total returns over time. I only focus my attention to stocks with sustainable dividend payments. I am also a firm believer in diversification accross sectors and geographic locations.
I have been focusing my attention particularly to companies that regularly increase dividends to their shareholders on my website. On my blog I share my thoughts on investing in dividend paying stocks that have consistently increased their payments over time and tips on growing my dividend income. I hope that my blog will serve as an inspiration for my readers and that it would change their financial lives for the better.
Visit my website, Dividend Growth Investor (http://www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com/)
I am a retired professor, a retired investment adviser, and currently a private investor and full-time tennis pro. I bought my first stock in a custodial account in 1958. I am a student of history, particularly military and economic/market history. The intellectual passions of my retirement years are markets, mathematics, and quantum theory. I like to travel. I served in Vietnam.